Logarithmic is the inverse of exponential. So another way to state that intelligence increases with the log of computing power is that while global computing power doubled every 1.5 years since 1950 (exponential), intelligence (measured by GDP) increased almost linearly, about 3% per year. (And 40% of this growth is due to population growth rather than technology).
Whether this growth speeds up, leading to a singularity, or slows down due to resource limitations, is a matter of debate that can only be resolved by waiting for the future to happen. Personally I think it will slow. On Mon, Jan 27, 2020, 7:10 PM <immortal.discover...@gmail.com> wrote: > Isn't an exponential curve just the reverse of a logarithmic curve? Are > you saying cost is falling and slowing down falling? But evolution is an S > curve made of S curves....I'm contused about this word 'logarithmic' in > your context. > *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + delivery > options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T65747f0622d5047f-Mb17b3bbcdf58dd33cf3561fe> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T65747f0622d5047f-Mf94d4bc72ee56fada7d344f1 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription