Are you just bitter because you didn't get to AI first? What do you think
went wrong?

-- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]

On Thu, Mar 26, 2026, 7:32 PM twenkid <[email protected]> wrote:

>
>
>
> https://artificial-mind.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-excessive-spending-for-ai-bubble-is.html
>
> """
> The excessive spending* for "The AI Bubble" is not *a mistake*. It is not
> because "they don't understand the laws of scaling" etc. (see the comments
> to the Gary Marcus' post). This is [just] capitalism. (...)
> (...)
> Apparently the goal is to MAXIMIZE THE EXPENSES (which come from another
> source) and to cheat and deceive your "host" source that you optimize and
> that you spend the least possible (not enough), in order to take even more
> resources and to spend even more: this is [also a pattern of the] "consumer
> culture" and capitalism, not [of] "AI", LOL.
> (...)
> E.g. ML globally is paradoxically similar - its goal is presented as
> "optimizations", but how many times the same datasets are "relearned" from
> scratch on how many places and how many GPUs, how many useless benchmarks
> are testing things which are already known, improving the "SOTA" with 0.4
> points, 4.2 points on MMLU, XYZA*. Thousands of papers [are] repeating
> almost the same, all countries [are] having "National AI strategies" and
> institutes (clones of the 2003 original with exponential financial
> requirements), yet the most of what's done everywhere is replication &
> multiplication with minimal variation and maximum spending - just like with
> the living organisms and their goals.
> (...)
> Globally nothing is "optimized". All is a trade-off - converting one
> currency to another one and cheating by accounting only a cherry-picked
> tiny fraction of the cost.
>
> * The broader and apparently paradoxical maximization of the inefficiency
> is explained in a more universal sense in the small monograph "Is Mortal
> Computation Required for the Creation of Thinking Machines?" at SIGI-2025*
> """
>
> SIGI-2025 presented the huge biblical ~20 volume work "*The Prophets of
> the Thinking Machines: AGI & Transhumanism: History, Theory & Pioneers;
> Past, Present and Future", *nearly 5000 pages in total.
>
> The virtual conference SIGI-2026 has informally already opened on 1.1.2026
> and will continue until 31.12.2026. It may possibly volumes  or systems
> from the continuation: *"Genesis: Creating Thinking Machines" *and
> additional volumes as appendices to "The Prophets...". Corrections and
> updates are coming to the original Prophets as well.
>
> * The keyword is "excessive" - and not investment in the most efficient
> researchers which produce novel discoveries and ideas with zero resources
> or about zero (the so called "Singularity of Tosh"), but in structures
> which are "scaling" *the expenses more, *because this leads to
> profits/"optimization" at particular points of the system, which are
> measured.
> - see the volume "The first modern AI strategy was published by an 18-year
> old Bulgarian in 2003 and repeated and implemented by the whole world 15-20
> years later (...)") on SIGI-2025.
>
> *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>*
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>

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