date:20140602

Re: [Vo]:what would our much regretted friends say about CF today?

2014-06-02 Thread Peter Gluck

My essay is basically about problem solving.It is too pragmatical
to call the attention of the judges but it fullfills many of the
requirements
of the contest and parts of its were already cited on the Web.
Peter


On Mon, Jun 2, 2014 at 4:01 AM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:


 I think Jed's essay is better written.  Mine was basically one paragraph,
 very simple, very practical, with followup q  a.  So if I've done any
 increasing of chances in the last few days, it was increasing chances for
 Jed to win it.


 If you await for facts and certainties, making predictions becomes easy,
 doesn't it?




 On Sun, Jun 1, 2014 at 7:37 AM, Peter Gluck peter.gl...@gmail.com wrote:

 Dear Kevin,

 I am speaking about some of my very best CF friends whom I met
 in real life too, not only on the Net and who had died young.
 How would they judge the situation today?

 I am making my own  predictions, however I am waiting for facts and
 certainties

 I think your chances to win a prize with your Essay at FQXI have increased
 during the last days

 Peter




 On Sun, Jun 1, 2014 at 8:10 AM, Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 Peter:

 I do not understand what you are asking.  What is a much regretted
 friend?  If it's predictions you're after, look at these 2 threads:

 http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l@eskimo.com/msg93935.html

 http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l%40eskimo.com/msg93531.html

 How does  hope... only come from outside classic CF.



 Please elaborate with an emphasis on clarity.






 On Sat, May 31, 2014 at 3:08 AM, Peter Gluck peter.gl...@gmail.com
 wrote:

 This is an appeal to my readers- can you help me in analyzing
 and predicting what will happen to/in/with our Field. Just now, hope
 comes only from outside classic CF.
 This time I hope to have many answers from you, I dare to think that
 you still CARE.

 Peter

 --
 Dr. Peter Gluck
 Cluj, Romania
 http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com





 --
 Dr. Peter Gluck
 Cluj, Romania
 http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com





-- 
Dr. Peter Gluck
Cluj, Romania
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com

Re: [Vo]:eCat Portfolio

2014-06-02 Thread Jed Rothwell

Kevin O'Malley kevmol...@gmail.com wrote:

It's my understanding that people in high demand in the media get paid for
 their appearances.  And they go on lecture tours, where the lecture fees
 paid to them can run into 6 figures per lecture.  That's how famous you
 could become.


That sounds like fun! But I have nothing good to say about anyone in the
establishment, so I doubt they will want to hear from me. You can go on Fox
News and attack the New York Times, or vice versa, but if you blame both of
them, neither will host you.

History shows that people say they want the unvarnished truth, and they say
they like to see the establishment brought down and fools suffer their
comeuppance, but that is not true.

Sen. William Smith uncovered the facts about the Titanic disaster and
reformed passenger safety. His was attacked by the industry and press, and
to be ridiculed and marginalized in nearly every book on the subject.

Young British officers showed that the commanders of World War I squandered
millions of lives with frontal attacks. They were vilified and forgotten,
while the generals who ordered the attacks were promoted to the
aristocracy.

Gen. Billy Mitchell showed that airplanes can sink ships. He was court
martialed for insubordination.

An NRC field engineer repeatedly warned that Three Mile Island was
vulnerable and that a stuck valve might trigger a catastrophe, because that
nearly happened on two occasions. His superiors in the agency finally
ordered him to shut up and stop filing reports. The valve stuck a third
time, the reactor core melted . . . and he was fired while his superiors
were promoted and given cash awards.

No one was ever held to account for the fact that Iraq had no WMDs. Colin
Powell wrote that he blames himself but I don't think he or anyone else
lost status or was demoted, in a book titled It Worked For Me, about
leadership advice. I gather the title and theme are not intended to be an
ironic joke.

'A failure will always be attached to me and my U.N. presentation,' Powell
writes in *It Worked For Me*, a book that provides leadership advice. 'I am
mad mostly at myself for not having smelled the problem. My instincts
failed me.'

The people who caused the 2008 market crash were rewarded with billions of
dollars in profits and the biggest taxpayer bailout in history.
(Fortunately, they paid most of the money back.) The banks are bigger than
ever. Some of the people who warned against it were ignored and then blamed.

- Jed

Re: [Vo]:An emerging diproton plus halo hypothesis

2014-06-02 Thread David Roberson

In the RF world emissions can be generated by antennas that are far shorter 
than the wavelength of the radiation.  The efficiency of the radiator becomes 
lower as the size decreases but it emits non the less.

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Sun, Jun 1, 2014 1:46 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:An emerging diproton plus halo hypothesis




From:Bob Cook 
 
 As robinpoints out the size of the wave length of the EM radiation does not 
depend uponthe size of the emitting entity.  
 
Hi Bob, 
 
Did Robin say that? – if so,his point comes under the category of opinion AFAIK 
- since the emission of EM radiationalways depends to an extent on the geometry 
of the emitter. 
 
The semantic problem is indefining “geometry” in a relative sense. The nucleus 
in motion can emit longerwavelength than gamma, but only so long as the motion 
is resonant, as in Larmorprecession, for instance. The halo nucleus would fit 
somewhere in between.
 
Can you cite instances orevidence in physics of a stationary nucleus emitting 
EM radiation which is longwavelength – say random RF or light emission which is 
not related to precession?
 
If the size of theemitting entity did not matter, we should see visible light, 
UV and even RF comingfrom nuclei in almost any random frequency - as opposed to 
coming from excited electrons– or in the case of NMR (or Mossbauer) from the 
Larmor frequency, which isbased on nuclear precession in a magnetic field, 
which is a resonant motionalwavelength - thousands of longer than the size of 
the nucleus.
 
In fact, my belief (pendinga citation from you or Robin to contradict it) - is 
that this blanket statementabove about lack of a geometrical parameter is 
completely incorrect - and infact no nucleus can emit longer wavelength EM 
radiation than either its dimensionspermit, or its resonant path in space 
permits (precession or equivalent motion).This emission would be due partly to 
geometry and partly due to excess internalenergy which is released in quanta 
and not randomly. 
 
There was a controversythat arose about 15 years ago where UV and optical 
radiation was said(incorrectly) to derive directly from low energy transitions 
in radioactive nuclei.Of course, the problem is that it is difficult for 
experts to determine wherethe radiation comes from unless you have bare nuclei 
in a vacuum. Spontaneousultraviolet luminescence from U and Th was reported by 
Irwin in 1997, Richardsonin 1998 and Shaw in 1999– but in the end, all of these 
reports were debunked,since the ultraviolet emission could be attributed to 
nitrogen in the airsurrounding the sample, or to mundane sources like k-shell 
emission lines whichhad previously been undocumented. 
http://web.ornl.gov/~webworks/cpr/pres/109281_.pdf
 
Of course, inner shellelectrons can emit UV but not nuclei, AFAIK - unless the 
nucleus is locked intoa larger orbital periodic motion of its own. In fact, the 
UV quanta fromelectrons can be proportionate to the orbital period (geometry) 
as Millssuggest by the Rydberg energy quanta. Mossbauer radiation is another 
exampleand it is entirely denominated by geometry (in forcing magnetic 
precession).
 
The shortest emission wavelength(lowest quanta of energy) which I have seen 
from a relatively cold nucleus (nonkinetic radiation) corresponds to mass 
energy around 6 keV. If there isanything shorter in the literature, it would be 
helpful to cite it – as thishas plenty of relevance to understanding LENR.
 
Jones

Re: [Vo]:Increasing probability of Rossi being real upwards, to 35%

2014-06-02 Thread Blaze Spinnaker

More and more I'm beginning to wonder if we're going to get a TIP report
that shows something interesting, but nowhere guaranteeing the power
densities shown in the first report.

While I believe that Rossi believes he has something and that IH believes
they have something and that there is no fraudulent behavior going on here,
I think the truth is somewhere in the middle.

And the middle is, yes energy, just not very exciting energy. And
possibly, after some analysis, it could be just an impressive new source of
chemical energy that's competitive perhaps with Rocket Fuel in the best
case scenario, but in reality it's just competitive with optimal Geothermal.

In this scenario, I consider the eCat not to have lived up to its promises
which is why my estimate is around 35%.

On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 6:19 PM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com
wrote:

Decreasing the probability to 31% based on smelly stock offering.

http://freeenergyscams.com/andrea-rossi-e-cat-hydro-fusion-cashing-in-before-the-collapse/

HydroFusion is ran by Dr. Magnus Holm. Seems credible - but why didn't he
wait until after the report to ask for more money? Why is Rossi doing
shout outs about Dr Holm?

Andrea Rossi
May 18th, 2014 at 11:20 PM
http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=848cpage=1#comment-957368

Orsobubu:
Thank you for your comment, that indroduces us to the paper published
today on the Journal of Nuclear Physics:
GEOMETRY OF STRING THEORY SOLITONS
by Dr Magnus Holm . It is an important work of this scientist made in
1999, but I find his work dense of important information. It is not an easy
reading, the work is rigorous, but this is the Journal of Nuclear Physics,
and the paper is perfectly in line with the field of application of our
Journal. Dr Magnus Holm is presently working also with me for the E-Cat.
About the comment of our friend Orsobubu: I do not share his certainties
regarding the so called “social sciences”.
Warm Regards,
A.R.

This could be just really inane business strategy or perhaps Magnus just
doesn't have a good contract with Rossi/IH.

For those who really believe in Rossi, my suggestion would be to contact
Hydro fusion and buy up as many shares as you possibly can.

I think everything comes down to this report that should be coming over
the next month. We could see a rise over over 20-30% on the basis of this
report.

Another possibility is that the report may reveal a low COP which is
competitive only with geothermal and could be the result of uninteresting
fuel sources. (which means a drop in probability of 10% or so)

Another (unlikely in my mind) possibility is that the report will reveal
that it doesn't do anything useful, which will be a drop in 25%.

On Mon, May 12, 2014 at 10:41 PM, Blaze Spinnaker
blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Decreasing the probability to 35% based on shattering news of the
Defkalion demo being completely worthless. I hesitate to say it, but It
almost sounds like fraud is being implied.

http://animpossibleinvention.com/2014/05/12/defkalion-demo-proven-not-to-be-reliable/

On Sun, May 11, 2014 at 5:03 PM, Blaze Spinnaker
blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Decreasing probability to 46% based on lack of news from Nanor but up to
47% based on recent news from Darden in China:

http://www.icebank.cn/news/detail_2.php?id=118

hat tip:

http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/05/09/tom-darden-involved-in-opening-of-nickel-hydrogen-energy-research-center-in-tianjin-china/

Note: I suspect there will be an up to (-30%, +15%) swing in
probability when the june report comes out. Big news indeed.

On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 11:25 AM, Blaze Spinnaker
blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Increasing the probability to 47% on the basis on Nanor / MIT videos.

On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:42 PM, Blaze Spinnaker
blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Put that back to 43%:

Mr. Darden earned an MRP in environmental planning from the University
of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,* a JD from Yale Law School* and a
BA from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where he was a
Morehead Scholar.

On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:22 PM, Blaze Spinnaker
blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Correction, make that 41%. It's not Cherokee but rather Tom Darden
(investor, co founder of Cherokee) and Mr. Vaughn (senior analyst at
Cherokee, BA Economics) who are the players here.

It'd be good to find out who those other investors are.

On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:35 PM, Blaze Spinnaker
blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote:

Increasing the probability to 44% on the basis of Cherokee PR
release.

Big big BIG news. Now this is no longer about Rossi, but about
Cherokee.

I know you guys think I'm a git for my doubt, but hey, my model is
wy ahead of the curve than the vast majority of the investing
universe.
XOM is still trading near historical highs, for example.

On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 12:39 PM, Blaze Spinnaker