ATT Launches Landmark China Telecoms Venture

2002-03-25 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Financial Express

March 23, 2002

ATT Launches Landmark China Telecoms Venture

Shanghai, March 22:  Telecoms titan ATT Corp launched China's first foreign
telecoms venture on Friday and gained a window into broadband Internet
services in the country, a nascent market that will take time to gather
steam.
After seven years of negotiations, ATT announced in December 2000 a
groundbreaking tie-up with China Telecom's Shanghai branch and the city
government.
The $25 million venture kicked off in east Shanghai on Friday and ATT said
it was a step towards its goal of providing lucrative data services to
corporations nationwide.
The US firm said it expects the green light to expand to Beijing, Guangzhou
and Shenzhen by end-2002, after China's accession to the World Trade
Organisation last year opened the sector to foreign investment.
We've kicked off an initiative with China Telecom to evaluate the four city
expansion case immediately, said Mr Geoffrey Webster, ATT's president of
international ventures.
We very much hope within a matter of months to receive the necessary
approvals from the Government ministry and sort out the right commercial
model with China Telecom, Mr Webster said. But ATT would have to apply for
approval in each individual city, a process that could take up much of the
rest of the year.
ATT holds 25 per cent in the Shanghai venture, which China has selected as
a test case to evaluate the impact of inviting foreign investment into the
insular telecoms sector.
The Shanghai branch of state giant China Telecom holds 60 per cent, while
the Shanghai Information Investment Inc -- a firm controlled by the city's
government -- holds the remaining stake. The venture will provide services
including Internet, virtual private networks and high-speed data
communications.
For ATT, the venture -- Shanghai Symphony Telecom --represents a key step
towards eventually offering services to its global clients in 17 Chinese
cities, a business potentially worth hundreds of millions of dollars,
executives said. But they noted that this was predicated on being able to
expand beyond Shanghai.
The impact is really in the hundreds of millions of dollars, said Mr John
Polumbo, president of enterprise marketing and international ventures
organisation. We intend to push for rapid expansion.
Symphony will give ATT's clients within China unprecedented connections to
other overseas operations via the US firm's own international bandwidth,
executives said. The firm won approval late last year to install connections
to its own global network.
ATT has said clients in China include US auto giant General Motors and
financial group Citibank. It has lined up a slew of multinational clients,
executives said.
They want services on a single platform. In this case that means an
IP-based platform. And they want a single point of contact to ensure
reliability, ATT's chairman and Chief executive officer Michael Armstrong
said at Symphony's launch.
China pledged to phase in foreign investment in the telecomservice sector
upon joining the World Trade Organisation. But industry executives remained
mindful that most past attempts to break into the cloistered sector have
failed.
In the mid-1990s foreign investors sunk $1.4 billion into more than 40
telecoms service ventures with state carrier China Unicom, but Beijing
declared them irregular in 1998 and forced them to unwind.
- Reuters

© 2002: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reserved
throughout the world.





the US in the 1990s -- good for workers?

2002-03-25 Thread Devine, James


I have just one major  one minor comment about what's left out of the
following:

Major: the soaring exchange rate of the dollar isn't mentioned at all. That
allowed real wages to soar after 1995 or so because it made imports much
cheaper. It also put pressure on export-competing employers, keeping them
from raising prices. (Having a similar effect was the relative stagnation of
economies outside the U.S.) Normally, a rising dollar would pull down
aggregate demand (as in the early 1980s), but the credit- and optimism-based
private sector boom more than counteracted that drag (along with the drag of
the rising federal government surplus). It also meant increasing external
debt. 

Minor: the rise of house ownership was also encouraged by lowering standards
in mortgage loaning (partly encouraged by Clinton-era policies). This makes
consumer spending more prone to a fall.

Of course, other pen-l comments are welcome.

---
 
APRIL 1, 2002/BusinessWeek  [ignore the publication date: the stuff
below isn't a joke.]

Restating the '90s 

By Michael Mandel. 

We now have enough perspective to look back at the last decade and assess
what was real--and what wasn't. Conjure up the economic gains of the 1990s,
and what comes to mind? Perhaps it was how the stock market ruled: All those
initial public offerings that raked in unprecedented billions for venture
capitalists. Or the dramatic rise in 401(k)s and mutual funds. Or the
growing ranks of the Investor Class who cashed in big-time as the Standard 
Poor's 500-stock index quadrupled.

And wasn't it a great time to be a top manager, with productivity gains
boosting the bottom line and igniting executive pay? While it was going on,
venture capitalist L. John Doerr called the boom the largest single legal
creation of wealth in history. For both investors and managers, it seemed
like nirvana.

Well, yes and no. With the recession apparently over, it's now possible to
make a more realistic assessment of the entire business cycle of the 1990s:
The sluggish recovery that started in March, 1991, the extraordinary boom,
the tech bust, and the downturn of 2001. And guess what? A lot of things
happened that defy the conventional beliefs about the decade.

For starters, over this 10-year period, productivity rose at a 2.2% annual
rate, roughly half a percentage point faster than in the 1980s--a
significant gain. But the real stunner is this: The biggest winners from the
faster productivity growth of the 1990s were workers, not investors. In the
end, workers reaped most of the gains from the added output generated by the
New Economy productivity speedup. This revelation helps explain why consumer
spending stayed so strong in the recession--and why businesses may struggle
in the months ahead.

The key is that wage growth accelerated dramatically for most American
workers in the 1990s business cycle. Real wage gains for private-sector
workers averaged 1.3% a year, from the beginning of the expansion in March,
1991, to the apparent end of the recession in December, 2001. That's far
better than the 0.2% annual wage gain in the 1980s business cycle, from
November, 1982, to March, 1991. The gains were also better distributed than
in the previous decade. Falling unemployment put many more people to work
and swelled salaries across the board: Everyone from top managers to factory
workers to hairdressers benefited. Indeed, the past few years have been the
best period of wage growth at the bottom in the last 30 years, says
Lawrence F. Katz, a labor economist at Harvard University.

By contrast, the return on the stock market in the 1990s business cycle was
actually lower than it was in the business cycle of the '80s. Adjusted for
inflation and including dividends, average annual returns on the SP-500
index from March, 1991, to the end of 2001 were 11.1%, compared with 12.8%
in the previous business cycle. Bondholders and small savers saw their
returns drop even more in the '90s. The real return on six-month
certificates of deposit, for example, was only 3.1% over the past decade,
compared with 4.7% in the '80s.

Overall, BusinessWeek calculates that workers received 99% of the gains from
faster productivity growth in the 1990s at nonfinancial corporations.
Corporate profits did rise sharply, but much of that gain was fueled by
lower interest rates rather than increased productivity.

Why did workers fare so well in the 1990s? The education level of many
Americans made an impressive leap in the '90s, putting them in a better
position to qualify for the sorts of jobs that the New Economy created. Low
unemployment rates drove up wages. And a torrent of foreign money coming
into the U.S. created new jobs and financed productivity-enhancing equipment
investment.

Meanwhile, U.S. corporations were hit by a one-two punch: an economic
slowdown overseas following the 1997 Asia financial crisis and the tech bust
at home in 2000. To the dismay of tech investors, the hundreds of 

fiscal stimulus

2002-03-25 Thread Devine, James


March 23, 2002

Sharp Rise in Federal Spending May Have Helped Ease Recession

By LOUIS UCHITELLE

When a bitterly divided Congress failed to pass an economic stimulus bill
last fall, many predicted the recession would only worsen. But while few
were paying attention, government spending surpassed the amounts envisioned
in the stimulus measure, exceeding what even the most vociferous advocates
wanted.

The unexpected surge - along with the remarkable strength in consumer
spending - helps to explain why the recession, to nearly everyone's
surprise, has been so mild and may be ending. 

The mood was much different last fall. Anticipating harder times, Democrats
and Republicans pushed for an additional $80 billion to $100 billion in
federal outlays. While they agreed on this goal, they deadlocked over how to
allocate the money. Democrats wanted the government to spend nearly all of
the money, while the Republicans emphasized new tax breaks for business and
consumers, not outright spending.

Despite the bill's failure - a severely watered-down version finally passed
this month - government outlays rose sharply in response to dozens of
uncoordinated decisions and fortuitous windfalls. The surge, which started
in October, has continued into this month at a rate of more than $100
billion, new government data suggest. And income tax cuts that went into
effect at the beginning of this year are expected to provide a further lift
to the economy.

You can reasonably argue that the recession, which seems to have ended,
came to an end because of aggressive government spending, said Mark M.
Zandi, chief economist at Economy.com, a forecasting and data gathering
firm.

Some of the stepped-up outlays, of course, went to the military and to pay
for domestic actions to fight terrorism in response to the Sept. 11 attacks.


Significantly more, however, was delivered in the form of increased spending
on highways, school construction, Medicaid, unemployment insurance and
numerous municipal projects.

After shrinking last summer, the American economy reversed course and grew
from October through December at an annual rate of 1.4 percent. The results
of aggressive government spending - not only at the federal level, but among
states and cities as well - accounts for much of the swing from contraction
to expansion, even without adding in the tax breaks, the Bureau of Economic
Analysis reports. The rise in government outlays, along with the remarkable
bounceback in consumer spending after Sept. 11, more than offset declines in
other sectors, particularly business spending on new equipment, offices and
factories. 

Will that last? The hope is that the momentum from consumers and government,
two powerful engines of demand, will restart business investment and the
recovery will be on its way. The danger, however, is that both may falter
before the economy picks up sufficient speed.

Mortgage refinancing, rising wages, bargain prices, falling energy costs,
tax cuts and rebates, rock-bottom interest rates - all these have sustained
consumers through the recession, despite rising indebtedness. And while this
year's income tax cuts promise to provide more stimulus, most of the other
supports show signs of fading.

Something similar may be happening to government spending - not at the
federal level, where the outlays in response to terrorism seem open-ended,
but in the states and cities. Most experts thought that spending at the
state and local level would decline as tax revenue fell during the
recession. Reflecting this view, the advocates of a stimulus package pushed
last fall to include subsidies that would permit states and cities to keep
up their spending.

To nearly everyone's surprise the states and cities found ways to sustain
their spending anyway, despite balanced-budget laws that require them to
keep spending in line with revenue. This rear-guard resistance, however,
seems likely to give way by early summer when many new budgets, mandating
cuts, go into effect for the fiscal year 2003. 

You can expect the drop in state and local spending that did not occur last
fall to begin to occur now, said Kevin Carey, an analyst at the Center on
Budget and Policy Priorities. 

So far, good luck and ingenuity have helped the states and cities dodge that
bullet. There was, for example, a windfall in 1998 and 1999 from a federal
excise tax on gasoline and autos. That tax, earmarked for the states,
produced an unanticipated $10 billion during those boom years that is now
being spent to build and repair highways.

It takes time to arrange to pour concrete, said William Hoagland, a senior
staff member of the Senate Budget Committee.

There were other tactics for sustaining spending, despite falling tax
revenue. Reserve funds, built up to record levels during the boom, have been
drawn down. Some spending cuts have been announced and then postponed. And
some states and cities have simply crossed their fingers.

Consider Vermont. Faced with 

Aside on Michael Frede, Scary

2002-03-25 Thread Justin Schwartz





  The curriculum goes from
the Greeks to Descartes, Hume, and Kant. I had one (elective) class in the
scholastics at Tigertown, and sat in on Michael Frede's class on Scotus's
ontological argument. That was a scary experience.

jks

^

Charles: What was scary about it ?

Frede attains a level of depth, thoroughness, and insight that is really 
alarming. He's very nice, but he's frighteningly smart. Not smart like, I'm 
a tenth or a hundredth as smart as he is, but smart like the Grand Canyon 
is big in comparison to a child's mud puddle. Going through a text with him 
his like nothing in this world. In a class on Plato he spend a week on the 
_title_ of the Theatetus. In 14 weeks we got through 40 lines of the 
dialogue. He was my junior paper advisor, I wrote on the final good in 
Aristotle's Nichomachean Ethics. When he was done with that paper, every 
bolt, nut, screw, wheel, and bearing had been disassembled, stripped down, 
cleaned up, and put back together differently (and better). He devotes the 
same attention to his students' work that he does to Plato or Aristotle 
(Platon or Aristotles, sufein, he's German). He'd do all this without making 
you feel dumb. He look at some particularly inane bit of argument with 
gentle puzzlement, then say Oh, sufein, ach, jawohl, I zee, vat you are 
trying to zay, iss . . . .  And he'd say something that you never throught 
of, but really it would have been much better if you had.  He'd smoke 
Gitanes in class too, but this was more than 20 years ago, and besides, he's 
left Tigertown for Oxford, where, as far as I know, they don't care if you 
smoke in class. Jim H? Zat still true? Frede could dance, too.

jks


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growin' gunstocks W-stylee

2002-03-25 Thread Forstater, Mathew








true solicitation received recently. dont even know
where to begin with this one!



-



Friends,
acquaintances, economists, investors:



Are
you interested in investing a bit of your assets or pension funds in 

defense
(Raytheon, Northrup, etc.) or corporate/airport security (Wackenhut, 

etc.)
companies? If so, let me know with a positive reply.



I'll
be making some recommendations based on research that I'll be using for 

my
personal investing.



Bush
is clearly going to be spending so much readying the armed forces to 

threaten
and then go to war with Iraq,
and anyone else who dares standup to 

the
American Economic Globalization Empire (China?),
that even tiny defense 

sub-constractors
will soon be rolling in dough. Esp. those firms run by his 

friends
and Cheney's friends in Texas,
and in states where he needs to keep 

joblessness
low to win re-election (as he did for PA recently). Even the US


Marines
will be spending more money for advanced ship to beach landing 

craft.
Maybe they will actually come ashore in the Tigris-Euphrates delta 

marshes
at Basra
this time, instead of just faking it like they did in the 

Gulf
War.



Remember,
only a reply saying Guns Yes will keep you on this list after 

this
first notice. Otherwise, no more on this topic will be sent to you.












Re: Aside on Michael Frede, Scary

2002-03-25 Thread Hinrich Kuhls


He devotes the same attention to his students' work that he does to Plato 
or Aristotle (Platon or Aristotles, sufein, he's German). He'd do all this 
without making you feel dumb. He look at some particularly inane bit of 
argument with gentle puzzlement, then say Oh, sufein, ach, jawohl, I zee, 
vat you are trying to zay, iss . . . . 

sufein? Gently puzzled. Do yu zink of Sufi, surfin', saufen, or 
saufein??  Ziss iss ze Frege.

But as you continue And he'd say something that you never throught of... 
with the nice ellipsis of drought and throat I suppose you was thinking of 
saufen.  It's time for a pint of bitter.

Cheerio

hk





BLS Daily Report

2002-03-25 Thread Richardson_D

BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, DAILY REPORT, MONDAY, MARCH 25, 2002:

Despite the holiday-shortened week, look for a bevy of economic data, most
of which are expected to underscore the strengthening economy, says the Los
Angeles Times in an Internet article that combines reports from Reuters,
Bloomberg News, and the Associated Press
(http://www.latimes.com/business/la-21526mar25.story?coll=la%2Dheadlines
%2Dbusiness.  Economists expect a decrease in last month's sales of existing
homes, though new-home sales are likely to have risen in February, when
compared with January results.  One of the week's most closely watched set
of numbers will be reported Tuesday with the release of February orders for
costly durable goods, which includes such items as washing machines and
computers.  Earlier this month, data showed U.S. businesses were building up
inventories, anticipating an increase in demand from consumers and
businesses amid the economic upturn.  Now, investors are looking for
evidence that anticipated growth in demand is showing up in orders.  A final
revision to fourth-quarter U.S. gross domestic product data is expected
Thursday.  Economists expect GDP to show a gain of 1.4 percent -- same as
the previous revision. Consumer spending, which makes up approximately
two-thirds of the economic activity in the nation, remained strong
throughout the downturn and traders are watching for indications that it has
continued to stay resilient.  The Conference Board's index of consumer
confidence, due Tuesday, is expected to show a gain to 98.8 in March from
94.1 in February.  On Thursday, University of Michigan's final March
consumer sentiment report will be released.  The forecast calls for a
reading of 95.1, up from 90.7 in February.  The New York and Chicago
regional manufacturing surveys are due Thursday.

Taking into account savings, severance benefits, and financial adjustments
they say they've made, most job hunters can afford a job search lasting
close to half a year, according to a poll of 725 outplaced workers by
career-services firm Lee Hecht Harrison (LHH), in Woodcliff Lake, N.J.  Some
56 percent of respondents believed severance alone would cover them for the
duration of their search.  Those polled reported a median severance of 15 to
16 weeks (http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/0325/p16s05-wmgn.html).

DUE OUT TOMORROW:  Regional and State Employment and Unemployment:  February
2002


application/ms-tnef

Sufaein (was] Re: Aside on Michael Frede, Scary)

2002-03-25 Thread Justin Schwartz



sufein? Gently puzzled. Do yu zink of Sufi, surfin', saufen, or
saufein??  Ziss iss ze Frege.

But as you continue And he'd say something that you never throught of...
with the nice ellipsis of drought and throat I suppose you was thinking of
saufen.  It's time for a pint of bitter.



No, sufein is  a private verbal tick of his, sort of like Um, he uses 
it as a placekeeper while thinking. Former Frede students will meet in a bar 
in Kinshasa or Bangkok and tip a pint of the local bitters, toasting 
Sufein! You can tell us by our furrowed brows and marked up copies of 
ancient philosophical texts, every word and syllabe of the first 40 lines 
heavily annotated, and nothing thereafter.

jks

hk




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RE: growin' gunstocks W-stylee

2002-03-25 Thread michael pugliese


   General Electric has a plant in Pennsylvania working 24/7
to replenish the supply of bombs to use in Iraq in 6 months...
M.P.

--- Original Message ---
From: Forstater, Mathew [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: 3/25/02 9:31:12 AM

true solicitation received recently. don't even know where to
begin with
this one!
 

-
 
Friends, acquaintances, economists, investors:
 
Are you interested in investing a bit of your assets or pension
funds in

defense (Raytheon, Northrup, etc.) or corporate/airport security
(Wackenhut, 
etc.) companies? If so, let me know with a positive reply.
 
I'll be making some recommendations based on research that I'll
be using
for 
my personal investing.
 
Bush is clearly going to be spending so much readying the armed
forces
to 
threaten and then go to war with Iraq, and anyone else who dares
standup
to 
the American Economic Globalization Empire (China?), that even
tiny
defense 
sub-constractors will soon be rolling in dough. Esp. those firms
run by
his 
friends and Cheney's friends in Texas, and in states where he
needs to
keep 
joblessness low to win re-election (as he did for PA recently).
Even the
US 
Marines will be spending more money for advanced ship to beach
landing 
craft. Maybe they will actually come ashore in the Tigris-Euphrates
delta 
marshes at Basra this time, instead of just faking it like they
did in
the 
Gulf War.
 
Remember, only a reply saying Guns Yes will keep you on this
list
after 
this first notice. Otherwise, no more on this topic will be
sent to you.
 
 






Aside on Michael Frede, Scary

2002-03-25 Thread Charles Brown

Aside on Michael Frede, Scary
by Justin Schwartz
25 March 2002 17:02 UTC  





  The curriculum goes from
the Greeks to Descartes, Hume, and Kant. I had one (elective) class in the
scholastics at Tigertown, and sat in on Michael Frede's class on Scotus's
ontological argument. That was a scary experience.

jks

^

Charles: What was scary about it ?

Frede attains a level of depth, thoroughness, and insight that is really 
alarming. He's very nice, but he's frighteningly smart. Not smart like, I'm 
a tenth or a hundredth as smart as he is, but smart like the Grand Canyon 
is big in comparison to a child's mud puddle. Going through a text with him 
his like nothing in this world. In a class on Plato he spend a week on the 
_title_ of the Theatetus. In 14 weeks we got through 40 lines of the 
dialogue.



CB: Sounds truly scholastic, a real book worm, textiphilia. So, you mean scary like 
good-scary.




 He was my junior paper advisor, I wrote on the final good in 
Aristotle's Nichomachean Ethics. When he was done with that paper, every 
bolt, nut, screw, wheel, and bearing had been disassembled, stripped down, 
cleaned up, and put back together differently (and better). He devotes the 
same attention to his students' work that he does to Plato or Aristotle 
(Platon or Aristotles, sufein, he's German). He'd do all this without making 
you feel dumb. He look at some particularly inane bit of argument with 
gentle puzzlement, then say Oh, sufein, ach, jawohl, I zee, vat you are 
trying to zay, iss . . . .  And he'd say something that you never throught 
of, but really it would have been much better if you had.  He'd smoke 
Gitanes in class too, but this was more than 20 years ago, and besides, he's 
left Tigertown for Oxford, where, as far as I know, they don't care if you 
smoke in class. Jim H? Zat still true? Frede could dance, too.

jks





Re: Aside on Michael Frede, Scary

2002-03-25 Thread Justin Schwartz


Aside on Michael Frede, Scary
by Justin Schwartz
25 March 2002 17:02 UTC


CB: Sounds truly scholastic, a real book worm, textiphilia. So, you mean 
scary like good-scary.


Yes, very. Very good, very scary, scary-good. --hjs

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Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max Sawicky

Thursday, April 4, 2002, 10 pm on PBS
(check your local listings):

Resistance: Untold Stories of Jewish Partisans

I saw a screening of this.  It's pretty good.
Producer is a friend of mine.

mbs




RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Devine, James

a friend of mine -- an anthropologist named Martin Cohen -- has done a lot
of research on this (and he's not the only one). He argues that there was an
amazing amount of Jewish armed resistance to the Nazis, even in Germany.
Also, he argues that the U.S. Jewish establishment hates this stuff and
wants to push the image of the European Jews before  during WW2 as being
basically passive victims. 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine



 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
 Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 1:08 PM
 To: Lbo-Talk; PEN-L
 Subject: [PEN-L:24314] Fightin' Yids
 
 
 Thursday, April 4, 2002, 10 pm on PBS
 (check your local listings):
 
 Resistance: Untold Stories of Jewish Partisans
 
 I saw a screening of this.  It's pretty good.
 Producer is a friend of mine.
 
 mbs
 




Re: New Democratic World

2002-03-25 Thread Chris Burford

At 23/03/02 09:11 +, I wrote:
At 21/03/02 14:12 -0600, you wrote:


Sabri Oncu wrote:

 As far as I can see, we are about to engage in the same old
fight
 between reformists and revolutionaries(not necessarily
 Marxist-Leninists). I am sure everybody here heard
enough of
 such fights, so let us leave this at that.



Whether the fight takes that form or not depends (or should depend) on
given historical conditions.

If we are talking about the U.S. I believe the divide _at this time_ is
between those whose hopes reside in a mass movement (whether they think
in terms of reform or revolution) and those whose hopes reside in
reforming or persuading various power centers
(The Democratic Party, the U.S. Ruling Class, the Central Committee of
the Chinese Communist Party, the Labour Party) to do good things.

The conflict between reform and revolution will
remain, but it can be put on the back burner as it were.

To see the havoc putting that conflict first does, subscribe to the AUT
list.

To see the havoc that the hope to transform power centers does, just keep
on reading the poster you are responding to.

Carrol

What is the meaning of 'havoc' in this context?

Chris Burford

It looks like I will have to try to answer this, since in the past Carrol
has declared that he never reads my posts, and presumably he just made a
mistake with the previous one.

According to the Oxford English Dictionary there are two broad meanings
of havoc

1. In the phrase cry havoc orig, to
give an army the horder havoc!, and so of general spoliation or
pillage. In later use (usually after Shakes.) fig., and associated with
sense 2 1385

2. Devastation, destruction; esp. in phr. to make havoc, play havoc
(freq,. const. with) in which the earlier sense of spoliation
or plunder has gradually passed into that of destructive devastation.
Also in weakened sense: confusion and disorder, disarray.
1480
I am intrigued by the possibility that even to entertain the proposition
I advanced, is a signal of political or theoretical pillage, but perhaps
he just meant confusion. If so, I have to suggest the confusion is
his.

I am not familiar with the AUT list but if there is a conflict between
reform and revolution that conflict is surely dialectical. Only a
revolutionary idealist would think you can get to a revolution without
striving with others for reforms, even if those reforms are unlikely to
be granted. So all people who seriously want to change the world
radically, whether or not by revolution, are likely to be struggling for
some reforms. 

Such as Land, Peace, and Bread, for example? 

The pertinent discussion is whether the struggle for a particular reform
is one that will strengthen the popular movement, or weaken it by
allowing the oppressive forces just to reimpose their domination by a
minor change which does nothing to alter the balance of power.

Carrol suggests that the hope to transform power centers
causes havoc. This is an odd formulation. To struggle for a reform does
not mean that one is particularly expecting to transform a centre
of power. The class composition of the Bush government will remain
the same whether the hawks have won out and launch an invasion of Iraq,
or whether the doves (relative doves) have succeeded in diverting this.
Indeed I understood on LBO-talk that Carrol has argued it is pointless to
attempt to do anything to try to deter the US government from more
offensive wars. This seems an odd concept of how to avoid political
havoc, but has the orderliness presumably of philosophical detachment,
while the reactionaries pursue their goals in good order.

There are many contradictions in a complex political process. Carrol has
singled out one as the crucial one for left wingers to orientate
themselves around. It is misleading:

I believe the divide _at this time_ is between
those whose hopes reside in a mass movement (whether they think in terms
of reform or revolution) and those whose hopes reside in
reforming or persuading various power centers
(The Democratic Party, the U.S. Ruling Class, the Central Committee of
the Chinese Communist Party, the Labour Party) to do good
things.
Yes it mistaken to think that an existing centre of power will
necessarily become progressive through political struggle. The US
Democratic Party, or the UK Labour Party have the job of winning
elections and will tack and turn as seems necessary. But a struggle which
relies on popular support outside such institutions to change policy, is
one that should enhance the confidence of people in struggle, and does
not need to creat illusions in the institution. 

For example in Britain the low voting figures show that few people have
idolatrous trust in the British Labour Party. It is still progressive to
make a distinction between major British parties as to whether they will
cut the welfare state or not.

On the world stage, which was the focus of my original contribution under
this thread title, Bush has just announced in 

RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max Sawicky

if true, one reason could be the extent to which the
resistance was intertwined with the Soviets.  the
documentary makes heavy use of Soviet archives,
including old reenactments that use Russian soldiers.
portraying both partisans and Nazi's.

mbs


 a friend of mine -- an anthropologist named Martin Cohen -- has done a lot
 of research on this (and he's not the only one). He argues that
 there was an
 amazing amount of Jewish armed resistance to the Nazis, even in Germany.
 Also, he argues that the U.S. Jewish establishment hates this stuff and
 wants to push the image of the European Jews before  during WW2 as being
 basically passive victims.

 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Devine, James

I wrote: a friend of mine -- an anthropologist named Martin Cohen -- has
done a lot of research on this (and he's not the only one). He argues that
there was an amazing amount of Jewish armed resistance to the Nazis, even in
Germany. Also, he argues that the U.S. Jewish establishment hates  this
stuff and wants to push the image of the European Jews before  during WW2
as being basically passive victims.
 
 if true, one reason could be the extent to which the
 resistance was intertwined with the Soviets.  the
 documentary makes heavy use of Soviet archives,
 including old reenactments that use Russian soldiers.
 portraying both partisans and Nazi's.
 
 mbs

I think it's slightly more sinister: the elite wants passive donors to their
cause and support for Israel no matter what. Zionism and
standing-and-fighting are seen as mutually exclusive alternatives. Further,
the Bund tradition of socialist or labor-oriented Jews is anathema, whether
or not the socialists were pro-Soviet. 
jgd




Re: Iraq war and the Turkish economy

2002-03-25 Thread Sabri Oncu

 Maybe some of our Turkish Pen-lers might have
 comments on this.

 Cheers, Ken Hanly

Ken,

I am not ignoring your question. I was waiting for a response
from those Turkish Pen-lers who live in Turkey. As far as I
remember from an earlier post of Michael, from some six months
ago or so, there are some. Very interesting things are happening
in Ankara in these days and I am as curious as you are about
getting insider information/comments. In the mean time, I will
look for a few English articles on the topic.

Best,
Sabri






RE: Re: Iraq war and the Turkish economy

2002-03-25 Thread Sabri Oncu

This doesn't say anything about the economy but it shows how
important Turkey is to the US operation in Iraq.
Sabri



Former CIA chief says Iraq-Al-Qaeda links obvious
Turkish Daily News - March 25, 2002

Former director of the U.S. intelligence agency, the CIA, James
Woolsey said that links between the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks
and Iraq were obvious, commenting that only Turkey's support of
an operation on Iraq would be vital.

Taking part in a CNN television program, Woolsey spoke about the
possibility of the United States opening their second stage of
the war on terrorism against Iraq.

Woolsey drew attention to CIA Director George Tenet's remarks at
the U.S. Congress, where he referred to the links between Iraq
and the Al-Qaeda network, which was behind the Sept. 11 attacks.

Woolsey stated that Iraq has been training terrorists on how to
hijack with knives, and that the Iraqi intelligence officials'
contacts with leading terrorist Muhammed Atta in the Czech
Republic have been confirmed by Czech intelligence.

Woolsey indicated that there was considerable evidence to prove
the Iraq-Al-Qaeda link.

Arguing that the United States would not need the support of any
state apart from Turkey, Woolsey said that Turkey's support was
crucial. I think difficult negotiations will be needed, he
stated.

The support of Kuwait is also needed, but their support will
gradually be provided. We need the support of Britain and Saudi
Arabia, but Turkey is the key state here. Its support should be
secured. If the help of the other states cannot be secured, there
would not be significant consequences, because, for a military
strike, we just need a few U.S. infantry, which means a few good
men, Woolsey continued.

Michael O'Hanlon of The Brookings Institute, based in Washington,
on the other hand, said that there was limited evidence of links
between Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein and the Al-Qaeda. It would
mean committing suicide for Saddam to be on close terms with the
Al-Qaeda. We don't see strong evidence, such as extensive
cooperation, financing contacts, weapons of mass destruction or
education, he said.

Stating that Saddam knows he would be toppled in the event of any
step taken by him against the United States, O'Hanlon said that
if a serious link between Saddam and the Al-Qaeda were to be
found, the United States should seriously think about ousting
him.




RE: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max Sawicky

 I think it's slightly more sinister: the elite wants passive 
 donors to their
 cause and support for Israel no matter what. Zionism and
 standing-and-fighting are seen as mutually exclusive 
 alternatives. Further,
 the Bund tradition of socialist or labor-oriented Jews is 
 anathema, whether
 or not the socialists were pro-Soviet. 
 jgd


Not necessarily.  Properly reconstructed, the resistance
could serve the purposes of elites.  For instance, the
recent TV movie about the Warsaw ghetto uprising was
leached of left political content and framed the rebellion
as a more honorable form of suicide: stand-and-fight
as a matter of Jewish honor.  The implicit subtext was the
ancient Jewish version of the Alamo -- Masada -- a staple
of zionist macho discourse.  Little or no hint of some
overarching, historical purpose in fighting fascism.
As I think of it, I don't remember the word 'fascism'
ever being uttered in the movie.

mbs




RE: Re: Iraq war and the Turkish economy

2002-03-25 Thread Sabri Oncu

These should give you some information on the current economic
conditions, of course, if you take them at the face value.

Sabri

+++

Privatization Minister says sell-offs so far unsatisfactory
Turkish Daily News, March 25, 2002

Turkey has carried out $7.4 billion worth of sell-offs since
1985, which is an unsatisfactory figure, Privatization Minister
Yilmaz Karakoyunlu said.

Of this total, $4 billion has been performed in the last four
years.

In response to an official question by Saadet (happiness or
contentment) Party (SP) Deputy Zeki Celik, Karakoyunlu said a
shortage of capital and technology accumulation and political
instability had deterred privatization over the past 15 years.

Substantial progress has been made in privatization in the past
four years, particularly during 1998-2000, he added.

Turkey aims to carry out $1.5 billion worth of privatizations in
2002. In its first major privatization attempt since the
financial crisis that broke in February 2001, the government last
week secured $183 million in proceeds from the secondary public
offering of a 16.5 percent stake in oil retailer POAS. Another
major company slated for privatization this year is oil refiner
Tupras, which the government wants to put on a third offer by
June.

Looking at the track record on privatization, the government has
largely failed to meet its targets. Turkey projected $4 billion
in privatization receipts in 1999 and managed to raise $38
million. In 2000 the target was $5.2 billion and the figure that
actually turned out was $2.7 billion. Last year, the government
expected $1 billion worth of privatization operations and managed
only $119 million.

Karakoyunlu suggested that the agency responsible for
privatization should acquire autonomy, so that sell-offs can be
carried out more efficiently and swiftly. He added that work on
the legislative changes that will establish an independent
privatization body has been completed.

The government has drafted a privatization bill to accelerate
sell-off operations by handing over the final decision-making to
a privatization agency, which will partly transform from the
current Privatization Administration. The bill empowers the
Cabinet for marking the companies slated for privatization, but
after that the autonomous privatization agency will be
responsible for the whole sale procedure.



--

OECD urges time, patience for economic growth
Turkish Daily News, March 25, 2002


The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)
said recent developments in Turkish financial markets were an
indication that the Turkish economy has started picking up.

Economic recovery will resume, provided that Turkey implements
the measures in the International Monetary Fund (IMF)-backed
program as planned, OECD Turkey desk chief Alexandra Bibbee said
in remarks quoted by the Anatolia news agency.

But a little time and patience is needed, Bibbee added.

OECD chief Bibbee also said they need fresh economic data to make
predictions about the economy.

Financial markets in Turkey have stabilized since late 2001, on
the back of the optimism created by the new IMF-backed economic
program. The U.S. dollar has weakened to below 1.35 million to
the lira as of last week's close, from above 1.6 million in
October last year.

Lower-than-expected February inflation figures have also created
optimism, prompting the Central Bank to cut short-term interest
rates twice in a month's time, thereby triggering a rate cut
spree.

Despite increased optimism in the markets, however, economic
actors are not so positive about the outlook, as there is yet too
little -- if any -- evidence that would suggest the growth
process has resumed.

Bibbee's remarks address concerns in business and industry
circles that the economy might be heading for a deflation under
tight IMF policies, while international finance institutions see
the strict implementation of the program as the key to resolving
once and for all the problems that deter economic growth.

In an earlier report on Turkey the OECD had suggested that the
emergency issue in the Turkish economy was a restructuring in the
banking sector and that economic stability depends on sustained
reform efforts.

The OECD has also cautioned of the wide gaps in income
distribution, calling for a fair wage policy across social
masses.




Re: RE: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Michael Perelman


I remember hearing an interview on KPFA in Berkeley sometime ago regarding
a story of several teenagers, boys and girls, who were Jewish partisans.
Perhaps somebody knows the book.  They showed incredible courage and
ingenuity.  Eventually they settled in Israel.

The leader, hardened by the war, continued his guerrilla activities by
behaving violently against the Arabs.  I have no idea how common such a
transition was.

On Mon, Mar 25, 2002 at 06:15:00PM -0500, Max Sawicky wrote:
  I think it's slightly more sinister: the elite wants passive 
  donors to their
  cause and support for Israel no matter what. Zionism and
  standing-and-fighting are seen as mutually exclusive 
  alternatives. Further,
  the Bund tradition of socialist or labor-oriented Jews is 
  anathema, whether
  or not the socialists were pro-Soviet. 
  jgd
 
 
 Not necessarily.  Properly reconstructed, the resistance
 could serve the purposes of elites.  For instance, the
 recent TV movie about the Warsaw ghetto uprising was
 leached of left political content and framed the rebellion
 as a more honorable form of suicide: stand-and-fight
 as a matter of Jewish honor.  The implicit subtext was the
 ancient Jewish version of the Alamo -- Masada -- a staple
 of zionist macho discourse.  Little or no hint of some
 overarching, historical purpose in fighting fascism.
 As I think of it, I don't remember the word 'fascism'
 ever being uttered in the movie.
 
 mbs
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Devine, James

 Not necessarily.  Properly reconstructed, the resistance
 could serve the purposes of elites.  For instance, the
 recent TV movie about the Warsaw ghetto uprising was
 leached of left political content and framed the rebellion
 as a more honorable form of suicide: stand-and-fight
 as a matter of Jewish honor.  The implicit subtext was the
 ancient Jewish version of the Alamo -- Masada -- a staple
 of zionist macho discourse.  Little or no hint of some
 overarching, historical purpose in fighting fascism.
 As I think of it, I don't remember the word 'fascism'
 ever being uttered in the movie.

I don't remember a reference to fascism, but surely the Nazis were
mentioned. Also, I saw a little of it and I remember hearing a reference to
the Bund.
JGDevine




Re: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Justin Schwartz


I wrote: a friend of mine -- an anthropologist named Martin Cohen -- has
done a lot of research on this (and he's not the only one). He argues that
there was an amazing amount of Jewish armed resistance to the Nazis, even 
in
Germany.

Well, what's an amazing amount? I visited the very moving Museum der 
Wiederstand in Berlin, in the former OKW (Wejrmacht) HQ, somewhat out of 
theway, though right byt the Tiergarten. They hanged Stauffenberg and the 
chief July conspirators there; there werewreaths and flowers still left to 
them. The museum fully documents every bit of resistance the Germans have 
found, they had an exhaustive exhibit on DieRote Kapelle, the Red Orchestra, 
Soviet spies (nonviolent but very effective), the White Rose, etc. Not much 
on arme Jewish resistance in Germany.

The museum is an absolutely must see if you are within 300 miles of it, it 
will given you renewed faith in the human race. I struggled on, despairing 
only when there was merely injustice, and no resistance. (Brecht again, 
Luke: An den Nachgeboren, To Those Born Later--my own theme poem.)


Now in the East it was a different story, Jews held off Stroop's SS in 
theWarsaw Ghetto for weeks with a handful of pistols and grenades, Jewish 
partisans played hell with the Nazis in the Pripet marches near Minsk, etc. 
Jewish resisters burned down Treblinka and revolted at Sobibor.

Also, he argues that the U.S. Jewish establishment hates  this
stuff and wants to push the image of the European Jews before  during WW2
as being basically passive victims.

Plausible, but has he evidence? NB the passive victim stuff was perceived 
there at the time. ANyone know the great song Dona Dona, a Yiddish hymn 
written by a songwriter who perished in Auschwitz? On a wagon, bound for 
market, lies a calf with a mournful eye/High above him flies a swallow, 
winging swiftly through the sky/Dona dona dona dona, dona dona don' . . . . 
On the other hand there is We Are coming, the Partisan Song, This was was 
written in blood and not with lead (pehncil lead, that is); we sing that 
at Pesach in my house, reminds me I have to get out the songsheet.

What would be rationale? Maybe the thought is, we need to be strong and 
fierce to prevent that from happening again, if the Jews had resisted, more 
of them would have lived. But from a  Zionist point of view, isn't the key 
thing that you need a nation, mere resistance without land to defend isn;t 
enough?


  if true, one reason could be the extent to which the
  resistance was intertwined with the Soviets.  the
  documentary makes heavy use of Soviet archives,
  including old reenactments that use Russian soldiers.
  portraying both partisans and Nazi's.

Right. Effective resistancewas pretty much Communist. Consider: the White 
Rose (Catholic) got rolled up in months after its firsat action. The Red 
Orchestra lasted years.

 
  mbs

I think it's slightly more sinister: the elite wants passive donors to 
their
cause and support for Israel no matter what.

Surely.

Zionism and
standing-and-fighting are seen as mutually exclusive alternatives.

Why?

Further,
the Bund tradition of socialist or labor-oriented Jews is anathema, whether
or not the socialists were pro-Soviet.
jgd


Absolutely. As one of the last few in the old tradition, I'm a dinosaur.

jks

_
Join the world’s largest e-mail service with MSN Hotmail. 
http://www.hotmail.com




From the Turkish Media

2002-03-25 Thread Sabri Oncu

Really interesting things are happening there. I think we are
going to war. Also of interest is the change in strategy of the
Kurdistan Workers Party, as mentioned in the third piece below.

Sabri

++

MILLIYET - March 25, 2002

SENATOR MCCAIN: ''YOU SHOULD PRERARE YOUR LIST''

U.S. Senator John McCain addressed on March 20 a group of Turkish
and American businessmen, and said that U.S. President George W.
Bush would call Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit on the phone sooner
or later about the issue of Iraq. He said that Turkey should
prepare its list of demands, and added that the U.S. Congress
could not reject them. Giving the example of Pakistan, McCain
said General Musharraf had put forward a series of demands, and
reached all of them. He said that success of a possible military
operation against Iraq depended on Turkey's support.

+

NTVMSNBC - March 25, 2002

ISAF talks continuing: Ecevit

Ecevit said that Cheney told him the US would provide Turkey with
a two part funding package totalling $228 million.

March 25— The conditions set out by Turkey for it to assume
command of the international peacekeeping force in Afghanistan
have not yet been met and technical talks are continuing, Turkish
Premier Bülent Ecevit said on Monday.

Speaking at a press conference at Ankara airport before departing
for a NATO meeting in Romania, Ecevit said that there were
problems over the responsibilities and area of the deployment of
the International Security and Assistance Force (ISAF). These had
yet to be resolved he said.

Referring to a proposal from the US to provide funds for Turkey
to meet the expenses of taking over command of the 4,800 strong
ISAF, mooted during the recent visit of US Vice President Dick
Cheney to Turkey, Ecevit said that the fund would come in two
parts and there was no information as where the instalment of
$200 million was to be spent.



NTVMSNBC - March 25, 2002

PKK (Kurdistan Workers Party) to try the political arena

Meeting called on Turkey to improve the conditions of the PKK’s
imprisoned leader, Abdullah Ocalan, currently being held on an
island in the Marmara Sea and under a sentence of death.

March 25— The so-called 8th Congress of the terrorist
organisation the PKK has voted to drop the group’s name in favour
of the People’s Freedom Party.

The PKK agreed to the proposal to lay down its weapons and end
its armed struggle, on the condition that all PKK members barring
the head Abdullah Öcalan would be granted an pardon as part of a
general amnesty. The meeting of senior PKK figure, which took
place in a number of locations in Northern Iraq also declared
that the execution of the group’s imprisoned leader, Abdullah
Ocalan, would constitute a cause to return to the use of armed
force.

The PKK also wants Ocalan to be moved to another prison than the
island where he is currently being held as the only prisoner and
demand better conditions for him.

The meeting of the PKK also was reported to have called for only
the minimum the usage of the word “Kurdistan” and then only for
geographical purposes.

+

Anatolian Agency - March 25, 2002

Cem: Turkey Has Two Targets

ISTANBUL, March 25 (A.A) - Foreign Minister Ismail Cem said on
Sunday that Turkey had two targets, noting that one was full
membership to the European Union (EU), and the other one was to
be a center to Eurasia.

Cem attended a lunch in the opening of a Conference held by
East-West Institute Eurasia Strategy Group, based in the United
States.

Cem, who made a speech at the opening of the conference, pointed
out that Turkey supported the works of East-West Institute and
that they would continue to expend support.

Cem said the institute, which has been set up 21 years ago, was
very important with its dynamic structure.

''Turkey has two targets; one is to be a full member of the EU,
and the other one is to be a center to Eurasia,'' Cem said,
noting that Turkey wanted improve relations both with the EU and
Eurasia.

''I believe the fact that the more our relations are positive
with the EU, the more our relations would be positive with the
Balkans and Eurasia,'' Cem stressed, and noted that thus Turkey's
image would be better in the EU circles.

Cem said Turkey was one of the several countries situated both in
Europe and Asia, and added that it was closer to Asia in
historical and cultural means. ''There are many clashes in the
region, there is intolerance toward religion. There is lack of
radicalism and democracy. However, it is a region where there are
international investments.''

Pointing out that Georgia was a key country in the region and
that problems between Armenia and Azerbaijan was within the field
of interest of Turkey, Cem said foreign ministers of Armenia and
Azerbaijan would convene within two months, and discuss general
issues. Cem said this was a positive development.

Cem said another important item on the agenda was Afghanistan,
and voiced the seriousness of the problems in the 

extract of my new Intellectual Property Book

2002-03-25 Thread Michael Perelman

Doug Henwood graciously put an extract from my new IP book at his web
site:

I just got my copy a couple of days ago.

An excerpt on intellectual property from Michael Perelman's
forthcoming book is now at
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/MPonIP.pdf. According to the
file info box, it's Acrobat 3.x format.



--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max B. Sawicky

[In re the TV version of the Warsaw uprising]

Sure the film was lousy with Nazis.  But there was nothing
about fascism -- only terribly bad guys called 'Nazis'
some pretty bad guys called 'Poles,' and some schlemiels
who were jews (one of whom redeems himself).

The Bund was referenced in the context of a bunch of left
(and maybe other) factions agreeing on the need to fight,
or something like that.  What do I want from a TV movie?
A little more.  --mbs


I don't remember a reference to fascism, but surely the Nazis were
mentioned. Also, I saw a little of it and I remember hearing a reference to
the Bund.
JGDevine




RE: Re: RE: RE: RE: Fightin' Yids

2002-03-25 Thread Max B. Sawicky

www.forward.com

Have you read the Forward recently?
It's under new (old) ownership, I'm told.

One of the old-timers told me it's back on track.

mbs



Absolutely. As one of the last few in the old tradition, I'm a dinosaur.

jks




Did the boom benefit workers????

2002-03-25 Thread Michael Perelman

APRIL 1, 2002/BusinessWeek

Restating the '90s

By Michael Mandel.

We now have enough perspective to look back at the last decade and
assess
what was real--and what wasn't. Conjure up the economic gains of the
1990s,
and what comes to mind? Perhaps it was how the stock market ruled: All
those
initial public offerings that raked in unprecedented billions for
venture
capitalists. Or the dramatic rise in 401(k)s and mutual funds. Or the
growing ranks of the Investor Class who cashed in big-time as the
Standard 
Poor's 500-stock index quadrupled.

And wasn't it a great time to be a top manager, with productivity gains
boosting the bottom line and igniting executive pay? While it was going
on,
venture capitalist L. John Doerr called the boom the largest single
legal
creation of wealth in history. For both investors and managers, it
seemed
like nirvana.

Well, yes and no. With the recession apparently over, it's now possible
to
make a more realistic assessment of the entire business cycle of the
1990s:
The sluggish recovery that started in March, 1991, the extraordinary
boom,
the tech bust, and the downturn of 2001. And guess what? A lot of things

happened that defy the conventional beliefs about the decade.

For starters, over this 10-year period, productivity rose at a 2.2%
annual
rate, roughly half a percentage point faster than in the 1980s--a
significant gain. But the real stunner is this: The biggest winners from
the
faster productivity growth of the 1990s were workers, not investors. In
the
end, workers reaped most of the gains from the added output generated by
the
New Economy productivity speedup. This revelation helps explain why
consumer
spending stayed so strong in the recession--and why businesses may
struggle
in the months ahead.

The key is that wage growth accelerated dramatically for most American
workers in the 1990s business cycle. Real wage gains for private-sector
workers averaged 1.3% a year, from the beginning of the expansion in
March,
1991, to the apparent end of the recession in December, 2001. That's far

better than the 0.2% annual wage gain in the 1980s business cycle, from
November, 1982, to March, 1991. The gains were also better distributed
than
in the previous decade. Falling unemployment put many more people to
work
and swelled salaries across the board: Everyone from top managers to
factory
workers to hairdressers benefited. Indeed, the past few years have been
the
best period of wage growth at the bottom in the last 30 years, says
Lawrence F. Katz, a labor economist at Harvard University.

By contrast, the return on the stock market in the 1990s business cycle
was
actually lower than it was in the business cycle of the '80s. Adjusted
for
inflation and including dividends, average annual returns on the SP-500

index from March, 1991, to the end of 2001 were 11.1%, compared with
12.8%
in the previous business cycle. Bondholders and small savers saw their
returns drop even more in the '90s. The real return on six-month
certificates of deposit, for example, was only 3.1% over the past
decade,
compared with 4.7% in the '80s.

Overall, BusinessWeek calculates that workers received 99% of the gains
from
faster productivity growth in the 1990s at nonfinancial corporations.
Corporate profits did rise sharply, but much of that gain was fueled by
lower interest rates rather than increased productivity.

Why did workers fare so well in the 1990s? The education level of many
Americans made an impressive leap in the '90s, putting them in a better
position to qualify for the sorts of jobs that the New Economy created.
Low
unemployment rates drove up wages. And a torrent of foreign money coming

into the U.S. created new jobs and financed productivity-enhancing
equipment
investment.

Meanwhile, U.S. corporations were hit by a one-two punch: an economic
slowdown overseas following the 1997 Asia financial crisis and the tech
bust
at home in 2000. To the dismay of tech investors, the hundreds of
billions
poured into Internet ventures and new telecom equipment ended up
lowering
prices for users, not raising profits for corporations. We convinced
ourselves we had discovered some magic elixir of productivity that would

elevate corporate profits far above historical standards, says Gary
Hamel,
head of consulting firm Strategos and author of the 1994 best-seller
Competing for the Future. But most of the productivity gains that are
made
possible by e-business will never go to the bottom line. They will all
go to
customers.

The fact that workers reaped the bulk of the benefits of New Economy
productivity gains helps explain why consumer spending and the housing
market stayed strong during the 2001 recession. Heftier wages have
sustained consumption at levels higher than we would have expected,
says
Barry Bluestone, an economist at Northeastern University.

Moreover, it is now easier to understand why corporate executives remain

relatively bleak about the future despite the apparent recovery. 

RE: extract of my new Intellectual Property Book

2002-03-25 Thread Devine, James

 with regard to Michael's reference to Hoffman's STEAL THIS BOOK,
investigative comedian Bob Harris has a book titled STEAL THIS BOOK AND
GET LIFE WITHOUT PAROLE. The change in the title reflects the change in the
U.S. political economy since Hoffman's book. -- JD

-Original Message-
From: Michael Perelman
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: 3/25/02 5:49 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:24327] extract of my new Intellectual Property Book

Doug Henwood graciously put an extract from my new IP book at his web
site:

I just got my copy a couple of days ago.

An excerpt on intellectual property from Michael Perelman's
forthcoming book is now at
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/MPonIP.pdf. According to the
file info box, it's Acrobat 3.x format.



--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




Re: RE: extract of my new Intellectual Property Book

2002-03-25 Thread Michael Perelman

I did not choose the title.  The publisher insisted on it.

On Mon, Mar 25, 2002 at 06:12:20PM -0800, Devine, James wrote:
  with regard to Michael's reference to Hoffman's STEAL THIS BOOK,
 investigative comedian Bob Harris has a book titled STEAL THIS BOOK AND
 GET LIFE WITHOUT PAROLE. The change in the title reflects the change in the
 U.S. political economy since Hoffman's book. -- JD
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Michael Perelman
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: 3/25/02 5:49 PM
 Subject: [PEN-L:24327] extract of my new Intellectual Property Book
 
 Doug Henwood graciously put an extract from my new IP book at his web
 site:
 
 I just got my copy a couple of days ago.
 
 An excerpt on intellectual property from Michael Perelman's
 forthcoming book is now at
 http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/MPonIP.pdf. According to the
 file info box, it's Acrobat 3.x format.
 
 
 
 --
 
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Chico, CA 95929
 530-898-5321
 fax 530-898-5901
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: RE: Re: Iraq war and the Turkish economy

2002-03-25 Thread Dan Scanlan


Former director of the U.S. intelligence agency, the CIA, James
Woolsey said that links between the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks
and Iraq were obvious, commenting that only Turkey's support of
an operation on Iraq would be vital.

Taking part in a CNN television program, Woolsey spoke about the
possibility of the United States opening their second stage of
the war on terrorism against Iraq.

Interesting, especially in light of Woolsey's statements on the 
morning of 9/11 in a phone interview with Peter Jennings on ABC. He 
said the attack was due to regulations imposed on the CIA and the FBI 
after the Church Commission hearings in 1970's (These supposedly 
ended domestic spying, assassinations of foreign leaders and the 
FBI's COINTELPRO program which will come under scrutiny again on 
April 8 in Oakland CA in the Judi Bari vs. FBI  Oakland Police trial 
in federal court.)

His interview was immediately followed by Jennings interviewing, 
again by phone, former Secretary James Baker (the architect of the 
Florida vote scam) who said almost exactly the same thing as Woolsey. 
Jennings had to ask what the commission in the 70's was. It seemed to 
me at the time that Woolsey and Baker were reading from the same 
script. This was before the buildings collapsed and when all the 
networks were talking about the plane that had crashed into Camp 
David, or that it is believed that one of the planes was headed for 
Camp David.  I've always wondered if Woolsey and Baker got their 
scripts from the same people who floated the unfounded -- but 
important -- rumor about Camp David, 9/11 being the anniversary of 
the accords and all.

By the way, Jennings did ask Woolsey then or since about the 
terrorism regulators say Sun HealthCare Group, Inc imposes on many of 
this nation's elderly. Woolsey sits on its board.

Dan Scanlan
Grass Valley CA




Re: RE: Re: Iraq war and the Turkish economy

2002-03-25 Thread Ken Hanly

The US simply does not want any nation to have an effective defence against
it, if that can be avoided. Iraq is no doubt attempting to develop weapons
that would make US attempts to simply impose their will on Iraq quite
costly. The US is convinced it has the power to simply replace Hussein one
way or another and install a more compliant regime. By the way I understand
that Kuwait is not in favor of a US attack and that Iraq has just recently
made conciliatory gestures toward Kuwait. Given that the US is publicly
committed to a unitary state in Iraq I can't see how they can get much
support from the Kurds or even Shiites in the south who might want to join
Iran.

Cheers, Ken Hanly
- Original Message -
From: Sabri Oncu [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: PEN-L [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 5:01 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:24320] RE: Re: Iraq war and the Turkish economy


 This doesn't say anything about the economy but it shows how
 important Turkey is to the US operation in Iraq.
 Sabri

 

 Former CIA chief says Iraq-Al-Qaeda links obvious
 Turkish Daily News - March 25, 2002

 Former director of the U.S. intelligence agency, the CIA, James
 Woolsey said that links between the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks
 and Iraq were obvious, commenting that only Turkey's support of
 an operation on Iraq would be vital.

 Taking part in a CNN television program, Woolsey spoke about the
 possibility of the United States opening their second stage of
 the war on terrorism against Iraq.

 Woolsey drew attention to CIA Director George Tenet's remarks at
 the U.S. Congress, where he referred to the links between Iraq
 and the Al-Qaeda network, which was behind the Sept. 11 attacks.

 Woolsey stated that Iraq has been training terrorists on how to
 hijack with knives, and that the Iraqi intelligence officials'
 contacts with leading terrorist Muhammed Atta in the Czech
 Republic have been confirmed by Czech intelligence.

 Woolsey indicated that there was considerable evidence to prove
 the Iraq-Al-Qaeda link.

 Arguing that the United States would not need the support of any
 state apart from Turkey, Woolsey said that Turkey's support was
 crucial. I think difficult negotiations will be needed, he
 stated.

 The support of Kuwait is also needed, but their support will
 gradually be provided. We need the support of Britain and Saudi
 Arabia, but Turkey is the key state here. Its support should be
 secured. If the help of the other states cannot be secured, there
 would not be significant consequences, because, for a military
 strike, we just need a few U.S. infantry, which means a few good
 men, Woolsey continued.

 Michael O'Hanlon of The Brookings Institute, based in Washington,
 on the other hand, said that there was limited evidence of links
 between Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein and the Al-Qaeda. It would
 mean committing suicide for Saddam to be on close terms with the
 Al-Qaeda. We don't see strong evidence, such as extensive
 cooperation, financing contacts, weapons of mass destruction or
 education, he said.

 Stating that Saddam knows he would be toppled in the event of any
 step taken by him against the United States, O'Hanlon said that
 if a serious link between Saddam and the Al-Qaeda were to be
 found, the United States should seriously think about ousting
 him.





more on steel tariffs

2002-03-25 Thread Charles Jannuzi

From a free trade perspective, the moves make no sense at all (neither the
tariffs by the US or the European retaliation).

From a strategic trade perspective, though, they make perfectly good sense.
The US trade policy strategizers want higher steel prices, even if they have
to be artificially created in the NA trade bloc first. And they want
consolidation and restructuring to follow a flow that is advantageous to US
interests.
The Europeans are now scrambling for a policy to counter that. And the E.
Asians are left out in the cold more or less.

So far everything is going as planned.

-

http://www.newsteel.com/2001/0101vp.htm

Obstacles to consolidation include “union issues, legacy liabilities,
integration risks, new-technology risks, low perceived synergies, and the
apparent huge scale of consolidation required before any sort of
pricing-power benefits might be seen,” says Richard Aldrich, v.p., Lehman
Brothers. Mergers and acquisitions can be painful. Chrysler suffered
financially after it bought American Motors; now it’s hurting as part of
DaimlerChrysler. Corus is having growing pains, too.

“Global consolidation is inevitable,” Wilhelm writes. What’s required is
sound analysis and strong leadership. Each company must determine where its
strengths and weaknesses lie and then find ways to build on its strengths
and consider outsourcing operations in which it’s weak. Steel executives
should look long and hard at the long-term viability of cokemaking,
ironmaking, and steelmaking in the U.S. They shouldn’t depend just on one
market, such as automotive, or even one part of the world. “The
diversification of Allegheny Technologies’ products and strength in certain
global markets, notably aerospace, power generation, oil and gas, and
medical, should offset some of the expected weakness in commodity stainless
steel,” said Robert Bozzone, AT’s new chairman, on Dec. 19th.

“The notion of national producers will give way to global and regional
producers,” says Guy Doll?, exec. v.p., Usinor. “The reduction in the number
of players will increase the return on capital.”

Steelmaking is a strategic industry necessary for military preparedness. But
that  didn’t stop British Steel from merging with its neighbor across the
North Sea to form Corus?or Ispat from buying Inland.

Another key question steel executives must ask: What do my customers want,
and will they pay for it? It’s easy to fall in love with the latest
technology, but too many projects haven’t returned enough capital.

We can divide today’s North American steel industry into three tiers: (1)
sound, consistently profitable companies, such as Nucor, AK, U.S. Steel,
Commercial Metals, CarTech, Allegheny Technologies, Dofasco, and Steel
Dynamics; (2) basically sound companies that aren’t always profitable, such
as Birmingham and Ispat Inland; and (3) imperiled companies that are in
Chapter 11, have applied for a government loan, or are losing a lot of
money, such as Wheeling- Pittsburgh, Acme, and LTV. Too many companies
teeter on the brink of falling from Tier 2 to Tier 3. Companies in Tier 1,
plus strong companies overseas (such as Usinor), may find partners or
acquisitions in any of the three tiers. All steel companies should consider
closing down unprofitable operations. Government should do nothing to
discourage that. Rather, it should make it easier to offload pension and
retirees’ health-care costs to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.; this
enabled Oregon Steel to buy CFI.

Steel is a marvelous material with a bright future once the industry is
restructured worldwide. Global consumption of steel has grown by a whopping
98 million metric tons in the past five years, from 654 m.m.t. in 1996 to
752 m.m.t. in 2000. The global steel industry is huge, with over $500
billion in annual sales, second only to oil; “the scope for value creation
is quite large,” Aldrich says. Basic metals can provide a good return for
shareholders, as Alcoa has proven. “The aluminum industry has more than
twice the global steel industry’s market capitalization despite having less
than one-third the steel industry’s sales,” Aldrich says.

After World War II, the global steel industry focused on adding capacity; in
the 1980s and 1990s, on improving efficiency; and then on serving the
customer. Now we need to focus on adding value that customers will pay for
and reconfiguring the industry so that it’s financially attractive.

--

Posted by Charles Jannuzi




Re: more on steel tariffs

2002-03-25 Thread Charles Jannuzi

First, I'm not sure why what I wrote somehow ended up looking like it was
quoted from a previous mail with the  symbols--must be a quirk of shifting
fonts on this Japanese OS I'm using.

Next:

And of course you can't contemplate US strategic trade policy without
getting the more obviously venal aspects out of the way. That is, I wonder
how artificially high prices and distressed assets will benefit the makers,
shakers and breakers at Carlyle Group? They sure do have interests in steel.
Steel yourself for the shocking news!

http://www.hoovers.com/co/capsule/3/0,2163,105173,00.html

Available only to Hoover's Online subscribers. See Samples.  2101 W. 10th
St.

Anniston, AL 36202(Map)  Phone: 256-237-2841 Fax: 256-235-9699 Toll
Free: 800-235-0015 http://www.spdforgings.com  Corporate Hierarchy

United Defense Steel Products Division knows what it takes to forge ahead. A
branch of United Defense Industries, United Defense Steel Products
manufactures forged products for the mining and petroleum industries,
including flight bars, hubs, treadlinks, and wing nuts. It also makes brake
spiders, daggers, pivot shafts, and other products used by the equipment and
heavy-truck industries. The division operates the largest forging facility
in the southeastern US, where it also offers precision machining along with
assembly and heat-treating services. United Defense Steel Products' forging
facilities are in close proximity to Anniston Army Depot, the US military's
primary site for combat vehicles.

---

Posted by Charles Jannuzi




Why Carlyle Group wants to own a big Japanese bank

2002-03-25 Thread Charles Jannuzi

To finance and gear investments like this:


http://www.hindustantimes.com/nonfram/180800/detECO06.htm

Carlyle of US to invest $250 mn in IT sector  HT Correspondent  (New Delhi,
August 17)

CARLYLE GROUP, the US based leading private equity fund has decided to
invest $250 million in Indian information technology (IT) sector. An
announcement to this effect was made by company group managing director
David here today.

Talking to media, Rubenstein said that the proposed investment will be made
in next three years and group's exposure in India would be one-third of the
total investment of $750 million in Asia.

The group plans to build a portfolio that consists primarily of strategic
investments in technology initiatives supporting Asia's telecommunications
infrastructure, wireless communication, Internet and software industries.

Speaking on the occasion, Carlyle痴 managing director, Asia, Tony Jansz said
that the company has already invested more than $20 million in six
technology companies in India during the last five months. The limit for
equity investment in the lower-end companies is two to ten million dollars
and for that of high-end companies from $10-40 million, he said and added
that the average investment period ranges from three to five years.

Out of total $750 million, the group has earmarked $250 million for India
and China each and balance $250 million for other Asian countries. However,
Jansz ruled out making any investment in those dotcom companies whose
revenue streams are based on advertisement. 展e are looking at technology
and the proper revenue stream before taking fresh exposures.・

The group will also take exposures in telecom infrastructure like national
long distance telephony. Jansz said that the group would also provide
world-class supporting services to technology initiatives in India, China,
Korea, Taiwan, Australia, Singapore and Hong Kong.

---
Charles J




Re: RE: marx's proof regarding surplus value and profit

2002-03-25 Thread Ken Hanly

On reading the material surrounding the passage I chose to comment upon I
see that I have indeed misunderstood your remarks. However, you still seem
to commit a petitio since in reply you insist that what you identify as a
fallacy is such when that is part of the issue- even though my  response is
off the mark.

The remarks I took issue with are  as follows:

 If you claim that something someone said can't be right, you have
 to show that there is *no* interpretation under which it is right.
 It just doesn't wash to say, here's my interpretation of Keynes.
 Under my interpretation, there is this error, that internal
 inconsistency, etc.  Ergo, Keynes committed this error, that
 internal inconsistency, etc.  There's a missing premise, namely
 that one's interpretation has been proven to be correct.  But to
 disprove the claim, all one needs to do is show that there's some
 possible other interpretation according to which it makes sense.


In the first sentence I was not reading can't as a logical can't but I
gather that is what you intend, that there is an internal inconsistency that
entails that what is said cannot be true.
By the way if there is simply an error in Keyne's, on a certain
interpretation, the claim would surely be  more accurate that  what he said
was not true as a matter of fact. There may not be any logical
inconsistency. I agree that there is a sense in which if there is some other
possible interpretation according to which what is said is not inconsistent
this would be sufficient to disprove the claim that what Keynes or Marx or
whomever said can't be true. I assume this is what making sense is
supposed to mean.

I read can't as meaning extremely unlikely or implausible,  in conflict
with what seems well established. I didnt think of it as logically
impossible which is what you seem to mean.
I look at the gas gauge and it shows almost empty. That can't be right I say
because I just filled it up last night. Well of course it could be. I could
have had my gas stolen etc. That sort of can't. That being so your
interpretation of my remarks as exhibiting your fallacy is incorrect
because I am not using can't as you understand it. Of course they could
still be ludicrous...

I have remarks on your specific criticisms of my example below but now that
I understand what you are getting at somewhat better, I will make a few
comments off the top of my head.

1) It seems to me that you impose a too stringent requirement when you
require that a person prove that their interpretation is correct as a
precondition to claiming correctly that there is an inconsistency in what
someone says and so it cant be true. Why?
a) In some cases there may be universal agreement what is the correct
interpretation and so proof would seem unnecessary at least until such time
that someone presents an objection.
b) It is not even clear to me what a proof of an interpretation would
be. Isn't the best you can get is agreement on the basis of pointing out
evidence in texts and context that support your interpretation and relying
upon a common understanding of language?
c) Wouldn't it be OK to preface one's derivation of the inconsistency by
noting that there may be other interpretations that are not inconsistent but
that on this plausible, widely supported, or whatever interpretation what is
said cannot be true.
d) Some interpretations might be consistent only because they interpret
terms in ways that may seem unwarranted given the ordinary meanings of words
normal interpretation of syntax etc. Are any consistent interpretations no
matter how weird sufficient to show an interpretation that claims
inconsistency and thus what is said cant be true is unjustified?

2) Nevertheless I agree that if there is an interpretation of what a person
says that is consistent and has some degree of evidence for it then anyone
who claims that what is said can't be true is obviously wrong.  Not only
that but it would seem that there is principle of charity in interpretation
by which a consistent interpretation should be chosen over an inconsistent
one when it is at all plausible. It would seem that many critics of what
Marx has to say about his value theory to the effect that it contains
inconsistencies are obviously wrong since there are competing
interpretations that are not inconsistent.


 Here's why Ken Hanly's supposed analogy is ludicrous.

 1.  I was dealing with cases in which there are various possible
 interpretations of what someone said.  In Ken's analogy, by
 assumption, there are not various possible interpretations of what
 someone (X) says.  Rather, there are various interpretations of
 certain other events.  This is not a reductio ad absurdum.  It is
 a bait and switch.  (What's the Latin for bait and switch?)

COMMENT:  X's claim is intended to be in words. Those who believe strongly
enough in Shazzam will not be harmed etc. There are various
interpretations of what X says. I interpret what is said as