[PEN-L:8266]

1997-01-16 Thread PHILLPS

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OMDear Pen-lers,

As many of you know, there is in preparation the Encyclopaedia of
Political Economy (EPE) under the general editorship of Phil Ohara
at Curtin University in Perth Australia which involves quite a
 number on this list and also PKT.  This major volume is to be
published by Routledge.

Unfortunately, (for various reasons) there are still a number of entries
 that do not have authors and as the publishing deadline is fast approaching,
 Phil is seeking writers and asked me to post the list of items wanting
 authors to this list.  Now, from the discussion on this list, I know there
 are experts here that could write these entries in an evening, or who
 know who can.  I appeal to them to e-mail Phil at
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] and offer your expertise.

Paul Phillips


51. Entries in Need of Writers (as of 16 Jan 97)

53.
54. Business Cycles: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
55.
56. Work, labor and Production: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
57. Unions [1400 words]
58.
59. Increasing Returns to Scale [1500 words]
60. Verdoorn's Law [1200 words]
61. Okun's Law [1200 words]
62. Capital Reversing [1500 words]
63. Rate of Return Controversy [1000 words]
64.
65. Methodology: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
66. Methodology: History of in PE [1700 words]
PAUSE:
67. Foundationalism and Anti-Foundationalism in PE [1200]
68. International Network for Economic Methodology [400 words]
69.
70. Environmental  Ecological PE: History  Nature of [1700 words]
71. Environmental Accounting [1200 words]
72. Quality of Life [1
500 words]
73.
74. New Institutionalism [1400 words]
75. Social Control of Business [1200 words]
76. Centralised Private Sector Planning System [1400 words]
77.
78. Finance Capital [1000]
79. Financial Innovation [1500 words]
80. Crime [1500 words]
81. Justice [1400]
82. Rent Seeking and Vested Interests [1400 words]
83. Overhead Costs (J.M. Clark)[1200]
84. Conference of Socialist Economists [1000 words]
85.
86. Please do let me know if you
 are interested, or can suggest
87. possible writers. They would have to be written by mid-late
88. February at the latest.
89.
PAUSE:
90.
91.
92. =
93.
94. Phillip O'Hara, Department of Economics
95. Curtin University of Technology
96. GPO Box U1987, Perth. 6001 Australia
97. email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
98. Fax: +61-9-351-3026
99. Tel: +61-9-351-7761 (work - message machine)
   100.:   451-2618 (home)


--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu--






[PEN-L:8265] RE: Interest rates

1997-01-16 Thread Doug Henwood

At 6:05 PM 1/16/97, DICKENS, EDWIN (201)-408-3024 wrote:

 And to my mind the theory of interest
rate determination is crucial to filling in that lacunae.

OK, Tom - so what's the Dickens theory of interest rates?

Doug

--

Doug Henwood
Left Business Observer
250 W 85 St
New York NY 10024-3217 USA
+1-212-874-4020 voice  +1-212-874-3137 fax
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
web: http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html







[PEN-L:8261] Re: inflation deflation

1997-01-16 Thread bill mitchell

Lynn Turgeon writes: Passell also concludes that most people 
seem to win as a result of overall deflation just as most people 
seem to lose from overall inflation and therefore tend to go 
along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No wonder 
there is inertia among Japanese policy-makers when it comes to 
reversing deflation.

How can Passell say such things?? How can he talk about "most 
people"? Debtors win in (unanticipated) inflations and lose in 
(unanticipated) deflations. Creditors get the flip side, losing 
in (unant) inflations and winning in (unant) deflation. The 
Japanese deflationary hegemony seems to me to be similar to that 
of the 1920s (on a more global scale), partly due to the power of 
the creditors and partly a reaction to past inflation. 

Adding to Jim:


i am amazed that there hasn't been a consideration of the unemployment that
accompanies deflation and the strong employment growth that typically
accompanies inflation (though not always of-course).

the distributional changes that accompany unemployment (which is always
disproportionately borne by low wage groups anyway) are major. poverty doesn't
seem to stem from losing real income as your holdings of credit diminish with
inflation.

but it sure does correlate strongly with not having an income at all due to
unemployment.

give me inflation any time. all i have to do is to index the nominal economy. a
much easier option that what is confronted in the labour market when a
deflation is on.

kind regards
bill
--

 ##   William F. Mitchell
   ###    Head of Economics Department
 #University of Newcastle
      New South Wales, Australia
   ###*   E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   ###Phone: +61 49 215065
#  ## ###+61 49 215027
  Fax:   +61 49 216919  
  ##  http://econ-www.newcastle.edu.au/~bill/billyhp.html   





[PEN-L:8262] Re: Japan as a wave of our future

1997-01-16 Thread Anthony P D'Costa

This is interesting because I was always under the impression that state
intervention has been rather high in Japan.  Perhaps this intervention
does not show up as a budget deficit, but directing the economy to raise
aggregate demand has always been a Japanese feature.  This has been done
largely through industrial policy, in an environment of favorable macro
policies.  It could be argued that industrial policy could generate
longer term growth (intergenerational) than fiscal policy which is by
definition aimed to deal with the short term.  I am aware of course
that separating growth rates over the long haul from ind policy and
Keynesian policy may be difficult.

On a related note my discussion with Japanese academics and ministry
officials also gave me an impression that Keynesian ideas are quite
strong in the establishment.  Public spending, particularly in
infrastaructural development, has been common.  

Perhaps the change is a new twist, delighting the NYT which loves to see
the rest of the world emulate the US:).  

Anthony P. D'Costa
Associate Professor Senior Fellow
Comparative International Development   Department of Economics
University of WashingtonNational University of Singapore
1103 A Street   10 Kent Ridge Crescent
Tacoma, WA 98402 USASingapore 119260

On Thu, 16 Jan 1997 LYNN TURGEON, PROFESSOR EMERITUS OF ECONOMICS, HOFSTRA UNIVERSITY, 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]@anthrax.ecst.csuchico.edu wrote:

 Peter Passell's Economic Scene (NYT, p. D-2, January 16, 1997) correctly points
 out that deflationary expectations on the basis of Japanese price movements in
 recent years has produced high real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates despite
 low nominal rates today.
   Passell also concludes that most people seem to win as a result of
 overall deflation just as most people seem to lose from overall inflation and
 therefore tend to go along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No
 wonder there is inertia among Japanese policy-makers when it comes to reversing
 deflation.
   What the Japanese have forgotten is their Keynesian roots in the Great
 Depression. The Japanese finance minister before his assassination in 1936 was
 Korekiyo Takahashi, who was a practicing Keynesian before Hitler. His
 deficit-spending permitted the Japanese economy to grow during the Great
 Depression. Japan thus avoided the sharp deflation found in the Unit ed States
 and Germany until 1933.
   In their zeal to remove any taint of fascism in postwar Japan and
 Germany, the allied control authorities created a postwar bias against
 deficit-spending in both countries. The German bias disappeared after the first
 postwar German recession in 1966-67, but the Japanese bias has remained.
   Japanese recent pump-priming produced a short-term spurt in Japanese
 growth which has now ended.  We should be reminded of Franklin Roosevelt's
 disappointing experience with pump-priming in the 1930s and its general failure
 to generate significant growth until after Pearl Harbor.
   Japanese insistence on going through with their plans to raise both the
 income and sales taxes in April thus represents a continued failure of the
 Japanese to remember their Keynesian experience in the thirties.
 
 
 deflation.
 






[PEN-L:8260] Economists Oppose the Balanced Budget Amendment

1997-01-16 Thread Max B. Sawicky

Fellow Economists,

What follows are a cover letter, text of a petition, and list
of initial endorsements.  The petition urges the defeat of any
amendment to the U.S. Constitution requiring a balanced budget.
It was written by Professor Robert Eisner of Northwestern University
in consultation with Nobel Laureate Professors Robert M. Solow and
James Tobin.

If you would like to join the list of endorsers,
please send a note indicating agreement that includes your
signature, and the following printed information:  full name,
professional affiliation, and title.  For verification purposes,
we would also like voice phone number, e-mail address,
and mailing address.  The fax number is 202-331-5545.

If you prefer to use e-mail, the address is [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Who Should Sign?

Anyone who has done substantive professional work in the field
of economics and thus feels confident in being described as an
economist.  An advanced degree in economics per se is not
required.  No graduate students, please--your turn will come!
We welcome endorsements from those working in the field of
economics in trade unions, government, corporations, and
non-profit organizations, as well as academics.

Thank you for your interest and support.

Feel free to repost this message to relevant mailing lists and
newsgroups.  DO NOT send endorsements to the orginator
of this e-mail message.

The text of the cover letter follows:

January 2, 1997

Dear Colleague:

We believe that it is generally inappropriate to try to put specific
economic policy into the Constitution. We view  proposed balanced
budget amendments, in particular, as contrary to the best current
judgment of most economists. That is why we have drawn up the attached
statement and recruited others to join us.

May we urge you to add your names to the list of initial endorsers of
our statement, Economists Oppose Balanced Budget Amendment.

Please fax back the attached sheet with your signature and those
of your colleagues to 202-331-5545. The deadline for signatures
is January 24. We will accept signatures after the deadline, but
late names may not appear in the official announcement.

Robert Eisner   
Northwestern University

Robert M. Solow
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

James Tobin
Yale University


THE TEXT OF THE PETITION FOLLOWS:

We condemn the proposed balanced-budget amendment to the federal
Constitution.  It is unsound and unnecessary.

1.  The proposed amendment mandates perverse actions in the face
of recessions.  In economic downturns, tax revenues fall and some
outlays, such as unemployment benefits, rise. These so-called built-in
stabilizers limit declines of after-tax income and purchasing power.
To keep the budget balanced every year would aggravate recessions.

2.  Unlike many state constitutions, which permit borrowing to
finance capital expenditures, the proposed federal amendment
makes no distinction between capital investments and current
outlays. Private businesses and households borrow all the time
to finance capital spending. The amendment would prevent federal
borrowing to finance expenditures for infrastructure, education,
research and development, environmental protection, and other
investment vital to the nation's future well-being.

3.  The amendment invites Congress to require states and
localities and private businesses to do what it cannot finance
itself.  It also invites more cosmetic accounting, such as
increased sales of public lands and other assets counted as
deficit-reducing revenues. Disputes on the meaning of budget
balance could end up in the courts.

4.  The amendment does contain escape hatches, but they
require super-majorities in peacetime, three-fifths of the
whole number (including absentees and non-voters) of each
House to adopt an unbalanced budget or to raise the debt
and a majority of these whole numbers to pass a bill to
raise taxes. These provisions are recipes for gridlock
and opportunities for irresponsible minorities to insist
on their agendas.

5.  The amendment is not needed to balance the budget.
The measured deficit has fallen dramatically in recent
years, from $270 billion in 1992 to $107 billion in 1996,
to some 1.3 percent of gross domestic product, a smaller
proportion than that of any other major nation, none of
which hobbles its economy with a balanced-budget mandate.
Congress and the President can reduce the deficit to zero,
that is, balance the budget, or even create budget surpluses,
without a constitutional amendment. There is no need to put
the nation in an economic strait-jacket. Let the President
and Congress make fiscal policies in response to national
needs and priorities as the authors of our Constitution
wisely provided.

Initial Endorsers of Statement
Opposing Balanced Budget Amendment

Henry J. Aaron, Brookings Institution
Moses Abramovitz, Stanford University
Marcus Alexis, Northwestern University
Kenneth J. Arrow, Stanford University
William Baumol, New York University
Barbara R. 

[PEN-L:8259] FBI Racism

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Cherry

I am writing an article in which I could use some reference material 
concerning the racist employment practices of the FBI during the 1980s.  Any 
help would be appreciated.

Robert Cherry





[PEN-L:8258] inflation deflation

1997-01-16 Thread JDevine

Lynn Turgeon writes: Passell also concludes that most people 
seem to win as a result of overall deflation just as most people 
seem to lose from overall inflation and therefore tend to go 
along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No wonder 
there is inertia among Japanese policy-makers when it comes to 
reversing deflation.

How can Passell say such things?? How can he talk about "most 
people"? Debtors win in (unanticipated) inflations and lose in 
(unanticipated) deflations. Creditors get the flip side, losing 
in (unant) inflations and winning in (unant) deflation. The 
Japanese deflationary hegemony seems to me to be similar to that 
of the 1920s (on a more global scale), partly due to the power of 
the creditors and partly a reaction to past inflation. 

BTW, the Economic Policy Institute's home page 
(http://epn.org/epi/) has a feature called "Reading Between the 
Lines" where they comment on current journalistic economics in 
the semi-official NY TIMES and Washington POST (such as Passell's 
columns).  Sometimes the EPI's views seem infected by the 
influence of the Marquis de Sawicky ;-), but it's good to see a 
different slant that that of the establishment consensus. 
(NB: Doug Henwood has his own home page, which I'll let him tell 
you about.)

in pen-l solidarity,

Jim Devine   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Econ. Dept., Loyola Marymount Univ.
7900 Loyola Blvd., Los Angeles, CA 90045-8410 USA
310/338-2948 (daytime, during workweek); FAX: 310/338-1950
"It takes a busload of faith to get by." -- Lou Reed.









[PEN-L:8257] Re: The Wrecking Activity Of Imperialism And All

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Malecki

Shawgi writes;
See previous and future posts.  Check PEN-L archives.  If you like I can 
forward you some material on the necessity for an authentic working class 
party, what its character should be, etc.

At any rate, yes, the advanced elements of the working class must point 
the way forward.  An authentic Communist party must be miltant, 
enthusiastic, a stranger to frustration, etc.  Above all, an authentic 
Communist party must ideologize, politicize and organize the broad masses 
of the people.  A genuine Communist party must bring the people to power, 
the exact opposite aim of bourgeois parties, which seek only to come to 
power themselves.  The vanguard of the working class and working people must 
create the subjective conditions for revolution, especially at this time 
when revolution is in retreat and the objective conditions are screaming for
deep-going social, as well as political, transformation.

In order for the transition from capitalism to Communism to take place
successfully, the proletariat must at once expand democracy and suppress all 
enemies of the people, the exploiters of yesterdaty.  This is why, for 
example, the standing army must be dissolved and replaced by a peoples' army, 
by the self-acting armed organization of the population.

Socialism is an extremely unique and special tranistory historical 
period.  The resistance of the capitalists will still exist under 
socialism, as may commodity production depending on the ratio of class 
forces.  Further, all "bourgeois rights" do not disappear under socialism.  
But, the exploitation of persons by persons will end (has ended) under 
socialism.  Only Communism renders the State, the organ of suppression, 
absolutely unneccesary.  Only under Communism will antagonisms between 
large sections of the population cease to exist.  Under socialism the 
working class and people will enthusiastically suppress all that is Old 
and give rise to the New.

Talking to Soviet Workers.

The Soviet workers have suffered a terrible defeat of a
world-historical significance.  First, they had given away political power
to the bureaucracy, had lost the Soviets as the instrument of proletarian
dictatorship and ceased to exit politically as class.  Then they had given
away plants and factories--all the means of production and the riches of
the country created by them.
You were told: Think only about your work, leave politics to us,
rely on us; we know the road, we see farther.  With us, you'll reach
communism without upheavals, evolutionary, gradually as down the Volga
river.  This is what the ruling caste used to tell workers and 
peasants, while behind their backs it made deals  with the
dealers of shadow economy, with the world bourgeoisie, with the
petty-bourgeois professional class.  It had colluded with them until the
day came when they together struck the working class in the back and
unleashed the open class warfare against it.  Like a werewolf, they have
shown you their true image: the cynical snout of the bourgeois philistine!
How easily, how scornfully they have done with you!  But he laughs best
who laughs last.  Now it is your turn, now you have to make a move.
Proletarian revolutions ruthlessly criticize themselves, learn
from their victories, and most of all from their defeats.  What is themain 
lesson of your terrible defeat?  Winning power is not enough.  One
must be able to hold it. Freedom and dignity cannot be preserved simply by
the right of inheritance. They must be defended again and again.  Until
the power of Labor triumphs globally, until the International becomes the
master of the planet and class society disappears into the past forever,
until then--every generation of workers will have to confirm its right for
dictatorship again and again. Neither God, nor Tsar, neither Hero nor the
Party will accomplish for the workers what only they themselves can
accomplish.  Only the working class itself can become its own liberator.
And it can do so only by having recognized its historical mission
and united on its basis. What then prevents the class organization of 
Russian workers at present? There is a number of objective problems.  Yet
the main one is subjective.  It is the widespread illusion that such
organization, such unity can be achieved through the top, i.e. by the
existing upper-level political organizations and institutions: parties,
unions, and parliaments in which you cannot find a single worker.
In other words, it is the illusion that some "good uncles" over there will do
what only the working class itself can.  Yet all these organizations, all
these "good uncles" are creatures of the past and carry over from it the
thinking, psychology, methods, and above all, the
interests of the bureaucracy, the sworn enemy of workers.  That is why the
political vanguard of the Russian working class must be created from
within. The class must concentrate, gather itself together, gain
confidence in its own 

[PEN-L:8256] Re: Without Modern Communism The Workers And People

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Malecki


 Shawgi writes;


This does not speak to the point.

and


This does not speak to the point either.

and

This, too, does not speak to the point.  

The Ticking Bomb!


In a large sal with every seat filled, a Social Democratc Representative 
of parliment met with the unemployed in this Commune in northern Sweden. 
The meeting, and atomsphere of rage and indignation by the very heart of 
the Social Democratic base in the workers movement against its own leaders...

A broad range of young and old, women and men, the grey mass of now over 
1 million (!) people in a population of 8 and a half million who for years 
have supported the Social Democrats are now beginning to move.

Immediately after the parlimentry member made her presentation defending 
the present policies of the Social Democratic government, the fireworks 
started. In a statement made by the author of this article who said that 
the present policies of the Social Democratic goverment are directed 
against the workers movement, and against the trade unions and are 
policies, that they have worked out together with the bosses has put 
the Social Democratc leadership on the other side of the barricades 
with their guns pointed at the head of the working class. There policies 
of attacking the trade union laws of "first in last out", there cuts in 
unemployment, everything they have done is in principle a direct 
declaration of war againt the workers movement.

Against this policy we purpose a 6 hour working day, a mobilisation of 
the working class to combat unemployment. We purpose that trade union 
candidates  be purposed in the coming elections on a program to stop the 
dismantling of the welfare state. We purpose a broad educational program 
to combat the passivity of sitting home on the dole. And these purposals 
are in direct contradiction to the present policies of the Social 
Democratic government. Only a government with these goals in mind 
will do.

This barrage against the leadership was met by stormy applause in the whole 
room!

Speaker after speaker attacked the leadership for selling out the workers 
movement. For selling out the youth. For throwing women out on unemployment. 
For cutting health care. For cutting in the schools. Speaker after speaker 
in a growing sense of rage attacking the people that they have voted for 
for years!

The Social Democratic leadership tried to counter with that she understood 
all of this ,but that we have to understand that the Social Democrats 
inherited the situation from the previous government.

Speaker after speaker stood up and said it is you who are passing the 
anti-worker and anti-trade union legislation with your partners in the 
bougeois Center Party. (A party which represents the farmers in Sweden and 
who have made billions off the entry into the common market through common 
market subventions to farmers in Europe).

The gap between the Social Democratic top and its working class base as 
never been as large as it is today. Although the conciousness of these 
social democratic workers is on the level of seeing all of the reforms 
being wripped down around them and a million people out of a job. This 
conciousness is economic thinking at this point. There anger is directed 
at the party which they have voted for for years, as being responsible. 
And rightly so!

Although these workers do not understand at present that the leadership 
of there party has deserted them. They do understand what mass unemployment 
and the cuts mean in everyday life for themselves and there families.

These workers do not understand that their leaders have joined the German 
push for a monetary union and a united imperialist bougeoisie led by the 
Germans in europe is the goal. They do not realise that the Social 
Democratic leadership of professional bureaucrats and people who came 
straight out of a college somewhere have taken over the reins of 
leadership. That this leadership in a few short years has taken Sweden 
to the brink of a gigantic disaster of poverty and unemployment.

But they do know that something has gone wrong. Very seriously wrong 
with the politics and the leadership they have voted for. What we have 
here is a broad mass of anger and frustration against the treacherous 
leaders of Social Democray that has betrayed them. They demand answers 
and a new political line which favors the working class. 

For the first time in years militants who before would be laughed at are 
being applauded and clapped on the back. Statements of we should march 
on Stockholm and throw the whole bunch of them out and other wise 
remarks were very common at this meeting.

The Social Democratic leadership no longer has a monopoly on the workers 
movement. Workers are moving to the left as the situation everyday worsens 
for them and the party leadership is moving to the right. The trade union 
leadership feeling the pressure is somewhere in the middle. Afraid to 
slap 

[PEN-L:8259] FBI Racism

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Cherry

I am writing an article in which I could use some reference material 
concerning the racist employment practices of the FBI during the 1980s.  Any 
help would be appreciated.

Robert Cherry




[PEN-L:8263] RE: Interest rates

1997-01-16 Thread DICKENS, EDWIN (201)-408-3024

Trevor Evans believes that Marx's theory of the interest rate is
more or less "complete."  As an example of what this means, Trevor
points to Marx's rejection of a natural rate of interest.  Trevor
then speculates that Marx might have a loanable funds type theory
of interest rate determination that would support a crowding
out argument.  Trevor, crowding out implies a natural rate theory
of interest rate determination in the sense that it assumes that
the level of the interest rate is determined in the long run by
real factors alone--the essence of natural rate doctrine.  So
much for completeness.

Trevor suggests that I reduce Marx's theory to a question of the
relative strengths of industrial and financial capital.  Someone
called attention to Van der Pijl's excellent work in this area.
I would be most interested in how they think Van der Pijl's work
applies to interest rate determination.  But I don't think Marx
argued that the relative strengths of financial and industrial
capital would determine the interest rate.  It is hardly profound
to point out that people who lend money want a high interest rate
while people who borrow money want a low interst rate.  To reduce
Marx's theorizing to such nostrums is embarrassing.

I argued that Marx had intuitions about the determinants of the 
interest rate that did not pane out when he applied his dialectical
method to them.  Rather than trying to construct a complete theory 
from the shards of Marx's tentative efforts, which is the dominant
tendency in the extant literature, we are better served by examining
why Marx broke off his analyses at the points where he did, what new
points of departure he tried, where his results were taking him, and
why research in this area kept dropping further and further down Marx's
list of priorities.  My point still stands whether or not one interprets
Marx's book on the state as the capstone of his economic writings.  But
insofar as I'm concerned, the lack of well-developed links between
his economic writings and his political writings is the fundamental
lacunae in Marx's oeuvre.  And to my mind the theory of interest
rate determination is crucial to filling in that lacunae.

Edwin Dickens







[PEN-L:8256] Re: Without Modern Communism The Workers And People

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Malecki


 Shawgi writes;


This does not speak to the point.

and


This does not speak to the point either.

and

This, too, does not speak to the point.  

The Ticking Bomb!


In a large sal with every seat filled, a Social Democratc Representative 
of parliment met with the unemployed in this Commune in northern Sweden. 
The meeting, and atomsphere of rage and indignation by the very heart of 
the Social Democratic base in the workers movement against its own leaders...

A broad range of young and old, women and men, the grey mass of now over 
1 million (!) people in a population of 8 and a half million who for years 
have supported the Social Democrats are now beginning to move.

Immediately after the parlimentry member made her presentation defending 
the present policies of the Social Democratic government, the fireworks 
started. In a statement made by the author of this article who said that 
the present policies of the Social Democratic goverment are directed 
against the workers movement, and against the trade unions and are 
policies, that they have worked out together with the bosses has put 
the Social Democratc leadership on the other side of the barricades 
with their guns pointed at the head of the working class. There policies 
of attacking the trade union laws of "first in last out", there cuts in 
unemployment, everything they have done is in principle a direct 
declaration of war againt the workers movement.

Against this policy we purpose a 6 hour working day, a mobilisation of 
the working class to combat unemployment. We purpose that trade union 
candidates  be purposed in the coming elections on a program to stop the 
dismantling of the welfare state. We purpose a broad educational program 
to combat the passivity of sitting home on the dole. And these purposals 
are in direct contradiction to the present policies of the Social 
Democratic government. Only a government with these goals in mind 
will do.

This barrage against the leadership was met by stormy applause in the whole 
room!

Speaker after speaker attacked the leadership for selling out the workers 
movement. For selling out the youth. For throwing women out on unemployment. 
For cutting health care. For cutting in the schools. Speaker after speaker 
in a growing sense of rage attacking the people that they have voted for 
for years!

The Social Democratic leadership tried to counter with that she understood 
all of this ,but that we have to understand that the Social Democrats 
inherited the situation from the previous government.

Speaker after speaker stood up and said it is you who are passing the 
anti-worker and anti-trade union legislation with your partners in the 
bougeois Center Party. (A party which represents the farmers in Sweden and 
who have made billions off the entry into the common market through common 
market subventions to farmers in Europe).

The gap between the Social Democratic top and its working class base as 
never been as large as it is today. Although the conciousness of these 
social democratic workers is on the level of seeing all of the reforms 
being wripped down around them and a million people out of a job. This 
conciousness is economic thinking at this point. There anger is directed 
at the party which they have voted for for years, as being responsible. 
And rightly so!

Although these workers do not understand at present that the leadership 
of there party has deserted them. They do understand what mass unemployment 
and the cuts mean in everyday life for themselves and there families.

These workers do not understand that their leaders have joined the German 
push for a monetary union and a united imperialist bougeoisie led by the 
Germans in europe is the goal. They do not realise that the Social 
Democratic leadership of professional bureaucrats and people who came 
straight out of a college somewhere have taken over the reins of 
leadership. That this leadership in a few short years has taken Sweden 
to the brink of a gigantic disaster of poverty and unemployment.

But they do know that something has gone wrong. Very seriously wrong 
with the politics and the leadership they have voted for. What we have 
here is a broad mass of anger and frustration against the treacherous 
leaders of Social Democray that has betrayed them. They demand answers 
and a new political line which favors the working class. 

For the first time in years militants who before would be laughed at are 
being applauded and clapped on the back. Statements of we should march 
on Stockholm and throw the whole bunch of them out and other wise 
remarks were very common at this meeting.

The Social Democratic leadership no longer has a monopoly on the workers 
movement. Workers are moving to the left as the situation everyday worsens 
for them and the party leadership is moving to the right. The trade union 
leadership feeling the pressure is somewhere in the middle. Afraid to 
slap 

[PEN-L:8266]

1997-01-16 Thread PHILLPS

([EMAIL PROTECTED] [132.241.3.10]) by
for [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 20:48:16 -0600 (CST)
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From: Mail Delivery Subsystem [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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from hircismus.net.CSUChico.EDU [204.119.194.10]

   - The following addresses had permanent fatal errors -
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(expanded from: [EMAIL PROTECTED])

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From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
([EMAIL PROTECTED] [130.179.16.47]) by
for [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Thu, 16 Jan 1997 20:48:00 -0600 (
Date:Thu, 16 Jan 97 20:01 CST
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

OMDear Pen-lers,

As many of you know, there is in preparation the Encyclopaedia of
Political Economy (EPE) under the general editorship of Phil Ohara
at Curtin University in Perth Australia which involves quite a
 number on this list and also PKT.  This major volume is to be
published by Routledge.

Unfortunately, (for various reasons) there are still a number of entries
 that do not have authors and as the publishing deadline is fast approaching,
 Phil is seeking writers and asked me to post the list of items wanting
 authors to this list.  Now, from the discussion on this list, I know there
 are experts here that could write these entries in an evening, or who
 know who can.  I appeal to them to e-mail Phil at
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] and offer your expertise.

Paul Phillips


51. Entries in Need of Writers (as of 16 Jan 97)

53.
54. Business Cycles: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
55.
56. Work, labor and Production: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
57. Unions [1400 words]
58.
59. Increasing Returns to Scale [1500 words]
60. Verdoorn's Law [1200 words]
61. Okun's Law [1200 words]
62. Capital Reversing [1500 words]
63. Rate of Return Controversy [1000 words]
64.
65. Methodology: Major Contemporary Themes [2000 words]
66. Methodology: History of in PE [1700 words]
PAUSE:
67. Foundationalism and Anti-Foundationalism in PE [1200]
68. International Network for Economic Methodology [400 words]
69.
70. Environmental  Ecological PE: History  Nature of [1700 words]
71. Environmental Accounting [1200 words]
72. Quality of Life [1
500 words]
73.
74. New Institutionalism [1400 words]
75. Social Control of Business [1200 words]
76. Centralised Private Sector Planning System [1400 words]
77.
78. Finance Capital [1000]
79. Financial Innovation [1500 words]
80. Crime [1500 words]
81. Justice [1400]
82. Rent Seeking and Vested Interests [1400 words]
83. Overhead Costs (J.M. Clark)[1200]
84. Conference of Socialist Economists [1000 words]
85.
86. Please do let me know if you
 are interested, or can suggest
87. possible writers. They would have to be written by mid-late
88. February at the latest.
89.
PAUSE:
90.
91.
92. =
93.
94. Phillip O'Hara, Department of Economics
95. Curtin University of Technology
96. GPO Box U1987, Perth. 6001 Australia
97. email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
98. Fax: +61-9-351-3026
99. Tel: +61-9-351-7761 (work - message machine)
   100.:   451-2618 (home)


--SAA03881.853469290/pitbull.ecst.csuchico.edu--





[PEN-L:8257] Re: The Wrecking Activity Of Imperialism And All

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Malecki

Shawgi writes;
See previous and future posts.  Check PEN-L archives.  If you like I can 
forward you some material on the necessity for an authentic working class 
party, what its character should be, etc.

At any rate, yes, the advanced elements of the working class must point 
the way forward.  An authentic Communist party must be miltant, 
enthusiastic, a stranger to frustration, etc.  Above all, an authentic 
Communist party must ideologize, politicize and organize the broad masses 
of the people.  A genuine Communist party must bring the people to power, 
the exact opposite aim of bourgeois parties, which seek only to come to 
power themselves.  The vanguard of the working class and working people must 
create the subjective conditions for revolution, especially at this time 
when revolution is in retreat and the objective conditions are screaming for
deep-going social, as well as political, transformation.

In order for the transition from capitalism to Communism to take place
successfully, the proletariat must at once expand democracy and suppress all 
enemies of the people, the exploiters of yesterdaty.  This is why, for 
example, the standing army must be dissolved and replaced by a peoples' army, 
by the self-acting armed organization of the population.

Socialism is an extremely unique and special tranistory historical 
period.  The resistance of the capitalists will still exist under 
socialism, as may commodity production depending on the ratio of class 
forces.  Further, all "bourgeois rights" do not disappear under socialism.  
But, the exploitation of persons by persons will end (has ended) under 
socialism.  Only Communism renders the State, the organ of suppression, 
absolutely unneccesary.  Only under Communism will antagonisms between 
large sections of the population cease to exist.  Under socialism the 
working class and people will enthusiastically suppress all that is Old 
and give rise to the New.

Talking to Soviet Workers.

The Soviet workers have suffered a terrible defeat of a
world-historical significance.  First, they had given away political power
to the bureaucracy, had lost the Soviets as the instrument of proletarian
dictatorship and ceased to exit politically as class.  Then they had given
away plants and factories--all the means of production and the riches of
the country created by them.
You were told: Think only about your work, leave politics to us,
rely on us; we know the road, we see farther.  With us, you'll reach
communism without upheavals, evolutionary, gradually as down the Volga
river.  This is what the ruling caste used to tell workers and 
peasants, while behind their backs it made deals  with the
dealers of shadow economy, with the world bourgeoisie, with the
petty-bourgeois professional class.  It had colluded with them until the
day came when they together struck the working class in the back and
unleashed the open class warfare against it.  Like a werewolf, they have
shown you their true image: the cynical snout of the bourgeois philistine!
How easily, how scornfully they have done with you!  But he laughs best
who laughs last.  Now it is your turn, now you have to make a move.
Proletarian revolutions ruthlessly criticize themselves, learn
from their victories, and most of all from their defeats.  What is themain 
lesson of your terrible defeat?  Winning power is not enough.  One
must be able to hold it. Freedom and dignity cannot be preserved simply by
the right of inheritance. They must be defended again and again.  Until
the power of Labor triumphs globally, until the International becomes the
master of the planet and class society disappears into the past forever,
until then--every generation of workers will have to confirm its right for
dictatorship again and again. Neither God, nor Tsar, neither Hero nor the
Party will accomplish for the workers what only they themselves can
accomplish.  Only the working class itself can become its own liberator.
And it can do so only by having recognized its historical mission
and united on its basis. What then prevents the class organization of 
Russian workers at present? There is a number of objective problems.  Yet
the main one is subjective.  It is the widespread illusion that such
organization, such unity can be achieved through the top, i.e. by the
existing upper-level political organizations and institutions: parties,
unions, and parliaments in which you cannot find a single worker.
In other words, it is the illusion that some "good uncles" over there will do
what only the working class itself can.  Yet all these organizations, all
these "good uncles" are creatures of the past and carry over from it the
thinking, psychology, methods, and above all, the
interests of the bureaucracy, the sworn enemy of workers.  That is why the
political vanguard of the Russian working class must be created from
within. The class must concentrate, gather itself together, gain
confidence in its own 

[PEN-L:8258] inflation deflation

1997-01-16 Thread JDevine

Lynn Turgeon writes: Passell also concludes that most people 
seem to win as a result of overall deflation just as most people 
seem to lose from overall inflation and therefore tend to go 
along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No wonder 
there is inertia among Japanese policy-makers when it comes to 
reversing deflation.

How can Passell say such things?? How can he talk about "most 
people"? Debtors win in (unanticipated) inflations and lose in 
(unanticipated) deflations. Creditors get the flip side, losing 
in (unant) inflations and winning in (unant) deflation. The 
Japanese deflationary hegemony seems to me to be similar to that 
of the 1920s (on a more global scale), partly due to the power of 
the creditors and partly a reaction to past inflation. 

BTW, the Economic Policy Institute's home page 
(http://epn.org/epi/) has a feature called "Reading Between the 
Lines" where they comment on current journalistic economics in 
the semi-official NY TIMES and Washington POST (such as Passell's 
columns).  Sometimes the EPI's views seem infected by the 
influence of the Marquis de Sawicky ;-), but it's good to see a 
different slant that that of the establishment consensus. 
(NB: Doug Henwood has his own home page, which I'll let him tell 
you about.)

in pen-l solidarity,

Jim Devine   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Econ. Dept., Loyola Marymount Univ.
7900 Loyola Blvd., Los Angeles, CA 90045-8410 USA
310/338-2948 (daytime, during workweek); FAX: 310/338-1950
"It takes a busload of faith to get by." -- Lou Reed.








[PEN-L:8255] Re: Euphoria Is One Of The Main Features Of The Wrecking Which Is The

1997-01-16 Thread Robert Malecki

Shawgi writes!
Some communist parties and organizations at this time are behaving
as if the counter-revolution, the present period of retreat of
revolution is actually a golden opportunity for them to make a
headway. How can this be the case?

Turmoil in the Swedish CP! (Euro-Communist)

Something is going on in the former Swedish Communist Party.(Euro-Communist)

In my articles on the Swedish CP recently i said that they were making a 
turn to the right in changing their name and program to include feminism and 
the envionmental activists in the Greens in their future plans. But also to 
become the reformist Social democracy that the Social Democrats once were 
during the late 60ties and early 70ties. As the Social Democrats leap into 
the arms of the bougeois parties.

The CP party leadership (based in Stockholm) and the south of Sweden are 
trying not unlike the Mandelite USec to build a broad "left" current based 
on the politics of the new left and the traditionalists and back to the good 
old days of Social Democracy.

However a "left" opposition is developing up here in the north of Sweden. 
The north of Sweden has historically always been both the proletarian and 
red belt of both the Social democracy and the Swedish CP.

As the militant voices of protests from the workers up here in the north 
begin to grow louder and louder especially among the mine workers and 
building trades the pressure on the CP cadre up here in the north is growing.

It is partially anti Stockholm and anti-southern Sweden feelings that run 
through the workers movement up here. Partially because all of the base 
industries are in the north (mines, electricity, papper and forestry 
industries) and all of the profits and decisions are down South in the 
capitol of Stockholm. On the other hand it is the proletarian bastions of 
both the Social Democracy and the Swedish CP that are being hit the hardest 
by the cuts in just about everything. And the workers are starting to not 
only grumble, but are getting very very angry!

Thus the Northern districts of the Swedish CP have come out in and open 
fight about the right turn of the Swedish CP against the central party 
bodies in the south. It is also centered around how many places in the 
governing party bodies that the representatives from the north recieved at 
the recent Congress. In fact 1 position on the central apparatus. While at 
the same time they represent both the historical proletarian base and 
natural left wing of the party. And in fact have some of the largest 
sections of the party in the country!

Now they say that they are preparing a program in opposition to the right 
wing politics of the CP leadership in Stockholm who are completely 
capitulating to the Social Democracy in order to gain bougeois 
respectability and cover their pro Stalinist past. Naturally this coming 
from the Euro Communists CP means that they want to sound a little more to 
the left because they are feeling the pressure of the proletarian rage that 
is growing up here.

As to how this will develop we will have to wait and see. The same process 
is takling place in the Social democracy up here.

Naturally a Trotskyist party of anyworth would intervene in this new and 
developing situation in order to win the best cadre to a vanguard party and 
program for revolution. Perhaps the possibility of a short term entry could 
arise or cooperation on a program of struggle against the cuts and 
unemployment. In fact a tactical electoral alliance could be possible under 
the conditions of being very clear that any such electoral program is not 
nearly enough to solve the crisis but

However at this point it is unclear as to how this all will evolve. 
Partially because their is no Trotskyist party in this country. We have two 
"trotskyist" groups of any size here. A Mandelite Usec group. And a militant 
group. Both are unfortunately completely incapable of seeing or doing 
anything other then perhaps building a rotten electoral block on a minumum 
program at best. Both of these groups have given up on the politics of 
Trotsky and the TP as being outdated. In fact they are just tailing the 
backwardness of the workers long dominated by Social Democratic and 
Stalinist politics.

Unless a Trotskyist cadre develops here who are prepared to fight around the 
politics of the LO and TP in the present turmoil on the left, a great 
opportunity if not the best since the Stalinists ursurped the October 
Revolution will be missed, thus
opening the door to a *real* revolutionary Trotskyist party here in Sweden 
or a whole new round of defeats for the workers movement.

Forward to a Trotskyist Party in Sweden.

Forward to the creation of Trotskyist Parties everywhere.

Towards a new and reforged Communist International.

Bob Malecki


Check Out My HomePage where you can,

Read the book! Ha 

[PEN-L:8262] Re: Japan as a wave of our future

1997-01-16 Thread Anthony P D'Costa

This is interesting because I was always under the impression that state
intervention has been rather high in Japan.  Perhaps this intervention
does not show up as a budget deficit, but directing the economy to raise
aggregate demand has always been a Japanese feature.  This has been done
largely through industrial policy, in an environment of favorable macro
policies.  It could be argued that industrial policy could generate
longer term growth (intergenerational) than fiscal policy which is by
definition aimed to deal with the short term.  I am aware of course
that separating growth rates over the long haul from ind policy and
Keynesian policy may be difficult.

On a related note my discussion with Japanese academics and ministry
officials also gave me an impression that Keynesian ideas are quite
strong in the establishment.  Public spending, particularly in
infrastaructural development, has been common.  

Perhaps the change is a new twist, delighting the NYT which loves to see
the rest of the world emulate the US:).  

Anthony P. D'Costa
Associate Professor Senior Fellow
Comparative International Development   Department of Economics
University of WashingtonNational University of Singapore
1103 A Street   10 Kent Ridge Crescent
Tacoma, WA 98402 USASingapore 119260

On Thu, 16 Jan 1997 LYNN TURGEON, PROFESSOR EMERITUS OF ECONOMICS, HOFSTRA UNIVERSITY, 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]@anthrax.ecst.csuchico.edu wrote:

 Peter Passell's Economic Scene (NYT, p. D-2, January 16, 1997) correctly points
 out that deflationary expectations on the basis of Japanese price movements in
 recent years has produced high real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates despite
 low nominal rates today.
   Passell also concludes that most people seem to win as a result of
 overall deflation just as most people seem to lose from overall inflation and
 therefore tend to go along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No
 wonder there is inertia among Japanese policy-makers when it comes to reversing
 deflation.
   What the Japanese have forgotten is their Keynesian roots in the Great
 Depression. The Japanese finance minister before his assassination in 1936 was
 Korekiyo Takahashi, who was a practicing Keynesian before Hitler. His
 deficit-spending permitted the Japanese economy to grow during the Great
 Depression. Japan thus avoided the sharp deflation found in the Unit ed States
 and Germany until 1933.
   In their zeal to remove any taint of fascism in postwar Japan and
 Germany, the allied control authorities created a postwar bias against
 deficit-spending in both countries. The German bias disappeared after the first
 postwar German recession in 1966-67, but the Japanese bias has remained.
   Japanese recent pump-priming produced a short-term spurt in Japanese
 growth which has now ended.  We should be reminded of Franklin Roosevelt's
 disappointing experience with pump-priming in the 1930s and its general failure
 to generate significant growth until after Pearl Harbor.
   Japanese insistence on going through with their plans to raise both the
 income and sales taxes in April thus represents a continued failure of the
 Japanese to remember their Keynesian experience in the thirties.
 
 
 deflation.
 





[PEN-L:8260] Economists Oppose the Balanced Budget Amendment

1997-01-16 Thread Max B. Sawicky

Fellow Economists,

What follows are a cover letter, text of a petition, and list
of initial endorsements.  The petition urges the defeat of any
amendment to the U.S. Constitution requiring a balanced budget.
It was written by Professor Robert Eisner of Northwestern University
in consultation with Nobel Laureate Professors Robert M. Solow and
James Tobin.

If you would like to join the list of endorsers,
please send a note indicating agreement that includes your
signature, and the following printed information:  full name,
professional affiliation, and title.  For verification purposes,
we would also like voice phone number, e-mail address,
and mailing address.  The fax number is 202-331-5545.

If you prefer to use e-mail, the address is [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Who Should Sign?

Anyone who has done substantive professional work in the field
of economics and thus feels confident in being described as an
economist.  An advanced degree in economics per se is not
required.  No graduate students, please--your turn will come!
We welcome endorsements from those working in the field of
economics in trade unions, government, corporations, and
non-profit organizations, as well as academics.

Thank you for your interest and support.

Feel free to repost this message to relevant mailing lists and
newsgroups.  DO NOT send endorsements to the orginator
of this e-mail message.

The text of the cover letter follows:

January 2, 1997

Dear Colleague:

We believe that it is generally inappropriate to try to put specific
economic policy into the Constitution. We view  proposed balanced
budget amendments, in particular, as contrary to the best current
judgment of most economists. That is why we have drawn up the attached
statement and recruited others to join us.

May we urge you to add your names to the list of initial endorsers of
our statement, Economists Oppose Balanced Budget Amendment.

Please fax back the attached sheet with your signature and those
of your colleagues to 202-331-5545. The deadline for signatures
is January 24. We will accept signatures after the deadline, but
late names may not appear in the official announcement.

Robert Eisner   
Northwestern University

Robert M. Solow
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

James Tobin
Yale University


THE TEXT OF THE PETITION FOLLOWS:

We condemn the proposed balanced-budget amendment to the federal
Constitution.  It is unsound and unnecessary.

1.  The proposed amendment mandates perverse actions in the face
of recessions.  In economic downturns, tax revenues fall and some
outlays, such as unemployment benefits, rise. These so-called built-in
stabilizers limit declines of after-tax income and purchasing power.
To keep the budget balanced every year would aggravate recessions.

2.  Unlike many state constitutions, which permit borrowing to
finance capital expenditures, the proposed federal amendment
makes no distinction between capital investments and current
outlays. Private businesses and households borrow all the time
to finance capital spending. The amendment would prevent federal
borrowing to finance expenditures for infrastructure, education,
research and development, environmental protection, and other
investment vital to the nation's future well-being.

3.  The amendment invites Congress to require states and
localities and private businesses to do what it cannot finance
itself.  It also invites more cosmetic accounting, such as
increased sales of public lands and other assets counted as
deficit-reducing revenues. Disputes on the meaning of budget
balance could end up in the courts.

4.  The amendment does contain escape hatches, but they
require super-majorities in peacetime, three-fifths of the
whole number (including absentees and non-voters) of each
House to adopt an unbalanced budget or to raise the debt
and a majority of these whole numbers to pass a bill to
raise taxes. These provisions are recipes for gridlock
and opportunities for irresponsible minorities to insist
on their agendas.

5.  The amendment is not needed to balance the budget.
The measured deficit has fallen dramatically in recent
years, from $270 billion in 1992 to $107 billion in 1996,
to some 1.3 percent of gross domestic product, a smaller
proportion than that of any other major nation, none of
which hobbles its economy with a balanced-budget mandate.
Congress and the President can reduce the deficit to zero,
that is, balance the budget, or even create budget surpluses,
without a constitutional amendment. There is no need to put
the nation in an economic strait-jacket. Let the President
and Congress make fiscal policies in response to national
needs and priorities as the authors of our Constitution
wisely provided.

Initial Endorsers of Statement
Opposing Balanced Budget Amendment

Henry J. Aaron, Brookings Institution
Moses Abramovitz, Stanford University
Marcus Alexis, Northwestern University
Kenneth J. Arrow, Stanford University
William Baumol, New York University
Barbara R. 

[PEN-L:8264] BESI Conference

1997-01-16 Thread Helen Kantarelis


**
* BUSINESS  ECONOMICS SOCIETY INTERNATIONAL *
*  1997 CONFERENCE   *
**

  ATHENS / GREECE
July 18-22, 1997
  Hotel Grande Bretagne

  CALL FOR PARTICIPANTS
  (Deadline for Abstracts and Early Registration: March 20, 1997)

  The Business  Economics Society International invites you to
  participate in its 1997 Conference to be held in Athens, Greece,
  at the Hotel Grande Bretagne, July 18-22, 1997.

  The conference welcomes academics (business/economics professors and
  administrators), as well as corporation/government executives and economists.
  Participants may organize panels (please ask for the "Panel Organizer
  Guidelines"), present papers, participate in poster sessions, chair
  sessions, discuss papers, participate in round-table discussions, or
  simply observe.

  All papers will pass a blind peer review process for publication consideration
  in the book BUSINESS  ECONOMICS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY - VOLUME I.

  The program will consist of:
- small concurrent seminar-type sessions with: chairperson, presenters,
and at least one discussant assigned to comment on each paper;
- poster sessions;
- round-table thematic discussion sessions with moderator;
- workshops and panels;
- invited speakers.
  Time allocated for each session is one hour and 30 minutes.

  * To ORGANIZE PANELS please ask for "Panel Organizer Guidelines".
The fee for each participant in the panel, except the organizer,
is $250. The fee for the panel organizer is $100.

  * To participate as a PRESENTER please submit ABSTRACTS and/or PAPERS:

ABSTRACT/PAPER SUBMISSION AND REGISTRATION
 DEADLINE: MARCH 20, 1997.

 - Please, submit 3 copies of your abstract (of no more than 300 words)
   by MARCH 20, 1997;
 - You may submit abstracts for no more than 2 papers;
 - Abstracts/papers must not have been published, accepted, or submitted
   for publication elsewhere;
 - The categories that best fit your paper must be typed on the top right
   corner of the front page (see "Subject Categories" below);
 - For co-authorships please include names, affiliations, and addresses of
   all authors and indicate who will serve as presenter;
 - All abstracts submitted will be evaluated for presentation and
   publication in the Book of Abstracts which will be available at the
   Conference. If possible, please use Laser Printing, WordPerfect 7.0 for
   Windows or WordPerfect 3.5 for Macintosh and include a nonreturnable
   computer disk. [Font: Times, Size: 10, Style: Plain Text (no Italics
   or Bold), Margins: Bottom 1.25" (remaining 1"), Spacing:
   Triple after the title and before and after the authors' name (single
   for the abstract's body), Paragraphs: Indent five spaces];
 - The title of your abstract(s) or paper(s) is(are):
  __

  __

FINAL PAPER SUBMISSION DEADLINE: APRIL 20, 1997.

 - Please submit 4 copies of the paper(s) by April 20, 1997;
 - Manuscripts of more than 12 single-spaced pages of text will not be
   considered;
 - Papers must not have been published, accepted, or submitted for
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[PEN-L:8261] Re: inflation deflation

1997-01-16 Thread bill mitchell

Lynn Turgeon writes: Passell also concludes that most people 
seem to win as a result of overall deflation just as most people 
seem to lose from overall inflation and therefore tend to go 
along with fighting inflation as a national policy. No wonder 
there is inertia among Japanese policy-makers when it comes to 
reversing deflation.

How can Passell say such things?? How can he talk about "most 
people"? Debtors win in (unanticipated) inflations and lose in 
(unanticipated) deflations. Creditors get the flip side, losing 
in (unant) inflations and winning in (unant) deflation. The 
Japanese deflationary hegemony seems to me to be similar to that 
of the 1920s (on a more global scale), partly due to the power of 
the creditors and partly a reaction to past inflation. 

Adding to Jim:


i am amazed that there hasn't been a consideration of the unemployment that
accompanies deflation and the strong employment growth that typically
accompanies inflation (though not always of-course).

the distributional changes that accompany unemployment (which is always
disproportionately borne by low wage groups anyway) are major. poverty doesn't
seem to stem from losing real income as your holdings of credit diminish with
inflation.

but it sure does correlate strongly with not having an income at all due to
unemployment.

give me inflation any time. all i have to do is to index the nominal economy. a
much easier option that what is confronted in the labour market when a
deflation is on.

kind regards
bill
--

 ##   William F. Mitchell
   ###    Head of Economics Department
 #University of Newcastle
      New South Wales, Australia
   ###*   E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   ###Phone: +61 49 215065
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  Fax:   +61 49 216919  
  ##  http://econ-www.newcastle.edu.au/~bill/billyhp.html   




[PEN-L:8265] RE: Interest rates

1997-01-16 Thread Doug Henwood

At 6:05 PM 1/16/97, DICKENS, EDWIN (201)-408-3024 wrote:

 And to my mind the theory of interest
rate determination is crucial to filling in that lacunae.

OK, Tom - so what's the Dickens theory of interest rates?

Doug

--

Doug Henwood
Left Business Observer
250 W 85 St
New York NY 10024-3217 USA
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