Hi Tom,
The reason I express so much confusion over this is because I don't see the 
wild phase excursions on my GFS units that people insist will happen due to 
ionospheric effects.  Is this because they are rare events, and I just haven't 
been saving data during a bad time?  I notice in your example page, you aren't 
seeing them, either during your 8+ day capture of the Tbolt.

Bob 


      From: Tom Van Baak <t...@leapsecond.com>
 To: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement <time-nuts@febo.com> 
 Sent: Monday, April 17, 2017 3:05 PM
 Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
   
Bob S,

Here's an example of a one week GPSDO run:

http://leapsecond.com/pages/tbolt-8d/

IIRC, this was a default, untuned, self-surveyed TBolt. You can see some level 
of daily variations -- probably a mix of sky view, survey error, ionosphere, 
multi-path, sidereal effects [1], temperature (antenna, cable, GPSDO, 
reference), etc. It takes some time and equipment to sort out which is which, 
but even a simple test like this can give you an upper bound.

/tvb

[1] Fun GPS orbit stuff here:
http://leapsecond.com/pages/sidereal/index.htm
http://leapsecond.com/pages/sidereal/14years.htm
http://leapsecond.com/pages/sidereal/sv.htm
http://leapsecond.com/pages/gps-orbit/


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Bob Stewart" <b...@evoria.net>
To: "Bob kb8tq" <kb...@n1k.org>; "Discussion of Precise Time and Frequency 
Measurement" <time-nuts@febo.com>
Sent: Monday, April 17, 2017 9:33 AM
Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?


Hi Bob,
OK, thanks. I've kicked off a 7 day run of a GFS against the PRS-45A. That 
should be long enough to separate out the GFS from the PRS' drift direction 
from the ionosphere.

Bob 



      From: Bob kb8tq <kb...@n1k.org>
 To: Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> 
Cc: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement <time-nuts@febo.com>
 Sent: Monday, April 17, 2017 11:28 AM
 Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
  
Hi
The ionosphere is the culprit in terms of the daily swing. The swing is a 
function of the goodness of fit between the GPS broadcast dataand the 
ionosphere as it impacts the satellites you are using. There is no rime or 
reason to it beyond that. If you get “lucky” things don’t move much. If you 
live in exciting times, things move quite a bit. Unless you go to something 
like an L1/L2 receiver, the GPS module you use has little to do with it (unless 
it’s broke ….). Yes there are some fiddly little qualifiers relating to being 
at the north or south pole and GPS coverage (along with space weather impacts). 
Very few of us do our runs at either location :) Just for reference, the area 
of concern also hasat least one day each year where the sun sets for < 1 hours. 
Bob




On Apr 17, 2017, at 11:33 AM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> wrote:
Hi Bob,
Oh, I had completely forgotten about the many runs you gifted us with back 
then. Fortunately, I kept all of them in my email archive. I can't compare like 
for like, of course, but I think I can work up something that compares at the 
larger taus where the 5370 doesn't dominate.
I'm going to run another long term test of my GFS unit against my PRS-45A. The 
problem, the issue that made me ask for data is that everything from phase 
plots to ADEV plots of my unit are just so much better than the KS. In 
addition, I don't see the large ionospheric swings on my GFS unit that you and 
Bruce and others have spoken about. This bothers me a lot. Could it be my 
location here in Houston? Could it be the Ublox LEA-6T compared to the much 
older Motorola in the KS?

Bob 

      From: Bob kb8tq <kb...@n1k.org>
 To: Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> 
Cc: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement <time-nuts@febo.com>
 Sent: Monday, April 17, 2017 7:55 AM
 Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
  
Hi
The data I have on the KS boxes was posted to the list back when they were.a 
hot topic. I’m sure it is still in the archives.I’m guessing it’s not quite 
what you are after. 

The closer the devices are to each other the better the technique works. A 
simple way to look at it is as an attenuation. If it knocks noise down 10:1, 
the worst unit should be no more than 10X noise than the best unit. How much 
things are knockeddown is a function of the length of the runs compared to the 
longest tau. For a 10:1 ratio of tau to run, attenuation of noise by 10:1 is 
very optimistic. You usually need something beyond 100:1 to get that sort of 
performance. A lot depends on the noise involved. Some types of behavior simply 
don’t work well with the technique. 
The KS box goes from “better than” to “worse than” and back to “better than” 
most atomic standards you would compare it to overa range of tau from 0.1 S to 
1,000,000 seconds. To get the 1,000,000 second data accurately, you would need 
a 100,000,000 secondrun. The simple answer there is that nobody has that kind 
of time or that reliable a setup. Even the three month run to get good100,000 
second data is a challenge. None of that relates to three corner hat stuff, 
it’s just the confidence bars on ADEV. It givesyou another (say) 100:1 wait on 
top of the three corner stuff. 
Now toss in the basics of GPS. Depending on the day, you will get <10 ns to 
>100 ns swing over a 24 hour period. Today may or may not be the same as 
tomorrow. That’s with a “perfect” L1 setup. The variation comes from the 
ionosphere and the fact thatthe GPS data does not allow you to fully correct 
for it. In addition, you will get some interesting bumps related to 
constellations and your local antenna setup. Any GPSDO that is quartz based 
will happily follow the 24 hour swing in the GPS from the ionosphere. At 
100,000 seconds, a 100 ns swing is 1x10^-12. That’s a lot of disruption. It 
most certainly is not the sort of thing that ADEV expects to pop up in the 
middle of a run. 
The simple answer to all this is “don’t go there”. Three corner hat is fine for 
short term stuff. It’s a mess for long term runs. Getting datathat is good 
enough for a long term ADEV run out of a three corner setup is a major 
struggle. The time for the correlation to knock downthe noise on top of the 
time to get good ADEV data gets you into impractically long runs. 
Bob




On Apr 16, 2017, at 10:16 PM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> wrote:
Hi Bob,
OK, I give up. Try as I might, I can't fudge things enough to make any sense. I 
did run a set of 1 hour tests that seemed to confirm what I can infer from the 
phase plots in timelab, but anything longer than that and the curves either 
contradict the phase plots, or there are large gaps in at least one trace, or a 
trace is even missing entirely. Oh well. I seem to remember reading that the 
3c-hat was only useful in comparing similar devices. The KS just isn't close 
enough to what I'm trying to compare it to, I guess.

If you or anyone else has an ADEV plot of the KS against some local standard 
(for any length of time, any standard, even just a bare OCXO that is not a 
Trimble 34310-T) could you please share it with me? I'm looking for relative 
peformance, not a definitive test. Of course if you also have one of a 34310-T 
against the same standard, that would be great!

Bob 

      From: Bob kb8tq <kb...@n1k.org>
 To: Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net>; Discussion of precise time and frequency 
measurement <time-nuts@febo.com> 
Cc: John Miles <j...@miles.io>
 Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2017 7:19 PM
 Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
  
Hi

There are a number of papers from the 70’s and 80’s digging into three corner 
hat data. The net result often
would turn out to be “less than zero” noise on one of the DUT’s. Since that’s 
physically impossible the technique
got a bit of “attention”. The Cliff Notes version of the results is that 
simultaneous measurements were the key
to getting decent results. The closer to “same time” (as in microseconds or 
nanoseconds) the better. Even with very careful 
data collection, odd things can still happen. Phase noise pops up at crazy low 
levels or ADEV goes to bizarre
numbers. In many ways a TimePod (or other ADC based setup) is ideal for getting 
the data synchronized. Running
all three devices on one is by far the best way I have seen to make the 
technique work. It still can have problems, 
but less so that other ways of doing it. 

Bob



> On Apr 13, 2017, at 7:16 PM, Bob Stewart <b...@evoria.net> wrote:
> 
> Hi John,
> I had a chance to think about this some more after I pressed the send key. 
> The ionospheric effects are certainly going to be different if the distance 
> in time between tests is large. And, of course, there is the fact that the KS 
> has a pretty old receiver compared the Ublox I use, so that even the reaction 
> to the ionosphere is likely to be different. So, I thought I'd experiment 
> with some runs with both GPSDOs in holdover to see if that would even the 
> score, so to speak. Of course then I have the temperature variable, so it's 
> never going to be perfect.
> Anyway, thanks for the help. If I get anything that seems useful out of this, 
> I'll post links to the data.
> Bob 
> 
> From: John Miles <j...@miles.io>
> To: 'Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement' 
> <time-nuts@febo.com> 
> Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2017 6:01 PM
> Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
> 
> Longer runs would be better to the extent that they give you smaller error 
> bars in your tau range of interest, certainly. But any effects that influence 
> one of your runs but not the others will render the 3-cornered hat solution 
> questionable, if not outright invalid. Only through many repeated runs can 
> you learn to tell the bogus data from the good stuff. So I'd make shorter 
> runs at first, until you're sure you know what you're looking at.
> 
> 
> 
> It doesn't matter which source is applied to the start versus stop channel, 
> as long as the assignments are consistent with the source labels you apply. I 
> would use frequency-count mode to simplify things, at least at first. This is 
> already a very challenging measurement for all the reasons mentioned. 
> 
> 
> 
> -- john, KE5FX
> 
> Miles Design LLC
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> From: Bob Stewart [mailto:b...@evoria.net] 
> Sent: Thursday, April 13, 2017 8:41 AM
> To: Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement; John Miles
> Subject: Re: [time-nuts] Three-cornered hat on timelab?
> 
> 
> 
> Hi John,
> 
> 
> 
> Thanks! With lesser equipment, such as the 5370A, would longer runs be 
> better? I used a set of 1 hr runs and the result wasn't quite what I had 
> expected. However, it may be that I had mislabeled the files, and thus got 
> the sources confused. Of course, it may be that the ionospheric effect was 
> grossly different between the three tests. So, with a 5370, Source A would be 
> the START input and Source B would be the STOP input, right? For my testing, 
> the sources are all 10MHz signals, and I'm driving the EXT input with 1PPS 
> from a GPSDO.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Bob 
> 
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