Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-03 Terurut Topik Tom DS
*For longer-term I prefer MNCN. However BMTR price now and in the near
future is likely more attractive.


T.o.m*

On Tue, Nov 3, 2009 at 3:25 PM, Lucky Trader wrote:

> MrTOM, in term of FA, which u prefer BMTR or MNCN ?
>
> Thx
> LT
>
> On 11/3/09, Tom DS  wrote:
> > *In range 690-795. (disclaimer On)
> >
> >
> > T.o.m*
> >
> >
> > On Tue, Nov 3, 2009 at 10:38 AM, Ivanka  wrote:
> >
> >>
> >>
> >> Please share berapa TP mid 2010 utk bmtr?
> >>
> >> Sent from my iPhone
> >>
> >> On Nov 3, 2009, at 9:37, Tom DS  wrote:
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >> *Hi boss..
> >>
> >> Yup, my BMTR sejati call is likely to be postponed for longer timeframe.
> >> But up to now I still put those target price will be reached at least in
> >> mid 2010.
> >> I didn't include TPI default on the calculation and some market
> downwards
> >> adjustment on end of October which brought down the overall PE
> multiples.
> >> Basicly I am using PE & PBV targetting with some sense of EBITDA
> >> targetting
> >> methods.
> >>
> >> I have same view on Indonesian equity market, but I have sense for short
> >> period we will still see BUMI on the way to move down one more time. I
> >> only
> >> want to buy more (after early bought at 2,550) at discount price of
> 1,900
> >> or
> >> lower as another entry point. So for the mean time, better to invest in
> >> other stocks with strong balance sheet and keep paying dividend, also
> >> having
> >> growth such UNTR, ASII, PTBA and PGAS.
> >>
> >>
> >> T.o.m
> >> *
> >>
> >>
> >> On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:01 PM,  wrote:
> >>
> >>> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
> >>>
> >>> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
> >>>
> >>> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
> >>>
> >>> Thanks
> >>> -Original Message-
> >>> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> >>> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
> >>> To: 
> >>> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
> >>>
> >>> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
> >>> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
> >>> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
> >>> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
> >>> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
> >>> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
> >>> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
> >>> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
> >>> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
> >>> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
> >>> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
> >>> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
> >>> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
> >>> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
> >>> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
> >>> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
> >>> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
> >>> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
> >>> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
> >>> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
> >>>
> >>> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
> >>> > secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
> >>> >
> >>> > karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
> >>> >
> >>> > tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa
> diketahui
> >>> >
> >>> > so be prepared..
> >>> >
> >>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
> >>> >>
> >>> >> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak.
> itu
> >>> >> aja. thx.
> >>> >>
> >>> >> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
> >>> >> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
> >>> >> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
> >>> >> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
> >>> >> >
> >>> >> > -Original Message-
> >>> >> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
> >>> >> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
> >>> >> > To: 
> >>> >> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
> >>> >> >
> >>> >> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan
> >>> suku
> >>> >> > bunga
> >>> >> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
> >>> >> >
> >>> >> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep
> re-telling
> >>> >> > this.
> >>> >> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
> >>> >> > opportunity.
> >>> >> >
> >>> >> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
> >>> >> >
> >>> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
> >>> >> >>
> >>> >> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
> >>> >> >>
> >>> >> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
> >>> investor
> >>> >> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
> >>> >> >>
> >>> >> >> thx,
> >>> >> >> beny
> 

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-03 Terurut Topik Lucky Trader
MrTOM, in term of FA, which u prefer BMTR or MNCN ?

Thx
LT

On 11/3/09, Tom DS  wrote:
> *In range 690-795. (disclaimer On)
>
>
> T.o.m*
>
>
> On Tue, Nov 3, 2009 at 10:38 AM, Ivanka  wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> Please share berapa TP mid 2010 utk bmtr?
>>
>> Sent from my iPhone
>>
>> On Nov 3, 2009, at 9:37, Tom DS  wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> *Hi boss..
>>
>> Yup, my BMTR sejati call is likely to be postponed for longer timeframe.
>> But up to now I still put those target price will be reached at least in
>> mid 2010.
>> I didn't include TPI default on the calculation and some market downwards
>> adjustment on end of October which brought down the overall PE multiples.
>> Basicly I am using PE & PBV targetting with some sense of EBITDA
>> targetting
>> methods.
>>
>> I have same view on Indonesian equity market, but I have sense for short
>> period we will still see BUMI on the way to move down one more time. I
>> only
>> want to buy more (after early bought at 2,550) at discount price of 1,900
>> or
>> lower as another entry point. So for the mean time, better to invest in
>> other stocks with strong balance sheet and keep paying dividend, also
>> having
>> growth such UNTR, ASII, PTBA and PGAS.
>>
>>
>> T.o.m
>> *
>>
>>
>> On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:01 PM,  wrote:
>>
>>> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>>>
>>> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>>>
>>> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>>>
>>> Thanks
>>> -Original Message-
>>> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
>>> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
>>> To: 
>>> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>>
>>> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
>>> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
>>> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
>>> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
>>> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
>>> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
>>> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
>>> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
>>> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
>>> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
>>> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
>>> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
>>> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
>>> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
>>> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
>>> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
>>> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
>>> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
>>> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
>>> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>>>
>>> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
>>> > secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>>> >
>>> > karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>>> >
>>> > tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>>> >
>>> > so be prepared..
>>> >
>>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>> >>
>>> >> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>>> >> aja. thx.
>>> >>
>>> >> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>>> >> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>>> >> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>>> >> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>>> >> >
>>> >> > -Original Message-
>>> >> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>>> >> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>>> >> > To: 
>>> >> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>> >> >
>>> >> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan
>>> suku
>>> >> > bunga
>>> >> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>>> >> >
>>> >> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>>> >> > this.
>>> >> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>>> >> > opportunity.
>>> >> >
>>> >> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>>> >> >
>>> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>> >> >>
>>> >> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>>> >> >>
>>> >> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
>>> investor
>>> >> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>>> >> >>
>>> >> >> thx,
>>> >> >> beny
>>> >> >>
>>> >> >> --
>>> >> >> DISCLAIMER:
>>> >> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy
>>> of
>>> >> >> the
>>> >> >> reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>>> >> >> portfolio,
>>> >> >> unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>>> >> >>
>>> >> >
>>> >> >
>>> >> >
>>> >> >
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> --
>>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>>> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the curr

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik Tom DS
*In range 690-795. (disclaimer On)


T.o.m*


On Tue, Nov 3, 2009 at 10:38 AM, Ivanka  wrote:

>
>
> Please share berapa TP mid 2010 utk bmtr?
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
> On Nov 3, 2009, at 9:37, Tom DS  wrote:
>
>
>
> *Hi boss..
>
> Yup, my BMTR sejati call is likely to be postponed for longer timeframe.
> But up to now I still put those target price will be reached at least in
> mid 2010.
> I didn't include TPI default on the calculation and some market downwards
> adjustment on end of October which brought down the overall PE multiples.
> Basicly I am using PE & PBV targetting with some sense of EBITDA targetting
> methods.
>
> I have same view on Indonesian equity market, but I have sense for short
> period we will still see BUMI on the way to move down one more time. I only
> want to buy more (after early bought at 2,550) at discount price of 1,900 or
> lower as another entry point. So for the mean time, better to invest in
> other stocks with strong balance sheet and keep paying dividend, also having
> growth such UNTR, ASII, PTBA and PGAS.
>
>
> T.o.m
> *
>
>
> On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:01 PM,  wrote:
>
>> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>>
>> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>>
>> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>>
>> Thanks
>> -Original Message-
>> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
>> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
>> To: 
>> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>
>> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
>> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
>> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
>> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
>> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
>> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
>> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
>> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
>> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
>> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
>> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
>> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
>> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
>> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
>> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
>> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
>> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
>> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
>> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
>> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>>
>> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
>> > secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>> >
>> > karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>> >
>> > tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>> >
>> > so be prepared..
>> >
>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>> >>
>> >> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>> >> aja. thx.
>> >>
>> >> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>> >> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>> >> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>> >> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>> >> >
>> >> > -Original Message-
>> >> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>> >> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>> >> > To: 
>> >> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>> >> >
>> >> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan
>> suku
>> >> > bunga
>> >> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>> >> >
>> >> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>> >> > this.
>> >> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>> >> > opportunity.
>> >> >
>> >> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>> >> >
>> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>> >> >>
>> >> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>> >> >>
>> >> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
>> investor
>> >> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>> >> >>
>> >> >> thx,
>> >> >> beny
>> >> >>
>> >> >> --
>> >> >> DISCLAIMER:
>> >> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy
>> of
>> >> >> the
>> >> >> reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>> >> >> portfolio,
>> >> >> unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>> >> >>
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> --
>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
>> >> the reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>> >> portfolio, unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>> >>
>> >
>> >
>> >
>>
>>
>> --
>> Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is al

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik Ivanka
Please share berapa TP mid 2010 utk bmtr?

Sent from my iPhone

On Nov 3, 2009, at 9:37, Tom DS  wrote:

Hi boss..

Yup, my BMTR sejati call is likely to be postponed for longer timeframe.
But up to now I still put those target price will be reached at least in mid 
2010.
I didn't include TPI default on the calculation and some market downwards 
adjustment on end of October which brought down the overall PE multiples. 
Basicly I am using PE & PBV targetting with some sense of EBITDA targetting 
methods.

I have same view on Indonesian equity market, but I have sense for short period 
we will still see BUMI on the way to move down one more time. I only want to 
buy more (after early bought at 2,550) at discount price of 1,900 or lower as 
another entry point. So for the mean time, better to invest in other stocks 
with strong balance sheet and keep paying dividend, also having growth such 
UNTR, ASII, PTBA and PGAS.


T.o.m




On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:01 PM,  wrote:
Earth calling Mr Tom DS

Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?

Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)

Thanks
-Original Message-
From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
To: 
Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?

On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
> secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>
> karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>
> tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>
> so be prepared..
>
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>
>> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>> aja. thx.
>>
>> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>> >
>> > -Original Message-
>> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>> > To: 
>> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>> >
>> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan suku
>> > bunga
>> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>> >
>> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>> > this.
>> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>> > opportunity.
>> >
>> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>> >
>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>> >>
>> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>> >>
>> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator investor
>> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>> >>
>> >> thx,
>> >> beny
>> >>
>> >> --
>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
>> >> the
>> >> reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>> >> portfolio,
>> >> unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>> >>
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>>
>>
>> --
>> DISCLAIMER:
>> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
>> the reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>> portfolio, unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>>
>
>
>


--
Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to
the complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In
fact, everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because
we know that we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things
must be learned only to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be
corrected...The test of all knowledge is experiment. Experiment is
the sole judge of scientific “truth”. - Richard Feynman




+ +
+ + 

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik Tom DS
*Hi boss..

Yup, my BMTR sejati call is likely to be postponed for longer timeframe.
But up to now I still put those target price will be reached at least in mid
2010.
I didn't include TPI default on the calculation and some market downwards
adjustment on end of October which brought down the overall PE multiples.
Basicly I am using PE & PBV targetting with some sense of EBITDA targetting
methods.

I have same view on Indonesian equity market, but I have sense for short
period we will still see BUMI on the way to move down one more time. I only
want to buy more (after early bought at 2,550) at discount price of 1,900 or
lower as another entry point. So for the mean time, better to invest in
other stocks with strong balance sheet and keep paying dividend, also having
growth such UNTR, ASII, PTBA and PGAS.


T.o.m
*


On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:01 PM,  wrote:

> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>
> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>
> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>
> Thanks
> -Original Message-
> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
> To: 
> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>
> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>
> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
> > secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
> >
> > karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
> >
> > tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
> >
> > so be prepared..
> >
> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
> >>
> >> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
> >> aja. thx.
> >>
> >> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
> >> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
> >> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
> >> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
> >> >
> >> > -Original Message-
> >> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
> >> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
> >> > To: 
> >> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
> >> >
> >> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan suku
> >> > bunga
> >> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
> >> >
> >> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
> >> > this.
> >> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
> >> > opportunity.
> >> >
> >> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
> >> >
> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
> >> >>
> >> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
> >> >>
> >> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
> investor
> >> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
> >> >>
> >> >> thx,
> >> >> beny
> >> >>
> >> >> --
> >> >> DISCLAIMER:
> >> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
> >> >> the
> >> >> reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
> >> >> portfolio,
> >> >> unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
> >> >>
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >
> >>
> >>
> >> --
> >> DISCLAIMER:
> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
> >> the reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
> >> portfolio, unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
> >>
> >
> >
> >
>
>
> --
> Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to
> the complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In
> fact, everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because
> we know that we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things
> must be learned only to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be
> corrected...The test of all knowledge is experiment. Experiment 

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik sAThya®
waduh  brother jangan  bgitu dong BD nya member OB juga tuh ,,, Repo nya 
perlu di tambah lagi kali
barang lawan tinggal dikit kok  Mr"V" nampung barang margin duluentar 
baru bikin momentum





From: boyz® 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Mon, November 2, 2009 10:49:39 PM
Subject: Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

  
MEDC Bandarnya udah megap-megap. .. Kurang perhitungan.
Modal duit doang, skill kurang :p
hehehe... 



On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:38 PM,  wrote:

Sama tuh MEDC bagi gue benar2 goblok tapi terlanjur sayang apa mau dikata??? 
Hehe... Semoga bandarnya dengar deh!!!
>

   


  

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik kokolato
Banyak yang bilang pak vier yang bandarin medc tuh om boyz...bener ga???
Sent from my BlackBerry® powered by Bakrie Group

-Original Message-
From: boyz® 
Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 22:49:39 
To: 
Subject: Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

MEDC Bandarnya udah megap-megap... Kurang perhitungan.
Modal duit doang, skill kurang :p
hehehe...


On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:38 PM,  wrote:

> Sama tuh MEDC bagi gue benar2 goblok tapi terlanjur sayang apa mau
> dikata??? Hehe... Semoga bandarnya dengar deh!!!
>



Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik Bagus Putra Perdana
gak jauh beda, saya invest semua di saham, deposito gak ada hehe plg
ama di nyicil properti itu jg buat ditempatin sndiri. yah anggep long
time endowment. Saham pribadi dipecah bbrp akun sih, kadang buat
nge-tes metode, some works, some didnt. But i do definitely get my
point

On 11/2/09, ruzli...@gmail.com  wrote:
> Kalau Intitusi Mas Bagus kan Invest di WIKA, MEDC, etc yg Growth Play..kalau
> Mas Bagus sendiri uangnya ditaro dimana ? Apa invest juga atau ada
> tradingnya ? Kalau trading, sahamnya apa ?
> -Original Message-
> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 22:32:54
> To: 
> Subject: Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>
> seinget saya rationale pak TOM D.S tuh turn-around story deh. Nah
> turn-around story ini gak bisa cepet jg keliatan nyatanya. Dan ini bet
> jg, kalo done bisa big-hit, kalo gak done cepet bisa nyedot capital.
> Tp kalo iya done bisa untung gede, mgkn turn-around is on the way, cmn
> hari gini kan gak gampang bersihin neraca. Give it a time to play,
> seinget saya, saya pernah share revenue growth-margin expansion story
> WIKA disini dan sampe skrg WIKA jg blon ngangkat (No Probs krn Q3
> beneran earning jump, saya ga nyesel ambil), story asset-play MEDC jg
> Saya share disini, itu jg blon bikin profit (No Probs jg buat saya,
> 47,A Ext,Senoro is well and ok dan belun jg 1 quarter berlalu) its a
> game of patience anyway., and we all just sharing ideas here, aint
> we?!
>
> On 11/2/09, ruzli...@gmail.com  wrote:
>> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>>
>> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>>
>> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>>
>> Thanks
>> -Original Message-
>> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
>> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
>> To: 
>> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>
>> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
>> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
>> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
>> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
>> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
>> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
>> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
>> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
>> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
>> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
>> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
>> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
>> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
>> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
>> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
>> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
>> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
>> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
>> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
>> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>>
>> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
>>> secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>>>
>>> karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>>>
>>> tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>>>
>>> so be prepared..
>>>
>>> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>>>
>>>> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>>>> aja. thx.
>>>>
>>>> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>>>> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>>>> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>>>> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>>>> >
>>>> > -Original Message-
>>>> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>>>> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>>>> > To: 
>>>> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>>> >
>>>> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan
>>>> > suku
>>>> > bunga
>>>> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>>>> >
>>>> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>>>> > this.
>>&g

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik boyz®
MEDC Bandarnya udah megap-megap... Kurang perhitungan.
Modal duit doang, skill kurang :p
hehehe...


On Mon, Nov 2, 2009 at 10:38 PM,  wrote:

> Sama tuh MEDC bagi gue benar2 goblok tapi terlanjur sayang apa mau
> dikata??? Hehe... Semoga bandarnya dengar deh!!!
>


Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik anna_huang2
Sama tuh MEDC bagi gue benar2 goblok tapi terlanjur sayang apa mau dikata??? 
Hehe... Semoga bandarnya dengar deh!!!
Powered by Telkomsel BlackBerry®

-Original Message-
From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 22:32:54 
To: 
Subject: Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

seinget saya rationale pak TOM D.S tuh turn-around story deh. Nah
turn-around story ini gak bisa cepet jg keliatan nyatanya. Dan ini bet
jg, kalo done bisa big-hit, kalo gak done cepet bisa nyedot capital.
Tp kalo iya done bisa untung gede, mgkn turn-around is on the way, cmn
hari gini kan gak gampang bersihin neraca. Give it a time to play,
seinget saya, saya pernah share revenue growth-margin expansion story
WIKA disini dan sampe skrg WIKA jg blon ngangkat (No Probs krn Q3
beneran earning jump, saya ga nyesel ambil), story asset-play MEDC jg
Saya share disini, itu jg blon bikin profit (No Probs jg buat saya,
47,A Ext,Senoro is well and ok dan belun jg 1 quarter berlalu) its a
game of patience anyway., and we all just sharing ideas here, aint
we?!

On 11/2/09, ruzli...@gmail.com  wrote:
> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>
> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>
> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>
> Thanks
> -Original Message-
> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
> To: 
> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>
> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>
> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
>> secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>>
>> karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>>
>> tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>>
>> so be prepared..
>>
>> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>>
>>> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>>> aja. thx.
>>>
>>> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>>> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>>> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>>> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>>> >
>>> > -Original Message-
>>> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>>> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>>> > To: 
>>> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>> >
>>> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan suku
>>> > bunga
>>> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>>> >
>>> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>>> > this.
>>> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>>> > opportunity.
>>> >
>>> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>>> >
>>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>> >>
>>> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>>> >>
>>> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
>>> >> investor
>>> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>>> >>
>>> >> thx,
>>> >> beny
>>> >>
>>> >> --
>>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>>> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the curren

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik ruzli . g7
Kalau Intitusi Mas Bagus kan Invest di WIKA, MEDC, etc yg Growth Play..kalau 
Mas Bagus sendiri uangnya ditaro dimana ? Apa invest juga atau ada tradingnya ? 
Kalau trading, sahamnya apa ?
-Original Message-
From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 22:32:54 
To: 
Subject: Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

seinget saya rationale pak TOM D.S tuh turn-around story deh. Nah
turn-around story ini gak bisa cepet jg keliatan nyatanya. Dan ini bet
jg, kalo done bisa big-hit, kalo gak done cepet bisa nyedot capital.
Tp kalo iya done bisa untung gede, mgkn turn-around is on the way, cmn
hari gini kan gak gampang bersihin neraca. Give it a time to play,
seinget saya, saya pernah share revenue growth-margin expansion story
WIKA disini dan sampe skrg WIKA jg blon ngangkat (No Probs krn Q3
beneran earning jump, saya ga nyesel ambil), story asset-play MEDC jg
Saya share disini, itu jg blon bikin profit (No Probs jg buat saya,
47,A Ext,Senoro is well and ok dan belun jg 1 quarter berlalu) its a
game of patience anyway., and we all just sharing ideas here, aint
we?!

On 11/2/09, ruzli...@gmail.com  wrote:
> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>
> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>
> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>
> Thanks
> -Original Message-
> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
> To: 
> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>
> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>
> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
>> secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>>
>> karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>>
>> tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>>
>> so be prepared..
>>
>> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>>
>>> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>>> aja. thx.
>>>
>>> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>>> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>>> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>>> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>>> >
>>> > -Original Message-
>>> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>>> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>>> > To: 
>>> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>> >
>>> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan suku
>>> > bunga
>>> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>>> >
>>> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>>> > this.
>>> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>>> > opportunity.
>>> >
>>> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>>> >
>>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>> >>
>>> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>>> >>
>>> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
>>> >> investor
>>> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>>> >>
>>> >> thx,
>>> >> beny
>>> >>
>>> >> --
>>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>>> >> "I hereb

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik Bagus Putra Perdana
seinget saya rationale pak TOM D.S tuh turn-around story deh. Nah
turn-around story ini gak bisa cepet jg keliatan nyatanya. Dan ini bet
jg, kalo done bisa big-hit, kalo gak done cepet bisa nyedot capital.
Tp kalo iya done bisa untung gede, mgkn turn-around is on the way, cmn
hari gini kan gak gampang bersihin neraca. Give it a time to play,
seinget saya, saya pernah share revenue growth-margin expansion story
WIKA disini dan sampe skrg WIKA jg blon ngangkat (No Probs krn Q3
beneran earning jump, saya ga nyesel ambil), story asset-play MEDC jg
Saya share disini, itu jg blon bikin profit (No Probs jg buat saya,
47,A Ext,Senoro is well and ok dan belun jg 1 quarter berlalu) its a
game of patience anyway., and we all just sharing ideas here, aint
we?!

On 11/2/09, ruzli...@gmail.com  wrote:
> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
>
> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus ?
>
> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
>
> Thanks
> -Original Message-
> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26
> To: 
> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>
> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu kali yah,
> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas perusahaan pada
> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi performa
> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario dari situ.
> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu CDS rate
> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke level
> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia pada
> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg, politik en
> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian? Even 2-3
> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF matching Rf rate,
> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg repot justru
> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane, kemane coba?
> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat  AA- plg keren
> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg net cash
> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus ya paling
> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak bisa time
> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai barang under
> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita hit crisis
> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan level as if dia
> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
>
> On 11/2/09, conx_2003  wrote:
>> secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
>>
>> karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
>>
>> tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka masuk tanpa diketahui
>>
>> so be prepared..
>>
>> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>>
>>> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin situasi kurang enak. itu
>>> aja. thx.
>>>
>>> On 11/2/09, putera...@...  wrote:
>>> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
>>> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
>>> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
>>> >
>>> > -Original Message-
>>> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham" 
>>> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
>>> > To: 
>>> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
>>> >
>>> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di Indonesia naik, dan suku
>>> > bunga
>>> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
>>> >
>>> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an entry-point. i keep re-telling
>>> > this.
>>> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good Management = wicked
>>> > opportunity.
>>> >
>>> > I'm loading equities and selling my Government Bond.
>>> >
>>> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ben  wrote:
>>> >>
>>> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
>>> >>
>>> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL melihat adanya indikator
>>> >> investor
>>> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
>>> >>
>>> >> thx,
>>> >> beny
>>> >>
>>> >> --
>>> >> DISCLAIMER:
>>> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
>>> >> the
>>> >> reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>>> >> portfolio,
>>> >> unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>>> >>
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> DISCLAIMER:
>>> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the currency or accuracy of
>>> the reported data and/or the performance of the Investments in your
>>> portfolio, unless performance has exceeded your expectations."
>>>
>>
>>
>>
>
>
> --
> Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to
> the complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In
> fact, everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because
> we know that we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things
> must be learned only to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be
> corrected...The test of all knowledge is experiment. Experiment is
> the sole judge of scientific “truth”. - Richard Feynman
>
>
> 
>
> + +
> + + + + +
> Mohon sa

Re: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?

2009-11-02 Terurut Topik Cak Osop
hehehehe kok jadi panas itu pancingan aja biar kang ocoy muncul bro!
sebenarnya temen temen harus sadar bahwa yang diomongin kang ocoy tentang saham 
apappun itu adalah dari Valuasi saham (analisa fundamental) sedangkan anda 
trader (conx 2003) ya gak naymbung time frame beda.

salam 


Cak Osop


--- On Mon, 11/2/09, ruzli...@gmail.com  wrote:

> From: ruzli...@gmail.com 
> Subject: Mr T.O.M D.S Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> Date: Monday, November 2, 2009, 3:01 PM
> Earth calling Mr Tom DS
> 
> Just wan't to ask, did u have the same view like Mr Bagus
> ?
> 
> Note: Your SEJATI Call (BMTR) is not so SEJATI :)
> 
> Thanks
> -Original Message-
> From: Bagus Putra Perdana 
> Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2009 21:53:26 
> To: 
> Subject: Re: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going on here?
> 
> I did buy equities today. Situasinya beda ama 2008 dulu
> kali yah,
> ketidakpastian sudah jauh berkurang, profitabilitas
> perusahaan pada
> rate terburuk sudah bisa diukur (Q408-Q109) adalah indikasi
> performa
> paling jelek, tentu kita bisa buat pro-forma worst scenario
> dari situ.
> 1 lg, kita semua experience first hand pasca lehman waktu
> CDS rate
> Indonesia sampe dobel digit en Yield Rf (SUN) sampe bisa ke
> level
> 17-18 % (we bought a lot Rf didnt we?). Nah CDS indonesia
> pada
> historical terbaiknya, Rf skrg susah balik diatas 11 % lg,
> politik en
> ekonomi stabil. So why do i bother merah or ijo harian?
> Even 2-3
> harian. As long as i bought stocks that yielding FCF
> matching Rf rate,
> i dont mind being taken down to a deeper gulfing wave, yg
> repot justru
> kalo duit inflow balik en saya bingung naro kas kemane,
> kemane coba?
> Deposito cuman segitu, SUN segitu, Obligasi Korporat 
> AA- plg keren
> 12.25% skrg, eh ada lewat saham yg FCF yieldnya 10-11%, yg
> net cash
> per sharenya 4-5%, yg manajemennya punya track record bagus
> ya paling
> turun lg ampe brapa sih?! Masuk lah. Terus terang saya gak
> bisa time
> market. Definitely cant, but atleast saya bisa ukur nilai
> barang under
> different business & economic scenario. Likelihood kita
> hit crisis
> udah kecil bgt, kalo equity dipukul sampe mencerminkan
> level as if dia
> kena krisis, would i add or sell my equities?
> 
> On 11/2/09, conx_2003 
> wrote:
> > secara TAL tiap kang ocoy buy, pasti merah dalam
> >
> > karena kang ocoy mana mau beli di harga mahal?
> >
> > tentu mereka ada segala cara untuk membuat mereka
> masuk tanpa diketahui
> >
> > so be prepared..
> >
> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com,
> Ben  wrote:
> >>
> >> make sense. cuman kabar CIT 23 jam lalu bikin
> situasi kurang enak. itu
> >> aja. thx.
> >>
> >> On 11/2/09, putera...@... 
> wrote:
> >> > Wui. Penjelasan yg sangat logis
> >> > Sent from my BlackBerry®
> >> > powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
> >> >
> >> > -Original Message-
> >> > From: "kang_ocoy_maen_saham"
> 
> >> > Date: Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:25:28
> >> > To: 
> >> > Subject: [ob] Re: kang ocoy, EL, what's going
> on here?
> >> >
> >> > Why Should? kecuali Premium Risk Investasi di
> Indonesia naik, dan suku
> >> > bunga
> >> > acuan BI naik, dan Yield SUN naik.
> >> >
> >> > otherwise No, Big No, every Dip is an
> entry-point. i keep re-telling
> >> > this.
> >> > FCF Yield above Rf, Clean Balance Sheet, Good
> Management = wicked
> >> > opportunity.
> >> >
> >> > I'm loading equities and selling my
> Government Bond.
> >> >
> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com,
> Ben  wrote:
> >> >>
> >> >> punten kang ocoy n EL,
> >> >>
> >> >> secara fundamental apa kang ocoy n EL
> melihat adanya indikator investor
> >> >> lokal harus revisi target ASAP?
> >> >>
> >> >> thx,
> >> >> beny
> >> >>
> >> >> --
> >> >> DISCLAIMER:
> >> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for
> the currency or accuracy of
> >> >> the
> >> >> reported data and/or the performance of
> the Investments in your
> >> >> portfolio,
> >> >> unless performance has exceeded your
> expectations."
> >> >>
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >
> >> >
> >>
> >>
> >> --
> >> DISCLAIMER:
> >> "I hereby disclaim any responsibility for the
> currency or accuracy of
> >> the reported data and/or the performance of the
> Investments in your
> >> portfolio, unless performance has exceeded your
> expectations."
> >>
> >
> >
> >
> 
> 
> -- 
> Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an
> approximation to
> the complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know
> it. In
> fact, everything we know is only some kind of
> approximation, because
> we know that we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore,
> things
> must be learned only to be unlearned again or, more likely,
> to be
> corrected...The test of all knowledge is experiment.
> Experiment is
> the sole judge of scientific “truth”. - Richard
> Feynman
> 
> 
> 
> 
> + +
> + + + + +
> Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
> 
> kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
> + + +