Folks - Lets close the thread. We're well past the single topic posting limit in
one day.
73,
Eric
mod-erator
/elecraft.com/
On 10/9/2018 3:10 PM, David Gilbert wrote:
I have very little doubt that the next sunspot cycle will be pretty weak. The
long term trend has been pretty obvious in
I have very little doubt that the next sunspot cycle will be pretty
weak. The long term trend has been pretty obvious in general. However,
it seems erroneous that they would predict a delay in the start when the
first (albeit weak) sunspot of Cycle 25 (opposite polarity) has just
recently
I'd pay more attention to predictions based upon theoretical
considerations. Those based upon historical data patterns, statistical
interpretation, curve fitting, etc are about as useful as stock market
or global climate predictions. Someone can always take a bunch of
historical data and come
One day while [Chicken Little] is walking an acorn falls from a tree,
and hits the top of her little head.
"My, oh, my, the sky is falling. I must run and tell the lion about it,"
- says Chicken Little and she begins to run.
She runs and runs and runs and runs.
73,
Kent K9ZTV
On
If any of Jim Kennedy's (K6MIO/KH6) talks about solar predictions are available
online, they are really fantastic. He's an authority on the subject.
73
Josh W6XU
Sent from my mobile device
> On Oct 9, 2018, at 10:45 AM, John Stengrevics
> wrote:
>
> These predictions are completely
That is precisely why I posted what I did. People take somebody’s forecast and
accept it. Despite the progress made in understanding sunspot cycles,
prediction is a very uncertain undertaking.
Take any prediction with a huge block of salt.
John
WA1EAZ
> On Oct 9, 2018, at 3:14 PM, Dave Cole
Ted,
Thanks for sharing that info... Bad as it seems... Hopefully it turns
out to be not what happens...
73s and thanks,
Dave (NK7Z/NNR0DC)
https://www.nk7z.net
ARRL Technical Specialist
ARRL Volunteer Examiner
ARRL OOC for Oregon
On 10/9/18 10:37 AM, Dauer, Edward wrote:
For those who do
Ummm ... "completely uncertain" is not true as is "nobody really
knows." A great deal of information and data on solar dynamics has been
collected and analyzed in recent years which shed a lot of light [no pun
intended] on the various solar cycles and processes, and a great deal
*is* known
Meanwhile, many people are working DX in all modes day and night...go figure :)
My weapon of choice is a KX2, hand-held, running 10 watts to a 3-band,
4-foot-long whip. Despite the obvious compromises, I never fail to make some
worldwide Qs on hiking trips -- though it is certainly easier when
As I noted, I have no opinion on the matter.
An observation attributed to everyone from Niels Bohr to Yogi Berra: It's
tough to make predictions, especially about the future.
Ted, KN1CBR
On 10/9/18, 11:45 AM, "John Stengrevics" wrote:
These predictions are completely uncertain.
These predictions are completely uncertain. Recent info presented by Tamitha
Skov (space weather scientist) suggests the next cycle will not be delayed and
will begin early 2019.
In a paper presented at Central States VHF, Jim Kennedy reviewed many studies &
predictions and found that they
For those who do not take CQ magazine, there is an article this month very much
worth reading. It summarizes recent findings about the forthcoming sunspot
cycle and its effect on propagation. To quote from the reported studies, “ .
. . the start of Cycle 25 could be delayed to 2021 or 2022
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