John H Cochrane has some very good articles on the web he has done some
analysis on deviations which can be found at
http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/soaring/docs/deviations_I.pdf

Othe good artciles can also be found on this page
http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/soaring/index.htm

Regards,
John Orton



On 17 March 2013 11:57, Bruce <discusdri...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Adam,
>
> Is the wisp stable, building or decaying? No-one has identified that so
> far. Building, go. Decaying, pass it by. You should know unless you have
> been at cloud base - watch the sky ahead, not just cloud by cloud.
>
> I broadly agree with some previous comments, but also no-one has mentioned
> whether it is upwind or downwind (assuming that the direct track has a
> crosswind component). A mistake (no better air) made after diverting
> downwind is a bigger mistake.
>
> Also no-one has mentioned whether there are other gliders already at the
> wisp or headed that way - if there are, and they are clearly climbing, then
> go for it. On some days the cycle may be short, so wisps are used often.
> Then again, you can be surprised and use a wisp on a bigger day.
>
> You have asked a closed question (assuming that if it is more than
> 30degrees it isn't worth diverting). Some of the previous points may
> justify greater diversions if very short distances are involved, if
> upwind/other gliders climbing strongly etc.
>
> There is no one simple rule of thumb - there are quite a few, and they
> have greater or lesser importance on different days. That's why those who
> fly more generally succeed! (So long as they aren't just repeating
> themselves).
>
> Cheers
>
> Bruce
>
> Sent from my iPad
>
> On 15/03/2013, at 5:42 PM, Adam Woolley <go_soar...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>
> > Everyone knows something that another doesn't know in soaring. Trying to
> figure out the below, any thoughts from the floor?
> >
> >
> >
> > The scenario: You've just left a CU, with the cloud direct on track
> being your target cloud between 3-5km away with an average climb expected,
> direct is blue and normal sink. 30* to your left/right is a whisp, not one
> that you'd use to climb in - but one that you could deviate too in order to
> get reduced sink or a hundred feet of altitude.
> >
> > Do you, go direct through the sinking air, or cover extra track miles to
> the whisp that you know you're not going to climb in, but get remarkably
> reduced sink (or even a small gain in height)?
> >
> > For me, I either always just lose out (more often than not) when getting
> to the next CU, or gain a massive advantage with a 1000' height gain on a
> competitor in that short cruise.
> >
> > Have you got any rough 'rules of thumb' that you use in order to decide
> if the short term deviation is worth it or not?
> >
> > ie, how can I get to the next CU by beating the other competitors by
> second a mile (as G.Moffat would say) if it's possible overall.
> >
> >
> > Cheers,
> > Woolley
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