--- Charles D Hixson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:

> Tom McCabe wrote:
> > --- Eugen Leitl <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >
> >   
> >> On Tue, Jun 05, 2007 at 01:24:04PM -0700, Tom
> McCabe
> >> wrote:
> >>
> >>     
> >>> Unless, of course, that human turns out to be
> evil
> >>>       
> >> and
> >>
> >> That why you need to screen them, and build a
> group
> >> with
> >> checks and balances.
> >>     
> >
> > If our psychology is so advanced that we're
> willing to
> > trust the fate of the world with it, why have we
> had
> > no success at getting prisoners to avoid
> committing
> > further crimes, even when we have them under 24/7
> > control and observation for years on end? Keep in
> mind
> > that Hitler, Stalin, and the like, at age 20,
> would
> > have seemed like normal, regular guys.
> >   
> FWIW, I seem to remember that Stalin at age 20 was a
> political terrorist 
> and a bank robber.

Hmmm... While that's not exactly normal, it's still
quite common for teenagers to be criminals/political
revolutionaries. Even if Stalin would have been
screened out, I'm sure you could dig up plenty of
world dictators who wouldn't have been.

> OTOH, my real problem with "...a group with checks
> and balances." is who 
> gets to specify those self-same checks and balances.
>  E.g., I can't 
> think of a single government official or leader I
> would trust that is in 
> any position of power.  (Well, perhaps one, but her
> "position of power" 
> is rather scant in the amount of power.)
> 
> ...
> > Obviously there is some selection effect (people
> who
> > are nasty jerks tend to want power more than
> others),
> > but it's not so severe that an insignificant part
> of
> > the population falls under the category of
> "potential
> > evil overlord".
> >   
> eh?  You must not be following the same news that I
> follow.

I refer you to the studies by Zimbardo
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanford_prison_experiment)
and Milgram
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milgram_experiment).

> > ...
> > A computer system that we can design to spec, test
> to
> > an arbitrary degree of precision in a sandbox
> computer
> > environment, and for which the mathematics of
> behavior
> > are tractable.
> >   
> This strikes me as...unlikely.  Great, if you can
> manage it, but just a 
> bit unlikely.  (Not the design to spec part.  That's
> doable.  But both 
> the specs themselves and the "mathematics of
> behavior are tractable." 
> seem more than a bit dubious

I'm not a professional mathematician, but I'm sure
that the behavior of a computer system is a lot more
tractable than any human's.

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