You need to think of who uses the power. Generally industry uses 50% and
domestic / commercial uses the other 50%. The money is with industry. If
25% installed early phase CF generators, the commercial and domestic
users would be left with a grid that is falling apart as there is not
enough income to maintain it. In Australia there are around 30 million
grid connections. Availability of reliable electricity is not something
to be tossed away so easily. The problem would be massive and probably
requiring government intervention to allow no more than 5% grid
replacement per year and fees levied on the CF users to maintain the
grid until everyone was off the grid. This would be a massive job to do
the transition while ensuring EVERYONE had reliable electricity access
during the process. I would suggest there will be a very large shit
fight and we should be getting off grid RIGHT NOW, before it all starts
to fall apart. The transition will not be nice.
AG
On 12/1/2011 9:49 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote:
Aussie Guy E-Cat <aussieguy.e...@gmail.com
<mailto:aussieguy.e...@gmail.com>> wrote:
A 15% shift off grid would reduce the grid owners income enough to
stop grid maintenance and then the 85% on grid would have no
power. I do agree that with LENR home reactors we may not need the
grid but moving from where we are today to that situation will be
very difficult.
It will only be difficult for people who want to stay on the grid, or
who cannot afford to buy their own cold fusion generators. It will not
be a bit difficult for those who jump ship.
Of course it will be difficult for the power companies! That's a shame
for them, but the rest of us will not care. We did not care when
passenger railroads were driven out of business by cars and airplanes,
and when DEC and other minicomputer companies were driven out of
business by personal computers.
The same is true for gasoline powered automobiles. After five or 10%
of the cars on the road are cold fusion powered, gas stations will
begin closing down in droves. Even a small reduction in their revenue
drives them out of business. People who still want to drive gasoline
powered vehicles will soon have difficulty finding a place to fill up.
Automobiles last around 8 years these days. I predict that when one
third of the cars on the road are cold fusion powered, most gas
stations will close and the the remaining two thirds will be scrapped
sooner than normal. Soon, only a few hobbyists will still have them.
They will be about as common as typewriters are today.
I discussed these issues in my book.
- Jed
