Re: Boltzmann Brains rule out any theory?

2017-02-07 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 06 Feb 2017, at 18:12, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: On Mon., 6 Feb. 2017 at 11:06 pm, Ronald Held wrote: Why Boltzmann Brains Are Bad Authors: Sean M. Carroll Comments: 27 pages. Invited submission to a volume on Current Controversies in Philosophy of Science, eds. Shamik Dasgupta and

Re: Boltzmann Brains rule out any theory?

2017-02-06 Thread Brent Meeker
On 2/6/2017 9:12 AM, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: On Mon., 6 Feb. 2017 at 11:06 pm, Ronald Held <mailto:ronaldh...@gmail.com>> wrote: Why Boltzmann Brains Are Bad Authors: Sean M. Carroll Comments: 27 pages. Invited submission to a volume on Current Controv

Re: Boltzmann Brains rule out any theory?

2017-02-06 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On Mon., 6 Feb. 2017 at 11:06 pm, Ronald Held wrote: > Why Boltzmann Brains Are Bad > Authors: Sean M. Carroll > > Comments: 27 pages. Invited submission to a volume on Current > Controversies in Philosophy of Science, eds. Shamik Dasgupta and Brad > Weslake > Subjects

Boltzmann Brains rule out any theory?

2017-02-06 Thread Ronald Held
Why Boltzmann Brains Are Bad Authors: Sean M. Carroll Comments: 27 pages. Invited submission to a volume on Current Controversies in Philosophy of Science, eds. Shamik Dasgupta and Brad Weslake Subjects: High Energy Physics - Theory (hep-th); Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics (astro-ph.CO

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-10 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi Bruno, > I don't understand what you mean by computations being infinitely far > away. In the UD deployment, which I will wrote UD*, all computations > begins soon or later (like all dominoes falls soon or later in the > infinite discrete dominoe-sequences). All computations reach any of

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-10 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 09 Jan 2009, at 20:12, Günther Greindl wrote: > > Hi Bruno, > >> and Cantor get a contradiction from that. You assume the diagram is >> indeed a piece of an existing bijection in Platonia, or known by God. > > No, you misunderstand me there - I just meant that we need to take the > step to i

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-09 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi Bruno, > and Cantor get a contradiction from that. You assume the diagram is > indeed a piece of an existing bijection in Platonia, or known by God. No, you misunderstand me there - I just meant that we need to take the step to infinity - see below. > that you get by flipping the 0 and 1

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-08 Thread Bruno Marchal
Hi Günther, On 07 Jan 2009, at 22:47, Günther Greindl wrote: > > thanks for your comments, I interleave my response. > >>> showed a glimpse of the vastness of the UD. And, I agree, _in the >>> limit_ >>> there will be an infinite number of histories. So, as we have to >>> also >>> take into a

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-07 Thread M.A.
- Original Message - From: "Günther Greindl" To: Sent: Wednesday, January 07, 2009 4:47 PM Subject: Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time > We need only turing emulability, because quantum states, > although not copyable, are "prepar

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-07 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi Bruno, thanks for your comments, I interleave my response. >> showed a glimpse of the vastness of the UD. And, I agree, _in the limit_ >> there will be an infinite number of histories. So, as we have to also >> take into account infinite delay, we must take this limit into account >> and have

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-05 Thread Bruno Marchal
Hi Günther, I agree with your main point. My comments below concerns only details. On 03 Jan 2009, at 23:53, Günther Greindl wrote: > > Hi Bruno, > > first of all thanks for the long answer, and yes, it was very helpful. > > You described the production of all reals with a very vivid imagery;

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-05 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi Stephen, Stephen Paul King wrote: > Nice post! Coments soon. Thanks :-) Looking forward to the comments. > Speaking of Svozil's work, please see: Cristian S. Calude, Peter H. > Hertling and Karl Svozil, ``Embedding Quantum Universes in Classical Ones'', > Foundations of Physics 29(

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-04 Thread Bruno Marchal
) Goldblatt, R. I. (1974). Semantic Analysis of Orthologic. Journal of Philosophical Logic, 3:19-35. Also in Goldblatt, R. I. (1993). Mathematics of Modality. CSLI Lectures Notes, Stanford California, page 81-97. > > - Original Message - > From: "Günther Greindl&qu

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-03 Thread Stephen Paul King
2009 5:53 PM Subject: Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time Hi Bruno, first of all thanks for the long answer, and yes, it was very helpful. You described the production of all reals with a very vivid imagery; it showed a glimpse of the vastness of the UD. And, I agree, _in th

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-03 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi Bruno, first of all thanks for the long answer, and yes, it was very helpful. You described the production of all reals with a very vivid imagery; it showed a glimpse of the vastness of the UD. And, I agree, _in the limit_ there will be an infinite number of histories. So, as we have to als

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-02 Thread Bruno Marchal
Hi Günther, On 01 Jan 2009, at 23:58, Günther Greindl wrote: > > Bruno, > > I have also wanted to ask how you come to 2^aleph_zero > >> Well, in part this results from the unbounded dumbness of the >> universal doevtailing procedure which dovetails on all programs but > >> also on all non inter

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-02 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 31 Dec 2008, at 23:53, Brent Meeker wrote: > > The present moment in quantum cosmology: challenges to the arguments > for the elimination of time > Authors: Lee Smolin > (Submitted on 29 Apr 2001) > Abstract: Barbour, Hawking, Misner and others have argued that time > cannot play an essent

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-01 Thread Günther Greindl
Bruno, I have also wanted to ask how you come to 2^aleph_zero > Well, in part this results from the unbounded dumbness of the > universal doevtailing procedure which dovetails on all programs but > also on all non interacting collection of programs (as all interacting > one). How do you

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-01 Thread Günther Greindl
ith materialism (and I say this having arrived on this list being a materialist ;-). Cheers, Günther Hal Finney wrote: > Sometimes we consider here the nature of consciousness, whether observer > moments need to be linked to one another, the role of causality in > consciousness, e

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-01 Thread Bruno Marchal
ler generates all such gaz universes >> generating the Boltzmann brains. Now the probability that you are >> implemented by a particular Boltzmann brain is null, as it is null >> for >> any particular. With the comp supervenience you have to "attach" >> consciousness o

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-01 Thread Brent Meeker
Bruno Marchal wrote: > > It seems to me that your reasoning illustrates well the problems with > physical supervenience and physicalism, and perhaps ASSA. > > In any case the Universal Dovetailer generates all such gaz universes > generating the Boltzmann brains. Now th

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-01 Thread Bruno Marchal
It seems to me that your reasoning illustrates well the problems with physical supervenience and physicalism, and perhaps ASSA. In any case the Universal Dovetailer generates all such gaz universes generating the Boltzmann brains. Now the probability that you are implemented by a

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2009-01-01 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
ccur though interesting pathways than winding down, this would imply that at any point, we have about an equal chance of living in the winding up as the winding down phase: we would have no way of knowing. This would be the case whether we are ordinary brains or Boltzmann Brains, since in either case

Re: Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2008-12-31 Thread Brent Meeker
Hal Finney wrote: Sometimes we consider here the nature of consciousness, whether observer moments need to be linked to one another, the role of causality in consciousness, etc. I thought of an interesting puzzle about Boltzmann Brains which offers a new twist to these questions. As most

Boltzmann Brains, consciousness and the arrow of time

2008-12-31 Thread "Hal Finney"
Sometimes we consider here the nature of consciousness, whether observer moments need to be linked to one another, the role of causality in consciousness, etc. I thought of an interesting puzzle about Boltzmann Brains which offers a new twist to these questions. As most readers are aware

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-19 Thread Bruno Marchal
On 19 Jun 2008, at 02:51, Brent Meeker wrote: > > Günther Greindl wrote: >> Brent, >> >>> scientific theory. Occams razor is a vague desiderata. You can >>> justify >>> almost anything by choosing your definition of "complex", e.g. >>> theists >>> say, "God did it." is the simplest possibl

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-18 Thread Brent Meeker
Günther Greindl wrote: > Brent, > >> scientific theory. Occams razor is a vague desiderata. You can justify >> almost anything by choosing your definition of "complex", e.g. theists >> say, "God did it." is the simplest possible theory. > > no you can't: > http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-18 Thread Günther Greindl
Brent, > scientific theory. Occams razor is a vague desiderata. You can justify > almost anything by choosing your definition of "complex", e.g. theists > say, "God did it." is the simplest possible theory. no you can't: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/09/occams-razor.html most relevant

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-18 Thread Brent Meeker
Russell Standish wrote: > On Tue, Jun 17, 2008 at 09:24:21PM -0700, Brent Meeker wrote: > >>> scientific theories (doing so by definition). The reason it is >>> rejected is because of the arbitrary nature of the date makes it a >>> more complex theory (in the Occam's razor sense). >>> >>

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-17 Thread Russell Standish
On Tue, Jun 17, 2008 at 09:24:21PM -0700, Brent Meeker wrote: > > scientific theories (doing so by definition). The reason it is > > rejected is because of the arbitrary nature of the date makes it a > > more complex theory (in the Occam's razor sense). > > And it is not POVI. > > Brent Meeker >

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-17 Thread Brent Meeker
Russell Standish wrote: > On Sun, Jun 15, 2008 at 01:40:09AM -0700, Greg Egan wrote: ... >>> But we do this all the time. Why is it we reject crackpot claims that >>> the world will end on such and such a date for instance? >> We reject those claims because they flow from theories that we reason >

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-17 Thread Bruno Marchal
Hi Greg, > > Thanks very much, everyone, for an interesting discussion, and thanks > for your patience towards someone who hasn't read your previous > debates on these issues. You are welcome Greg. > > I hope to find time to follow up all the links people gave. Russell, > that link to the "

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-15 Thread Russell Standish
Sorry about that. It seems one needs the stuff after the domain - try http://everythingwiki.gcn.cx/wiki/index.php?title=Main_Page Cheers On Sun, Jun 15, 2008 at 07:34:39PM -0700, Greg Egan wrote: > > Thanks very much, everyone, for an interesting discussion, and thanks > for your patience towa

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-15 Thread Greg Egan
Thanks very much, everyone, for an interesting discussion, and thanks for your patience towards someone who hasn't read your previous debates on these issues. I hope to find time to follow up all the links people gave. Russell, that link to the "Everything Wiki" currently gives a 403. --~--~

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-15 Thread Russell Standish
On Sun, Jun 15, 2008 at 01:40:09AM -0700, Greg Egan wrote: > > > My attributes (eg > > height, weight and so on) are all drawn from distributions of such > > attributes. Why not some hypothetical property like "observer class" > > as set up in this toy problem? > > Why is your height and weight

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-15 Thread Bruno Marchal
Hi Greg, On 15 Jun 2008, at 10:40, Greg Egan wrote: >> >> My attributes (eg >> height, weight and so on) are all drawn from distributions of such >> attributes. Why not some hypothetical property like "observer class" >> as set up in this toy problem? > > Why is your height and weight drawn fro

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-15 Thread Greg Egan
On Jun 15, 1:27 pm, Russell Standish <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > What sparked our/my interest is that you seemed to have > interesting argument against the use of anthropic reasoning. I'm certainly not arguing against *all* anthropic reasoning; every argument needs to be examined on a case by ca

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-14 Thread Russell Standish
distinguish theory A or B, unless I actually received less than X kJ/day, which, by assumption is not the case. I don't see how anthropic reasoning makes a difference in this case. > > A cosmologist who hopes to distinguish between cosmological theories > based on their predicti

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-14 Thread Greg Egan
s to distinguish between cosmological theories based on their predictions about future populations of Boltzmann brains is in exactly the same situation. The data to which she has access does not discriminate between the theories. It is pointless for her to note that one theory implies that the over

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-14 Thread Russell Standish
more likely to continue being right when tested with future observations. > The context in which I was discussing this at the N-Category Café is > the claim by some cosmologists that we ought to favour A-type > cosmological theories in which class 2 observers like us, with a clear > Dar

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-14 Thread Bruno Marchal
cosmological theories in which class 2 observers like us, with a clear >> Darwinian history, will not be outnumbered (over the whole history of >> the universe) by class 1 observers (Boltzmann brains). > > There is also the argument that the appearance of having a "clear > Da

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-14 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
not be outnumbered (over the whole history of > the universe) by class 1 observers (Boltzmann brains). There is also the argument that the appearance of having a "clear Darwinian history" is not necessarily evidence that we are not Boltzmann brains. This is because the problem of

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-13 Thread Colin Hales
the present > moment -- we do not have access to the probabilities p(1|A), p(2|A), > p(1|B), p(2|B) that you describe. > > The context in which I was discussing this at the N-Category Café is > the claim by some cosmologists that we ought to favour A-type > cosmological theories in w

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-13 Thread Greg Egan
Darwinian history, will not be outnumbered (over the whole history of the universe) by class 1 observers (Boltzmann brains). My contention is that we have no empirical data at the present time that tells us anything at all about the relative frequencies (over the whole history of the universe) of clas

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-12 Thread Russell Standish
ot the case in his absurd example. It may be relevant to the BB argument though. If theory A was "we are a statistical fluctuation (ie Boltzmann brains)", and theory B was "evolved by Darwinian evolution", then p(A) << p(B). One cannot comment on whether one

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-12 Thread Russell Standish
On Fri, Jun 13, 2008 at 10:28:28AM +1000, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > Is the ensemble of observer moments generated by the postulated BB's > different from the ensemble of all possible observer moments? > I don't see how it could be different. AFAICT BBs are nothing other than the infamous w

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-12 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
2008/6/13 Günther Greindl <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>: > > Hi all, > > someone on another list alerted me to this post, there is a very > interesting discussion going on on that blog related to Observer Moments: > > http://golem.ph.utexas.edu/category/2008/06/urban_myths_in_contemporary_co.html Is the ens

Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-12 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi all, someone on another list alerted me to this post, there is a very interesting discussion going on on that blog related to Observer Moments: http://golem.ph.utexas.edu/category/2008/06/urban_myths_in_contemporary_co.html Greg Egan has posted too; and has some very interesting things to s

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-07-07 Thread Russell Standish
On Sat, Jul 07, 2007 at 07:56:57AM -0700, LauLuna wrote: > > I have never been able to understand how a singularity can be highly > ordered. Is there any room for order in such a tiny thing? > > Best Highly ordered means small entropy. All you need is a small number of states, so small things n

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-07-07 Thread LauLuna
I have never been able to understand how a singularity can be highly ordered. Is there any room for order in such a tiny thing? Best On May 31, 1:51 pm, Russell Standish <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I came across a reference to Boltzmann brains in a recent issue of New > Scientis

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-06-02 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On 02/06/07, "Hal Finney" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Another possibility is that Boltzmann Brains arising out of chaos are the > > observer moments which associate to produce the first person appearance > of > > continuity of consciousness and an orderly unive

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-06-02 Thread Mohsen Ravanbakhsh
se we know that it(existence of such line) is not true for us as conscious observers and if there's no such line... you know what happens. On 5/31/07, Russell Standish <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > I came across a reference to Boltzmann brains in a recent issue of New > Sci

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-06-01 Thread "Hal Finney"
objects > > to appear. This is extremely rare but still with infinite time to work > > with, every object will appear an infinite number of times. That includes > > disembodied brains, the so-called Boltzmann brains, as well as planets and > > whole universes. But the sma

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-06-01 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
every object will appear an infinite number of times. That includes > disembodied brains, the so-called Boltzmann brains, as well as planets and > whole universes. But the smaller objects are vastly more common, hence it > is most likely that our experiences are due to us being a Boltz

Re: Boltzmann brains

2007-05-31 Thread "Hal Finney"
Russell Standish <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes: > I came across a reference to Boltzmann brains in a recent issue of New > Scientist. Coincidentally (or not) I was reading all about this last night, from the fqxi.org web site Max Tegmark mentioned a few weeks ago. The new blog entr

Boltzmann brains

2007-05-31 Thread Russell Standish
I came across a reference to Boltzmann brains in a recent issue of New Scientist. The piece, quoted in full is: Spikes in space-time There is another way to think about why our universe began in a highly ordered or "low entropy" state. In 2002, a group of physicists led by Leonard S