.Mr. Dickenson—

I find nothing in your comments to disagree with, even the UV lights in a HVAC 
system.  Wednesday I read an item on using UV lights to deactivate viruses on 
N-95 masks.  I will send a link.

I have long though that a low dose is necessary to allow a weak immune system 
to work to generate anti-bodies before the virus get too many cells infected 
and is reproducing at a rapid rate.

I  will add to this email with some research and current reporting links that 
address the issues you bring up tomorrow.

Thanks for your input to this complex world problem.

Bob Cook





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________________________________
From: Jim Dickenson <jrdicken...@gmail.com>
Sent: Friday, March 27, 2020 4:55:58 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com <vortex-l@eskimo.com>
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Laissez les bon temps rouler -

Hi,

Thank you for your thoughts.  I happened to catch your post when I was looking 
for Promed emails in my inbox.

A discussion that I saw talked about how the size of the virus load (the 
inoculum) may affect disease progression.  They said that getting a few virions 
from touching a handrail may lead to a longer and milder buildup to symptoms 
(if any) than receiving a huge load of virions (for example , being coughed at 
directly in the face), which may lead to a very rapid onset of worse symptoms.  
(In the latter case, the immune system has to fight many battles at once while 
trying to learn about the enemy; whereas in the first case, it can take some 
time to learn and mount a response.)  So the severity of some of these 
outbreaks may be a direct function of how efficiently the infected (both 
symptomatic and asymptomatic) infected the never infected.

An interesting article about a town in Italy that checked everyone is at
https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-mass-testing-experiment-italian-town-covid-19-outbreak-1493183

They actually found people who were infected but were asymptomatic.  Once all 
the infected were quarantined, the infection basically died out.

IMHO, The big problem in this epidemic is that there are a percentage of 
asymptomatic (or minimally symptomatic) infected people, who go around 
(inadvertently) infecting others.  It's a perfect design from the virus' point 
of view, not so much from ours.  SO it looks like test, test, test and isolate 
all who test positive - symptomatic or not.

And as we do over here in Asia, everyone wear a mask - whether feeling well or 
not.

One other thing no one seems to talk about is using UVC lights (LED, 
florescent, deuterium) to disinfect things.  Also there exist florescent UVC 
lights that are designed to fit into HVAC vents to kill bacteria, mites, and 
viruses.

A comment (on a video) by an electrician in a large building was that when the 
UVC lights in the HVAC ducts were working, the absenteeism reduced by 30%, and 
likewise increased by a similar amount when they were out of order (evidently 
the management took its time repairing things when they broke or so I infer).  
I know this is anecdotal data, but it begs consideration.  And it's a cheap 
solution for all central HVAC systems (even those on cruise ships).

Oh well, my 2 cents.

Stay well everyone!

Jim Dickenson
Kanagawa, Japan






On Sat, Mar 28, 2020 at 12:33 AM Jones Beene 
<jone...@pacbell.net<mailto:jone...@pacbell.net>> wrote:
Mardi Gras this year, as we now realize was a 'perfect storm' for virus spread 
in New Orleans... It seemed at first like a statistical outlier as there was a 
fairly long delay and cause-and-effect are always a politically touchy subject.
This worldwide festival at the start of Lent is also celebrated in Spain and 
Italy and elsewhere, under different names. Italy, Spain and New Orleans are 
three areas of the World where the virus spread extremely rapidly.

Coincidence, omen or what? It is hard to think that all three instances are not 
connected to a common statistical model. OTOH if there is a direct connection 
to the dynamics of viral spread with Carnival, then why was Rio, the biggest 
party of all - left out from the devastation?

... or was it?

Sadly accurate numbers may be hidden away in what is normally a higher than 
average death rate - and the worst viral devastation of all has yet to be 
announced.

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