Doing the arithmetic, Lanthanum isn't that limiting. Current world Lanthanum reserves are around 6 million tonnes. Let's say you can get 1kW/cm^3 out of LaNi5 at a density of 8.2g/cm^3 and La mass fraction of 31% (139/(139+5*62)):
.31*8.2g/cm^3;1kW/cm^3;6Mtonne?W ([{0.31 * (8.2 * gramm)} / {(centi*meter)^3}]^-1 * [{1 * (kilo*watt)} / {(centi*meter)^3}]) * (6 * [mega*ton_metric]) ? watt = 2.3603462E15 W World energy consumption in 2008<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_consumption>was 143.851 PWh which, in watts is: 143.851 PWh/year?W (143.851 * [peta*Wh]) / year ? watt = 1.6421347E13 W So the world energy consumption could grow a factor of 100 on current Lanthanum reserves. There could be a price rise, but its just not the killer investment I speculated it might be based merely on the "rare" earth title enjoyed by Lanthanum. On Fri, Aug 23, 2013 at 9:38 PM, Jones Beene <jone...@pacbell.net> wrote: > ** ** > > *From:* James Bowery **** > > If the LaNi5 E-Cat theory were true, one would expect there to be > hoardingof the metal by E-Cat insiders since it will be limiting on world > energy supply and those holding physical La would profit enormously once > the dependency is announced. **** > > Well LaNi5 is short of being a working theory – just a possibility based > on its wide use as a hydrogen carrier, and since the Hot Cat requires > stored H2, but the NMR property of La adds to the likelihood. Since > lanthanum is not rare and seems to be in oversupply profiting on a spike in > demand seems too risky. More importantly - are there any “insiders” in LENR > with enough money to speculate? **** > > The main problem with that scenario is that insiders we know about, > including Ampenergo are not particularly well-heeled. Certainly not enough > to try corner any metals market. You may remember the disaster of the Hunt > Brothers trying to corner silver. The silver market is measured in ounces > while rare earths are sold in tonnage, so it appears that the task would be > harder. **** > > Rossi sold his biodiesel business well over a year ago, and yes – back > then he would have had a few million to spare – but for all we know, he > could have invested it in lanthanum futures (fully margined) at $66 > thinking they would at least go back above $117 but instead they went the > other way. That could explain a lot, including why he was forced to give up > control of the US operations. **** > > ** ** >