Re: :McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread Michael Perelman

Jim and others, Mine seems to have backed off.  I, for one am grateful.  So, I
think that we can let this drop.  At least I hope so.

Jim Devine wrote:

> I guess I've got to respond to this message because Mine dug up (spurious)
> "evidence" to show that I said that third world people were irrational.
> However, I doubt that anyone has to read this message except Mine.
>

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread Jim Devine

I guess I've got to respond to this message because Mine dug up (spurious) 
"evidence" to show that I said that third world people were irrational. 
However, I doubt that anyone has to read this message except Mine.

Mine wrote:
> GT is methodologically on the right. Period. The reason for this is 
>that the attention to micro foundations through rational choice, game 
>theoric models and formal modeling of neo-classical economics have tended 
>to obscure the importance of relations of production and the exploitative 
>relationship between the capitalist and the worker. GT lacks a progressive 
>framework to explain systemic inequalities.

I wrote:
>no, the problem is that GT typically assumes relative equality in "games." 
>It need not do so.

Mine ripostes:
>well, my argument is that one can not start with a relative equality 
>assumption to desribe a capital-labor relationship. If you do, you are 
>implying that capitalism is a system of equality, given that it is not.

I wasn't referring to capitalism as a system of equality. If Mine reallys 
thinks that I do, she should read what I say for actual _content_ as much 
as she looks for (spurious) politically incorrectness.

In any event, the topic was GT, not capitalism. I don't think GT has 
produced a model that reveals much if anything about capitalism, as I've 
said before.

In two separate messages, Mine wrote:
> >>While I respectfully say that this is A bullshit [a BS what? a BS 
> argument?], supposed "neutrality" of game theory...  I think that the 
> very assumptions of game theory--individualism, profit  maximizing 
> agency, egoism, alturism [altruism?] in return for benefit--are 
> bombastically IDEOLOGICAL.
>
> >first of all, don't correct my words or intervene in the text. You 
> are  not  the editor here.

I wrote:
>Actually, I am (and an economist too). One of the frustrating things about 
>threads in  on-line discussions is that they rapidly become 
>incomprehensible to the readers.

>I don't see it. Whoever reads "alturism" above can perfectly understand 
>that it is meant "altruism", if s(he) does not suffer from an acute mental 
>problem of comprehension, of course...

Okay perhaps I did some editing that wasn't necessary. So how does that 
make me racist? not to mention "disgustingly racist"?
(BTW, Justin S. types really poorly too, even though he speaks English as a 
first language, so I sometimes correct his messages.)

Mine had written:
>I write quickly, and sometimes misuse letters. Knowing that English is my 
>second language, you are being *disgustingly racist*, like once upon a 
>time you called third world people *irrational* here. <<

I wrote:
>As far as I am concerned, you can have any opinion of me that you want. 
>But the fact that you're stooping to calling me names says that this 
>conversation is over. This is my last contribution to this thread.

Mine now responds:
>yuppie!

goodness! how do you know I'm urban?

It's too bad that that wasn't my last contribution. Actually, I wouldn't 
call this one a "contribution" as much as a simple defense against lying 
attacks (or willful misinterpretation or simple ignorance).

I wrote:
>More importantly, I _never_ referred to third world people as 
>irrational.  I would like to see documentation of this totally outrageous 
>claim. If you have any evidence, I _will_ respond, to show that it is 
>spurious and libelous.

Mine now writes:
>I did not say that you were a racist par excellence.

Yeah, but you called me "disgustingly racist." That's not the same as 
putting me in the same league as Adolph Eichmann (a racist par excellence), 
but it's the kind of thing which needs more serious justification. Not that 
I take such charges from you seriously, since you seem to throw words like 
"racist" about. In European folklore, it's called "crying wolf."

Mine writes:
>Once upon a time, however, you made a comment in this list which I thought 
>had culturally racist implications, despite your own intentions.. In the 
>below passage, you are labeling some people as irrational from the 
>standpoint of rationality you are socialized into. I don't mind quick 
>comments _that_ much and let them go, but when it comes to religious 
>labeling, I strongly  disagree. Here is your post:

In this infamous message, I wrote:
>Non-religious folks have this kind of upbringing, training, faith in the 
>socialist tradition etc. Either way, there seems to be an "irrational" 
>component, an element of _faith_.

BTW, there is nothing in this quote about the "third world," nor anything 
about the third world being "irrational." Religion is not the same thing as 
"third world."

You'll note that I put the word "irrational" in quotation marks. That's 
because _I do not accept_ the standard meanings of the words "rational" and 
"irrational" but was deliberately indicating to the readers that I was 
using the standard meanings. Unlike the definition of "rationality" which 
Mine _presumes_  I was "socialized

Re: Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread Joel Blau

>Jim Devine says:
As far as I am concerned, you can have any opinion of me that you want.
>But
>the fact that you're stooping to calling me names says that this
>conversation is over. This is my last contribution to this thread.

Mine responds:
yuppie!


Mine, is what it has come down to? It's way over the top.

Joel Blau




Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee(fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread md7148


>> GT is methodologically on the right. Period. The reason for this is
>>that the attention to micro foundations through rational choice, game
>>theoric models and formal modeling of neo-classical economics have
tended >>to obscure the importance of relations of production and the
exploitative >>relationship between the capitalist and the worker. GT
lacks a progressive >>framework to explain systemic inequalities. 

>no, the problem is that GT typically assumes relative equality in
>"games." 
>It need not do so.

well, my argument is that one can not start with a relative equality
assumption to desribe a capital-labor relationship. If you do, you are
implying that capitalism is a system of equality, given that it is not.

>> >While I respectfully say that this is A bullshit [a BS what? a BS >
>argument?], > >supposed "neutrality" of game theory...  > > >I think that
>the very assumptions of game theory--individualism, profit > maximizing
>agency, egoism, alturism [altruism?] in return for > benefit--are
>bombastically IDEOLOGICAL. 

>>first of all, don't correct my words or intervene in the text. You are 
>>not  the editor here.

>Actually, I am (and an economist too). One of the frustrating things
>about 
>threads in  on-line discussions is that they rapidly become 
>incomprehensible to the readers.

I don't see it. Whoever reads "alturism" above can perfectly understand
that it is meant "altruism", if s(he) does not suffer from an acute
mental problem of comprehension, of course...
 
 
>>I write quickly, and sometimes misuse letters. Knowing that English is
my
>>second language, you are being *disgustingly racist*, >like once upon a
>>time you called third world people *irrational* here. 

>As far as I am concerned, you can have any opinion of me that you want.
>But 
>the fact that you're stooping to calling me names says that this 
>conversation is over. This is my last contribution to this thread.

yuppie!

>More importantly, I _never_ referred to third world people as irrational. 
>I would like to see documentation of this totally outrageous claim. If
>you
>have any evidence, I _will_ respond, to show that it is spurious and
>libelous.

I did not say that you were a racist par excellence. Once upon a time,
however, you made a comment in this list which I thought had culturally
racist implications, despite your own intentions.. In the below passage,
you are labeling some people as irrational from the standpoint of
rationality you are socialized into. I don't mind quick comments
_that_ much and let them go, but when it comes to religious labeling, I
strongly  disagree. Here is your post:

http://csf.colorado.edu/pen-l/2000I/msg02544.html

>Non-religious folks have this kind of upbringing, training, faith in the
>socialist tradition etc. Either way, there seems to be an "irrational"
component, an element of _faith_.


Furthermore, you posted and wholeheartedly defended an article published
in SLATE magazine by a right wing journalist who was implictly suggesting
that blacks were not discriminated in the criminal justice sytem. I am
sure you remember the debate. The author is well known to be relating
racial inequality to black cultural patterns. Excuse me but the article
was a destructive nonsense. I always take a second before posting such
articles and seriously think about where the argument of the author
politically goes.

>You should consider an apology to the list, or at least to the
>international members of the list!

>An apology is appropriate only appropriate if I'd done something wrong. 

Fine. If somebody had warned me about an inappropriate use of language
(especially with regards to racism and sexism issues), I would
have automatically apologized. I don't approach criticism dogmatically.

>>... I am saying that the game theoretical applications of conflict
>>resolution to international relations and security studies (which I
don't
>>think you are aware, btw) come up with explanations and results that
>>tend to promote the foreign policy interests of the US. Have you ever
>>attempted to see where game theorists publish their articles in the
>>majority of cases? They are the kind of journals such as _Foreign
>>Affairs_, _Washington Report_ _Strategic Studies_, _Journal of Military
>>Studies_, etc.. How do you assume that these people having their
articles
>>published in these journals are objective, given that the institutional
>basis of these journals is intimately related to the US political system
>>and the international political order it is trying to endorse. Once I
was
>>reading a game theoretical explanation of military intervention in Haiti
>in one of these journals. The study was briefly talking about how to keep
>>the junta in power with the US help and democratize Haiti in the mean
time >without causing social conflict (revolt). The author was
>constructing a >game theory of how to make democracy work in Haiti
>without
>>pissing off >the US as well as the junta. If this is not

Re: Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-19 Thread Jim Devine

Justin wrote:
>The PD generates the players' second worst outcome, not the worst one. The 
>worst is generated by I cooperate, you defect. --jks

Justin, I hope you don't mind that I edited what you said here, dropping 
the extraneous "L."

What the "worst outcome" is depends on your perspective. The "I cooperate, 
you defect" outcome is the worst only from an individual's (my) 
perspective, whereas the "you cooperate, I defect" would be the worst from 
the other individual's (your) perspective. From the _social_ perspective, 
the worst would be "both defect."

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine
["clawww" or "liberalarts" can replace "bellarmine"]




Re: Re: GT [was: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread md7148



>G'day Mine,

G'day...

I wrote:

>Altruism has a pragmatic connotation in cooperative game theory. You give
>in order to receive. As Richard Dawkins wrote in _Selfish Gene_, the book
>that is a prototype of fascism and sexism, men compete to fuck women in
>order to transfer their superior genes to their offsprings. The
>possibility of being fucked or selected from the pool depends on how men
>are altrustic to women as well as how
>much women can offer. 

>I think there's a lot to Dawkins' theory - and it is a theory that may or
>may not be deployed to support fascism and sexism (I think Dawkins
>himself
>read too much and too little into his theory, especially in his first
>edition), but I maintain it is not *necessarily* what you say it is.
>Part of the environment within which our genes march through history is
>human culture and the particular power relations of the moment - that
>makes our genetic history a rather particular and complex business - but
>it doesn't deny Dawkins so much as introduce a dialectical relationship
>into the mix. Fine. 

Rob, as the author himself said in many occasions, the main purpose of 
Dawkin's book is to reject Marx's dialectic and instead to introduce the
_primacy_ of genes in determining human behavoir. In other words, Dawkins
is not saying the things you would like to attribute to him-- ie.,
evolution of human genetic structure throughout history. On the contrary,
he is saying that social environment, history, power relations have no
influence on the development of human nature. He is trying to eliminate
the role of external factors to openly say that we (like other non human
animals) are "machines created by genes". In the book, Dawkins goes into a
deep explanation of what genes are, what they serve for and how they
survive. The politically dangerous aspect of this genetic reductionism is
that it sees the charecteristics human beings learn in society
(competitiveness, selfishness, egoism, possessiveness, private property,
rape etc..) in the human genetic make up. His argument is implicity
reactionary  not only because he sees human nature as fixed and unchanging
but also because it ahistorically projects the charectristics of
competitive market society (which he *reifies* like neo-classical
economists) onto human nature to *imply* that capitalism  is what we
*naturally* have and it is what we are doomed to have in the future.
Accordingly, he is ridiculing at the Marxist agenda of replacing
capitalism with socialism or an egalitarian form of  society. The man's
problem is with equality.


>And anyway, experience tells us that women in liberal capitalist polities
>compete no less than men when it comes to the mating game (I imagine this
>would be true in much, but perhaps not all, of Turkey, too). 

Correct, but this is not Dawkins. Dawkins is *not* saying that "liberal
capitalist policies" force men and women to act in certain ways, though I
would still suggest capitalism reinforces traditional sexual practices by
disempowering women in the mating game. Yes, women compete no less than
men, but when it comes to how women expect men to treat them in certain
ways, you will see that capitalism maintains the hierarchial structure of
gender relations.

Regarding competition and cooperation, many anthropological studies show
that these concepts gain their meanings within the form of social
organization and type of society individuals live in. It also depends on
which historical period we are talking about.  We can not expect ancient
Athenians, for example, subscribing to the notion of capitalist
rationality and competitive individualism that we understand in the modern
sense of the term today. They had a different societal structure and
property regime.or think about hunting gathering societies;  Eventhough in
those societies, there was still a division of labor by sex, gender
inegualities were not as systemic and cumulative as they are under
capitalism.  Furthermore, cross-cultural and cross-historical studies have
proven variations among how these terms apply given country's situatedness
with the capitalist world system. 

in any case, as somebody's post clarifed about what Rabin's work is and
where the source of funding comes from,I see neither Rabin's work nor
Dawkin's particulary useful for leftist politics..whoever thinks it is
useful is mistaken and does harm to Marxism.


DAwkins say:

"Each individual wants as many surviving

children as possible. The less he or she is obliged to invest in any one
of those children, the more children he or she can have.

The obvious way to achieve this desirable state of affairs is to induce
your sexual partner to invest more than his or her fair

share of resources in each child, leaving you free to have other children
with other partners. This would be a desirable strategy

for either sex, but it is more difficult for the female to achieve". 





Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-19 Thread JKSCHW

The PD generates the players' second worst outcome, not the worst one. The worst is 
generated byL I cooperate, you defect. --jks

In a message dated Sat, 17 Jun 2000 11:38:55 PM Eastern Daylight Time, 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

<< I believe Michael Ellman, in his book on Socialist Planning some
twenty or more years ago, actually started off the book with the
classical prisoners' dilemma, using it to show how it generated the
_worst_ outcome.

That came about because of the initial assumptions that individuals
would seek to maximize their utility, in this instance defined as
length of prison sentence.

Thus, the classical prisoners' dilemma demonstrated that under such
assumptions -- precisely the assumptions of standard economic
thinking -- one got the _worst_ of all possible worlds! A delicious
and simple demonstration of the conceit of the claims of
neo-classical economic thought.

There's really nothing in game theory as such that's ideological.
Whatever ideology there is resides in the initial assumptions, and
those initial assumptions embody the structural constraints. So it
depends on how one structures the game, i.e. how one specifies those
initial conditions/assumptions. For instance, in that classical
prisoners' dilemma, the outcome would change if one added in an
assumption of a prior commitment to solidarity arising from, say,
membership in a movement for national liberation. In that case, with
such a prior commitment, then the rules would be solidarity over
imprisonment and, lo and behold!, the outcome would be both would not
confess, resulting in the best of all possible outcomes from a
straightforward utility point of view, i.e. they _both_ get the
shortest sentence. Thus, the oldest and most famous of game theoretic
examples illustrates that, e.g., solidarity trumps utility
maximization as a strategy!! I can't think of a simpler demonstration
of the utility of solidarity and the disutility of individualistic
selfishness.

Furthermore, in iterative prisoners' dilemma, it turns out that the
best course of action is to start off assuming cooperation, not
competition.

As to whether the fact that unique solutions are available only for
two-person (and of course 'person' here is not 'individual person')
games is a weakness or not would depend upon how one simplifies the
situation to assimilate it to a two-person situation. Such
simplifications are common enough in physics where the n-body (n>2)
problem remains unsolved, I believe.

Basically, mathematical models all depend upon how one specifies
initial conditions and parameters, and their use depends upon
recognising the adequacy of the model to the issue at hand. It would
be foolish to try and apply game theory to everything, but is there a
theory of everything, superstrings notwithstanding?

KJ Khoo


Jim Devine wrote:
>At 03:11 PM 06/17/2000 -0400, you wrote:
>>I don't understand the antagonism to game theory. It is a logical
>>technique--a
>>tool that can be used to focus the mind on strategic decisions. It
>>has the
>>weakness that it can only practically discuss the interaction of
>>two people,
>>but surely there is nothing inherent in it that would bring out
>>this scorn.
>
>I'm not antagonistic toward game theory, _per se_. I even studied it in
>High School (back in 1967 or 1968) and thought it was pretty cool. The
>problem, as with all theory, is how it's used and whether the theory is
>reified or not. I've been convinced (partly by previous discussions on
>pen-l) that there's nothing inherent in game theory that says that
>John von
>Neumann would automatically apply it to call for a preemptive unilateral
>nuclear attack on the USSR. There's nothing inherent in game theory that
>says that up-and-coming young economists have to prove their cojones by
>using fancy techniques like game theory (GT). What I reject is the
>_reduction_ of economics to such formalisms as game theory (so that
>empirical research, a historical perspective, non-game theories,
>philosophy, etc. aren't necessary). Even worse is _cooperative_ game
>theory, which not only gets rid of the more interesting conclusions
>of the
>theory but represents a Panglossian "best of all possible worlds"
>approach.
>But we should also remember that other theories have been misused,
>including Marxian theory.
>
>Mine quotes Ronald Chilcote: >Game theory and formal modeling have
>generated mathemetical explanations of strategies, especially for
>marketing
>and advertising in business firms. Game theory has had an impact on
>economics and it has been widely  used in political science analyses of
>international confrontations and electoral strategies. In fact, game
>theory
>has been extensively used  by political scientists in the testing and
>implementation of rational choice theory, which assumes that THE
>STRUCTURAL
>CONSTRAINTS OF SOCIETY DO NOT NECESSARILY DETERMINE THE ACTIONS OF
>INDIVIDUALS AND THAT INDIVIDUALS TEND TO CHOOSE ACTIONS THAT BRING
>THEM THE
>BEST RESULTS.<
>
>I 

Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread JKSCHW

Well, there is a hell of a lot of stuff attacking rational choice models generall. In 
polisci--Mine is in polisci, no?--there is a  book called Pathologies of Rational 
Choice theory that raised quite a flap a few years ago. In psychology, Kahnemann and 
Tversky (see, e.g., Judgment Under Uncertainty), or Nisbett and Ross (see e.g., Human 
Inference), or Johnson-Laid (Mental Models), have carried out long wars arguing that 
actual humans do not instantiate the assumptions of game theory or rat choice models 
anyway. Elster, oddly enough, has briefly encompassed many of these objection in a 
number of books, including his 1982 classic, Sour Grapes. Elizabeth Anderson discusses 
them as well in her  value in Ethics and Economics. 

All that being said, rat choice and game theory offer a powerful set of tools that is 
very useful as long as you don't let it run away with your brain. 

--jks

In a message dated Sat, 17 Jun 2000  3:20:37 AM Eastern Daylight Time, Rob Schaap 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes:

<< Game theory has always irritated the hell out of me, too, Mine
(artificially bounded, neglectful of interpersonal and cultural norms, and
ever in the thrall of that inevitable moment of equilibrium).  I'd be most
interested to watch you wage your noble war, anyway.  Or perhaps, point me
at any concise demolition article of which you might be aware.

Cheers,
Rob.


 >>




Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-19 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi

>What's happening on this thread is a microcosm of what generally happens
>in 'science'. Nobody posting appears to have read anything by
>Rabin. Everyone has an opinion/prejudice on some general issue related to
>the fields Rabin is known to be investigating -- game theory, psychology
>etc. Whatever contribution Rabin may have made or not made to
>understanding gets buried in a rehash of preconceptions. Ultimately, what
>will matter is what kind of impression the fellow's manners have made on
>the folks with the most influence in the profession (brilliant, good
>company). It doesn't matter what you say, it's still the conventional
>wisdom at the end of the day.
>
>Tom Walker

I did take a look at Matthew Rabin's home page, etc., and based upon 
the abstracts of his papers, I'd say his work is not useful for 
Progressive Economists.  See below for sample abstracts (the main 
points of "Psychology and Economics" -- the article Jim D mentioned, 
I believe -- may appear mildly interesting if no news to us; the 
thesis of "Bargaining Structure, Fairness, and Efficiency" looks 
inoffensive -- in the context of mainstream economics -- but not 
particularly useful in left-wing practice; and the rest look bad, in 
that they are implicitly written from the point of view of 
managers/gov. technocrats setting up structures of rewards & 
punishments for individuals to achieve efficiency):

*   "Psychology and Economics," Berkeley Department of Economics 
Working Paper
No. 97-251, January 1997

Abstract: Because psychology systematically explores human judgment, 
behavior, and well-being, it can teach us important facts about how 
humans differ from traditional economic assumptions. In this essay I 
discuss a selection of psychological findings relevant to economics. 
Standard economics assumes that each person has stable, well-defined 
preferences, and that she rationally maximizes those preferences. 
Section 2 considers what psychological research teaches us about the 
true form of preferences, allowing us to make economics more 
realistic within the rational-choice framework. Section 3 reviews 
research on biases in judgment under uncertainty; because those 
biases lead people to make systematic errors in their attempts to 
maximize their preferences, this research poses a more radical 
challenge to the economics model. The array of psychological findings 
reviewed in Section 4 points to an even more radical critique of the 
economics model: Even if we are willing to modify our familiar 
assumptions about preferences, or allow that people make systematic 
errors in their attempts to maximize those preferences, it is 
sometimes misleading to conceptualize people as attempting to 
maximize well-defined, coherent, or stable preferences.   *

*   BARGAINING STRUCTURE, FAIRNESS, AND EFFICIENCY

Matthew Rabin
Department of Economics
University of California, Berkeley

First Draft: June 15, 1996
This Draft: February 24, 1997


Abstract: Experiments with the ultimatum game -- where one party can 
make a take-it-or-leave-it offer to a second party on how to split a 
pie -- illustrate that conventional game theory has been wrong in its 
predictions regarding the simplest of bargaining settings: Even when 
one party has enormous bargaining power, she may [Yoshie: the word 
"not" seems missing here] be able to extract all the surplus from 
trade, because the second party will reject grossly unequal 
proposals. But ultimatum games may lead us to misconstrue some 
general lessons: Given plausible assumptions about what preferences 
underlie ultimatum-game behavior, alternative bargaining structures 
that also give a Proposer enormous bargaining power may lead to very 
different outcomes. For virtually any outcome in which the Proposer 
gets more than half the pie, there exists a bargaining structure 
yielding that outcome. Notably, many bargaining structures can lead 
to inefficiency even under complete information. Moreover, 
inefficiency is partly caused by asymmetric bargaining power, so that 
"fairer environments" can lead to more efficient outcomes. Results 
characterize how other features of simple bargaining structures 
affect the efficiency and distribution of bargaining outcomes, and 
generate testable hypotheses for simple non-ultimatum bargaining 
games.

Keywords: Bargaining, Efficiency, Fairness, Inefficiency, Inequality, 
Ultimatum Game

JEL Classification: A12, A13, B49, C70, D63   *

*   INCENTIVES FOR PROCRASTINATORS

Ted O'Donoghue
Department of Economics
Cornell University
and
Matthew Rabin
Department of Economics
University of California, Berkeley
November 17, 1998


Abstract: We examine how principals should design incentives to 
induce time-inconsistent procrastinating agents to complete tasks 
efficiently. Delay is costly to the principal, but the agent faces 
stochastic costs of completing the task, and efficiency requires 
waiting when costs are high. If the principal knows the task-co

Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-19 Thread Jim Devine

At 11:28 PM 06/18/2000 -0400, you wrote:
> GT is methodologically on the right. Period. The reason for this is 
>that the attention to micro foundations through rational choice, game 
>theoric models and formal modeling of neo-classical economics  have tended 
>to obscure the importance of relations of production and the exploitative 
>relationship between the capitalist and the worker. GT lacks a progressive 
>framework to explain systemic inequalities.

no, the problem is that GT typically assumes relative equality in "games." 
It need not do so.

> >While I respectfully say that this is A bullshit [a BS what? a BS 
> argument?],
>
>supposed "neutrality" of game theory...
>
> >I think that the very assumptions of game theory--individualism, profit 
> maximizing agency, egoism, alturism [altruism?] in return for 
> benefit--are bombastically IDEOLOGICAL.

>first of all, don't correct my words or intervene in the text. You are 
>not  the editor here.

Actually, I am (and an economist too). One of the frustrating things about 
threads in  on-line discussions is that they rapidly become 
incomprehensible to the readers. And frankly, I'm not talking just to you 
but to others who are reading this. I try to make it comprehensible to 
them. Further, "editing" something allows me to be more careful in my 
reading of it. Anyway, putting little comments in brackets like 
"[altruism?]" is not the same as editing.

>I write quickly, and sometimes misuse letters. Knowing that English is my 
>second language, you are being *disgustingly racist*,
>like once upon a time you called third world people *irrational* here.

As far as I am concerned, you can have any opinion of me that you want. But 
the fact that you're stooping to calling me names says that this 
conversation is over. This is my last contribution to this thread.

More importantly, I _never_ referred  to third world people as irrational. 
I would like to see documentation of this totally outrageous claim. If you 
have any evidence, I _will_ respond, to show that it is spurious and libelous.

>You should consider an apology to the list, or at least to the 
>international members of the list!

An apology is appropriate only appropriate if I'd done something wrong.

>... I am saying that the game theoretical applications of conflict
>resolution to international relations and security studies (which I don't
>think you are aware, btw) come up with explanations and results that
>tend to promote the foreign policy interests of the US. Have you ever
>attempted to see where game theorists publish their articles in the
>majority of cases? They are the kind of journals such as _Foreign
>Affairs_, _Washington Report_ _Strategic Studies_, _Journal of Military
>Studies_, etc.. How do you assume that these people having their articles
>published in these journals are objective, given that the institutional
>basis of these journals is intimately related to the US political system
>and the international political order it is trying to endorse. Once I was
>reading a game theoretical explanation of military intervention in Haiti
>in one of these journals. The study was briefly talking about how to keep
>the junta in power with the US help and democratize Haiti in the mean time
>without causing social conflict (revolt). The author was constructing a
>game theory of how to make democracy work in Haiti without pissing off
>the US as well as the junta. If this is not ideology, what is it?

This suggests that GT is so empty that it can be used to justify 
_anything_. Hey, that's a sustantive criticism!

> >African Americans have not chosen to be discrimanated by whites. Women
> >have not chosen to be beaten by men..Nobody chooses the heads of
> >corporations (even in some formal sense). If there is oppression,  it is
> >because there has been oppression against some others' rights to  equality.
>
> >Again, I can imagine someone could apply GT to model the way in which
> >social institutions limit choice. On racism, for example, imagine a black
> >person who decides whether to (a) stay with his or her community or (b)
> >try
> >to fit within white society.
>
>How can a black "choose" to fit within a white society?

you'll notice that I used the phrase "try to fit." A lot of black people 
had lighter skin have been pretty successful at this. Even the 
darker-skinned types can try to fit in _culturally_. I didn't say that they 
would succeed.

>If we start the game with this individualistic assumption, then we end up 
>saying that blacks are responsible for causing racism by consciously 
>choosing the conditions they live in. One can *not* start the game with 
>the assumption that blacks and whites share the same circumstances, rules 
>of the game and the social institutions limiting their choices. 
>Institutions do not limit
>blacks and whites' choices equally. They discriminate...

I didn't say that "blacks and whites share the same circumstances, rules of 
the game and the soc

Re: Re: Re: GT [was: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-19 Thread Anthony D'Costa

I have been on pen-l now for 8 years.  Calling people racists on this list
is infantile to say the least.  Storm in a tea cup I hope:)

Cheers, Anthony

xxx
Anthony P. D'Costa, Associate Professor  
Comparative International Development
University of WashingtonTaylor Institute & South Asia Program
1900 Commerce StreetJackson School of International Studies
Tacoma, WA 98402, USA   University of Washington, Seattle

Phone: (253) 692-4462
Fax :  (253) 692-5612
xxx




Re: Re: GT [was: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-18 Thread Rob Schaap

G'day Mine,

>I have not seen among game theorists any Marxists, any socialists with a
>progressive agenda. Show me one? The ones who have applied a 
>rational-choice brand of game theory to Marxism (Elster, Perzeworski,
>Roemer, Wright) have moved away from Marxism in their attemps to build
>economics on micro-foundations and individual decisions. 

I've read some Elster, and he deploys mainstream methods (like games theory)
to destroy mainstream stuff like public choice theory, transferred
preferences, stability therof etc etc, doesn't he?  Good work, I'd've
thought!  And, anyway, we don't want to react to the institutional blindness
to institutional constraint (in which connection, incidentally, I think we
could frame Marx as an institutionalist par excellence - as Tsuru claims) by
effectively positing an absolutely determinant economic base and a helpless
subject - some Marxists have gone that route, and I don't reckon it works as
theory - neither explaining our lives today nor making thinkable a humanity
that is as much subject as object of its history.

>first of all, don't correct my words or intervene in the text. You are not
>the editor here. I write quickly, and sometimes misuse letters. Knowing
>that English is my second language, you are being *disgustingly racist*,
>like once upon a time you called third world people *irrational* here. You
>should consider an apology to the list, or at least to the international
>members of the list!

Well, if Jim is disgustingly racist, you can give up on all hope here and
now, Mine.  If I make mistakes, I'd like them corrected - whatever the
nature of my mistake.  That's how we learn.  It's not fair that cyberspace
is dominated by American English, but it's not the fault of American English
speakers either.  English is my second language, too, but now I've been
corrected so often, and so well, that I speak and write it rather better
than my first.

>Altruism has a pragmatic connotation in cooperative game theory. You give
>in order to receive. As Richard Dawkins wrote in _Selfish Gene_, the book
>that is a prototype of fascism and sexism, men compete to fuck women in
>order to transfer their superior genes to their offsprings. The
>possibility of being fucked or selected from the pool depends on how men
>are altrustic to women as well how much women can offer.

I think there's a lot to Dawkins' theory - and it is a theory that may or
may not be deployed to support fascism and sexism (I think Dawkins himself
read too much and too little into his theory, especially in his first
edition), but I maintain it is not *necessarily* what you say it is.  Part
of the environment within which our genes march through history is human
culture and the particular power relations of the moment - that makes our
genetic history a rather particular and complex business - but it doesn't
deny Dawkins so much as introduce a dialectical relationship into the mix. 
Fine.

And anyway, experience tells us that women in liberal capitalist polities
compete no less than men when it comes to the mating game (I imagine this
would be true in much, but perhaps not all, of Turkey, too).  I mean, we
are, at least in part, talking about individuals engaged in competition,
aren't we?  You'd need strong rules and stronger enforcement to have it
otherwise, I reckon (Taliban-like patriarchy. for instance).  And, yeah, its
those rules (especially uncodified cultural norms) that GT can miss.  BTW,
just to get a bit humanistic about all this, I don't reckon we're a purely
cooperative species at all, myself.  We're just not purely competitive,
that's all.  Cooperation was, I submit, how we competed as a species - and
we must not confuse competition at the unconscious species level with that
at individual, and often conscious, level (like the Spencerian 'social
darwinists' and their latter day acolytes seem to think).

>My alternative is not to use game theory as a methodological tool.
>Just like socio-biology crap, game theory is inherently non Marxist, if
>not anti liberal-left.

I just don't find the outcomes of game theory to explain much at all about
the world within which I live (on the strength of introductory economics and
public choice texts, anyway), and I don't think it privileges what's most
important to decision-making.  So I don't like it insofar as I understand
it.  I'd accept non-Marxist in that sense.  'Anti-Marxist', it seems to me,
remains rather moot.

>How can a black "choose" to fit within a white society? If we start the
>game with this individualistic assumption, then we end up saying that
>blacks are responsible for causing racism by consciously choosing the
>conditions they live in. One can *not* start the game with the assumption
>that blacks and whites share the same circumstances, rules of the game and
>the social institutions limiting their choices. Institutions do not limit
>blacks and whites' choices equally. They discriminate... 

I agree.

>>I wasn't apologizing for GT

Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-18 Thread md7148



MD wrote:  >The argument that evil is not in the "economist but in the
technique"  >misses the point since it assumes that the technique of game
theory is >neutral, just as it assumes that economists are neutral. 

>But Rod did not assume that economists are neutral. Nor did I. Again, I 
>think that the problem with GT arises when it excludes other ways of 
>understanding the world and other ways of understanding what to do. I see 
>nothing in GT _per se_ which indicates that its use automatically leads
>to 
>reactionary conclusions.

I have not seen among game theorists any Marxists, any socialists with a
progressive agenda. Show me one? The ones who have applied a 
rational-choice brand of game theory to Marxism (Elster, Perzeworski,
Roemer, Wright) have moved away from Marxism in their attemps to build
economics on micro-foundations and individual decisions. GT is
methodologically on the right. Period. The reason for this is that
the attention to micro foundations through rational choice, game
theoric models and formal modeling of neo-classical economics 
have tended to obscure the importance of relations of production and the
exploitative relationship between the capitalist and the worker.
GT lacks a progressive framework to explain systemic inequalities.


>While I respectfully say that this is A bullshit [a BS what? a BS
>argument?],

supposed "neutrality" of game theory...

>I think that the very assumptions of game >theory--individualism, profit
>maximizing agency, egoism, alturism >[altruism?] in return for benefit--
>are bombastically IDEOLOGICAL.

first of all, don't correct my words or intervene in the text. You are not
the editor here. I write quickly, and sometimes misuse letters. Knowing
that English is my second language, you are being *disgustingly racist*,
like once upon a time you called third world people *irrational* here. You
should consider an apology to the list, or at least to the international
members of the list!


>Someone already pointed out that GT need not involve individualism or
>profit-maximizing or egoism. One can apply altruism in making decisions
>in >the game. I don't think it's a very good theory of altruism, but
that's >another issue. 

Altruism has a pragmatic connotation in cooperative game theory. You give
in order to receive. As Richard Dawkins wrote in _Selfish Gene_, the book
that is a prototype of fascism and sexism, men compete to fuck women in
order to transfer their superior genes to their offsprings. The
possibility of being fucked or selected from the pool depends on how men
are altrustic to women as well how much women can offer.


>Game theorists do not need to conspire with the US government at the
>moment, this is de passe; what they need to do is to teach the
governments >about how to resolve conflicts and play the diplomacy game
correctly in a >way to minimize nuclear threat >in a post-cold war era..

>This sounds as if you think that GT is a neutral tool that can be used to 
>preserve peace. So GT isn't all bad?

NO. I am saying that the game theoretical applications of conflict
resolution to international relations and security studies (which I don't
think you are aware, btw) come up with explanations and results that
tend to promote the foreign policy interests of the US. Have you ever
attempted to see where game theorists publish their articles in the
majority of cases? They are the kind of journals such as _Foreign
Affairs_, _Washington Report_ _Strategic Studies_, _Journal of Military
Studies_, etc.. How do you assume that these people having their articles
published in these journals are objective, given that the institutional
basis of these journals is intimately related to the US political system
and the international political order it is trying to endorse. Once I was
reading a game theoretical explanation of military intervention in Haiti
in one of these journals. The study was briefly talking about how to keep
the junta in power with the US help and democratize Haiti in the mean time
without causing social conflict (revolt). The author was constructing a
game theory of how to make democracy work in Haiti without pissing off
the US as well as the junta. If this is not ideology, what is it?


>Furthermore, if something _empirically_ does not happen, it does not mean
>that game theory is not ideological. To argue >otherwise is very much
>like saying that I do not beat my wife, so there is >no sexism.. 

>I don't get this. Please tell me how GT is nothing but ideological. Is 
>there something about GT that makes it inherently reactionary? More 
>importantly, what is your alternative?

My alternative is not to use game theory as a methodological tool.
Just like socio-biology crap, game theory is inherently non Marxist, if
not anti liberal-left.

>African Americans have not chosen to be discrimanated by whites. Women 
>have not chosen to be beaten by men..Nobody chooses the heads of 
>corporations (even in some formal sense). If there is op

Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-18 Thread Jim Devine

Rod wrote: >I agree Jim. The evil is in the economist not in the technique.<

Though I think you're saying this implicitly, it's important to make it 
explicit that it's not that the economists are evil, but that the 
institutions within which they work (capitalism, academia, the economics 
hierarchy) create incentives for them to act in an evil way (in terms of 
objective effects) while encouraging them to take on an "evil" (i.e., very 
individualistic, opportunistic) attitude. (There's that famous study which 
showed that students who took economics courses became more likely free 
ride in prisoners' dilemma games.)

MD wrote:
>The argument that evil is not in the "economist but in the technique" 
>misses the point since it assumes that the technique of game theory is 
>neutral, just as it assumes that economists are neutral.

But Rod did not assume that economists are neutral. Nor did I. Again, I 
think that the problem with GT arises when it excludes other ways of 
understanding the world and other ways of understanding what to do. I see 
nothing in GT _per se_ which indicates that its use automatically leads to 
reactionary conclusions. It's akin to supply & demand, which has been used 
for reactionary purposes but need not be used in that way.

>While I respectfully say that this is A bullshit [a BS what? a BS 
>argument?], I think that the very assumptions of game 
>theory--individualism, profit maximizing agency, egoism, alturism 
>[altruism?] in return for benefit-- are bombastically IDEOLOGICAL.

Someone already pointed out that GT need not involve individualism or 
profit-maximizing or egoism. One can apply altruism in making decisions in 
the game. I don't think it's a very good theory of altruism, but that's 
another issue.

I see the idea of agency as okay, since to treat people as non-agents is to 
not show them respect. I just don't see people as individualistic, 
profit-maximizing, egotistical agents having goals that are predetermined 
independent of society (i.e., having "given tastes").

>One can not seperate the assummptions from the technique on the fallistic 
>[fallacious?] assumption that game theorists will not automatically apply 
>their theories to engage in a nuclear attack against USSR.

I was simply saying that we can't assume automatically that GT will be used 
for evil purposes. You seem to be saying that GT is always evil. I was 
saying that the link between GT and John von Neumann's conclusions from it 
is tenuous at best.

>Game theorists do not need  to conspire with the US government at the 
>moment, this is de passe; what they need to do is to teach the governments 
>about how to resolve conflicts and play the diplomacy game correctly in a 
>way to minimize nuclear threat
>in a post-cold war era..

This sounds as if you think that GT is a neutral tool that can be used to 
preserve peace. So GT isn't all bad?

>Furthermore, if something _empirically_ does not happen, it does not mean 
>that game theory is not ideological. To argue
>otherwise is very much like saying that I do not beat my wife, so there is 
>no sexism..

I don't get this. Please tell me how GT is nothing but ideological. Is 
there something about GT that makes it inherently reactionary? More 
importantly, what is your alternative?

I had written:
> >But the idea that people choose actions that bring them the best results 
> is tautological and therefore unobjectionable as long as it's not reified.<

Mine responds:
>Where is the tautology here? I did not choose to live in a capitalist system.

Of course you didn't. But the fact that you didn't make that choice doesn't 
mean that you don't make other choices. Or is there someone or something 
who programs you or dictates to you to make you choose which clothes to 
wear each day? I don't think so. Are you totally constrained in your 
choices or totally brainwashed? Between the issue of living under 
capitalism and that of what clothes to wear, there's a continuum of 
different situations involving less individual choice (like with 
capitalism, racism, etc.) and more individual choice (like with what you 
eat). In the middle, for example, I am highly restricted in what method you 
take to get to work (a car, car-pooling, bicycling, public transportation) 
but I do have some choice.

BTW, the GT practitioners don't believe that all results in our lives are a 
matter of choice, since the "game" itself exists independent of the 
individual wills of its participants. I can imagine that someone thinks 
that GT can be used to construct a game to describe the dilemmas that 
people face under capitalism. I don't think the model would be adequate, 
though it might capture some elements of the way in which choices are 
limited by social institutions such as capitalism. The big problem is when 
someone thinks the GT model is adequate.

I would think of capitalism as a collective action problem instead of as a 
game. It's bad for workers as a class (compared to running

Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-18 Thread md7148


>>The argument that evil is not in the "economist but in the technique"
>>misses the point since it assumes that the technique of game theory is
>>neutral,


>Would you consider, first, going and reading something that Matthew 
>Rabin has actually written?

Why don't you enlighten us about the hero's work, Brad?  particulary his
assumptions about how a capitalist economy should work??. 


Mine




Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee(fwd)

2000-06-18 Thread Brad De Long

>The argument that evil is not in the "economist but in the technique"
>misses the point since it assumes that the technique of game theory is
>neutral,


Would you consider, first, going and reading something that Matthew 
Rabin has actually written?




Re: Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-18 Thread Jim Devine

At 11:23 AM 06/18/2000 +0800, you wrote:
>As to whether the fact that unique solutions are available only for
>two-person (and of course 'person' here is not 'individual person')
>games is a weakness or not would depend upon how one simplifies the
>situation to assimilate it to a two-person situation. Such
>simplifications are common enough in physics where the n-body (n>2)
>problem remains unsolved, I believe.

can't physicists deal with cases where n = infinity? After all, economists 
using purely formal techniques can handle the case where n = 1 (monopoly) 
or n = infinity (mythical perfect competition) and just barely handle n = 2 
(duopoly)
.
Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS




Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-18 Thread Timework Web

What's happening on this thread is a microcosm of what generally happens
in 'science'. Nobody posting appears to have read anything by
Rabin. Everyone has an opinion/prejudice on some general issue related to
the fields Rabin is known to be investigating -- game theory, psychology
etc. Whatever contribution Rabin may have made or not made to  
understanding gets buried in a rehash of preconceptions. Ultimately, what
will matter is what kind of impression the fellow's manners have made on
the folks with the most influence in the profession (brilliant, good
company). It doesn't matter what you say, it's still the conventional
wisdom at the end of the day.

Tom Walker




GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-17 Thread md7148


The argument that evil is not in the "economist but in the technique"
misses the point since it assumes that the technique of game theory is
neutral, just as it assumes that economists are neutral. While I
respectfully say that this is A bullshit, I think that the very
assumptions of game theory--individualism, profit maximizing agency,
egoism, alturism in return for benefit-- are bombastically IDEOLOGICAL.
One can not seperate the assummptions from the technique on the fallistic 
assumption that game theorists will not automatically apply their theories
to engage in a nuclear attack against USSR. Game theorists do not need
to conspire with the US government at the moment, this is de passe; what
they need to do is to teach the governments about how to resolve conflicts
and play the diplomacy game correctly in a way to minimize nuclear threat 
in a post-cold war era..Furthermore, if something _empirically_ does not
happen, it does not mean that game theory is not ideological. To argue
otherwise is very much like saying that I do not beat my wife, so there is
no sexism..

Jim Devine wrote: 

>I'm not antagonistic toward game theory, _per se_. I even studied it in
>High School (back in 1967 or 1968) and thought it was pretty cool. The
>problem, as with all theory, is how it's used and whether the theory is
>reified or not. I've been convinced (partly by previous discussions on
>pen-l) that there's nothing inherent in game theory that says that John
>von >Neumann would automatically apply it to call for a preemptive
unilateral >nuclear attack on the USSR. There's nothing inherent in game
theory that says that up-and-coming young economists have to prove their
cojones by using fancy techniques like game theory (GT). 

See above..

>Mine quotes Ronald Chilcote: >Game theory and formal modeling have
generated mathemetical explanations of strategies, especially for
marketing and advertising in business firms. Game theory has had an impact
on economics and it has been widely used in political science analyses of
international confrontations and electoral strategies. In fact, game
theory has been extensively used by political scientists in the testing
and implementation of rational choice theory, which assumes that THE
STRUCTURAL CONSTRAINTS OF SOCIETY DO NOT NECESSARILY DETERMINE THE ACTIONS
OF INDIVIDUALS AND THAT INDIVIDUALS TEND TO CHOOSE ACTIONS THAT BRING THEM
THE BEST RESULTS.<

>I presume that the use of ALL CAPS indicates that you don't approve of 
>these aspects of the theory.

YES

>But the idea that people choose actions that bring them the best results
>is tautological and therefore unobjectionable as long as it's not
>reified.

Where is the tautology here? I did not choose to live in a capitalist
system. African Americans have not chosen to be discrimanated by whites.
Women have not chosen to be beaten by men..Nobody chooses the heads of
corporations (even in some formal sense). If there is oppression, 
it is because there has been oppression against some others' rights to 
equality.

>The idea that people actually choose -- i.e. are not necessarily
>determined by the structural constraints of society -- is pretty obvious.
>People choose to post stuff on pen-l. They're not totally determined by
>their societal environments.

We are not talking about pen-l here. We are talking about a
capitalist system charecterized by systemic inqualities-- the kind of
inequalities that are beyond individuals' choices.

>I prefer Marx's view, i.e., that individuals create society (though
>hardly >ever as intended) _and_ the society limits and shapes individual
choices, >personalities, and the results of their actions, as a unified
and dynamic >(dialectical) process.

I know all these. I don't adulterate Marx's ideas to apologize game
theory.. 

> >Cooperative and competitive relations in one's bargaining with allies
and 
opponents are emphasized by the social scientists in a fashion modeled 
after the economist's attention to exchange, especially through competitive 
market system<

>well, the real world has both cooperative and competitive situations, so 
>that GT isn't irrelevant.

ABOVE, the man is criticizing what the game is trying to ENDORSE as a
model of social relationships, and this model is competitive market
system. He is attacking the hard core assumptions of game theory.

 > In focusing on systemic forecasting, Jantsch (1972) identified a number
>of tendencies in other social sciences. For sociology, he alluded to ways
of " guiding human thinking in systemic fashion" and he mentioned scenario
writing, gaming, historical analogy, and other techniques. For the policy
sciences, he referred to the "outcome-orinted framework for strategic
planning" known as the PLANNING-PROGRAMMING- BUDGETING SYSTEM, WHICH IS
USED BY THE US GOVERNMENT AND OTHER COUNTRIES AS WELL" <

>are you saying that if the government uses something, it's bad? so if 
>President Clinton breathes oxygen, we should avoid it?

Yes

Jim Devine 

Re: GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-17 Thread Rod Hay

I agree Jim. The evil is in the economist not in the technique.

Rod

Jim Devine wrote:

> At 03:11 PM 06/17/2000 -0400, you wrote:
> >I don't understand the antagonism to game theory. It is a logical technique--a
> >tool that can be used to focus the mind on strategic decisions. It has the
> >weakness that it can only practically discuss the interaction of two people,
> >but surely there is nothing inherent in it that would bring out this scorn.
>
> I'm not antagonistic toward game theory, _per se_. I even studied it in
> High School (back in 1967 or 1968) and thought it was pretty cool. The
> problem, as with all theory, is how it's used and whether the theory is
> reified or not. I've been convinced (partly by previous discussions on
> pen-l) that there's nothing inherent in game theory that says that John von
> Neumann would automatically apply it to call for a preemptive unilateral
> nuclear attack on the USSR. There's nothing inherent in game theory that
> says that up-and-coming young economists have to prove their cojones by
> using fancy techniques like game theory (GT). What I reject is the
> _reduction_ of economics to such formalisms as game theory (so that
> empirical research, a historical perspective, non-game theories,
> philosophy, etc. aren't necessary). Even worse is _cooperative_ game
> theory, which not only gets rid of the more interesting conclusions of the
> theory but represents a Panglossian "best of all possible worlds" approach.
> But we should also remember that other theories have been misused,
> including Marxian theory.
>
> Mine quotes Ronald Chilcote: >Game theory and formal modeling have
> generated mathemetical explanations of strategies, especially for marketing
> and advertising in business firms. Game theory has had an impact on
> economics and it has been widely  used in political science analyses of
> international confrontations and electoral strategies. In fact, game theory
> has been extensively used  by political scientists in the testing and
> implementation of rational choice theory, which assumes that THE STRUCTURAL
> CONSTRAINTS OF SOCIETY DO NOT NECESSARILY DETERMINE THE ACTIONS OF
> INDIVIDUALS AND THAT INDIVIDUALS TEND TO CHOOSE ACTIONS THAT BRING THEM THE
> BEST RESULTS.<
>
> I presume that the use of ALL CAPS indicates that you don't approve of
> these aspects of the theory.
>
> But the idea that people choose actions that bring them the best results is
> tautological and therefore unobjectionable as long as it's not reified.
>
> The idea that people actually choose -- i.e. are not necessarily determined
> by the structural constraints of society -- is pretty obvious. People
> choose to post stuff on pen-l. They're not totally determined by their
> societal environments. In any event, no-one has developed a theory of
> society that's so good that it can predict individual behavior 100% of the
> time. Even if such a theory could be developed, it would be a _behaviorist_
> theory (like that of BF Skinner). That's a road that leads "beyond freedom
> and dignity" into the realm of authoritarianism.
>
> I prefer Marx's view, i.e., that individuals create society (though hardly
> ever as intended) _and_ the society limits and shapes individual choices,
> personalities, and the results of their actions, as a unified and dynamic
> (dialectical) process.
>
> Game theory is only about how the results of individual actions are limited
> by the structure of (a very simple) society (and how individuals make
> choices within that structure). It ignores the rest of the picture, and
> thus presents a very one-sided vision (or less than one-sided vision) of
> the world. For example, basic GT discusses the "prisoners' dilemma" without
> discussing how the cops have the power to create such a dilemma (creating
> the rules of the "game"). Similarly, it ignores other police tactics, such
> as the "tough cop/nice cop" routine that does the mindf*ck to the prisoner.
>
>  >Cooperative and competitive relations in one's bargaining with allies and
> opponents are emphasized by the social scientists in a fashion modeled
> after the economist's attention to exchange, especially through competitive
> market system<
>
> well, the real world has both cooperative and competitive situations, so
> that GT isn't irrelevant.
>
>  > In focusing on systemic forecasting, Jantsch (1972) identified a number
> of tendencies in other social sciences. For sociology, he alluded to ways
> of " guiding human thinking in systemic fashion" and he mentioned scenario
> writing, gaming, historical analogy, and other techniques. For the policy
> sciences, he referred to the "outcome-orinted framework for strategic
> planning" known as the PLANNING-PROGRAMMING- BUDGETING SYSTEM, WHICH IS
> USED BY THE US GOVERNMENT AND OTHER COUNTRIES AS WELL" <
>
> are you saying that if the government uses something, it's bad? so if
> President Clinton breathes oxygen, we should avoid it?
>
> Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]

GT [was: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

At 03:11 PM 06/17/2000 -0400, you wrote:
>I don't understand the antagonism to game theory. It is a logical technique--a
>tool that can be used to focus the mind on strategic decisions. It has the
>weakness that it can only practically discuss the interaction of two people,
>but surely there is nothing inherent in it that would bring out this scorn.

I'm not antagonistic toward game theory, _per se_. I even studied it in 
High School (back in 1967 or 1968) and thought it was pretty cool. The 
problem, as with all theory, is how it's used and whether the theory is 
reified or not. I've been convinced (partly by previous discussions on 
pen-l) that there's nothing inherent in game theory that says that John von 
Neumann would automatically apply it to call for a preemptive unilateral 
nuclear attack on the USSR. There's nothing inherent in game theory that 
says that up-and-coming young economists have to prove their cojones by 
using fancy techniques like game theory (GT). What I reject is the 
_reduction_ of economics to such formalisms as game theory (so that 
empirical research, a historical perspective, non-game theories, 
philosophy, etc. aren't necessary). Even worse is _cooperative_ game 
theory, which not only gets rid of the more interesting conclusions of the 
theory but represents a Panglossian "best of all possible worlds" approach. 
But we should also remember that other theories have been misused, 
including Marxian theory.

Mine quotes Ronald Chilcote: >Game theory and formal modeling have 
generated mathemetical explanations of strategies, especially for marketing 
and advertising in business firms. Game theory has had an impact on 
economics and it has been widely  used in political science analyses of 
international confrontations and electoral strategies. In fact, game theory 
has been extensively used  by political scientists in the testing and 
implementation of rational choice theory, which assumes that THE STRUCTURAL 
CONSTRAINTS OF SOCIETY DO NOT NECESSARILY DETERMINE THE ACTIONS OF 
INDIVIDUALS AND THAT INDIVIDUALS TEND TO CHOOSE ACTIONS THAT BRING THEM THE 
BEST RESULTS.<

I presume that the use of ALL CAPS indicates that you don't approve of 
these aspects of the theory.

But the idea that people choose actions that bring them the best results is 
tautological and therefore unobjectionable as long as it's not reified.

The idea that people actually choose -- i.e. are not necessarily determined 
by the structural constraints of society -- is pretty obvious. People 
choose to post stuff on pen-l. They're not totally determined by their 
societal environments. In any event, no-one has developed a theory of 
society that's so good that it can predict individual behavior 100% of the 
time. Even if such a theory could be developed, it would be a _behaviorist_ 
theory (like that of BF Skinner). That's a road that leads "beyond freedom 
and dignity" into the realm of authoritarianism.

I prefer Marx's view, i.e., that individuals create society (though hardly 
ever as intended) _and_ the society limits and shapes individual choices, 
personalities, and the results of their actions, as a unified and dynamic 
(dialectical) process.

Game theory is only about how the results of individual actions are limited 
by the structure of (a very simple) society (and how individuals make 
choices within that structure). It ignores the rest of the picture, and 
thus presents a very one-sided vision (or less than one-sided vision) of 
the world. For example, basic GT discusses the "prisoners' dilemma" without 
discussing how the cops have the power to create such a dilemma (creating 
the rules of the "game"). Similarly, it ignores other police tactics, such 
as the "tough cop/nice cop" routine that does the mindf*ck to the prisoner.

 >Cooperative and competitive relations in one's bargaining with allies and 
opponents are emphasized by the social scientists in a fashion modeled 
after the economist's attention to exchange, especially through competitive 
market system<

well, the real world has both cooperative and competitive situations, so 
that GT isn't irrelevant.

 > In focusing on systemic forecasting, Jantsch (1972) identified a number 
of tendencies in other social sciences. For sociology, he alluded to ways 
of " guiding human thinking in systemic fashion" and he mentioned scenario 
writing, gaming, historical analogy, and other techniques. For the policy 
sciences, he referred to the "outcome-orinted framework for strategic 
planning" known as the PLANNING-PROGRAMMING- BUDGETING SYSTEM, WHICH IS 
USED BY THE US GOVERNMENT AND OTHER COUNTRIES AS WELL" <

are you saying that if the government uses something, it's bad? so if 
President Clinton breathes oxygen, we should avoid it?

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS




Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-17 Thread md7148


You can not understand the antogonism to game theory, because you are
blind to ideology behind it:

"Game theory and formal modeling have generated mathemetical explanations
of strategies, especially for marketing adn advertising in business
firms.Game theory has had an impact on economics and it has been widely
used in political science analyses of international confrontations and
electoral strategies. In fact, game theory has been extensively used
by political scientists in the testing and implementation of rational
choice theory, which assumes that THE STRUCTURAL CONSTRAINTS OF SOCIETY DO
NOT NECESSARILY DETERMINE THE ACTIONS OF INDIVIDUALS AND THAT INDIVIDUALS
TEND TO CHOOSE ACTIONS THAT BRING THEM THE BEST RESULTS. Cooperative and
competitive relations in one's bargaining with allies and opponents are
emphasized by the social scientists in a fashion modeled after the
economist's attention to exchange, especially through competitive market
system"

" In focusing on systemic forecasting, Jantsch (1972) identified a number
of tendencies in other social sciences. For sociology, he alluded to ways
of " guiding human thinking in systemic fashion" and he mentioned scenario
writing, gaming, historical analogy, and other techniques. For the policy
sciences, he referred to the "outcome-orinted framework for strategic
planning" known as the PLANNING-PROGRAMMING- BUDGETING SYSTEM, WHICH IS
USED BY THE US GOVERNMENT AND OTHER COUNTRIES AS WELL" (Ronald Chilcote,
p.125).

Mine

 >I don't understand the antagonism to game theory. It is a logical
>technique--a >tool that can be used to focus the mind on strategic
decisions. It has >the >weakness that it can only practically discuss the
interaction of two >people, >but surely there is nothing inherent in it
that would bring out this scorn. 

>Rod

>Jim Devine wrote:

>> >Brad De Long wrote:
> >>He's [Matt Rabin is] brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of
> >>interesting ideas about how game theory should be developed...
>
> >Doug writes:
>> >To what end? What's the point of game theory? What does it explain
that
> >things other than game theory don't?
>
> >I hope that Rabin is leading the fight against cooperative game theory.
But
> >I'd like to hear what Rabin's contributions to this field have been.
>
> >Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS

--
>Rod Hay
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
The History of Economic Thought Archive
http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/~econ/ugcm/3ll3/index.html
Batoche Books
http://Batoche.co-ltd.net/
52 Eby Street South
Kitchener, Ontario
N2G 3L1
Canada




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-17 Thread Doug Henwood

Rod Hay wrote:

>I don't understand the antagonism to game theory. It is a logical technique--a
>tool that can be used to focus the mind on strategic decisions. It has the
>weakness that it can only practically discuss the interaction of two people,
>but surely there is nothing inherent in it that would bring out this scorn.

There's something horrifyingly banal and fetishized about it, a 
bloodless and asocial representation of human behavior. It gives me 
the creeps, viscerally.

Doug




Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-17 Thread Rod Hay

I don't understand the antagonism to game theory. It is a logical technique--a
tool that can be used to focus the mind on strategic decisions. It has the
weakness that it can only practically discuss the interaction of two people,
but surely there is nothing inherent in it that would bring out this scorn.

Rod

Jim Devine wrote:

> >Brad De Long wrote:
> >>He's [Matt Rabin is] brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of
> >>interesting ideas about how game theory should be developed...
>
> Doug writes:
> >To what end? What's the point of game theory? What does it explain that
> >things other than game theory don't?
>
> I hope that Rabin is leading the fight against cooperative game theory. But
> I'd like to hear what Rabin's contributions to this field have been.
>
> Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS

--
Rod Hay
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
The History of Economic Thought Archive
http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/~econ/ugcm/3ll3/index.html
Batoche Books
http://Batoche.co-ltd.net/
52 Eby Street South
Kitchener, Ontario
N2G 3L1
Canada




Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-17 Thread md7148


well, actually, some people, were bombastically praising the man's work a
couple of posts ago. It is not a novel thing to see that people update
their arguments according to the member composition of the list...


Mine



>Good point Jim.  "Cooperative game theory" is just another bullshit cover
>for competitive equilibrium.

 >   It is being used in the battles I'm in to justify deregulating
>electric
>power, concluding that just the "right" amount of capacity can be built
>as the
>fierce competitors play out their games.


>>> I hope that Rabin is leading the fight against cooperative game
theory.
But
>>> I'd like to hear what Rabin's contributions to this field have been.
>
>>> Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS




Re: Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-17 Thread Eugene Coyle

Good point Jim.  "Cooperative game theory" is just another bullshit cover for
competitive equilibrium.

It is being used in the battles I'm in to justify deregulating electric
power, concluding that just the "right" amount of capacity can be built as the
fierce competitors play out their games.

Gene Coyle

Jim Devine wrote:

> >Brad De Long wrote:
> >>He's [Matt Rabin is] brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of
> >>interesting ideas about how game theory should be developed...
>
> Doug writes:
> >To what end? What's the point of game theory? What does it explain that
> >things other than game theory don't?
>
> I hope that Rabin is leading the fight against cooperative game theory. But
> I'd like to hear what Rabin's contributions to this field have been.
>
> Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS




Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-17 Thread Jim Devine


>Brad De Long wrote:
>>He's [Matt Rabin is] brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of 
>>interesting ideas about how game theory should be developed...

Doug writes:
>To what end? What's the point of game theory? What does it explain that 
>things other than game theory don't?

I hope that Rabin is leading the fight against cooperative game theory. But 
I'd like to hear what Rabin's contributions to this field have been.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine/AS




Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-17 Thread md7148


Rob, you may wish to consider Ronal Chilcote's _Theories of Comparative
Politics: The Search for a Paradigm Reconsidered_, for an excellent
critique of game theory and methodology of mainstream social sciences.
(Westview Press, 1994)..The book presents a critique of modernization
theory, game theory and rational choice theories..

I have got to go..

Mine

>Game theory has always irritated the hell out of me, too, Mine
>(artificially bounded, neglectful of interpersonal and cultural norms,
>and >ever in the thrall of that inevitable moment of equilibrium).  I'd
be >most >interested to watch you wage your noble war, anyway.  Or
perhaps, point >me >at any concise demolition article of which you might
be aware.

Cheers,
Rob.





Re: Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-17 Thread Rob Schaap

Game theory has always irritated the hell out of me, too, Mine
(artificially bounded, neglectful of interpersonal and cultural norms, and
ever in the thrall of that inevitable moment of equilibrium).  I'd be most
interested to watch you wage your noble war, anyway.  Or perhaps, point me
at any concise demolition article of which you might be aware.

Cheers,
Rob.





Re: McArthur grantee (fwd)

2000-06-16 Thread md7148


Which is why people preach him, and give such people grants game
theorization of economics has unfortunately imperialized other fields of
social sciences too. sorry, i am waging a total war against game theory.
it is an intellectual establishment designed to perpetuate the ideology of
mainstream social sciences a little bit of psychology, a litle bit of
"actor" theory, a little bit of pragmatism.. It teaches you how to
play the role of a  good capitalist!! bingo..

Mine

>He's brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of interesting >ideas
>about how game theory should be developed... 


>this fellow got a McArthur grant yesterday.  Anybody know of him?
>
>
>Matthew Rabin
>
>  Professor of Economics
>  University of California, Berkeley
>  Age: 36
>  Residence: San Francisco,
>California
>  Links: Matthew Rabin's home page
>
>  Rabin is a pioneer in behavioral
>economics, a field that applies
>  such psychological insights as
>fairness, impulsiveness, biases, and
>  risk aversion to economic theory
>and research. He is credited
>  with influencing the practice of
>economics by seamlessly
>  integrating psychology and
>economics, freeing economists to talk with new
>  perspectives on such phenomena as
>group behavior and addiction. Rabin has
>  demonstrated particular strength in
>distilling from psychological research those
>  insights that can be modeled
>mathematically.




Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-16 Thread Doug Henwood

Brad De Long wrote:

>He's brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of interesting 
>ideas about how game theory should be developed...

To what end? What's the point of game theory? What does it explain 
that things other than game theory don't?

Doug




Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-16 Thread Brad De Long

He's brilliant, and very witty: good company. Lots of interesting 
ideas about how game theory should be developed...


>this fellow got a McArthur grant yesterday.  Anybody know of him?
>
>
>Matthew Rabin
>
>  Professor of Economics
>  University of California, Berkeley
>  Age: 36
>  Residence: San Francisco,
>California
>  Links: Matthew Rabin's home page
>
>  Rabin is a pioneer in behavioral
>economics, a field that applies
>  such psychological insights as
>fairness, impulsiveness, biases, and
>  risk aversion to economic theory
>and research. He is credited
>  with influencing the practice of
>economics by seamlessly
>  integrating psychology and
>economics, freeing economists to talk with new
>  perspectives on such phenomena as
>group behavior and addiction. Rabin has
>  demonstrated particular strength in
>distilling from psychological research those
>  insights that can be modeled
>mathematically.




Re: Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-15 Thread Ted Winslow

Jim wrote:

> 
> The article that I read by Rabin was hardly mathematical, though one might
> say that his biases are toward behaviorism rather than toward
> psychoanalysis. But I think that it's a mistake to condemn the guy based on
> a minuscule profile. (hey, my profile ain't so hot either. It makes me look
> fat.)
>

I wasn't condemning Rabin.  I don't know his work.  I was addressing the
profile's identification of psychology with a particular approach to
psychology - "behavioral psychology" - and what appeared to be the implicit
idea that mathematics is the best language for "scientific" expression.

Both the identification and the idea are mistaken.  The psychoanalysis to
which I pointed offers an explanation of the immunity of such thinking to
rational critique e.g. the kind of philosophical critique made by Whitehead
and Keynes of the uncritical application of particular kinds of mathematical
reasoning to the material of the "moral sciences".

"Behavioral psychology" seems to be pretty much the only kind of psychology
to which economists are willing or able to pay attention.

Ted
--
Ted WinslowE-MAIL: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Division of Social Science VOICE: (416) 736-5054
York UniversityFAX: (416) 736-5615
4700 Keele St.
Toronto, Ontario
CANADA M3J 1P3




Re: Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-15 Thread Jim Devine

At 02:35 PM 6/15/00 -0400, you wrote:
> >From the profile of Mathew Rabin:
>
> > Rabin has
> > demonstrated particular strength in
> > distilling from psychological research those
> > insights that can be modeled
> > mathematically.
>
>The wider conventional basis of the dominant approaches of both psychology
>and economics is "physics envy".  The profile identifies "psychology" with
>the "behavioral" approach to it now dominant.

The article that I read by Rabin was hardly mathematical, though one might 
say that his biases are toward behaviorism rather than toward 
psychoanalysis. But I think that it's a mistake to condemn the guy based on 
a minuscule profile. (hey, my profile ain't so hot either. It makes me look 
fat.)

I also see nothing wrong _per se_ with modeling psychology mathematically. 
I'd have to look at the assumptions and the empirical evidence marshalled 
to justify the assumptions. (Does the value of the insights outweigh the 
costs imposed by silly assumptions?) Also, it's possible that the 
practitioner of "mathematical psychics" would miss the limitations of her 
or his model (just as Chicago-school economists, including those at 
UCBerkeley, confuse the ideal market with the empirical reality), but 
that's not necessarily a problem with the model itself.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine
["clawww" or "liberalarts" can replace "bellarmine"]




Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-15 Thread Ted Winslow

>From the profile of Mathew Rabin:

> Rabin has
> demonstrated particular strength in
> distilling from psychological research those
> insights that can be modeled
> mathematically.

The wider conventional basis of the dominant approaches of both psychology
and economics is "physics envy".  The profile identifies "psychology" with
the "behavioral" approach to it now dominant.  Shiller's *Irrational
Exuberance* is another example of the same approach.  (Confirming the point
I made some time ago about the blindness of economists to the psychological
foundations of Keynes's economics, Shiller - at least so far as I've been
able to find in *Irrational Exuberance* - makes no mention of Keynes's
analysis of financial markets.)

Keynes gives some very good reasons why a physics based approach, whether in
economics or psychology, is incapable of handling essential features of the
real phenomena involved (it's interesting that these disciplines define
themselves in terms of a particular physics based approach rather than in
terms - as does say Alfred Marshall's definition of economics - of the real
phenomena that constitute their subject matter).  As part of this, as I've
pointed out before, he demonstrates that conventional mathematical methods
(e.g. those making use of the "variable") have only a very limited
applicability in these disciplines.  Consequently, insight is most often
blocked by the insistence on identifying a "scientific" approach with a
"mathematical" approach.  This is not a "strength".

Keynes treated "physics envy" as itself an irrational psychological
phenomenon needing explanation.  His account suggests it is an obsessional
symptom functioning as a defence against psychotic anxiety.

This is consistent with the Kleinian psychoanalytic explanation of the
inability of "the scientist" to take account of essential aspects not only
of social phenomena but of phenomena of life in general.  Wilfred Bion makes
this point as follows:

"The scientist whose investigations include the stuff of life itself finds
himself in a situation that has a parallel in that of the patients I am
describing.  The breakdown in the patient's equipment for thinking leads to
dominance by a mental life in which his universe is populated by inanimate
objects.  The inability of even the most advanced human beings to make use
of their thoughts, because the capacity to think is rudimentary in all of
us, means that the field for investigation, all investigation being
ultimately scientific, is limited, by human inadequacy, to those phenomena
that have the characteristics of the inanimate.  We assume that the
psychotic limitation is due to an illness: but that that of the scientist is
not.  Investigation of the assumption illuminates disease on the one hand
and scientific method on the other.  It appears that our rudimentary
equipment for 'thinking' thoughts is adequate when the problems are
associated with the inanimate, but not when the object for investigation is
the phenomenon of life itself.   Confronted with the complexities of the
human mind the analyst must be circumspect in following even accepted
scientific method; its weakness may be closer to the weakness of psychotic
thinking than superficial scrutiny would admit."  Bion, *Learning from
Experience*, in *Seven Servants*, p. 14

Ted Winslow
--
Ted WinslowE-MAIL: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Division of Social Science VOICE: (416) 736-5054
York UniversityFAX: (416) 736-5615
4700 Keele St.
Toronto, Ontario
CANADA M3J 1P3




Re: McArthur grantee

2000-06-15 Thread Jim Devine

At 10:05 PM 6/14/00 -0700, you wrote:
>this fellow got a McArthur grant yesterday.  Anybody know of him?
>
>Matthew Rabin

I read an article he had in the JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE, which 
surveyed the psychology literature that he deemed relevant to economists. 
It was quite competent and interesting. Among other things, his survey 
suggested that a pure market environment encourages opportunistic 
psychology and behavior. This goes against some of the most hallowed faiths 
of economic orthodoxy.

A colleague who was a student of Rabin's at UC-Berkeley has some personal 
details, but I'll skip them.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine
["clawww" or "liberalarts" can replace "bellarmine"]