http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=1957167

A dead end for the Democrats
Jul 31st 2003
>From The Economist print edition

George Bush's opponents are attacking him from the wrong side

REMEMBER those days when American foreign policy was a bipartisan
affair -- and most Democrats could be counted on to line up behind
George Bush over Iraq? That was another age. The new frontrunner for
the party's presidential nomination is Howard Dean, a maverick former
governor of Vermont whose main attraction to the party faithful is his
undiluted opposition to the Iraq war. Most of his establishment rivals
have followed him down this path, drawn on by the president's declining
popularity. Dick Gephardt rails against Mr Bush's "utter disregard for
diplomacy". John Kerry, another supporter of the war in Congress, is
also now throwing everything he can at the president.

Like Tony Blair, Mr Bush is under fire for supposedly sexing up the
claims about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. The Democrats'
favourite stick to beat Mr Bush is the now famous 16 words in his
state-of-the-union address about Saddam Hussein trying to buy uranium
from Niger -- something American intelligence says was untrue. Last
weekend, Senator Bob Graham, another presidential candidate, talked
about impeachment. Only Joe Lieberman has defended the war stoutly;
coincidentally or not, his campaign is in the dumps.

Our sympathies are with Mr Lieberman -- and not just because this
newspaper supported the war. The Democrats' attacks on Mr Bush seem
misguided, both in principle and tactically. And it so happens that, if
they gave the matter any thought, they would find they had much better
grounds than these for criticising Mr Bush.

Focusing on the 16 words seems particularly foolish. Here is what
Mr Bush actually said: "The British government has learned that
Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from
Africa". Well, the British stand by that judgment. If the CIA thought
the British were wrong, it was a mistake for the White House to include
their claim in the state-of-the-union speech (and the White House has
admitted as much). But it hardly seems an impeachable lie -- or any kind
of lie. Just as Mr Blair must be happy that his persecutors made so
much of the "45-minute claim" about Iraqi preparedness, Mr Bush must be
relieved that the Democrats are running TV-ads about Niger: these narrow
charges distract attention from the broader criticism to which both
governments might otherwise be vulnerable.

There is evidence, for instance, that the White House was extremely
selective in the intelligence that it cited about WMD, and even more so
in its claims about the links between Saddam and al-Qaeda, an area the
Democrats have largely ignored. Yet, even here, the Democrats would be
wise to tread carefully, for three reasons.

First, America had several excellent motives for removing Saddam
Hussein -- and WMD was only one of them. Even with American troops
dying and no WMD found, most Americans think that toppling Saddam was
a success. Second, most people, including the intelligence agencies
of European governments, believed at the time that those weapons
existed. Third, it is still likely that evidence of WMD programmes will
be found. Due to Mr Bush's poor decision to let the searching be done by
American inspectors (something the Democrats again could have made more
noise about), many of America's allies will regard any such discoveries
as suspect. Most Americans will trust them.

Look to the future, not the past

With the American people already favouring the Republicans by wide
margins on issues such as homeland security and national security,
the Democrats' grandstanding could rebound horrifically at the polls
next year. But there is more at stake than just party politics. By
concentrating on the causes of war rather than its aftermath, the
Democrats are doing the rest of the world a disservice.

America's attempt to rebuild Iraq requires more troops and money than
Mr Bush (or his party) seems willing to send there. It also requires
the United Nations to play a stronger role.something conservative
Republicans wrongly dislike. Mr Kerry, to be fair, has begun to make
this case. With the Democratic rank and file screaming for the troops
to be brought home, greater involvement in Iraq would be a bold cause
for any Democratic presidential candidate to embrace. It is the right
policy, nonetheless -- and if Democrats hope to be taken seriously they
ought to be pressing for it.



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