Why is it not a good economic decision? I mean, I understand the rest, but why that conclusion? I doubt Australia will ever have this good an economy again, and the potential for growth from an improvement in infrastructure is there. So why is it "not a good economic decision at the present"?
I mean, good economics is a judgment that is beyond just technology, and I'd be curious as to how he arrived at that SPECIFIC conclusion. On Fri, Dec 24, 2010 at 2:07 PM, Elias Bizannes <elias.bizan...@gmail.com> wrote: > I asked Dr John Papandriopoulos, who some of you might remember from > here: http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2007/11/05/1194117915862.html and > who is now is part of the Aussie community in Silicon Valley. I asked > him what he thought about its future potential and if 12 Mbs was a > ceiling. > > ** An average downstream of 12Mbps is surprisingly low for a FTTH > network; but it depends on what the overall economics are; for > example, upgrades and equipment in core network and peering > arrangements to provide some kind of guaranteed data rate to the edge. > He suspects, however, that the NBN architecture might just be using a > high fan-out on a PON to keep costs down. (Think shared bandwidth > model, in some respects similar to how HFC cable networks operate.) > > ** John was expecting the Government to do a backflip and announce > that they're running with xDSL (in particular, an appropriate mixture > of VDSL with FTTN and ADSL2+) as a short-medium term technical > solution and full evolution to fibre in the long-term. With ADSL2 and > VDSL he suggests there's much greater potential than the announced > 12Mbps at a fraction of the cost and time horizon to deploy FTTH. > > ** Laying fibre into every home now for the future is a good idea; but > probably not a good economic decision at the present, and especially > when xDSL could get us to the promised land for many years to come. > Disappointing. > > Hope that helps, > Elias > > Elias Bizannes > http://eliasbizannes.com > > > > On Mon, Dec 20, 2010 at 3:49 PM, David Lyon > <david.lyon.preissh...@gmail.com> wrote: >> Hi All, >> >> Just wondering who is affected positively by the NBN announcements.. >> >> Any comments ? for ? or against ? >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Silicon Beach >> Australia mailing list. >> >> Guidelines on discussion: >> http://groups.google.com/group/silicon-beach-australia/msg/351e183e1303508d?hl=en%3Fhl%3Den >> >> No lurkers! It is expected that you introduce yourself. >> >> To post to this group, send email to >> silicon-beach-australia@googlegroups.com >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> silicon-beach-australia+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/silicon-beach-australia?hl=en?hl=en >> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Silicon Beach > Australia mailing list. > > Guidelines on discussion: > http://groups.google.com/group/silicon-beach-australia/msg/351e183e1303508d?hl=en%3Fhl%3Den > > No lurkers! It is expected that you introduce yourself. > > To post to this group, send email to > silicon-beach-australia@googlegroups.com > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > silicon-beach-australia+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/silicon-beach-australia?hl=en?hl=en > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Silicon Beach Australia mailing list. Guidelines on discussion: http://groups.google.com/group/silicon-beach-australia/msg/351e183e1303508d?hl=en%3Fhl%3Den No lurkers! It is expected that you introduce yourself. To post to this group, send email to silicon-beach-australia@googlegroups.com To unsubscribe from this group, send email to silicon-beach-australia+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/silicon-beach-australia?hl=en?hl=en