Hi

One way to check what’s going on is to watch for 12 or 24 hour “blips” in the 
data. Unless you have a 
very unusual antenna setup, you should see some of them. They aren’t the 
ionosphere, but they are
normally there in most datasets. 

Bob

> On Apr 17, 2017, at 12:33 PM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> wrote:
> 
> Hi Bob,
> 
> OK, thanks.  I've kicked off a 7 day run of a GFS against the PRS-45A.  That 
> should be long enough to separate out the GFS from the PRS' drift direction 
> from the ionosphere.
> 
> Bob
>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
> From: Bob kb8tq <kb...@n1k.org>
> To: Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> 
> Cc: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement <time-nuts@febo.com>
> Sent: Monday, April 17, 2017 11:28 AM
> Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
> 
> Hi
> 
> The ionosphere is the culprit in terms of the daily swing. The swing is a 
> function of the goodness of fit between the GPS broadcast data
> and the ionosphere as it impacts the satellites you are using. There is no 
> rime or reason to it beyond that. If you get “lucky” things don’t move 
> much. If you live in exciting times, things move quite a bit. Unless you go 
> to something like an L1/L2 receiver, the GPS module you use 
> has little to do with it (unless it’s broke ….). Yes there are some fiddly 
> little qualifiers relating to being at the north or south pole and GPS 
> coverage (along with space weather impacts). Very few of us do our runs at 
> either location :) Just for reference, the area of concern also has
> at least one day each year where the sun sets for < 1 hours. 
> 
> Bob
> 
> 
> 
> 
>> On Apr 17, 2017, at 11:33 AM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net 
>> <mailto:b...@evoria.net>> wrote:
>> 
>> Hi Bob,
>> 
>> Oh, I had completely forgotten about the many runs you gifted us with back 
>> then.  Fortunately, I kept all of them in my email archive.  I can't compare 
>> like for like, of course, but I think I can work up something that compares 
>> at the larger taus where the 5370 doesn't dominate.
>> 
>> I'm going to run another long term test of my GFS unit against my PRS-45A.  
>> The problem, the issue that made me ask for data is that everything from 
>> phase plots to ADEV plots of my unit are just so much better than the KS.  
>> In addition, I don't see the large ionospheric swings on my GFS unit that 
>> you and Bruce and others have spoken about.  This bothers me a lot.  Could 
>> it be my location here in Houston?  Could it be the Ublox LEA-6T compared to 
>> the much older Motorola in the KS?
>> 
>> Bob
>>  
>> 
>> 
>> From: Bob kb8tq <kb...@n1k.org <mailto:kb...@n1k.org>>
>> To: Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net <mailto:b...@evoria.net>> 
>> Cc: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement <time-nuts@febo.com 
>> <mailto:time-nuts@febo.com>>
>> Sent: Monday, April 17, 2017 7:55 AM
>> Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
>> 
>> Hi
>> 
>> The data I have on the KS boxes was posted to the list back when they were.a 
>> hot topic. I’m sure it is still in the archives.
>> I’m guessing it’s not quite what you are after. 
>> 
>> The closer the devices are to each other the better the technique works. A 
>> simple way to look at it is as an attenuation. If 
>> it knocks noise down 10:1, the worst unit should be no more than 10X noise 
>> than the best unit. How much things are knocked
>> down is a function of the length of the runs compared to the longest tau. 
>> For a 10:1 ratio of tau to run, attenuation of noise by 10:1
>>  is very optimistic. You usually  need something beyond 100:1 to get that 
>> sort of performance. A lot depends on the noise involved. 
>> Some types of behavior simply don’t work well with the technique. 
>> 
>> The KS box goes from “better than” to “worse than” and back to “better than” 
>> most atomic standards you would compare it to over
>> a range of tau from 0.1 S to 1,000,000 seconds. To get the 1,000,000 second 
>> data accurately, you would need a 100,000,000 second
>> run. The simple answer there is that nobody has that kind of time or that 
>> reliable a setup. Even the three month run to get good
>> 100,000 second data is a challenge. None of that relates to three corner hat 
>> stuff, it’s just the confidence bars on ADEV. It gives
>> you another (say) 100:1 wait on top of the three corner stuff. 
>> 
>> Now toss in the basics of GPS. Depending on the day, you will get <10 ns to  
>> >100 ns swing over a  24 hour period. Today 
>> may or may not be the same as tomorrow. That’s with a “perfect” L1 setup. 
>> The variation comes from the ionosphere and the fact that
>> the GPS data does not allow you to fully correct for it.  In addition, you 
>> will get some interesting bumps related to constellations and 
>> your local antenna setup. Any GPSDO that is quartz based will happily follow 
>> the 24 hour swing in the GPS from the ionosphere. At 
>> 100,000 seconds, a 100 ns swing is 1x10^-12. That’s a lot of disruption. It 
>> most certainly is not the sort of thing that ADEV expects 
>> to pop up in the middle of a run. 
>> 
>> The simple answer to all this is “don’t go there”. Three corner hat is fine 
>> for short term stuff. It’s a mess for long term runs. Getting data
>> that is good enough for a long term ADEV run out of a three corner setup is 
>> a major struggle. The time for the correlation to knock down
>> the noise on top of the time to get good ADEV data gets you into 
>> impractically long runs. 
>> 
>> Bob
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>>> On Apr 16, 2017, at 10:16 PM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net 
>>> <mailto:b...@evoria.net>> wrote:
>>> 
>>> Hi Bob,
>>> 
>>> OK, I give up.  Try as I might, I can't fudge things enough to make any 
>>> sense.  I did run a set of 1 hour tests that seemed to confirm what I can 
>>> infer from the phase plots in timelab, but anything longer than that and 
>>> the curves either contradict the phase plots, or there are large gaps in at 
>>> least one trace, or a trace is even missing entirely.  Oh well.  I seem to 
>>> remember reading that the 3c-hat was only useful in comparing similar 
>>> devices.  The KS just isn't close enough to what I'm trying to compare it 
>>> to, I guess.
>>> 
>>> If you or anyone else has an ADEV plot of the KS against some local 
>>> standard (for any length of time, any standard, even just a bare OCXO that 
>>> is not a Trimble 34310-T) could you please share it with me?  I'm looking 
>>> for relative peformance, not a definitive test.  Of course if you also have 
>>> one of a 34310-T against the same standard, that would be great!
>>> 
>>> Bob
>>>  
>>> 
>>> 
>>> From: Bob kb8tq <kb...@n1k.org <mailto:kb...@n1k.org>>
>>> To: Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net <mailto:b...@evoria.net>>; Discussion of 
>>> precise time and frequency measurement <time-nuts@febo.com 
>>> <mailto:time-nuts@febo.com>> 
>>> Cc: John Miles <j...@miles.io <mailto:j...@miles.io>>
>>> Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2017 7:19 PM
>>> Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
>>> 
>>> Hi
>>> 
>>> There are a number of papers from the 70’s and 80’s digging into three 
>>> corner hat data. The net result often
>>> would turn out to be “less than zero” noise on one of the DUT’s. Since 
>>> that’s physically impossible the technique
>>> got a bit of “attention”.  The Cliff Notes version of the results is that 
>>> simultaneous measurements were the key
>>> to getting decent results. The closer to “same time” (as in microseconds or 
>>> nanoseconds) the better. Even with very careful 
>>> data collection, odd things can still happen. Phase noise pops up at crazy 
>>> low levels or ADEV goes to bizarre
>>> numbers. In many ways a TimePod (or other ADC based setup) is ideal for 
>>> getting the data synchronized. Running
>>> all three devices on one is by far the best way I have seen to make the 
>>> technique work. It still can have problems, 
>>> but less so that other ways of doing it. 
>>> 
>>> Bob
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> > On Apr 13, 2017, at 7:16 PM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net 
>>> > <mailto:b...@evoria.net>> wrote:
>>> > 
>>> > Hi John,
>>> > I had a chance to think about this some more after I pressed the send 
>>> > key.  The ionospheric effects are certainly going to be different if the 
>>> > distance in time between tests is large.  And, of course, there is the 
>>> > fact that the KS has a pretty old receiver compared the Ublox I use, so 
>>> > that even the reaction to the ionosphere is likely to be different.  So, 
>>> > I thought I'd experiment with some runs with both GPSDOs in holdover to 
>>> > see if that would even the score, so to speak.  Of course then I have the 
>>> > temperature variable, so it's never going to be perfect.
>>> > Anyway, thanks for the help.  If I get anything that seems useful out of 
>>> > this, I'll post links to the data.
>>> > Bob 
>>> > 
>>> >      From: John Miles <j...@miles.io <mailto:j...@miles.io>>
>>> > To: 'Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement' 
>>> > <time-nuts@febo.com <mailto:time-nuts@febo.com>> 
>>> > Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2017 6:01 PM
>>> > Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
>>> > 
>>> > Longer runs would be better to the extent that they give you smaller 
>>> > error bars in your tau range of interest, certainly.  But any effects 
>>> > that influence one of your runs but not the others will render the 
>>> > 3-cornered hat solution questionable, if not outright invalid.  Only 
>>> > through many repeated runs can you learn to tell the bogus data from the 
>>> > good stuff.  So I'd make shorter runs at first, until you're sure you 
>>> > know what you're looking at.
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > It doesn't matter which source is applied to the start versus stop 
>>> > channel, as long as the assignments are consistent with the source labels 
>>> > you apply.  I would use frequency-count mode to simplify things, at least 
>>> > at first.  This is already a very challenging measurement for all the 
>>> > reasons mentioned. 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > -- john, KE5FX
>>> > 
>>> > Miles Design LLC
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > From: Bob Stewart [mailto:b...@evoria.net <mailto:b...@evoria.net>] 
>>> > Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2017 8:41 AM
>>> > To: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement; John Miles
>>> > Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > Hi John,
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > Thanks!  With lesser equipment, such as the 5370A, would longer runs be 
>>> > better?  I used a set of 1 hr runs and the result wasn't quite what I had 
>>> > expected.  However, it may be that I had mislabeled the files, and thus 
>>> > got the sources confused.  Of course, it may be that the ionospheric 
>>> > effect was grossly different between the three tests.  So, with a 5370, 
>>> > Source A would be the START input and Source B would be the STOP input, 
>>> > right?  For my testing, the sources are all 10MHz signals, and I'm 
>>> > driving the EXT input with 1PPS from a GPSDO.
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > Bob 
>>> > 
>>> > _______________________________________________
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>>> > 
>>> > 
>>> > 
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>>> 
>>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
> 
> 
> 

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