The questions that are being asked are important and the MFMP guys are working 
very hard to answer them.  A number of additional measures have been taken at 
various times to root out unusual behavior and to improve the accuracy of the 
results.  Everyone realizes how important this is to get right.


One test that they ran last month was per a request I made that is quite 
similar to what is suggested by Jack.  First the cell was stabilized with all 
of the power being applied to the test Celani wire.  At a specific point in 
time, the power was quickly shifted to the heating wire which is NiCr.  The 
input powers were matched to a close degree.  I noted that the apparent excess 
power changed by about .4 watts if I recall.  That actual value for this 
discussion is not important, but if you need I can look it up.  The source of 
the difference was not determined at that time, but both wires were exposed to 
helium instead of hydrogen for that test.  A vacuum and other attempts had been 
recently performed to remove any LENR activity that might be normally there.  
The details are written in a log on their site.


This lack of power output correlation concerned me then  and still does.  There 
are numerous variables to contend with and it is apparent that control of the 
accuracy is not trivial.  Everyone is getting a good education as to how 
difficult these tests are to confirm.


Lately, I have been worried that the excess power being shown on their web 
site(~5 watts) with the current technique that they have been using to 
calculate it is far too large to be real.  I do not want to see too many folks 
let down by reality when the calorimeter does is miracles.  Another guy, 
Ascoli, used a technique to adjust their results that compensates for the 
density changes of the hydrogen.  The final curve he determined matches my 
steady state program output closely.  I use the outside glass temperature minus 
the ambient to calculate the instantaneous power which is more immune to 
changes within the cell such as gas density.  Of course my program takes into 
account the delay associated with heating of the glass and monitor.


The amount of direct hot wire generated IR that escapes through the glass 
envelop is a potential contributor to inaccuracy.  If this drifts, then the 
power captured and monitored on the outer glass test point will vary.  There 
has been evidence of this effect in the past when goop collected upon the test 
wires leading to changes in emissivity.  That is the current theory I apply to 
calibration drift.  Amazingly, the recent calibration factors appear to be 
holding well after many days of burn.


This is a learning experience for all of us.  Experimental science is a form of 
bondage!  Does it ever get better?


Dave


-----Original Message-----
From: Harry Veeder <hveeder...@gmail.com>
To: vortex-l <vortex-l@eskimo.com>
Sent: Thu, Feb 7, 2013 11:55 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]: MFMP Null Result


On Thu, Feb 7, 2013 at 11:01 AM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Jack Cole <jcol...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Seems to me like they could do something like that with a calibration run.
>> Heat with the inactive wire, then put 10watts through the active wire.  It
>> should then show up as 10W excess if they leave that power input out of the
>> calculation.
>
>
> That's what calibrations are for!
>
> That's what they are.
>
> - Jed

Calibrations involve a method analysis. Daniel's point is that a
method of analysis can be flawed if it generates a false positve
signal OR if it masks a positive signal. The method analysis should be
capable of detecting both a positive (desired) signal and a negative
(null, undesired) signal. To test the method analsysis the system
should be fed a "dummy" positive signal and "dummy" negative signal.

Harry

Harry


 

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