RE: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism

2009-12-29 Thread Lilienfeld, Scott O
All true, and I don't dispute the statistics.  But there's a good reason to be 
(much) more concerned about terrorist attacks than lightning: lightning doesn't 
learn from experience.  Were terrorists able to find a dependable way of 
bringing explosive devices on board planes with low risk of detection, all it 
would take is one or at most two downed commercial planes to paralyze 
(temporarily, one would hope) the airplane industry, national and international 
travel, and much of the world economy.

 Again, I don't dispute that the absolute risks are at present extremely 
low.  I just wouldn't want us to leap to the unjustified conclusion that the 
amount of worry we should devote to such incidents should be much less than to 
lightning strikes, as the issues involved here are markedly different.

Scott

From: Paul Brandon [paul.bran...@mnsu.edu]
Sent: Tuesday, December 29, 2009 1:19 AM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: Re: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism


Not to mention the risks of being killed by an infected cheeseburger.
We cheerfully tolerate many higher but less dramatic risks than 'terrorism'.

On Dec 29, 2009, at 12:03 AM, Christopher D. Green wrote:

Here are some statistics on the probability of being the (attempted) victim of 
terrorism on a commercial flight that may make for interesting discussion in 
your courses: 
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/12/odds-of-airborne-terror.html

Here's the best bit: the odds of being on given departure which is the subject 
of a terrorist incident have been 1 in 10,408,947 over the past decade. By 
contrast, the odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are about 1 in 
500,000. This means that you could board 20 flights per year and still be less 
likely to be the subject of an attempted terrorist attack than to be struck by 
lightning.

Paul Brandon
Emeritus Professor of Psychology
Minnesota State University, Mankato
paul.bran...@mnsu.edumailto:paul.bran...@mnsu.edu



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RE: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism

2009-12-29 Thread Mike Palij
I would like to add to Scott's point that terrorism involving commercial
flights is a low probability but high impact event by pointing out that
a better measure of the effect of terrorism is how many people have
died from all identified instances of terrorism.  As Nate Silver (see
his picture in the dictionary under nerd) points out, there has only
been six incidents with commercial airlines.  If this were the only
empirical indicator of the effects of terrorism, then one might feel
safe to ignore terrorism but that would be a foolish thing to do.
Nate Silver is just doing number crunching because certain numbers
are available to crunch.  He doesn't go deeper and ask why is that
number so low given the great impact that terrorism involving commercial
airlnes has on society.  The number is not small because it is a naturally 
low number but because huge resources have been used to keep 
that number low.  The real question is what are the best practices 
to keep the number of terrorists events low while putting the least 
amount of restrictions on what people can do when flying.

Other better questions for Nate to ask is what would be the naturally 
occurring rate of terrorism involving commercial airliners be if there 
were no processes in place to prevent it?  Or how long would it 
take for commercial airlines to be reduced to only a few flights a 
day because the probability of being involved in a terrorist event 
would cause people to use other means of transportation?  But
this requires more than number crunching, it requires understanding
the role of terrorism, how to use it effectively against a population,
and how people respond to terrorist threats.  I don't think Nate
thinks at that level.

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu



On Tue, 29 Dec 2009 03:30:41 -0800, Scott O Lilienfeld wrote:
All true, and I don't dispute the statistics.  But there's a good reason to be 
(much) more concerned about terrorist attacks than lightning: lightning doesn't 
learn from experience.  Were terrorists able to find a dependable way of 
bringing explosive devices on board planes with low risk of detection, all it 
would take is one or at most two downed commercial planes to paralyze 
(temporarily, one would hope) the airplane industry, national and international 
travel, and much of the world economy.

 Again, I don't dispute that the absolute risks are at present extremely 
low.  I just wouldn't want us to leap to the unjustified conclusion that the 
amount of worry we should devote to such incidents should be much less than to 
lightning strikes, as the issues involved here are markedly different.

Scott

From: Paul Brandon [paul.bran...@mnsu.edu]
Sent: Tuesday, December 29, 2009 1:19 AM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: Re: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism


Not to mention the risks of being killed by an infected cheeseburger.
We cheerfully tolerate many higher but less dramatic risks than 'terrorism'.

On Dec 29, 2009, at 12:03 AM, Christopher D. Green wrote:

Here are some statistics on the probability of being the (attempted) victim of 
terrorism on a commercial flight that may make for interesting discussion in 
your courses: 
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/12/odds-of-airborne-terror.html 

Here's the best bit: the odds of being on given departure which is the subject 
of a terrorist incident have been 1 in 10,408,947 over the past decade. By 
contrast, the odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are about 1 in 
500,000. This means that you could board 20 flights per year and still be less 
likely to be the subject of an attempted terrorist attack than to be struck by 
lightning.

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Re: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism

2009-12-29 Thread Paul Brandon
One must consider marginal utility and limited resources.
How many lives would be saved by committing a billion dollars to:
   1.  Combatting terrorism.
   2.  Reducing automobile accidents.
   3.  Making the food supply safe.

Two and three also have social and economic costs.

And then there are the wars
and resources committed to medical advertising and the production of  
'me-too' drugs rather than research.


On Dec 29, 2009, at 5:29 AM, Lilienfeld, Scott O wrote:

 All true, and I don't dispute the statistics.  But there's a good  
 reason to be (much) more concerned about terrorist attacks than  
 lightning: lightning doesn't learn from experience.  Were  
 terrorists able to find a dependable way of bringing explosive  
 devices on board planes with low risk of detection, all it would  
 take is one or at most two downed commercial planes to paralyze  
 (temporarily, one would hope) the airplane industry, national and  
 international travel, and much of the world economy.

  Again, I don't dispute that the absolute risks are at present  
 extremely low.  I just wouldn't want us to leap to the unjustified  
 conclusion that the amount of worry we should devote to such  
 incidents should be much less than to lightning strikes, as the  
 issues involved here are markedly different.

 Scott
 From: Paul Brandon [paul.bran...@mnsu.edu]
 Sent: Tuesday, December 29, 2009 1:19 AM
 To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
 Subject: Re: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism

 Not to mention the risks of being killed by an infected cheeseburger.
 We cheerfully tolerate many higher but less dramatic risks than  
 'terrorism'.

 On Dec 29, 2009, at 12:03 AM, Christopher D. Green wrote:

 Here are some statistics on the probability of being the  
 (attempted) victim of terrorism on a commercial flight that may  
 make for interesting discussion in your courses: http:// 
 www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/12/odds-of-airborne-terror.html

 Here's the best bit: the odds of being on given departure which  
 is the subject of a terrorist incident have been 1 in 10,408,947  
 over the past decade. By contrast, the odds of being struck by  
 lightning in a given year are about 1 in 500,000. This means that  
 you could board 20 flights per year and still be less likely to be  
 the subject of an attempted terrorist attack than to be struck by  
 lightning.



Paul Brandon
10 Crown Hill Lane
Mankato, MN 56001
pkbra...@hickorytech.net



Paul Brandon
Emeritus Professor of Psychology
Minnesota State University, Mankato
paul.bran...@mnsu.edu


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RE: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism

2009-12-29 Thread Helweg-Larsen, Marie
In Gardner's book The Science of Fear 
(http://www.amazon.com/Science-Fear-Culture-Manipulates-Brain/dp/0452295467/ref=pd_sim_b_1)
 he has an excellent chapter on terrorism and the effects of fear and 
overreaction to terrorism. He also cites a worldwide data base on the total 
number of people killed in terrorist attacks which is usually 300-500 annually 
worldwide (I do not have the book here so I cannot double check it; I'm also 
sure there is lots of difficulty with what counts as a terrorist attack).

Marie



Marie Helweg-Larsen, Ph.D.
Department Chair and Associate Professor of Psychology
Kaufman 168, Dickinson College
Carlisle, PA 17013, office (717) 245-1562, fax (717) 245-1971
Office hours: Mon/Thur 3-4, Tues 10:30-11:30
http://users.dickinson.edu/~helwegm/index.html



-Original Message-
From: Mike Palij [mailto:m...@nyu.edu]
Sent: Tuesday, December 29, 2009 4:55 AM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Cc: Mike Palij
Subject: RE: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism

I would like to add to Scott's point that terrorism involving commercial
flights is a low probability but high impact event by pointing out that
a better measure of the effect of terrorism is how many people have
died from all identified instances of terrorism.  As Nate Silver (see
his picture in the dictionary under nerd) points out, there has only
been six incidents with commercial airlines.  If this were the only
empirical indicator of the effects of terrorism, then one might feel
safe to ignore terrorism but that would be a foolish thing to do.
Nate Silver is just doing number crunching because certain numbers
are available to crunch.  He doesn't go deeper and ask why is that
number so low given the great impact that terrorism involving commercial
airlnes has on society.  The number is not small because it is a naturally
low number but because huge resources have been used to keep
that number low.  The real question is what are the best practices
to keep the number of terrorists events low while putting the least
amount of restrictions on what people can do when flying.

Other better questions for Nate to ask is what would be the naturally
occurring rate of terrorism involving commercial airliners be if there
were no processes in place to prevent it?  Or how long would it
take for commercial airlines to be reduced to only a few flights a
day because the probability of being involved in a terrorist event
would cause people to use other means of transportation?  But
this requires more than number crunching, it requires understanding
the role of terrorism, how to use it effectively against a population,
and how people respond to terrorist threats.  I don't think Nate
thinks at that level.

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu



On Tue, 29 Dec 2009 03:30:41 -0800, Scott O Lilienfeld wrote:
All true, and I don't dispute the statistics.  But there's a good reason to be
(much) more concerned about terrorist attacks than lightning: lightning doesn't
learn from experience.  Were terrorists able to find a dependable way of
bringing explosive devices on board planes with low risk of detection, all it
would take is one or at most two downed commercial planes to paralyze
(temporarily, one would hope) the airplane industry, national and international
travel, and much of the world economy.

 Again, I don't dispute that the absolute risks are at present extremely
low.  I just wouldn't want us to leap to the unjustified conclusion that the
amount of worry we should devote to such incidents should be much less than to
lightning strikes, as the issues involved here are markedly different.

Scott

From: Paul Brandon [paul.bran...@mnsu.edu]
Sent: Tuesday, December 29, 2009 1:19 AM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: Re: [tips] Stats on airplane terrorism


Not to mention the risks of being killed by an infected cheeseburger.
We cheerfully tolerate many higher but less dramatic risks than 'terrorism'.

On Dec 29, 2009, at 12:03 AM, Christopher D. Green wrote:

Here are some statistics on the probability of being the (attempted) victim of
terrorism on a commercial flight that may make for interesting discussion in
your courses:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/12/odds-of-airborne-terror.html

Here's the best bit: the odds of being on given departure which is the subject
of a terrorist incident have been 1 in 10,408,947 over the past decade. By
contrast, the odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are about 1 in
500,000. This means that you could board 20 flights per year and still be less
likely to be the subject of an attempted terrorist attack than to be struck by
lightning.

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[tips] social psychology trade books; need recommendations for project

2009-12-29 Thread Traci Giuliano
I'm always on the lookout for recent (or even not-so-recent trade books 
that I may have missed) for a project in which students read trade books 
written by social psychologists (or sometimes non social psychologists 
on social psychological topics) and develop useful applications based on 
the book for a class project.


If anyone has any suggestions, I'd love to hear them.

For reference, here is the list that I used last year:

1) Self insight (Dunning)
2) The mismeasure of women (Tavris)
3) The how of happiness (Lyubomirsky)
4) How we know what isn’t so (Gilovich)
5) Mindfulness (Langer)
6) Intuition (Myers)
7) Curse of the Self (Leary)
8) White bears (Wegner)
9) Strangers to ourselves (Wilson)
10) Making marriage work (Gottman)
11) The relationship cure (Gottman)
12) Opening up (Pennebaker)
13) Singled out (DePaulo)
14) Emotions revealed (Ekman)
15) Telling lies (Ekman)
16) Breaking Murphy’s Law (Segerstrom)
17) Survival of the prettiest (Etcoff)
18) Stumbling on Happiness (Gilbert)
19) American Paradox (Myers)
20) Meanings of Life (Baumeister)
21) The two sexes (Maccoby)
22) Why so slow? (Valian)
23) Everyday mind reading (Ickes)
24) Losing control (Baumeister)
25) Friendly letter to skeptics (Myers)
26) Mistakes were made (Tavris)
27) The cultural animal (Baumeister)

Thanks!!

--

Traci A. Giuliano

Professor of Psychology

John H. Duncan Chair


Southwestern University

Georgetown, TX 78626

office 512.863.1596

fax 512.863.1846


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re: [tips] social psychology trade books; need recommendations for project

2009-12-29 Thread Mike Palij
On Tue, 29 Dec 2009 11:16:03 -0800, Traci Giuliano wrote:
I'm always on the lookout for recent (or even not-so-recent trade books that I 
may have missed) for a project in which students read trade books written by 
social psychologists (or sometimes non social psychologists on social 
psychological topics) and develop useful applications based on the book for a 
class project. 
If anyone has any suggestions, I'd love to hear them.

How about:

Phil Zimbardo: The Lucifer Effect (the Stanford Prison Experiment
and Beyond)

Charles Skoller: Twisted Confessions (Skoller was the NYC ADA
who investigated the Kitty Genovese murder and prosecuted
Winston Mosley who killed Kitty and other women; it's useful
to compare Skoller's account with other accounts as Harold
Takooshian did in his review of this book in PscyCritiques)

Gerd Gigerenze: Gut Feelings (Gerd's attempt to cash in on the
Blink popularity which relied in part on his research which he
goes into more detail in this book)

Gary Belsky  Tom Gilovich:  Why Smart People Make Big
Money Mistakes and How To Correct Them (part behavioral
economics, part decision-making and heuristics, part self-help)

All of the above are available on Amazon.

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu


For reference, here is the list that I used last year:

1) Self insight (Dunning)
2) The mismeasure of women (Tavris)
3) The how of happiness (Lyubomirsky)
4) How we know what isn’t so (Gilovich)
5) Mindfulness (Langer)
6) Intuition (Myers)
7) Curse of the Self (Leary)
8) White bears (Wegner)
9) Strangers to ourselves (Wilson)
10) Making marriage work (Gottman)
11) The relationship cure (Gottman)
12) Opening up (Pennebaker)
13) Singled out (DePaulo)
14) Emotions revealed (Ekman)
15) Telling lies (Ekman)
16) Breaking Murphy’s Law (Segerstrom)
17) Survival of the prettiest (Etcoff)
18) Stumbling on Happiness (Gilbert)
19) American Paradox (Myers)
20) Meanings of Life (Baumeister)
21) The two sexes (Maccoby)
22) Why so slow? (Valian)
23) Everyday mind reading (Ickes)
24) Losing control (Baumeister)
25) Friendly letter to skeptics (Myers)
26) Mistakes were made (Tavris)
27) The cultural animal (Baumeister)

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Re: [tips] social psychology trade books; need recommendations for project

2009-12-29 Thread David Myers
In a 2007 article for *Teaching of Psychology *on Teaching Psychological
Science through Writing I offered a few of my favorite trade books, as of
2006.   (Excuse any typos from the OCR scanning of the pdf article, which
I'd be glad to send anyone.)

Dave Myers
www.davidmyers.org
www.hearingloop.org


Trade Books



Sometimes we have an urge to say more than magazine

articles will allow. That has been the experience

of our colleagues who have written successful and influential

general audience trade books. Like many

readers of this journal, I have relished and felt pride

in books by psychological scientists such as Robert

Cialdini, Thomas Gilovich, Judith Rich Harris, Irving

Janis, Elizabeth Loftus, Susan Nolen-Hoeksema, James

Pennebaker, Steven Pinker, Daniel Schacter, Martin

Seligman, Carol Tavris, Daniel Wegner, Timothy

Wilson, and Phillip Zimbardo. Now our field has been

blessed with four successful new trade books, each of

which is giving psychology away to large audiences.



Schwartz's (2004) *The Paradox of Choice, *which has

been massively covered in various media, applies psy~

chological science in explaining why today's world

ironically offers us more choice and less satisfaction.

Twenge's (2006) *Generation *Me masterfully draws on

research and popular culture in depicting the rise of

epidemic narcissism, illusory optimism, and anxiety

among today's younger Americans. In *The Happiness*

*Hypothesis, *Haidt (2006) pointed to a more meaningful,

moral, and happy life by interweaving ancient wisdom

and modem science. Gilbert’s (2006) *Stumbling*

on *Happiness *gives readers a rollicking tour of the new

research on people's inability to predict their own happiness.

In addition also to Seligman's (2002) *Authentic*

*Happiness *and Lykken's (1999) *Happiness, *there arc

two more happiness books to come. Emmons (2007)

authored *Thanks! How the New *Science *of Gratitude*

*Can Make You Happier. *Diener and Biswas-Diener (in

press) wrote *Happiness:  Unlocking the Mysteries of *

*Psychological Wealth, *the title of

their forthcoming report of well-being research.

Lest anyone think that positive psychology has com-

pletely taken over the discipline, the happiness trade

books are balanced by psychologist-authored evil

trade books. Waller's (2002) powerful *Becoming *Evil.

will soon appear in a second edition. Shermer (2004)

offered *The Science af Good *and Evil, Baumeister (1997)

contributed *Evil: Inside Human Cruelty *and *Violence,*

Zimbardo (2007) has authored *The Lucifer Effect: *Un~

*derstanding How *Good *People *Turn Evil, and Tavris and

Aronson (2007) coauthored Mistakes *Were Made (But*

*Not by *Me).

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Re: [tips] Cannabis damages young brains

2009-12-29 Thread Allen Esterson
���I think I blundered in my statistical calculation in my last posting on 
this thread. I wrote:
Here are the statistics:
http://tinyurl.com/yjeq7hm

The risk was most increased for breast cancer. In developed
countries like the UK, the chance of having had breast cancer
by the age of 75 is 9.5 in 100. According to the study, for every
extra daily unit of alcohol (over 2 a week), that risk increases by
1.1 per 100. So if you had a roughly 9.5 percent chance of getting
breast cancer by the age of 75, but you drank one glass of wine
a day, that risk would go up to 10.6 percent. If you drank two
glasses of wine a day, that would increase to 11.7 percent.

My calculation gives:
Chance of getting breast cancer up to age 75 is approximately 1 in 10
Moderate drinking gives 1% increase, i.e., 1% of 10% = 0.1% increase
 = 1 in 1000

I should have argued that (using the figures from the study) that 9.5 
women in every 100 get breast cancer by the age of 75. According to the 
study, for moderate drinkers this goes up to 10.6 women in every 100. 
That makes an increase of 1.1 women in every 100, i.e., an increase of 
roughly 1 in 100.

This tallies with the conclusion at the end of the Abstract to the 
study:
Low to moderate alcohol consumption in women increases the risk of 
certain cancers. For every additional drink regularly consumed per day, 
the increase in incidence up to age 75 years per 1000 for women in 
developed countries is estimated to be about 11 for breast cancer…
http://tinyurl.com/yc6esev

Chris Green wrote:
when in fact the actual increase in the breast cancer rate was
something like 2 in 10,000

By my reckoning that means Chris is out by a factor of 50.

A reminder: The issue here is not the absolute validity of the study, 
but Chris's assertion:
Without actually going back a checking press releases, I can
recall the case of the moderate drinking causes breast
cancer announcement in Britain earlier this year, in which
it seemed pretty clear that the scientists had sexed it up for
the university press team, who had then re-sexed it up for
the new media, who had then re-re-sexed it up for public
(when in fact the actual increase in the breast cancer rate
was something like 2 in 10,000…

As I wrote in my last posting, from the Abstract of the published 
study, the press release on a BMJ website (reprinted in the Guardian), 
and British newspaper reports of the study I can find nothing to 
support any of the above contentions.

Allen Esterson
Former lecturer, Science Department
Southwark College, London
http://www.esterson.org


Re: [tips] Cannabis damages young brains
Allen Esterson
Tue, 29 Dec 2009 06:55:13 -0800
On 28 Dec 2009 Chris Green wrote:
There's nothing surprisingly egregious about this particular
article, is there?

In response to which Stephen Black replied:
I've never seen a university press release, which should
have been vetted by the authors and presumably ran with
their approval, hide the fact that the research was in animals.

Chris Green responded:
I'm still surprised. Without actually going back a checking press
releases, I can recall the case of the moderate drinking causes
breast cancer announcement in Britain earlier this year, in which
it seemed pretty clear that the scientists had sexed it up for the
university press team, who had then re-sexed it up for the new
media, who had then re-re-sexed it up for public (when in fact
the actual increase in the breast cancer rate was something like
2 in 10,000, and there was little reason to believe that alcohol,
rather than the billion or so things correlated with increased
alcohol consumption, was responsible even for this tiny increase).

Let's all agree that there is much dismal reporting of scientific 
findings (especially in the field of health) in the media. But Chris's 
response to Stephen does not directly answer his challenge. Moreover 
his supposedly just as bad example turns out, on investigation, not 
to live up to Chris's assertions (at least as far as the British press 
is concerned).

I though it might be interesting to investigate the specific example 
Chris gives concerning the study which was reported as saying that 
moderate drinking increases the risk of (not causes) breast cancer. 
My conclusion, at least in relation to the British press, is that the 
reporting was nowhere near as bad as Chris asserts, and that he 
understates the claimed increase of breast cancer rate for moderate 
drinking by a factor of about 5.

First the study by the University of Oxford's Cancer Epidemiology Unit: 
Moderate Alcohol Intake and Cancer Incidence in Women, Allen N. E. et 
al, : Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Volume 101, Number 5, 4 
March 2009 , pp. 296-305(10). From the Abstract's Conclusion 
(relating to alcohol):
Low to moderate alcohol consumption in women increases the risk of 
certain cancers. For every additional drink regularly consumed per day, 
the increase 

[tips] Brain-Mind Science in Fiction: Calling all nerds!

2009-12-29 Thread Donnelly, Michael
Hello TIPsters:

I am in the happy position of getting to offer an elective seminar this
spring, which I have dubbed Prime Time Cognitive-Neuroscience.  The
idea is to use television programming that incorporates
brain-mind-behavior science ideas into the storylines, in order to help
our students (these will be mostly seniors) integrate and reinforce many
of the things they've learned over the last three years. We use these
programs as a lens thru which we try to get an idea of what public
perceptions of the current state of our knowledge is and where the
public thinks we might be headed, and then do our best to see how
reasonable these are, given what we know right now.

There are lots of obvious examples, many very recent but some older:

1. Battlestar Galactica (artificial intelligence, etc)
2. Dollhouse (mind control, memory alteration)
3. House (you name it, they've done it)
4. Six Million Dollar Man (advanced prosthetics)

So: here is my request--

I'm trying to organize the semester not by shows per se, but by major
themes. I wonder if you could take a look at my draft themes list, and
critique it, or add some of your own. Note that I am going for MAJOR
themes--the ones that come up over and over again.

1. Advanced Neural Prosthetics (ala Georgie LaForge in Star Trek TNG and
the $6M Man)

2. Amnesia/Memory Loss (due to accidental or intentional causes, or
disease)

3. Cognitive Enhancement (smart pills implanted memory devices computer
chips in the brain etc)

4. Mind Control (e.g. the recent episode of Fringe where the kid took
all the pills and gained this power, but think also Jose Delgado and the
bull with the implanted stimulator)

5. Mind Reading (could be really far-fetched a la The Cell but also
might include detection of deception as in Lie to Me)

6. Artificial Intelligence/Robotics (computers take over a la BSG and
Terminator but also Commander Data in TNG)

7. Virtual Worlds (artificially generated hallucinations, sort of goes
with Mind Control, but really refers to implanting thoughts and sensory
experiences, usually more for entertainment purposes)

8. Emotional Hostages (technological/pharmaceutical control of emotions
for benign or malign purposes)

9. Medical Mysteries (sort of a catch-all category of which House is
perhaps the most 
prominent recent example, but includes lots of the hospital-dramas like
ER and Grey's Anatomy)

10. My Tumor Made Me Do It (Law  Order-type shows, where someone's
organic disease/damage causes them to commit a crime of some kind)

11. Chemical Mind (aka Altered states. Think the famous Blue Boy
episode from Dragnet)

That set of themes seems to cover a lot of ground, but I wonder if you
can think of any big ones that aren't one this list? Also, if you have
any specific episodes that are really good then I'd appreciate your
suggestions there as well. Old, new, great, awful, drama, comedy, live
action, animated series, American, foreign--doesn't matter. Just so long
as they serve as a good focal point for our discussions, and fit well
within one of the major themes.

Note that this is really more Fiction based on science than it is
Science Fiction although obviously a lot of sci-fi will work very
well.

Thanks in advance

Mike Donnelly
UW-Stout Dept of Psychology
--
P.S.: TV only.  We did At the Movies last year, and this is a partial
list 

-Johnny Mnemonic (cognitive enhancement, plus perhaps the best example
of overacting by a major star ever put to the big screen. What do I
want? I want room service!!! and a club sandwich!!)

-Frankenstein and Bride of Frankenstein (together they make about 150
min; features a brain transplant, and something surprisingly like
genetic experimentation. Surprisingly cool, plus you get to see just how
well Mel Brooks did in putting together Young Frankenstein)

-Possible Worlds (brains in a vat...literally)

-Diving Bell  the Butterfly 

-Robocop (neural control of robots)

-Existenz (virtual worlds for the purpose of entertainment)

-Clean Slate (like Memento, but played for laughs)

-Eternal Sunshine Spotless Mind (memory alteration, of course)

-Fiend without a Face (the final 40 minutes, just for fun on day 1 of
the course)

So you have an idea of the range of the things we like...







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Re: [tips] social psychology trade books; need recommendations for project

2009-12-29 Thread Britt, Michael
How about The Myth of Repressed Memory by Loftus


Michael Britt
mich...@thepsychfiles.com
www.thepsychfiles.com
Twitter: mbritt

On Dec 29, 2009, at 2:15 PM, Traci Giuliano wrote:

 I'm always on the lookout for recent (or even not-so-recent trade  
 books that I may have missed) for a project in which students read  
 trade books written by social psychologists (or sometimes non social  
 psychologists on social psychological topics) and develop useful  
 applications based on the book for a class project.

 If anyone has any suggestions, I'd love to hear them.

 For reference, here is the list that I used last year:

 1) Self insight (Dunning)
 2) The mismeasure of women (Tavris)
 3) The how of happiness (Lyubomirsky)
 4) How we know what isn’t so (Gilovich)
 5) Mindfulness (Langer)
 6) Intuition (Myers)
 7) Curse of the Self (Leary)
 8) White bears (Wegner)
 9) Strangers to ourselves (Wilson)
 10) Making marriage work (Gottman)
 11) The relationship cure (Gottman)
 12) Opening up (Pennebaker)
 13) Singled out (DePaulo)
 14) Emotions revealed (Ekman)
 15) Telling lies (Ekman)
 16) Breaking Murphy’s Law (Segerstrom)
 17) Survival of the prettiest (Etcoff)
 18) Stumbling on Happiness (Gilbert)
 19) American Paradox (Myers)
 20) Meanings of Life (Baumeister)
 21) The two sexes (Maccoby)
 22) Why so slow? (Valian)
 23) Everyday mind reading (Ickes)
 24) Losing control (Baumeister)
 25) Friendly letter to skeptics (Myers)
 26) Mistakes were made (Tavris)
 27) The cultural animal (Baumeister)

 Thanks!!

 -- 

 Traci A. Giuliano

 Professor of Psychology

 John H. Duncan Chair


 Southwestern University

 Georgetown, TX 78626

 office 512.863.1596

 fax 512.863.1846


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[tips] The Token Economy comes to the iPhone

2009-12-29 Thread Britt, Michael
Having a problem raising your kids?  iPhone to the rescue!  Actually,  
it might be interesting to ask students if they can name what  
behavioral technique is at work here:


http://bit.ly/tokenecon


Michael Britt
mich...@thepsychfiles.com
www.thepsychfiles.com
Twitter: mbritt


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Re: [tips] Cannabis damages young brains

2009-12-29 Thread Christopher D. Green
Regarding the alcohol-breast cancer finding: this is what I actually 
wrote back on 25 Feb:

 For instance, the [BBC] article [sensationally entitled Drink a day 
 increases cancer risk] says that 5,000 of the 
 45,000 annual cases of breast cancer are due to alcohol -- an increase 
 of 11% they say. The population of the UK is about 60 million. Half of 
 the those are female -- 30 million. About 20% of those are children -- 
 leaving 24 million. (see 
 http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?ID=6). 45,000 out of 24 
 million = .0019:  19 in ten thousand women are diagnosed with breast 
 cancer in any given year. Even if the alcohol-cancer causal link were, 
 in fact true, the number of cancer cases would drop to 40,000 which, 
 against a vulnerable population of 24 million is .0017: 17 in ten 
 thousand. Now ask yourself the question: Would you change you lifestyle 
 dramatically to reduce a risk by 2 in 10,000? And that's if the causal 
 link had been established, which it hasn't been.

Regards,
Chris
-- 

Christopher D. Green
Department of Psychology
York University
Toronto, ON M3J 1P3
Canada

 

416-736-2100 ex. 66164
chri...@yorku.ca
http://www.yorku.ca/christo/

==


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Re: [tips] Cannabis damages young brains

2009-12-29 Thread sblack
I think I would be better advised to keep clear of this particular 
dust-up (on breast cancer risk and alcohol intake)  even if it was 
my post (on cannabis!) which seems to have ignited it. Yet I'm 
intrigued by the discrepancy in the statistics quoted by Chris and 
Allen. So while Allen sleeps, which is presumably what they do 
in England at this time of night...

Chris says: Would you change your lifestyle dramatically to 
reduce a risk by 2 in 10,000.  Allen instead calculates a 
reduction in risk of 1 in 100.

I think I see the problem. Chris is using annual statistics, i.e. 
cases in a single year. Allen is using lifetime statistics, up to age 
75. I think the decision to change one's lifestyle is best made on 
the basis of lifetime risk, hence Allen's statistics apply. 

In my opinion, a reduction in the lifetime risk of breast cancer of 
1 in 100 is not trivial, although its personal significance would 
depend on how dearly you love alcohol. Of course, as has been 
noted, it would also require that the relationship between breast 
cancer and drinking be causal, which has not been shown.

But I'm also intrigued by the note Chris reminded us he posted 
on February 25th,  the one where he deplores the 
sensationalism of a BBC article on breast cancer risk and 
alcohol intake. Recently, he laid into me for my own complaint 
against a press release (the teenage brain and cannabis one), 
his point being that as it's all BS anyway, why bother mentioning 
it.  

I did find this dismissive and perhaps even a teensy bit 
condescending. So I'm pleased to discover that he doesn't 
always think that identifying BS in science is not worth doing. 

Me, I think it's always worth doing.

Stephen
-
Stephen L. Black, Ph.D.  
Professor of Psychology, Emeritus   
Bishop's University   
 e-mail:  sbl...@ubishops.ca
2600 College St.
Sherbrooke QC  J1M 1Z7
Canada
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[tips] Science unloads on Santa

2009-12-29 Thread sblack
This list having been rather somber recently, I hesitated to post 
this.  Now that we've resumed business as usual, I'l slip in it just 
past the mark for such silly seasonal stuff.

Not that this kind of thing hasn't been done before, but the 
sources are of interest: Faculty of Science, University of 
Gothenberg, Sweden, and BMJ (the British Medical Journal).  It 
has statistics too!

First this:
http://www.science.gu.se/english/News/Santa/

Then this:
http://tinyurl.com/ylgwbts

I would send you to the original BMJ article for that last one but 
they unfortunately want $$$, and at Christmas too. It seems a 
number of news outlets first picked the story up without realizing 
it was a spoof.

Stephen

-
Stephen L. Black, Ph.D.  
Professor of Psychology, Emeritus   
Bishop's University   
 e-mail:  sbl...@ubishops.ca
2600 College St.
Sherbrooke QC  J1M 1Z7
Canada
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[tips] To all Commonwealth Tipsters

2009-12-29 Thread michael sylvester
Happy 60th.anniversary. We salute our women commonwealthers in expedition in 
the  South pole.You go girls.

Michael omnicentric Sylvester,PhD
Daytona Beach,Florida
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