Craig <[email protected]> wrote:

> Here's what's known:
>
> * CO2 is increasing -- pretty much in a linear fashion.
>
> * CO2 is a greenhouse gas. But CO2 is an extremely small percentage of
> the total atmosphere; something like .039%. It's also not a very strong
> greenhouse gas. Water vapor is something like 55 times stronger than
> CO2, and water vapor comprises about 2% of the atmosphere.
>
> * Temperatures are increasing. Are they? It depends on how you look at
> it. . . .


I do not know enough about climatology to critique this critique, but I do
know about other fields such as cold fusion, Japanese linguistics and
Battle of Midway. I mean I know a lot -- enough to write a graduate thesis.
I have also read critiques of these subjects written by amateurs. Some of
these critiques are excellent. Others suffer from a particular set of
problems, and my guess is that your critique has these same problems. They
are:

1. You need to establish that your points have scientific merit. That means
you have to spend weeks or months reading textbooks and the literature to
be sure you are really right.

2. You need to establish that experts in the field have not overlooked the
issues you raise. It is likely they have already answered all of your
objections. Not just likely; it is virtually certain they have. Ed Storms
often points this out in discussions of cold fusion.

All of amateur critiques, such as the Wikipedia article, fail for both of
these reasons. They list imaginary problems that are not physically
possible, such as recombination. If these problems were possible, the
researchers knew all about them before they began. These are professional
electrochemists so they know a great deal about recombination and shuttle
reactions. Mel Miles once gave a lecture on that subject with way more
detail than you can imagine. Bockris probably wrote the book on it
(literally). The dweebs of Wikipedia know less than nothing about
recombination compared to any of these people.

In other words, don't teach grandma how to suck eggs. Before you write a
critique of global warming, you better read a half-dozen books and major
papers on the subject or you will only make yourself look like a fool.

- Jed

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