Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-26 Thread Hamish
On Sunday 16 July 2006 06:00, John Andersen wrote:
> On Saturday 15 July 2006 08:49 pm, jdow wrote:
> > Somehow I figure a better than 1200:1 scoring ratio is a pretty lopsided
> > win for SpamAssassin.
>
> And yet, in spite of your statistics, there is more spam than ever.
> Some estimates are that in excess of 95% of all email is spam.
>

I think this is hype personally.

I take 100k emails per day. About 30k of them are spam. Detection rates are in 
the 90%.  (We do get some false positives, mostly far east languages. 
Chinese, Japanese, Korean). 

We reject a lot of mail, invalid addresses, sender & recipient. Those are 
easy. If I count each rejection, we MIGHT get up to 45-50% email spam. But 
that would be a lie because each email rejected, often gets rejected multiple 
times. (Obvious from IP, Sender & Recipient being the same).
I do know that the AV detection totals dropped to only 1/3'rd of it's previous 
total when I did two things.

1. Verify addresses at the receiving MTA (Postfix).
2. Reject inbound email from my own domain. Including in SMTP headers. (Yes 
this breaks forwarding). Tanstaffl. (sp?)

> If it didn't pay, no one would do it. Clearly spammers are succeeding.
>
> Spamassassin and Razor haven't made a dent in the amount of spam,
> they just mask the problem.  Further, I still pay for the bandwidth.
>

Reject more. Don't accept email fro non-existent addresses. Often people get 
annoyed because you won't accept mail from unverified addresses. Often some 
big organisations even refuse to send from a valid return path (Go figure. 
Apparently email is 'important' to them up till it leaves their servers, then 
suddenly not any more). BUt rejecting this way cuts down 2/3's Viruses & 
spam. Because they use harvested addresses. And the churn is obviously enough 
to reject a large percentage without too much trouble...

Hamish.


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Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-17 Thread Andy Jezierski

Shane Williams <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote on
07/17/2006 09:39:47 AM:

> On Sun, 16 Jul 2006, John Andersen wrote:
> 
> > On Sunday 16 July 2006 06:35 am, Shane Williams wrote:
> >> I never realized SpamAssassin was started back in 1994.  What
version
> >> number was that?  I'd say it was definitely ahead of
its time, since I
> >> almost never got email spam until around 1996-1997
> >
> > The comment was off-hand and not researched.
> 
> That was kind of my point.
> 
> > One of my earliest
> > ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
> > written by some woman who's name escapes me.  Since I haven't
> > been with that ISP since the Pleistocene I just inserted 10 years
> > as an approximation.
> 
> And since you're also confusing SA with SpamBouncer, the reasonable
> conclusion here is that you have no idea what you're talking about.
> 

:-D


As for the image spam, like the article says: "Spammers
are foiling SOME security software by sending junk emails containing nothing
but images, according to experts." 

SA definitly isn't one of those that's being foiled.
I think the last image spam I saw was Mr. Wiggly. I assume there are other
newer ones out there, but thanks to SA, I haven't seen any.

Andy

Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-17 Thread DAve

Shane Williams wrote:

On Sun, 16 Jul 2006, John Andersen wrote:


On Sunday 16 July 2006 06:35 am, Shane Williams wrote:

I never realized SpamAssassin was started back in 1994.  What version
number was that?  I'd say it was definitely ahead of its time, since I
almost never got email spam until around 1996-1997


The comment was off-hand and not researched.


That was kind of my point.


One of my earliest
ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
written by some woman who's name escapes me.  Since I haven't
been with that ISP since the Pleistocene I just inserted 10 years
as an approximation.


And since you're also confusing SA with SpamBouncer, the reasonable
conclusion here is that you have no idea what you're talking about.



Judging from all my list mail today, everyone is in a cranky mood this 
morning.


Must be the heat ;^)

--
Three years now I've asked Google why they don't have a
logo change for Memorial Day. Why do they choose to do logos
for other non-international holidays, but nothing for
Veterans?

Maybe they forgot who made that choice possible.


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-17 Thread Shane Williams

On Sun, 16 Jul 2006, John Andersen wrote:


On Sunday 16 July 2006 06:35 am, Shane Williams wrote:

I never realized SpamAssassin was started back in 1994.  What version
number was that?  I'd say it was definitely ahead of its time, since I
almost never got email spam until around 1996-1997


The comment was off-hand and not researched.


That was kind of my point.


One of my earliest
ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
written by some woman who's name escapes me.  Since I haven't
been with that ISP since the Pleistocene I just inserted 10 years
as an approximation.


And since you're also confusing SA with SpamBouncer, the reasonable
conclusion here is that you have no idea what you're talking about.

--
Public key #7BBC68D9 at| Shane Williams
http://pgp.mit.edu/|  System Admin - UT iSchool
=--+---
All syllogisms contain three lines |  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Therefore this is not a syllogism  | www.ischool.utexas.edu/~shanew

RE: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-17 Thread Chris Santerre
Title: RE: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam







> -Original Message-
> From: Bart Schaefer [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
> Sent: Sunday, July 16, 2006 11:06 PM
> To: users@spamassassin.apache.org
> Subject: Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam
> 
> 
> On 7/16/06, John Andersen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > The comment was off-hand and not researched.  One of my earliest
> > ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
> > written by some woman who's name escapes me.
> 
> I suspect you're thinking of SpamBouncer.  Catherine A. Hampton.
> Other than possibly being a source of inspiration, SpamBouncer has
> nothing to do with SpamAssassin.
> 


Except Catherine has helped the spamassassin project more then people will ever no. May not be direct, but her help has definetly been great. Projects sharing knowledge help us all. 

I would say spammers are a far second to a well tuned SA setup. Frankly, I think we are kicking their ass. 


Image spam, bah! They are filled with numerous other flags. 


Chris Santerre
SysAdmin and SARE/URIBL ninja
http://www.uribl.com
http://www.rulesemporium.com





Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-17 Thread Justin Mason

Bart Schaefer writes:
> On 7/16/06, John Andersen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > The comment was off-hand and not researched.  One of my earliest
> > ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
> > written by some woman who's name escapes me.
> 
> I suspect you're thinking of SpamBouncer.  Catherine A. Hampton.
> Other than possibly being a source of inspiration, SpamBouncer has
> nothing to do with SpamAssassin.

Yep -- SpamBouncer is a totally independent project.  SpamAssassin
started in 2001, 5 years ago.

--j.


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread Bart Schaefer

On 7/16/06, John Andersen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

The comment was off-hand and not researched.  One of my earliest
ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
written by some woman who's name escapes me.


I suspect you're thinking of SpamBouncer.  Catherine A. Hampton.
Other than possibly being a source of inspiration, SpamBouncer has
nothing to do with SpamAssassin.


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread Daryl C. W. O'Shea

John Andersen wrote:


The comment was off-hand and not researched.  One of my earliest
ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
written by some woman who's name escapes me. 


That must have been Justine. ;)


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread John Andersen
On Sunday 16 July 2006 06:44 am, Faisal N Jawdat wrote:
> On Jul 16, 2006, at 1:00 AM, John Andersen wrote:
> > And yet, in spite of your statistics, there is more spam than ever.
> > Some estimates are that in excess of 95% of all email is spam.
>
> I'm unconvinced of this -- my spam load has leveled off at 200 per
> day.  On the order of 1 per week makes it into my inbox.  

Well perhaps not 95% any more.

http://www.messagelabs.com/portal/server.pt/gateway/PTARGS_0_5882_246_454_-454_43/http;/0120-0176-CTC1;8080/publishedcontent/publish/_dotcom_libraries_en/images/threat_watch/threat_statistics/spam_intercepts_may_2006_large_6.jpg

-- 
_
John Andersen


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Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread John Andersen
On Sunday 16 July 2006 06:35 am, Shane Williams wrote:
> I never realized SpamAssassin was started back in 1994.  What version
> number was that?  I'd say it was definitely ahead of its time, since I
> almost never got email spam until around 1996-1997

The comment was off-hand and not researched.  One of my earliest
ISPs recommended Spamassassin when it was just a bunch of scripts
written by some woman who's name escapes me.  Since I haven't
been with that ISP since the Pleistocene I just inserted 10 years
as an approximation.

-- 
_
John Andersen


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Description: signature


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread John D. Hardin
On Sat, 15 Jul 2006, John Andersen wrote:

> On Saturday 15 July 2006 08:49 pm, jdow wrote:
> > Somehow I figure a better than 1200:1 scoring ratio is a pretty lopsided
> > win for SpamAssassin.
> 
> And yet, in spite of your statistics, there is more spam than ever.
> Some estimates are that in excess of 95% of all email is spam.
> 
> If it didn't pay, no one would do it. Clearly spammers are succeeding.

I've always been of the opinion that spam will continue to be a
problem until spammers start dying for spamming. Then the risk/benefit
equation changes.

--
 John Hardin KA7OHZICQ#15735746http://www.impsec.org/~jhardin/
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]FALaholic #11174pgpk -a [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 key: 0xB8732E79 - 2D8C 34F4 6411 F507 136C  AF76 D822 E6E6 B873 2E79
---
 8 days until The 37th anniversary of Apollo 11 landing on the Moon



Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread Faisal N Jawdat

On Jul 16, 2006, at 1:00 AM, John Andersen wrote:

And yet, in spite of your statistics, there is more spam than ever.
Some estimates are that in excess of 95% of all email is spam.


I'm unconvinced of this -- my spam load has leveled off at 200 per  
day.  On the order of 1 per week makes it into my inbox.  The latter  
is due to SA plus some additional code for better white-listing  
(which I'm planning to release as soon as I solve a couple issues).   
The former is entirely out of my control (and note that my email  
address is all over the place).


I suspect one or both of the following are true:

1. the volume of spam is linearly related to the number of email  
addresses out there.  the volume of ham is not:  the amount of ham is  
related to the amount of ham *sent* which follows an exponential  
distribution.  an increase in the number of users does not result in  
an proportional increase of the amount of ham, but does result in a  
proportional increase in the amount of spam.


2. spam will (or may have already) hit an economic equilibrium.  you  
could look at this as a supply and demand problem:  spam "demand" is  
the amount of people who are actually willing to buy things they get  
offers for in spam.  spam "supply" is the number of sellers who are  
willing to sell things via spam.  sending 200m messages still costs  
money (albeit very little of it), and sending 800m messages to get  
the same number of buys doesn't make sense for the spammer.  whether  
or not we have SA, Razor, etc., there comes a point where it isn't  
worth spammers at large  to send additional spam.  spam filtering  
increases the average cost of a sale to the seller, so the marginal  
revenue of a spam run has to be higher for the mailing to be worth it.


-faisal



Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread Shane Williams

On Sat, 15 Jul 2006, John Andersen wrote:


On Saturday 15 July 2006 03:08 am, Loren Wilton wrote:

and if spammers weren't so
incompetent in general it would be even harder than it is.


An odd comment, especially for a project like Spamassassin which
has had to run full out for the last dozen years just to remain
in a dismal second place compared to spammers.


I never realized SpamAssassin was started back in 1994.  What version
number was that?  I'd say it was definitely ahead of its time, since I
almost never got email spam until around 1996-1997 (usenet, on the
other hand...).  In fact, I'm starting to wonder if the whole spam
scourge occured because of SpamAssassin. ^_^

--
Public key #7BBC68D9 at| Shane Williams
http://pgp.mit.edu/|  System Admin - UT iSchool
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Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-16 Thread jdow

From: "John Andersen" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>


And yet, in spite of your statistics, there is more spam than ever.
Some estimates are that in excess of 95% of all email is spam.


They're trying harder. We ARE keeping it out of user's mailboxes. I
consider that a win. I consider it a real win that they have to work
harder to create zombie nets and send millions of emails to get maybe
thousands through. They seem to be getting fewer through for more
effort. So the users see a win.

The only other way to really stop spam is not socially acceptable. But
I do think it would be fun if a bounty was placed on the head (not
necessarily with the body attached) of the top spammers and zombie net
owners. Declare them in season and fair game. More seriously getting
them off the street is about the only real way to end the spam. If
THAT is your "win" then SpamAssassin is not going to make you happy,
ever. Learn a WHOLE lot more about networking, the fine details of
things like DNS, and mail handling, and so forth. Then start tracking
down the physical locations of these people and turn them in. Or
simply let an "excitable person with a gun" know where they are. One
way or another take them away from computers. This will be a life long
undertaking. As you kill one head of the hydra another grows to replace
it. But that is the other kind of win that is possible.

(And for what it is worth the spammers that hit MY mailboxes seem to
be taking a vacation that began a little before the weekend before
the Fourth of July and continues. Slow days used to be about 200 spams
a day with 180 being a REALLY slow day after some spammer was caught
and jailed. Normal days were 250 to 285. Worst case was around 350.
Now I am seeing slightly more than half those numbers for some reason.
I wonder if I have gotten on some spammer's blacklists for turning
them in to our kind of black lists. If that is true I cannot say I am
unhappy. "Tickled pink" is a closer description. Oh, and no, I don't
want or need your spam. /dev/null it yourself.)

{^_^}




Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-15 Thread John Andersen
On Saturday 15 July 2006 08:49 pm, jdow wrote:
> Somehow I figure a better than 1200:1 scoring ratio is a pretty lopsided
> win for SpamAssassin.

And yet, in spite of your statistics, there is more spam than ever.
Some estimates are that in excess of 95% of all email is spam.

If it didn't pay, no one would do it. Clearly spammers are succeeding.

Spamassassin and Razor haven't made a dent in the amount of spam,
they just mask the problem.  Further, I still pay for the bandwidth.

We are all running around with our ears covered so as not
to hear the din.  Yet the din is still there, and growing.

-- 
_
John Andersen


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Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-15 Thread jdow

From: "John Andersen" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>


On Saturday 15 July 2006 03:08 am, Loren Wilton wrote:

and if spammers weren't so
incompetent in general it would be even harder than it is.


An odd comment, especially for a project like Spamassassin which
has had to run full out for the last dozen years just to remain
in a dismal second place compared to spammers.


Dismal second place?

First, where are you coming from? Are you a large ISP using global
everything and have to be lenient and rely on signatures and BLs for
most of the good stuff? Even that gives on the other of a 10:1 ratio
for killed spam to escaped spam.

And what do you figure would be better than dismal second place given
that the miss to kill ratio even on a poorly configured out of the box
SA runs better than 1:1 and probably better than 3:1? SA is forcing the
spammers to be more creative and mangle their message ever more to get
it across. The mangling is counter productive. It telegraphs "This is
spam, delete it" to the recipient even without decoding the words. The
image only trick is a relatively new one and modestly effective. But
all image/no message in itself is good spamsign. Random words in the
message are Bayes food. They make Bayes work better.

On the whole I'd say I am winning. I have 7 escaped spams out of roughly
8500 spams total. Two of those were plain empty. The rest were new
formats. (An electronics parts based 419, for example.) They are all
unique in one way or another. Bayes actually adapted to catching them.
Somehow I figure a better than 1200:1 scoring ratio is a pretty lopsided
win for SpamAssassin. (I have NO other spam filtering involved, not even
grey listing, which is the other really good tool.)

Are you trolling?
{^_^}


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-15 Thread John Andersen

Subject: Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam
Date: Saturday 15 July 2006 08:15 pm
From: John Andersen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: spamassassin-users@incubator.apache.org

On Saturday 15 July 2006 03:08 am, Loren Wilton wrote:
> and if spammers weren't so
> incompetent in general it would be even harder than it is.

An odd comment, especially for a project like Spamassassin which
has had to run full out for the last dozen years just to remain
in a dismal second place compared to spammers.

The comment reminds me of Vipul's comment that spam
would be eradicated. http://vipul.net/

-- 
_
John Andersen


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Re: Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-15 Thread Nigel Frankcom
I'd have said the tools were the spammers and the image spams their
implements - but that'd just be semantics :-}

On Sat, 15 Jul 2006 04:08:51 -0700, "Loren Wilton"
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

>> marketing.. or should I expect a huge deluge of Image spam this weekend
>
>Maybe.  Who knows.
>
>Image spam has been increasing drastically in the last few months.  It is 
>much harder to detect than normal spams, and if spammers weren't so 
>incompetent in general it would be even harder than it is.
>
>Since spammers want to get their message through no matter what, and since 
>most anti-spam solutions have become moderately good with network tests, it 
>is only logical that they try to find some new way around the system.  Image 
>spams seems to be this year's tool.
>
>Loren


Re: Why is there so much hype behind Image spam

2006-07-15 Thread Loren Wilton

marketing.. or should I expect a huge deluge of Image spam this weekend


Maybe.  Who knows.

Image spam has been increasing drastically in the last few months.  It is 
much harder to detect than normal spams, and if spammers weren't so 
incompetent in general it would be even harder than it is.


Since spammers want to get their message through no matter what, and since 
most anti-spam solutions have become moderately good with network tests, it 
is only logical that they try to find some new way around the system.  Image 
spams seems to be this year's tool.


   Loren