Thanks for the analysis, Jed. Will be interesting to read what others have to say.
BTW, what did Rossi have to say? * * * * * When I look at the graph I continue to be drawn to the curious fact that the input power is cycled on and off a total of three or four times starting from around 13:59 to finally ending at 15:50 when it is permanently turned off. Looks to me as if Rossi's team may have been trying to get their eCat airborne way before the time stamp of 15:50. My apologies if the following has already been discussed or speculated since there has been so much discussion in the past three days - I can't keep track of it all. The characteristics of the input data gives me the impression that Rossi's team is trying to capitalize on what I would describe as the "Sweet Spot", where Rossi feels that the core reaction is finally beginning to take off without further need for an input power source to sustain the output reaction. It's analogous to the Wright Brothers hand cranking the propeller of their first air craft where the first couple of spins don't necessarily catch on with the engine. As already speculated by a few here, Rossi continues to give me the impression that he operates very much on intuition. Recording scientific data is almost incidental to him, a characteristic I suspect probably drives a few of his colleagues to distraction. Rossi has probably acquired a reasonable amount of instinctual "horse sense" as to when he thinks his mysterious eCats are likely to take off in self-sustain mode. The following is what I speculate is happening between 13:59 to 15:50: Rossi initially tries at 13:59... It's catching!!!! It's catching... Ah, shoot! It petered out. Ok guys! Crank her up again. Input Power turned back on 14:11. Rossi tries again at around 14:24... Well, Shoot. Still didn't catch! Maybe I need to prime the pistons. Where's my canister of Ether. Ok guys. Crank her up again. Input power turned back on at 14:36 Looks like Rossi tries for the third time at around 14:48, but I suspect the there are data anomalies here (human error?) and Rossi actually turns off the input power at around 15:00. It's turning... It's turning... Come on! Come on!!!! You can do it!!!! Shoot it's going down again. We're close guys! I can feel it in my ancient Italian bones! Ok, let's crank'er up again. Input Power turned back on at 15:25. For the fourth time, Rossi turns off the input power around 15:50. Meanwhile the output signal has been strong and rapidly rising starting at around 15:40 or so. Rossi's Italian bones sense that this is probably the Big One. .TURN THE INPUT POWER OFF!!!! Got it! Hand me my goggles, guys! It's Steam Punk Rock'N'Role time! Here are some final personal interpretations: It looks to me as if in every case input power is turned off several minutes after the Rossi "senses" that the output power is on a steady rise (in self-sustain mode) towards the 3000 mark and above. I wonder if Rossi may have initially been trying to hit that sweet spot early in the data recordings starting at 13:59. Perhaps he initially turned input power off back then in order to help minimize the potential of introducing skeptical arguments such as those presented over at Krivit's blog having to do with the total accumulation of input power from the start of the experiment and how the entire collection of data appears to be greater than the total accumulation of recorded output power. In any case, it looks to me as if Rossi had three false starts before he finally hit pay dirt on the fourth crank. Comments? Regards, Steven Vincent Johnson www.OrionWorks.com www.zazzle.com/orionworks
