J&J is proclaiming LOUDLY that they will have 1 Billion doses of vaccine
in 2 months. But it won't be available to administer until testing
completes in January. So IF that vaccine completes testing
_successfully_ ( big IF ). They will be ready for world innoculation (
and they say at no profit ) in January.
On 4/20/20 9:33 AM, Ken Hohhof wrote:
What are the treatments that are now working? I try to be optimistic
about antivirals and convalescent plasma, but right now they mainly
have ventilators, which honestly aren’t very successful if 70-80% of
the people die. They keep doing that because it’s the textbook
therapy for respiratory distress, but it ain’t working. Even if it
were working, ventilators are not a treatment, they don’t reverse the
disease, they are just a measure to get you oxygen while your body
hopefully fights the infection. And then you have the people
experiencing kidney failure and needing dialysis, they’re not sure if
the damage is permanent.
I hope you’re right that the medical community has learned how to
treat it, but I haven’t heard the evidence for that.
Regarding a vaccine, one interesting piece of information I read was
that even if they develop a successful and safe vaccine (many
challenges including the sensitization problem), then they have to
scale up vaccine production. Right now most vaccines are just for
each new wave of schoolchildren, this would have to be for the entire
population. And not in chicken eggs, it would have to be in big
vats. And the interesting part is they could repurpose fermentation
tanks used for things like brewing beer.
*From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> *On Behalf Of *Bill Prince
*Sent:* Monday, April 20, 2020 11:20 AM
*To:* af@af.afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism
Time will tell based on whether it actually starts declining in a
meaningful way, or whether we're going to bump along for a bit.
Remember, the goal was to flatten the curve; it wasn't necessarily
going to reduce the number of infections. I get the impression that
the medical community has learned a lot about how to actually treat it.
Let's see where we are a week from today (April 27). If we are over 1
million infections, this may be going a while yet. If it is under 1
million, I would be more encouraged.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
On 4/20/2020 8:20 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote:
Looks a bit Gaussian to me. I hope...
image
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