Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule

2012-01-24 Thread Guenter Wildgruber





 Von: OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson svj.orionwo...@gmail.com
---
To make a long story short:
EROI 20
Duration 6 months with energy-decay 1 to 0.5
Price 'reasonable'
are the the lower-boundary conditions for a -ahem- disruptive technology.

Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule

2012-01-24 Thread Jed Rothwell
OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

Jed, as I'm sure you are aware, Jones has been quite vocal with his
 prediction that Rossi's e-cats (at least the e-cats we've seen so far)
 will eventually be discovered to go quiescent in approximately 8
 hours after being turned on.


I do not know where Jones got this from. I have not heard it from Rossi or
anyone else working with Ni-H. Rossi said it goes bananas after some period
of time. It goes out of control. Whatever that means. He did not say it
turns off and he cannot restart it. Neither did Forcard or Levi or any of
the others who have observed his reactors for days or weeks.

There is no doubt it can run indefinitely with input power. Levi observed
an 18-hour run. Others have seen much longer ones.

I don't see what the problem is here. As long as you can make this thing
run *with* power, who cares if there is some limitation that makes it stop
after 8-hours in self-sustaining mode? If it explodes after 8  hours that's
a problem! But so what if it turns off? Just run it with power input. It
seems Defkalion is doing that. Input power is only a fraction of output, so
it does not matter. Defkalion's ratio is presently 20, they say. I'm sure
with some more engineering they can make any ratio they want.

I do not understand why Rossi and his customer (?) wanted to run the big
reactor in self-sustaining mode in October. I guess they had their reasons.


Meanwhile, we know that Rossi has claimed (boasted?) that he has had
 his e-cats warming a factory for a solid year... or something to that
 effect. However, as we all know, it would be unwise to take Rossi's
 word considering how creative he can be with his use of words.


Yeah. It's an itty-bitty space heater at the EON Factory. The address is in
the patent.

I had some difficulty believing that. Then Forcardi talked about going to
the factory and seeing the gadget, in one of his interviews. I heard that
and thought, maybe it's true after all.

Then a Reliable Source sent me a photo of the gadget, with some technical
details, such as the fact that it ran continuously during the winter of
2008-2009, producing between 5 and 8 kW. I asked permission to upload this
document, but so far, no dice. I have no reason to doubt this is real, and
the heater did run continuously for months.

I realize the noisy skeptics would say I have many reasons to doubt it. For
me . . . I imagine myself a well-informed aviation enthusiast in 1905. Some
friends come by and show me photos from their recent visit to Dayton, such
as this one:

http://www-personal.umich.edu/~bobwolfe/genbob/1905WrightFlight41.jpg

They say, yeah we saw it fly a good 50 feet in the air for 20 minutes. I
know these people to be experts in aviation. I have no doubt that the
Wrights and others have flown. I have seen other people make uncontrolled
glider flights, such as this guy:

http://www.flyingmachines.org/lilthl.html

I think under those circumstances back in 1905 I would be crazy to doubt
what my friends tell me. There is simply no rational reason to think my
friends are crazy, deluded or fooled, or that they are conspiring to fool
me. I do not see any significant difference between that situation and this
one.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule

2012-01-24 Thread Daniel Rocha
Maybe that month long duration is like Piantelli's long runs. They cannot
be reliably repeated. So, while that heater may be true, Rossi cannot
reproduce that so easily.

2012/1/24 Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com

 OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

 Jed, as I'm sure you are aware, Jones has been quite vocal with his
 prediction that Rossi's e-cats (at least the e-cats we've seen so far)
 will eventually be discovered to go quiescent in approximately 8
 hours after being turned on.


 I do not know where Jones got this from. I have not heard it from Rossi or
 anyone else working with Ni-H. Rossi said it goes bananas after some period
 of time. It goes out of control. Whatever that means. He did not say it
 turns off and he cannot restart it. Neither did Forcard or Levi or any of
 the others who have observed his reactors for days or weeks.

 There is no doubt it can run indefinitely with input power. Levi observed
 an 18-hour run. Others have seen much longer ones.

 I don't see what the problem is here. As long as you can make this thing
 run *with* power, who cares if there is some limitation that makes it
 stop after 8-hours in self-sustaining mode? If it explodes after 8  hours
 that's a problem! But so what if it turns off? Just run it with power
 input. It seems Defkalion is doing that. Input power is only a fraction of
 output, so it does not matter. Defkalion's ratio is presently 20, they say.
 I'm sure with some more engineering they can make any ratio they want.

 I do not understand why Rossi and his customer (?) wanted to run the big
 reactor in self-sustaining mode in October. I guess they had their reasons.


 Meanwhile, we know that Rossi has claimed (boasted?) that he has had
 his e-cats warming a factory for a solid year... or something to that
 effect. However, as we all know, it would be unwise to take Rossi's
 word considering how creative he can be with his use of words.


 Yeah. It's an itty-bitty space heater at the EON Factory. The address is
 in the patent.

 I had some difficulty believing that. Then Forcardi talked about going to
 the factory and seeing the gadget, in one of his interviews. I heard that
 and thought, maybe it's true after all.

 Then a Reliable Source sent me a photo of the gadget, with some technical
 details, such as the fact that it ran continuously during the winter of
 2008-2009, producing between 5 and 8 kW. I asked permission to upload this
 document, but so far, no dice. I have no reason to doubt this is real, and
 the heater did run continuously for months.

 I realize the noisy skeptics would say I have many reasons to doubt it.
 For me . . . I imagine myself a well-informed aviation enthusiast in 1905.
 Some friends come by and show me photos from their recent visit to Dayton,
 such as this one:

 http://www-personal.umich.edu/~bobwolfe/genbob/1905WrightFlight41.jpg

 They say, yeah we saw it fly a good 50 feet in the air for 20 minutes. I
 know these people to be experts in aviation. I have no doubt that the
 Wrights and others have flown. I have seen other people make uncontrolled
 glider flights, such as this guy:

 http://www.flyingmachines.org/lilthl.html

 I think under those circumstances back in 1905 I would be crazy to doubt
 what my friends tell me. There is simply no rational reason to think my
 friends are crazy, deluded or fooled, or that they are conspiring to fool
 me. I do not see any significant difference between that situation and this
 one.

 - Jed




-- 
Daniel Rocha - RJ
danieldi...@gmail.com


Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule

2012-01-24 Thread Harry Veeder
On Tue, Jan 24, 2012 at 6:55 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 Yeah. It's an itty-bitty space heater at the EON Factory. The address is in
 the patent.

 I had some difficulty believing that. Then Forcardi talked about going to
 the factory and seeing the gadget, in one of his interviews. I heard that
 and thought, maybe it's true after all.

 Then a Reliable Source sent me a photo of the gadget, with some technical
 details, such as the fact that it ran continuously during the winter of
 2008-2009, producing between 5 and 8 kW. I asked permission to upload this
 document, but so far, no dice. I have no reason to doubt this is real, and
 the heater did run continuously for months.

 I realize the noisy skeptics would say I have many reasons to doubt it. For
 me . . . I imagine myself a well-informed aviation enthusiast in 1905. Some
 friends come by and show me photos from their recent visit to Dayton, such
 as this one:

 http://www-personal.umich.edu/~bobwolfe/genbob/1905WrightFlight41.jpg

 They say, yeah we saw it fly a good 50 feet in the air for 20 minutes. I
 know these people to be experts in aviation. I have no doubt that the
 Wrights and others have flown. I have seen other people make uncontrolled
 glider flights, such as this guy:

 http://www.flyingmachines.org/lilthl.html

 I think under those circumstances back in 1905 I would be crazy to doubt
 what my friends tell me. There is simply no rational reason to think my
 friends are crazy, deluded or fooled, or that they are conspiring to fool
 me. I do not see any significant difference between that situation and this
 one.



Were the Wright brother keeping everything secret, so that your
hypothetical friends of 1905 would have told
you not to publish the details?

harry

Harry



Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule

2012-01-24 Thread Jed Rothwell
Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:

Were the Wright brother keeping everything secret . . .


Yes, they were. About as secret as Rossi is, and for the same reason:
intellectual property. They did not get a patent until 1906, and in 1905
they had already made improvements which they hoped to include in a new
patent application. They asked people not to take close-up photos.

The patent laws were somewhat different back then, and premature disclosure
was more of a problem for the inventor.


. . .  so that your
 hypothetical friends of 1905 would have told
 you not to publish the details?


That is what happened. The fact that Wrights were flying was not secret to
people who followed aviation, but the technical details were skimpy. The
mass media did not believe a word of it.

Similar circumstances have reoccurred often in modern history, but this is
example is particularly close. So close it is uncanny. It often happens
that people try to withhold information on scientific or technological
breakthroughs. That part is not unusual.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule

2012-01-24 Thread Yamali Yamali
True. But you can actually observe flight. Sombody who saw Rossi's Gadget 
heating his Office in Ferrara would have no idea whether it really works or 
not, unless they have measured it in some way. There would have been no such 
uncertainty with somebody whitnessing the Wrights or Lilienthal take off.




 Von: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
An: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
Gesendet: 3:47 Mittwoch, 25.Januar 2012
Betreff: Re: [Vo]:The Eight Hour Rule
 

Harry Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:


Were the Wright brother keeping everything secret . . .

Yes, they were. About as secret as Rossi is, and for the same reason: 
intellectual property. They did not get a patent until 1906, and in 1905 they 
had already made improvements which they hoped to include in a new patent 
application. They asked people not to take close-up photos.

The patent laws were somewhat different back then, and premature disclosure was 
more of a problem for the inventor.


. . .  so that your
hypothetical friends of 1905 would have told
you not to publish the details?


That is what happened. The fact that Wrights were flying was not secret to 
people who followed aviation, but the technical details were skimpy. The mass 
media did not believe a word of it.

Similar circumstances have reoccurred often in modern history, but this is 
example is particularly close. So close it is uncanny. It often happens that 
people try to withhold information on scientific or technological 
breakthroughs. That part is not unusual.

- Jed