OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Butch Black
Given the Star trek thread am I the only one with reservations that mankind will ever find another space faring species? If you think about it. If in fact evolution is a random series of advancement of a species, what are the chances of developing to an intellectual scale at least as high as ours,

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-06 Thread Maris V. Lidaka Sr.
tp://pages.prodigy.net/graywolfphoto >>> >>> >>> ----- Original Message - >>> From: "Peter Alling" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >>> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >>> Sent: Tuesday, June 03, 2003 2:10 AM >>> Subject: Re: OT:

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Nick Zentena
On May 31, 2003 11:59 pm, Butch Black wrote: > Given the Star trek thread am I the only one with reservations that mankind > will ever find another space faring species? If you think about it. If in Somebody did a series of statiscal estimates on this years ago. Basically turns out that q

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Keith Whaley
Nick Zentena wrote: > > On May 31, 2003 11:59 pm, Butch Black wrote: > > Given the Star trek thread am I the only one with reservations that mankind > > will ever find another space faring species? If you think about it. If in > > Somebody did a series of statiscal estimates on this yea

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Keith Whaley
I just did look it up. Thanks. http://www.activemind.com/Mysterious/Topics/SETI/drake_equation.html Redoing the existing formula's default parameters to some a bit less optimistic, I come up with 200 possible communicating life forms within OUR galaxy... The downloaded formula says 2400. I'm less

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Fred
> If you think about it. If in fact evolution is a random series of > advancement of a species, what are the chances of developing to an > intellectual scale at least as high as ours, developing opposable > thumbs necessary for tool use, create a society that develops and > innovates new,complex to

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread frank theriault
I'm not a Sci Fi fan at all. I'm even less of a Star Trek fan (sorry, guys), so I haven't been following this thread at all. But, I did read your post, Butch, and you do pose some interesting questions, to which I have a few random thoughts. First, one of the things that pisses me off about much

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Herb Chong
- Original Message - From: "Keith Whaley" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Sunday, June 01, 2003 07:40 Subject: Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread) > I think you mean, more strictly, "it's pos

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Keith Whaley
It seems the general feeling is one of the strangers' disposition being benign. I don't believe that. If they're anything like us, and why not, the chances are great for disaster... One of us would end up being destroyed or the planet seriously crippled. I don't trust our own government, why should

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-01 Thread Fred
> If they're anything like us, and why not, the chances are great > for disaster... One of us would end up being destroyed or the > planet seriously crippled. Heck, this doesn't even require two species... (Look no further than Terra Firma.) Fred

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Nick Zentena
On June 1, 2003 07:56 am, Keith Whaley wrote: > I just did look it up. Thanks. > > http://www.activemind.com/Mysterious/Topics/SETI/drake_equation.html > > Redoing the existing formula's default parameters to some a bit less > optimistic, I come up with 200 possible communicating life forms within

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Nick Zentena
On June 1, 2003 08:14 am, Fred wrote: > > I'm not sure I'm so eager to have the universe populated with > species such as ours (the most dangerous - and easily the most > destructive - species on this planet we call "ours")... Isn't that why it's "ours"? There is a quote in one of Niven'

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Nick Zentena
On June 1, 2003 08:19 am, frank theriault wrote: > > First, one of the things that pisses me off about much sci fi that has to > do with ET's is that aliens always bear such a striking resemblence to us! Cheaper to slap green make up on your local out of work actor then to come up with s

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Nick Zentena
On June 1, 2003 10:27 am, Steve Desjardins wrote: > Sci. Am had a special section on this a while back. (July 2000) My > favorite arguemnt involves assuming that a tehcnoogocial species arises, > sends one colony ship out at 0.1 c, it takes 400 years for that colonoy > to send out another ship, e

RE: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Amita Guha
> I'm actually of the view the Drake equation is too > pessimetic. It's too > human. Counting only plants like Earth. One night on tv I saw a guy describing a hypothetical planet that supported life. I was very curious as to what he would say, but he proceeded to describe a planet...just

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Keith Whaley
Your point is well taken. See below for some thoughts... Nick Zentena wrote: > > On June 1, 2003 07:56 am, Keith Whaley wrote: > > I just did look it up. Thanks. > > > > http://www.activemind.com/Mysterious/Topics/SETI/drake_equation.html > > > > Redoing the existing formula's default parameters

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Keith Whaley
Nick Zentena wrote: > > On June 1, 2003 10:27 am, Steve Desjardins wrote: > > Sci. Am had a special section on this a while back. (July 2000) My > > favorite arguemnt involves assuming that a tehcnoogocial species arises, > > sends one colony ship out at 0.1 c, it takes 400 years for that colo

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Keith Whaley
Sorry, but I just can't get excited by something that will happen in a couple of hundred years, let along a "few hundred thousand years." In fact, in a few 10's of years it may not matter much anymore ANYhow, and inside 50 years, most of US will be dead, so... Thanks for the reminder on the Crysta

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Dag T
På søndag, 1. juni 2003, kl. 20:28, skrev Keith Whaley: Sorry, but I just can't get excited by something that will happen in a couple of hundred years, let along a "few hundred thousand years." In fact, in a few 10's of years it may not matter much anymore ANYhow, and inside 50 years, most of US w

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread T Rittenhouse
Plugging in my numbers, I get 0..3, so the probability is that we don't exist. There are two factors that SETI never seems to look at. 1. What percentage of intelligent species ares paranoid ("We don't want to attract their attention, they are probably dangerous")? 2. Technology (already we are mo

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-02 Thread Dag T
På søndag, 1. juni 2003, kl. 22:01, skrev T Rittenhouse: Plugging in my numbers, I get 0..3, so the probability is that we don't exist. There are two factors that SETI never seems to look at. 1. What percentage of intelligent species ares paranoid ("We don't want to attract their attention, they

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread Peter Alling
The drake equation quantifies nothing. But it does look impressive, which is the point. At 07:07 AM 6/1/03 -0400, you wrote: On May 31, 2003 11:59 pm, Butch Black wrote: > Given the Star trek thread am I the only one with reservations that mankind > will ever find another space faring species? I

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread Peter Alling
You can change the assumed parameters to come up with 1 as the number of communicating life forms or lots more... As a tool it is useless as an arguing point it's priceless. But basically it's a way to pull numbers out of you a** that looks scientific. At 04:56 AM 6/1/03 -0700, you wrote: I just d

RE: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread Peter Alling
At 02:59 PM 6/1/03 +0100, you wrote: Frank Theriault wrote: >I'm not a Sci Fi fan at all. I'm even less of a Star Trek fan (sorry, guys), so >I haven't been following this thread at all. But, I did read your post, Butch, >and you do pose some interesting questions, to which I have a few random >

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread T Rittenhouse
t; Sent: Tuesday, June 03, 2003 2:10 AM Subject: Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread) > The drake equation quantifies nothing. But it does look impressive, which > is the > point.

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread Maris V. Lidaka Sr.
ED]> > Sent: Tuesday, June 03, 2003 2:10 AM > Subject: Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A > turned into Star Trek Thread) > > >> The drake equation quantifies nothing. But it does look impressive, >> which is the >> point.

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread dagt
> > > > Ciao, > > Graywolf > > http://pages.prodigy.net/graywolfphoto > > > > > > - Original Message ----- > > From: "Peter Alling" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > Sent: Tuesday, June 03, 2003 2:1

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread Th. Stach
here between 1 (this one), and all the planets that possibly can > > produce life. > > > > Ciao, > > Graywolf > > http://pages.prodigy.net/graywolfphoto > > > > > > - Original Message ----- > > From: "Peter Alling" <[EMAIL PROTECTE

Re: OT: The problems of E.T. (was Re: pentax smc 15mm A turned into Star Trek Thread)

2003-06-03 Thread Keith Whaley
"Maris V. Lidaka Sr." wrote: > > I have studied this matter thoroughly while keeping silent. > > The number of planets that can possibly produce life turns out to be 69. > > (No joke in there - it's a scientific fact) > > Maris Sure it is. As scientific as any other I've heard recently...