I feel like I should expand on my skepticism of HHVM as a mechanism for the
observed rise in active editors.

The average edit takes 7 minutes[1,2].  HHVM reduces the time to *save* the
edit by a couple seconds.  7 minutes - a couple seconds = ~7 minutes.  So,
HHVM doesn't really help you edit substantially faster.

1. Geiger, R. S., & Halfaker, A. (2013, February). Using edit sessions to
measure participation in Wikipedia. In *Proceedings of the 2013 conference
on Computer supported cooperative work* (pp. 861-870). ACM.
2. Halfaker, A., Keyes, O., Kluver, D., Thebault-Spieker, J., Nguyen, T.,
Shores, K., ... & Warncke-Wang, M. (2015, May). User Session Identification
Based on Strong Regularities in Inter-activity Time. In *Proceedings of the
24th International Conference on World Wide Web* (pp. 410-418).
International World Wide Web Conferences Steering Committee.

On Wed, Aug 19, 2015 at 5:08 PM, Aaron Halfaker <ahalfa...@wikimedia.org>
wrote:

> So, I've been digging into this a bit.  Regretfully, I don't have my
> results written up in a nice, consumable format.  So, you'll need to deal
> with my worklogs.  See
> https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research_talk:Active_editor_spike_2015/Work_log/2015-07-09
>
> TL;DR: It looks like there was a sudden burst in new registrations.  Work
> by Neil Quinn of the Editing Team suggests that these new registrations
> were largely the result of changes to the mobile app.  I didn't
> specifically look at 100+ monthly editors.  That seems like a fine
> extension of the study.  I'd be happy to support someone else to do that
> work.  I have some datasets that should make it relatively easy.
>
> > If the data is correct, then [HHVM] is likely to be one of the main
> reasons for the change.
>
> Correlation is not causation.  There's no cause to arrive at this
> conclusion.  In my limited study of the effects of HHVM on newcomer
> engagement, I found no meaningful effect.  I think that, before we consider
> HHVM as a cause of this, we should at least propose a mechanism and look
> for evidence of that mechanism.
>
> See
> https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:HHVM_newcomer_engagement_experiment
>
>
>
> On Wed, Aug 19, 2015 at 10:49 AM, WereSpielChequers <
> werespielchequ...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Most of those editors will have done 33 edits or less using V/E, and
>> some, including me in 4th place, will have been having a look at V/E after
>> the attention it has had recently at Wikimania, on the signpost and on
>> mailing lists. I'm not sure that something that barely involves 10% of a
>> group of editors could have had such a big effect.
>>
>> More likely and just at the right time, late 2014, Erik Zachte has
>> reminded me that we had a major speed-up with php parser change.
>>
>> http://hhvm.com/blog/7205/wikipedia-on-hhvm
>>
>>
>> If the data is correct, then that is likely to be one of the main reasons
>> for the change.
>>
>> Regards
>>
>> Jonathan Cardy
>>
>>
>> On 17 Aug 2015, at 19:11, Jonathan Morgan <jmor...@wikimedia.org> wrote:
>>
>> It looks like about 10% of highly active Enwiki editors have used VE in
>> the past month (across all namespaces):
>> http://quarry.wmflabs.org/query/4795
>>
>> On Mon, Aug 17, 2015 at 8:35 AM, WereSpielChequers <
>> werespielchequ...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>> On a very non-scientific measure of how few editors currently use V/E, I
>>> took some snapshots of the most recent 500 mainspace edits
>>> <https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:RecentChanges&limit=500&days=30>yesterday
>>> and was getting circa 1% tagged as visual editor, I've just run two sample
>>> this afternoon and the first had not a single edit tagged Visual editor and
>>> the other only four, so unless some of those experienced users using V/e
>>> have opted out of having their edits tagged V/E, I'm assuming "gobs and
>>> gobs" are either on other language wikis, heavily skewed to a time of day I
>>> haven't sampled or big in number but still too small a proportion to
>>> account for the increase in the number of editors doing >100 edits per
>>> month.
>>>
>>> On 17 August 2015 at 15:54, Jonathan Morgan <jmor...@wikimedia.org>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>> There are gobs and gobs* of people using VE. Many of them are
>>>> experienced editors.
>>>>
>>>> I'm also interested in looking at VE adoption over time (especially by
>>>> veteran editors). I'll sniff around and let y'all know if I find anything.
>>>>
>>>> No idea what might be causing the boost in active editor numbers. But
>>>> it's exciting to see :)
>>>>
>>>> Anyone else have data that bears on these questions?
>>>>
>>>> - J
>>>>
>>>> *non-scientific estimate drawn from anecdata
>>>>
>>>> On Sat, Aug 15, 2015 at 9:53 AM, WereSpielChequers <
>>>> werespielchequ...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> That's an interesting theory, but are there many people actually using
>>>>> V/E now?
>>>>>
>>>>> I've just gone back through recent changes looking for people using
>>>>> it, and apart from half a dozen newbies I've welcomed I'm really not 
>>>>> seeing
>>>>> many V/E edits.
>>>>>
>>>>> Looking at the history of Wikipedia:VisualEditor/Feedback
>>>>> <https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Wikipedia:VisualEditor/Feedback&offset=&limit=500&action=history>
>>>>> the last 500 edits go back three months. So apart from the Interior, you
>>>>> and I Kerry I'm not sure there is a huge number of people testing it, and 
>>>>> I
>>>>> wasn't testing it in the first 6 months of this year. I did see some
>>>>> research where they were claiming that retention rates for V/E editors 
>>>>> were
>>>>> now as good as for people using the classic editor, but I would be
>>>>> surprised if there were enough people using V/E to make a difference to
>>>>> these figures, especially as this is about the editors doing over 100 
>>>>> edits
>>>>> a month.
>>>>>
>>>>> I agree it would be interesting to track the take-up of the VE (fully
>>>>> or partially) by editor by year of original signup. But I think the long
>>>>> awaited boost from V?E editing is yet to come, if the regulars have 
>>>>> started
>>>>> to increase that is likely to be due to something else.
>>>>>
>>>>> Jonathan
>>>>>
>>>>> On 15 August 2015 at 15:11, Kerry Raymond <kerry.raym...@gmail.com>
>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> Is there any way of telling what proportion of these 8% appear to be
>>>>>> using the Visual Editor either exclusively or partially? It might be
>>>>>> interesting to track the take-up of the VE (fully or partially) by editor
>>>>>> by year of original signup.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Kerry
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> *From:* wiki-research-l-boun...@lists.wikimedia.org [mailto:
>>>>>> wiki-research-l-boun...@lists.wikimedia.org] *On Behalf Of *
>>>>>> WereSpielChequers
>>>>>> *Sent:* Saturday, 15 August 2015 11:12 PM
>>>>>> *To:* Research into Wikimedia content and communities <
>>>>>> wiki-research-l@lists.wikimedia.org>; The Wikimedia Foundation
>>>>>> Research Committee mailing list <rco...@lists.wikimedia.org>
>>>>>> *Subject:* [Wiki-research-l] Has the recent increase in English
>>>>>> wikipedia's core community gone beyond a statistical blip?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Hi,
>>>>>>
>>>>>> With 8% more editors contributing over 100 edits in June 2015 than
>>>>>> in  June 2014 <https://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaEN.htm>,
>>>>>> we have now had six consecutive months where this particular metric of 
>>>>>> the
>>>>>> core community is looking positive. One or two months could easily be a
>>>>>> statistical blip, especially when you compare calender months that may 
>>>>>> have
>>>>>> 5 weekends in one year and four the next. But 6 months in a row does 
>>>>>> begin
>>>>>> to look like a change in pattern.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> As far as caveats go I'm aware of several of the reasons why raw edit
>>>>>> count is a suspect measure, but I'm not aware of anything that has come 
>>>>>> in
>>>>>> in this year that would have artificially inflated edit counts and 
>>>>>> brought
>>>>>> more of the under  100 editors into the >100 group.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I know there was a recent speedup, which should increase subsequent
>>>>>> edit rates, and one of the edit filters got disabled in June, but neither
>>>>>> of those should be relevant to the Jan-May period.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Would anyone on this list be aware of something that would have
>>>>>> otherwise thrown that statistic?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Otherwise I'm considering submitting something to the Signpost.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Regards
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Jonathan
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> _______________________________________________
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>>>>>> Wiki-research-l@lists.wikimedia.org
>>>>>> https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wiki-research-l
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
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>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> --
>>>> Jonathan T. Morgan
>>>> Senior Design Researcher
>>>> Wikimedia Foundation
>>>> User:Jmorgan (WMF) <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Jmorgan_(WMF)>
>>>>
>>>>
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>>
>>
>> --
>> Jonathan T. Morgan
>> Senior Design Researcher
>> Wikimedia Foundation
>> User:Jmorgan (WMF) <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Jmorgan_(WMF)>
>>
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