On Thu, 15 Feb 2018 00:01:18 +0100
Reindl Harald wrote:

> Am 14.02.2018 um 23:07 schrieb RW:
 
> > My point is that an imbalance doesn't create a bias 
 
> wrong - what you tried to say was "doesn't necessarily create a bias"
> - but in fact when the imbalance is too big *it does*
> 
> simply think about how bayes works makes that clear: eahc word a
> token with ham/spam counter - when you have 1 Mio of one type and
> 10000 of the other type guess how that counter start to get biased

As I said, Bayes is based on frequencies.

If a token occurs in 10% of ham and 0.5% of spam based on 10,000 hams
and 10,000 spams, what do you think is likely to happen to those
percentages with 10,000 hams and 1,000,000 spams?





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