Richard, You are right, though the "overhead" is not mainly money, but time.
Of course I don't really believe in my "proof", otherwise I'd say that AGI is impossible. ;-) Among the "premises" I listed, only (1) is not my personal belief, though I know it is assumed by many people. I believe AGI is basically a theoretical problem, which will be solved by a single person or a small group, with little funding. To make impressive demos, the theoretical result will need to be implemented, where the collaborative open-source projects can help. After that, funding will get in to turn the result into applicable technology. Even so, my previous conclusion still holds --- for the people who want to make the key breakthrough, no funding is available until the breakthrough has been made and (may be after years) recognized. Pei On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 1:32 PM, Richard Loosemore <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Ben Goertzel wrote: > > > On Fri, Apr 18, 2008 at 1:01 PM, Pei Wang <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > PREMISES: > > > > > > (1) AGI is one of the most complicated problem in the history of > > > science, and therefore requires substantial funding for it to happen. > > > > > > > > > Potentially, though, massively distributed, collaborative open-source > > software development could render your first premise false ... > > > > .... Though it is unlikely to do so, because collaborative open-source > projects are best suited to situations in which the fundamental ideas behind > the design has been solved. > > Just having a large gang of programmers on an open-source project does not > address Pei's point about AGI being the "most complicated problem in the > history of science". > > Pei: what I take you to be saying is that the research problem has an > unusually high initial overhead. > > > > Richard Loosemore. > > > > ------------------------------------------- > agi > Archives: http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now > RSS Feed: http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/ > Modify Your Subscription: > http://www.listbox.com/member/?&; > Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com > ------------------------------------------- agi Archives: http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/ Modify Your Subscription: http://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=101455710-f059c4 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
