[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-29 Thread Ken Johnson
Date: Thu, 27 May 2004 21:31:18 -0700 From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Ken Johnson wrote: Date: Mon, 24 May 2004 21:55:40 -0700 From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... IRNR seems equivalent to repeated runoff elections. In a zero-info election with five candidates,

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-27 Thread Bart Ingles
Ken Johnson wrote: > > >Date: Mon, 24 May 2004 21:55:40 -0700 > >From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > >... > >IRNR seems equivalent to repeated runoff elections. In a zero-info > >election with five candidates, where my preferences are A>B>C>D>E, I > >would vote something like: > > > >A(1.0)

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-27 Thread Ken Johnson
Date: Mon, 24 May 2004 21:55:40 -0700 From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... IRNR seems equivalent to repeated runoff elections. In a zero-info election with five candidates, where my preferences are A>B>C>D>E, I would vote something like: A(1.0) > B(0.001) > C(0.01) > D(0.1) > E(0

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-24 Thread Bart Ingles
Kevin Venzke wrote: > > > If you're voting strategy is based on who you think is or is not likely > > to win, that suggests an IR-type approach, such as Brian Olson's > > "Instant Runoff Normalized Ratings" (IRNR), > > http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2004-May

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-24 Thread Kevin Venzke
Ken, --- Ken Johnson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > > >From: Adam H Tarr <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > >... My first guess at a strategy: > > > >1) Identify the two frontrunners, and pick your favorite among them. > >2) Give your favorite frontrunner a 10, your less favored frontrunner a 0, and > >ev

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-24 Thread Ken Johnson
From: Brian Olson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Sat, 22 May 2004 23:49:13 -0700 ... (2) Apply an additive shift to each voter's CR profile so that the sum of the absolute values is minimized. ... With the exception of step 2, I've simulated this. Step 2 is an obvious zero-info strategy that s

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-24 Thread Ken Johnson
Date: Sat, 22 May 2004 23:26:40 -0500 (EST) From: Adam H Tarr <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... My first guess at a strategy: 1) Identify the two frontrunners, and pick your favorite among them. 2) Give your favorite frontrunner a 10, your less favored frontrunner a 0, and everyone else a 5. This maxi

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-24 Thread Kevin Venzke
Ken, --- Ken Johnson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > > >This is not realistic unless you think voters are all extremists and only the > >candidates show moderation. > > It's not so much a matter of them being extremists as being simpletons. You're mistaken. When you say Plurality picks the c

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-23 Thread Bart Ingles
Gervase Lam wrote: > > 1) Identify the two frontrunners, and pick your favorite among them. > 2) Give your favorite frontrunner plus the runners who you think are > better than your favorite frontrunner a score of 2. > 3) Give your less favored frontrunner plus the runners who you think are > wo

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-23 Thread Gervase Lam
> Date: Sat, 22 May 2004 23:26:40 -0500 (EST) > From: Adam H Tarr <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Subject: Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy > 1) Identify the two frontrunners, and pick your favorite among them. > 2) Give your favorite frontrunner a 10, your less favo

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-23 Thread Brian Olson
On May 22, 2004, at 9:15 PM, Ken Johnson wrote: Which brings me back to the original topic: Can CR be improved? I hope someone will pick up on this topic because I would be very interested in people's opinions about this. The proposed "Normalized CR" method is as follows: (1) Voters give candida

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-22 Thread Adam H Tarr
Ken Johnson wrote: >The proposed "Normalized CR" method is as >follows: >(1) Voters give candidates CR ratings. There no need for any range limit >- any finite CR value, positive or negative, can be allowed. >(2) Apply an additive shift to each voter's CR profile so that the sum >of the absolut

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-22 Thread Ken Johnson
Message: 1 Date: Fri, 21 May 2004 22:06:52 +0200 (CEST) From: =?iso-8859-1?q?Kevin=20Venzke?= <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... This is not realistic unless you think voters are all extremists and only the candidates show moderation. ... Kevin Venzke Kevin, It's not so much a matter of them being extremi

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-21 Thread Bart Ingles
Brian Olson wrote: > > Nonsense! It can be highly valuable to have a 'none-of-the-above' > election. If no one wins a sufficient vote, Junk all the candidates, > disqualify them from the next election, and have a new election. Some people favor that approach, but then you have a different electi

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-21 Thread Kevin Venzke
Ken, You wrote to Chris: >Here's a more explicit illustration of the scenario. There are 10 >Candidates A ... J with the following CP's: >A: +0.9, B: +0.7, C: +0.5, ... J: -0.9 >(<-- liberal ... conservative -->) >There are 100 voters with the following sincere CR profiles: >51 voter

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-21 Thread Ken Johnson
Date: Sat, 22 May 2004 12:44:15 +0930 From: Chris Benham <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... In this scenario, if the "Candidate Positions" are evenly spaced, the sincere CR winner would be the LEAST liberal candidate. ... Chris, Here's a more explicit illustration of the scenario. There are 10 candida

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-21 Thread Brian Olson
On May 20, 2004, at 8:54 PM, Bart Ingles wrote: I see that now. What you call "ExaggerateCR" is what I would call "sincere CR", since the voter should at least give maximum points to his favorite, and minimum to his least favorite. Otherwise the voters aren't sincere, they're just being stupid,

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-21 Thread Ken Johnson
From: Brian Olson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Thu, 20 May 2004 20:50:28 -0700 ... I think it's simply the case that with 1 issue, all voters' CR profiles are precisely correlated (i.e., any two profiles differ only by a multiplicative scale factor), so all these methods become equivalen

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-20 Thread Bart Ingles
Clarification: > Here's what I think of as a single-issue trial: > > Assume a single (unnamed) issue, in which any voter or candidate can > take a position pro or con. You have 3 candidates (A, B, and C) who are > at positions +.7, +.2, -.5. You also have a number of voters who each > can be p

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-20 Thread Bart Ingles
Ken Johnson wrote: > > > >From: Bart Ingles > > > >... In your 10 candidate, 1 issue trial, are you able to account > >for why sincere CR, exaggerated CR, Condorcet, Borda, IRV, and Plurality > >all yield exactly the same average across 100,000 elections? It looks > >like top-two Runoff is withi

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-20 Thread Brian Olson
On May 20, 2004, at 4:46 PM, Ken Johnson wrote: Date: Wed, 19 May 2004 23:24:29 -0700 From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... In your 10 candidate, 1 issue trial, are you able to account for why sincere CR, exaggerated CR, Condorcet, Borda, IRV, and Plurality all yield exactly the same average

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-20 Thread Ken Johnson
Date: Wed, 19 May 2004 23:24:29 -0700 From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... In your 10 candidate, 1 issue trial, are you able to account for why sincere CR, exaggerated CR, Condorcet, Borda, IRV, and Plurality all yield exactly the same average across 100,000 elections? It looks like top-two

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-19 Thread Bart Ingles
Bart Ingles wrote: > > The usual "sincere strategy" is to approve > all candidates where CR is greater than the mean CR of all candidates. I'm not sure if that was clear. In other words, if a voter assigns a CR of -0.4, 0.2, and 0.9 to each of three candidates in a 3-way election, the voter s

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-19 Thread Bart Ingles
Ken Johnson wrote: > > Bart, > > Here's a link to #597, > http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2004-April/012689.html > (Search the text for "num_candidate=10".) Thanks. In your 10 candidate, 1 issue trial, are you able to account for why sincere CR, exaggerat

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-19 Thread Ken Johnson
Date: Wed, 19 May 2004 01:13:04 -0700 From: Bart Ingles <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ... I have no idea how to locate "Vol 1 #597", so I don't know what Ken means by "exhibited abysmal performance". Was this a series of simulations? A single example? In Merrill's 'Monte Carlo' simulations, approval votin

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-19 Thread Forest Simmons
On Tue, 18 May 2004, Ken Johnson wrote: > > >Message: 2 > >From: =?iso-8859-1?q?Kevin=20Venzke?= <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > > >Ken, > >... > >I did not test Plurality. I think it is very strange that you found it to > >be better than Approval. ... > > > >Kevin Venzke > >[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > >

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-19 Thread Bart Ingles
Ken Johnson wrote: > > > Here's an example of the kind of Bad Thing that can happen with > Approval. There are 3 candidates (A, B, C) and 10 voters. I am using > signed CR's in the range -1 to 1 (CR>0: approve, CR<0: disapprove). > Following are the sincere CR's: > > 9 voters: A(-1), B(0.1), C(1)

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-19 Thread Bart Ingles
Ken Johnson wrote: > > I was, until recently, a fanatical advocate of Approval. I tried to > demonstrate by empirical simulation the superiority of Approval over > rank methods, based on the criterion that the election method should > maximize "social utility" as defined by sincere CR. (See my ea

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-18 Thread Kevin Venzke
Ken, --- Ken Johnson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > > Here's an example of the kind of Bad Thing that can happen with > Approval. There are 3 candidates (A, B, C) and 10 voters. I am using > signed CR's in the range -1 to 1 (CR>0: approve, CR<0: disapprove). > Following are the sincere CR's:

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-18 Thread Ken Johnson
Message: 2 From: =?iso-8859-1?q?Kevin=20Venzke?= <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Ken, ... I did not test Plurality. I think it is very strange that you found it to be better than Approval. ... Kevin Venzke [EMAIL PROTECTED] Message: 3 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] ... That's odd. Approval turned out pretty well

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-17 Thread bql
On May 17, 2004, at 9:04 AM, Ken Johnson wrote: > I was, until recently, a fanatical advocate of Approval. I tried to > demonstrate by empirical simulation the superiority of Approval over > rank methods, based on the criterion that the election method should > maximize "social utility" as defined

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-17 Thread Kevin Venzke
Ken, --- Ken Johnson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : > > I was, until recently, a fanatical advocate of Approval. I tried to > demonstrate by empirical simulation the superiority of Approval over > rank methods, based on the criterion that the election method should > maximize "social utility"

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-17 Thread Ken Johnson
From: "MIKE OSSIPOFF" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Mon, 17 May 2004 01:04:39 + Ken Johnson wrote: As I understand it, the main problem with CR is that it is strategically equivalent to Approval. I reply: That might be a problem to those who don't like Approval. But to those of us who like Approv

[EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-16 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
Ken Johnson wrote: As I understand it, the main problem with CR is that it is strategically equivalent to Approval. I reply: That might be a problem to those who don't like Approval. But to those of us who like Approval, CR's strategic equivalence to Approval isn't a problem. It's what makes CR o