Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread Robert Wall
Hey Glen, Yes, on the first issue with respect to the Axiom of Choice, I think the word "choice" there does not map one-for-one to the same word used in probability theory. I think the two concepts are mutually exclusive, but this may be beyond my "pay grade" to worry or talk about. 🤐 However, I

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread glen ☣
Well, my question hasn't been addressed satisfactorily. But I sincerely appreciate all the different ways everyone has tried to talk about it. My question is about language, not math or statistics. I'm adept enough at those. What I'm having trouble with in the argument (the guy's name is St

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread glen ☣
Well, sure. But the point is that the axiom of choice asserts, merely, the existence of the ability to choose a subset. They call them "choice functions", as if there exists some "chooser". But there's no sense of time (before the choice function is applied versus after it's applied). The n

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread Robert Wall
; > > Frank C. Wimberly > 140 Calle Ojo Feliz > Santa Fe, NM 87505 > > wimber...@gmail.com wimbe...@cal.berkeley.edu > Phone: (505) 995-8715 Cell: (505) 670-9918 > > -Original Message----- > From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of glen ?

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread Robert Wall
Hi Glen, et al, Thanks for cashing mu $0.02 check. :-) When I wrote that "but it doesn't have to be" I wasn't asserting that probability theory is devoid of events. Events are fundamental to probability theory. They are the outcomes to which probability is assigned. In a nutshell, the practice

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread Frank Wimberly
(505) 670-9918 -Original Message- From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of glen ? Sent: Wednesday, December 14, 2016 11:36 AM To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group Subject: Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction) Ha! Yay!

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread Grant Holland
And I completely agree with Eric. But we can language it real simply and intuitively by just looking at what a probability space is. For further simplicity lets keep it to a finite probability space. (Neither a finite nor an infinite one says anything about "time".) A finite probability space

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread glen ☣
Ha! Yay! Yes, now I feel like we're discussing the radicality (radicalness?) of Platonic math ... and how weird mathematicians sound (to me) when they say we're discovering theorems rather than constructing them. 8^) Perhaps it's helpful to think about the "axiom of choice"? Is a "choosable"

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread Eric Charles
Ack! Well... I guess now we're in the muck of what the heck probability and statistics are for mathematicians vs. scientists. Of note, my understanding is that statistics was a field for at least a few decades before it was specified in a formal enough way to be invited into the hallows of mathemat

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-14 Thread glen ☣
Thanks! Everything you say seems to land squarely in my opponent's camp, with the focus on the concept of an action or event, requiring some sort of partially ordered index (like time). But you included the clause "but doesn't have to be". I'd like to hear more about what you conceive probab

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread Robert Wall
Hi Glen, I feel a bit like Nick says he feels when immersed in the stream of such erudite responses to each of your seemingly related, but thread-separated questions. As always, though, when reading the posted responses in this forum, I learn a lot from the various and remarkable ways questions c

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread Grant Holland
Glen, On closer reading of the issue you are interested in, and upon re-consulting the sources I was thinking of (Bunge and Popper), I can see that neither of those sources directly address the question of whether time must be involved in order for probability theory to come into play. Nevert

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread glen ☣
Yes, definitely. I intend to bring up deterministic stochasticity >8^D the next time I see him. So a discussion of it in the context QM would be helpful. On 12/13/2016 10:54 AM, Grant Holland wrote: > This topic was well-developed in the last century. The probabilists argued > the issues thor

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread Grant Holland
Glenn, This topic was well-developed in the last century. The probabilists argued the issues thoroughly. But I find what the philosophers of science have to say about the subject a little more pertinent to what you are asking, since your discussion seems to be somewhat ontological. In particu

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread Nick Thompson
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction) Excellent! My opponent will be very happy when I make that concession. It's interesting that, for this argument, I've adopted the Platonic perspective despite being a constructivist myself. And it's i

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread ┣glen┫
Excellent! My opponent will be very happy when I make that concession. It's interesting that, for this argument, I've adopted the Platonic perspective despite being a constructivist myself. And it's interesting that my current position (that the math world is extant and static) seems to rely

Re: [FRIAM] probability vs. statistics (was Re: Model of induction)

2016-12-13 Thread Eric Charles
I don't have an answer per se, but I have some relevant information: Back in the early days of statistics, one could become a pariah in the eyes of the field if it became suspected one had surreptitiously used Bayes' Theorem in a proof. This was because the early statisticians believed future even