Jonathan

We see the problem as the difference between averages and instantaneous. 

Network media is never “average” used - it is either “in-use” or “idle” - what 
we were seeing (and it was not an ISP but the core of a public service network 
here in the UK) was that delay can be “high” even when the loading is “low” (in 
the particular 5minute period the actual offered traffic was <0.01% of the 
capacity) - it was that the path under examination happened to be the 
constraining factor for a bulk transfer - the induced delay was high enough to 
place at risk other real-time applications (as defined by the public service 
network’s users).

The reasoning that you seem to be applying below assumes a time-homogenity that 
doesn’t correspond to network traffic patterns that occur in the engagements 
we’ve done over the last 15 years. The graph I was referring to is the one 
example that we can publicly discuss (all the rest are under NDA!).

What you are describing - if I’m understanding it properly - is the “busy 
period”. I would accept that Network Providers (ISP’s, telcos etc) have a 
problem in that they are relying on the system becoming idle frequently (the 
busy periods not accreting into longer and longer periods of non-idleness). 
However that is a pattern as well as a load dependent phenomena. 

Neil

On 4 May 2015, at 13:17, Jonathan Morton <[email protected]> wrote:

> 
>> On 4 May, 2015, at 14:39, Neil Davies <[email protected]> wrote:
>> 
>>>> Noting that, delay and loss is, of course, a natural consequence of having 
>>>> a shared medium
>>> 
>>> Not so.  Delay and loss are inherent to link oversubscription, not to 
>>> contention.  Without ECN, delay is traded off against loss by the size of 
>>> the buffer; a higher loss rate keeps the queue shorter and thus the induced 
>>> delay lower.
>> 
>> Sorry Jonathan - that’s not what we’ve observed. We’ve measured “excessive” 
>> delay on links that are averagely loaded << 0.1% (as measured over a 15 min 
>> period) - I can supply pointers to the graphs for that. 
> 
> Presumably those would involve oversubscription on short timescales, and a 
> lot of link idle time between those episodes.
> 
> One ISP I know of charges by data volume per month, currently in units of 
> 75GB (minimum 2 per month, so 150GB).  This is on ADSL lines where the link 
> rate might reasonably be 15Mbps or so in the relevant direction.  At that 
> speed, it would take 100,000 seconds to exhaust the first two units - which 
> is not much more than 24 hours.  There is therefore roughly a 26-fold 
> mismatch between the peak rate available to the user and the average rate he 
> must maintain to stay within the data allowance.
> 
> (I am ignoring small niceties in the calculations here, in favour of 
> revealing the big picture without too much heavy maths.)
> 
> By your measure, that would mean that the link could only ever be 3.85% 
> utilised (1/26th) on month-long timescales, and is therefore undersubscribed. 
>  But I can assure you that, during the small percentage of time that the link 
> is in active use, it will spend some time at 100% utilisation on RTT 
> timescales, with TCP/IP straining to achieve more than that.  That is link 
> oversubscription which results in high induced delay.
> 
> More precisely, instantaneous link oversubscription results in either 
> *increasing* induced delay (as the buffer fills) or lost packets (which 
> *will* happen if the buffer becomes completely full), while instantaneous 
> link undersubscription results in either *decreasing* induced delay (as the 
> buffer drains) or link idle periods.  Long-timescale measures of link 
> utilisation are simply averages of these instantaneous measures.
> 
>> A single flow can contend the medium just as much as a multiple ones
> 
> I think here, again, we are using wildly different terminology.
> 
> There is no contention for the medium on the dedicated full-duplex link I 
> described, only for queue space - and given a single flow, it cannot contend 
> with itself.
> 
> The same goes for a full-duplex shared-access medium (such as DOCSIS cable) 
> with only one host active.  There is no contention for the medium, because it 
> is always available when that single host requests it, which it will as soon 
> as it has at least one packet in its queue.  There is a more-or-less fixed 
> latency for medium access, which becomes part of what you call the structural 
> delay.  The rest is down to over- or under-subscription on short timescales, 
> as above.
> 
> On a half-duplex medium, such as obsolete bus Ethernet or not-so-obsolete 
> wifi, then there can be some contention for the medium between forward data 
> and reverse ack packets.  But I was *not* talking about half-duplex.  
> Full-duplex is an important enough subset of the problem - covering at least 
> ADSL, cable, VDSL, satellite, fibre - on which most of the important effects 
> can be observed, including the ones we’re talking about.
> 
> - Jonathan Morton
> 

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