Hi

I'm not too certain what Stephen would include under "technical analysis", but 
it does appear that the classic superiority of actuarial over clinical 
prediction applies to the stock market as well as numerous other domains.  See:

http://www.psych.umn.edu/faculty/grove/096clinicalversusmechanicalprediction.pdf
 

Take care
Jim

James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
Department of Psychology
University of Winnipeg
Winnipeg, Manitoba
R3B 2E9
CANADA


>>> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 23-Nov-08 10:15 PM >>>
On 23 Nov 2008 at 10:35, Christopher D. Green wrote:
 
> In case you were wondering why (scientific) psychology (still) doesn't 
> get much respect from natural scientists, psychics are apparently doing > a 
> booming business during the current business bust.

Why the stock market needs psychics is beyond me. They already have their 
own well-established mediums of the money, those who practice so-called 
"technical analysis". This is the widespread belief that where the market 
is going can be predicted by seeing where it went, with much arcane mumbo-
jumbo. Its practitioners study charts of market movement the way 
astrologers study the planets, with about the same effect.

Stephen

-----------------------------------------------------------------
Stephen L. Black, Ph.D.          
Professor of Psychology, Emeritus   
Bishop's University      e-mail:  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
2600 College St.
Sherbrooke QC  J1M 1Z7
Canada

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