In fact, Bem has a background in physics: a BA from Reed College, and he 
started in the physics graduate program at MIT before switching to psychology.

I think that Bem's results are best interpreted in light of his approach to 
hypothesis testing. His chapter on writing in The Compleat Academic advocates 
HARKing, or hypothesizing after the results are known. Although many, such as 
Norb Kerr at Michigan State, see HARKing as intellectually dishonest, Bem 
believes that one should write an introduction after looking at the results, in 
order to tell a coherent story. Study 1 of Bem's forthcoming paper provides a 
good example: he tested men and women on erotic stimuli, nonerotic but romantic 
stimuli, positive stimuli, negative stimuli, and neutral stimuli. He predicted 
and found an effect such that choices on erotic but not nonerotic stimuli were 
slightly but significantly greater than chance. I suspect that had he found 
effects only for men, only for women, only for positive, negative, or nonerotic 
stimuli, he would have predicted the effect he found. One could similarly 
critique each of the studies in the paper; for example, sometimes he predicted 
and found that individual differences (e.g., in extraversion or sensation 
seeking) moderated the effects, sometimes not. If enough hypotheses are tested 
in any given study, some are bound to come out. I don't think that Bem is doing 
anything unusual; Kerr's research suggests that HARKing is quite common in 
psychology. Bem also used one-tailed tests, which seems curious for a paper 
testing extraordinary claims.

________________________________________
From: sbl...@ubishops.ca [sbl...@ubishops.ca]
Sent: Thursday, January 06, 2011 10:42 AM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: Re: [tips] Don't Be Surprised If Your Physics Colleagues Snicker When 
They Pass You In the Hall

On 6 Jan 2011 at 8:46, Mike Palij (yada, yada) wrote:

>> I wonder if anyone has conducted a case study on Bem to understand why
> he believes in PSI?

The simple answer would be because that's where he believes his
results take him. A good scientist has to accept what his data tells
him, regardless of the consequences and his own beliefs, even if
contrary. Of course, extraordinary claims require extraordinary
evidence, and the claim here is extraordinarily extraordinary.
Still, he did play by the rules, which got his paper past peer
review.

As for Mike's title, I don't think physics colleagues have much to
snicker about, not when you remind them of the Bogdanov twins
( http://tinyurl.com/29gnz6l ) and the polywater debacle.

(Wikipedia also has a nice long piece on the Bogdanovs).

Stephen
--------------------------------------------
Stephen L. Black, Ph.D.
Professor of Psychology, Emeritus
Bishop's University
Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
e-mail:  sblack at ubishops.ca
---------------------------------------------

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