James, you know you can generate heat within the LAMP test, there’s chemistry 
for that and very accurate, sufficient for 30 - 45 minutes “runtime"

But I enjoy reading your emails.

Jürgen 
> On Dec 7, 2020, at 8:50 PM, James Holton <jmhol...@lbl.gov> wrote:
> 
> 
> Yes, I would like to congratulate all these authors for getting this out. 
> Many of them are friends and colleagues, and it is great to see them doing 
> well, and getting this kind of work in front of as many eyes as possible.  
> The nice thing about this particular assay is that it is linear with time, 
> and therefore much more quantitative than PCR. Makes it easier to measure 
> viral load.  Great progress!
> 
> True, 488 nm laser diodes are not "cheap", but that is paying retail.  
> Ostensibly, there is no reason why mass production couldn't be ramped up. The 
> question is not how much it costs to build the first one, but how much it 
> will cost to make the billionth one. We scientists are usually far more 
> concerned with the first device than the 2nd or the last, but if we want to 
> get ahead of this pandemic we need to start thinking on this scale. How many 
> factories can make the parts you need?  What is the actual per-unit 
> incremental cost of manufacture?  Are there critical materials or components 
> that are or will be in short supply.  If you need toilet paper, for example, 
> forget about it.  
>  
> In my spare time, I've been thinking a lot about how to get to a     billion 
> tests/day. Why that many?  Because (IMHO) that is the most cost-effective way 
> to end a pandemic. It is interesting to note that the graph of cost/benefit 
> vs testing rate has a maximum, and it currently lies between us and the 
> minimum. The minimum is when you test the entire population at the same time. 
> That is, if we all take a test before going to bed and get the result the 
> following morning, then everyone who has the virus will know to stay home.  
> Everyone else can go to work, school, brunch, etc.  If the test is 99% 
> accurate you only need to do this ~5 times, perhaps once a week, until the 
> number of undetected cases on Earth is less than one (7e9*(1-0.99)^5 < 1). 
> I.E. the virus is extinct. That is, you could end the pandemic in 5 weeks 
> with only 35 billion tests and potentially no need for quarantine (R << 1). 
> Even if the test is only 50% accurate, or if compliance with quarantine is 
> only 50%, then you need to test the world 33 times, or 2.3e11 test. The 
> problem is that at current prices of $150/test, the cost of doing that would 
> be $35e12.  This is most of the Gross World Product. Too much.
> 
> The trick is achieving this scale at a cost the human race can afford. If we 
> can achieve the billion test/day scale with only $1/test, then ending the 
> pandemic in a month for only $35e9 would be a real bargain.
> 
> So, how do we do that?  Shipping alone will be a nightmare.  Amazon delivers 
> about 1 billion packages every year, so delivering that many tests from a 
> central factory in less than a year is intractable. This means that not just 
> distribution but manufacturing must be de-centralized as much as possible. 
> The test kits, or their critical components will have to be robust enough to 
> be dropped en masse from airplanes. The advantages of "pre-deployed" 
> materials and equipment cannot be understated. Ideally, you'd like the test 
> to be performed by anyone watching a YouTube video (on their smartphone) 
> using things they already have in their kitchen. Now, not everyone has the 
> same things in their kitchen, and that means just one test design won't do. 
> We need a DIVERSITY of designs.  
> 
> What I've been trying to do is break down this problem into the most critical 
> barriers.  As we collectively find ways to remove these barriers, we get 
> closer to this lofty goal.
> 
> For example, if someone is lucky enough to own a sous vide, then they can 
> maintain the 63 C +/- 3 C for 2 hours required to perform a LAMP assay. 
> Problem is: not everyone owns a sous vide, including me.  I could order one, 
> but if a billion other people do the same it will be a while before all those 
> orders are filled.  So, I need to use what I have. My oven can't be set for 
> less than 77 C (that will inactivate the polymerase), hot water out of the 
> tap is only 50 C (too cold), and boiling water in a coffee mug cools off too 
> fast (65->60 C in 5 min). A few things I have found around the house that can 
> do a LAMP assay are: a candle-fired fondue set, a slow cooker ("crock pot") 
> set on "keep warm", solidifying candle wax in a foam box (melting point is 
> ~62 C), and (I think) the dishwasher. 
> 
> Now, I haven't actually been doing LAMP assays in my kitchen.  What I've been 
> doing is cooking eggs.  A "63 degree egg" has a particular mayonaise-like 
> consistency that is hard to achieve any other way.  That was my assay for the 
> above. 
> 
> I suppose I could buy some Bst polymerase, but then my price/test will 
> definitely be > $1. There also won't be enough to go around. 7 billion units 
> of Bst polymerase is about 1 kg of pure enzyme.  That will take a while to 
> make.  Enzymes in general are a pain.  They are expensive, delicate, must be 
> kept sterile, refrigerated, and are complicated to ship.  It would be great 
> if we had a testing strategy that didn't need any enzymes. Oligonucleotides 
> are much hardier, cheaper, more predictable, and faster to make.  
> Manufacturing can be distributed over a fairly large number of locations, and 
> the amount you need per test is tiny.
> 
> The main hurdle to an enzyme-free test is sensitivity. You can get decent 
> signal boost by labeling hundreds of different sites in the 30 kb genome (as 
> I described earlier) but you're not going to get the billion-fold 
> amplification you can get from PCR.  Even at the peak of an active infection 
> the concentration of virus in sputum could still be as low as 1e6 copies/mL. 
> This is ~2e-15 M.  A tall order, but not unprecedented for detection by a 
> smartphone CMOS sensor. Truth be told, however, that detection limit was 1 
> million bioluminescent particles/mL.  That means zero background. 
> Fluorescence detection is limited by background, and most of that background 
> comes from excess probes. Even "black-hole" quenchers aren't completely 
> black. They give you a factor of 50 or so, nothing more. It is tempting to 
> only use an equimolar amount of probe, but at 2e-15 M target the on-rate will 
> be very low.  On the other hand, unless the probes are removed 
> post-annealing, anything more than a 10:1 ratio of probe to target will have 
> unacceptably high     background.
> 
> What is important to remember here, however, is that you can always get more 
> signal by using more sample.  How much material a swab picks up is variable, 
> but I guess it is not more than tens of microliters. This is then diluted 
> >100x by the "dip and spin" transfer into a solution you can put in a PCR 
> tube.  Saliva-based tests usually collect ~500 uL or so, but can be hampered 
> by contamination. Yes, people are told not to eat before providing saliva 
> samples, but at least some of them always do. Then again, it may be a 
> foregone conclusion that any test done in the home by billions of people is 
> going to have to be robust to contamination. Perhaps we should embrace it 
> rather than fight it? 
> 
> The extreme case of high sample volume and high contaminant levels is sewage. 
>  I have been immensely impressed by how successful this has been!  Arizona 
> State University detected two asymptomatic cases in a dorm full of 330 
> students by doing just one test: sampling the effluent from the building. How 
> much virus is available by this route is not clear, as literature on recovery 
> and complications from contaminants are sparse. However, since PCR false 
> negatives become unacceptably high after pooling 5 or so patient samples, but 
> 2 patient samples were pooled with >300 others at ASU, I'd say you should get 
> at least 30x more virus from a stool sample than you would from a swab. 
> Coronaviruses in general are enteric pathogens, making this kind of shedding 
> their usual route. This is a stark contrast to flu, Ebola and other serious 
> pathogens we have seen in recent memory.  I personally wonder how many 
> "asymptomatic" cases simply had diarrhea and didn't want to talk about it.  
> As a result, I am now much more afraid of public lavatories than ever before.
> 
> Typical effluent samples are ~ 50 mL.  A concentration step is required. As 
> biochemists we immediately think of centrifugation, but the closest thing in 
> my kitchen to a centrifuge is our salad spinner, and it only gets up to about 
> 15 g (according to my previous phone's accelerometer).  That's not even 
> enough to pellet yeast, let alone nucleic acids.  Manu Prakash invented a 
> very clever whirlygig centrifuge (the PaperFuge), but it is not really 
> compatible with large volumes.  In fact, large volumes and high g-forces mean 
> quite a lot of stored energy, and therefore a dangerous device.  
> 
> These factors turned my attention to electrophoretic concentrators.  Yes, 
> they do exist, but they are slow:
> https://doi.org/10.1016/0003-2697(81)90375-4 
> <https://doi.org/10.1016/0003-2697(81)90375-4>
> Convection will keep re-mixing the sample, and therefore must be avoided.  
> That means, among other things, gas production at the electrodes must be kept 
> low enough to dissipate by diffusion (no bubbles). However, for an at-home 
> test it is OK if this takes overnight. Lower voltages are safer anyway. By 
> proper selection of the pore size in the gel or membrane used to capture the 
> RNA, it could also serve to remove any unhybridized primers, which will have 
> much lower molecular weight than the viral genome. 
> 
> The trick here will be keeping the RNA genome intact long enough to do the 
> whole assay. Good thing about not using any enzymes is that you can have tons 
> of denaturant around. Oligos of sufficient length can still hybridize in 3-5 
> M urea, and perhaps higher.  The literature on that is a bit sparse.  The 
> other thing that kills RNAse but not RNA is heat.  Once the sample cools down 
> the RNAses can re-fold and start digesting the RNA again, but if you keep it 
> hot, and at neutral pH, the RNA has a pretty good chance.  Have I done this 
> experiment?  No. I need a way to detect the RNA in my kitchen.
> 
> The make-or-break here comes down to the at-home fluorometer.  Key question 
> is: how many dye molecules can be detected by a device costing $1 (+ 
> smartphone) made of parts that can scale to 1 billion units? I've looked into 
> this a bit. One very important thing I have learned is that Schott glass 
> sucks. I had hoped that by using colored glass filters I could avoid the need 
> for any lenses. The "flash" LED on a smartphone is very bright, but also 
> highly divergent. The theoretically best combination of filters and dyes to 
> use are a Hoya B-370 excitation filter, ATTO-465 dye and and Scott OG-515 
> emission filter. However, the OG-515 glass is itself fluorescent.  Degree of 
> fluorescence varies from batch to batch, but it is bright enough to see by 
> eye, and therefore useless. Maybe I can make some jewelry out of it.
> 
> Since colored glass filters are out, that leaves interference filters. These 
> need parallel light, and that means lenses.  I have found, however, that ball 
> lenses could do the trick. Spheres are     easy to manufacture.  A ~1 cm ball 
> lens held in contact with the window of the "flash" LED of a smartphone 
> renders the light parallel enough for an interference filter to work.  A 
> second ball lens then focuses the filtered blue light onto a ~1 mm wide 
> sample ~2.5 mm from the ball's surface. A third ball lens after the sample 
> picks up the fluorescent light and parallelizes it through the emission 
> filter.  A final, forth ball lens focuses the fluorescent photons into the 
> smartphone camera. Now, scientific-grade ball lenses and interference filters 
> are not the cheapest optical components, but then again, neither is anything 
> else when you buy it from a scientific supply company.  A 1 cm N-BK7 glass 
> ball lens set me back $44, but I also got a bag of one thousand 3/8" acrylic 
> ball bearings for $10. Both lens types work equally well in my hands. I'm 
> still learning about how interference filters are manufactured, but all they 
> really are is a glass plate with some coating on it.  Lots of places can do 
> optical coatings, I think.  A billion test kits will require a total of 1 
> km^2, but it doesn't have to ever be all one sheet.
> 
> Then you need something to hold the optics together.  My favorite right now 
> is black rubber hose. It is light tight, the matte finish minimizes specular 
> reflections, and with a little pressure the rubber forms good light-tight 
> seals all by itself. You can also align the optics peristaltically. What's 
> been a little difficult is finding the right way to cut a rubber tube and get 
> a nice, smooth edge. Freezing in liquid nitrogen would do it, but I don't 
> have any of that in my kitchen. Ordinary tubing cutters are OK, but not 
> great. Anyone got a favorite trick for this? 
> 
> And in general, any suggestions or comments, or best of all home experiment 
> results would be great to hear.  I believe that if we collectively work the 
> problem we will inspire more breakthroughs like the Fozouni et al. paper 
> below, and that will have a strong positive impact on all of us.
> 
> -James Holton
> MAD Scientist
> 
> 
> On 12/5/2020 8:05 AM, Eugene Osipov wrote:
>> Hi everyone,
>> I wanted to revive this discussion with a fresh paper from Cell journal: 
>> https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(20)31623-8 
>> <https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(20)31623-8>
>> So one could use a smartphone camera for SARS-CoV-2 detection but you still 
>> need some extra tools, like 488 nm laser. 
>> 
>> пт, 10 апр. 2020 г. в 20:14, James Holton <jmhol...@lbl.gov 
>> <mailto:jmhol...@lbl.gov>>:
>> 
>> It looks to me that in this norovirus test the phone is acting as nothing 
>> more than a camara attached to a conventional microscope.  Light source is 
>> 3rd party, and the microscope body is 3D printed.  3D printing is cool and 
>> all, but it does not scale well.  Antibodies are also expensive to make.  
>> You will go through a lot of rabbits to make the 1 kg needed for a billion 
>> tests.  This isn't quite the price point I had in mind.
>> 
>> I agree that agglomeration of fluorescent beads is very sensitive.  However, 
>> my experience with beads and other small objects is that they love to stick 
>> together for all kinds of reasons. And once they do it is hard to get them 
>> to separate.  Assaying for virus particles in otherwise pure water is one 
>> thing, it is quite another when there is other stuff around. 
>> 
>> Personally, I've tried several different phone-based microscopes and the 
>> hardest thing about them is aligning the camera.  I'm a beamline scientist, 
>> so aligning things is second nature, but your average person might have a 
>> hard time. The most annoying part is if you bump it you have to start over.  
>> Image quality is also never all that great, I expect because the optics of a 
>> smartphone camera are wide-angle, and you are fighting against that.  
>> Eventually I bought a self-contained wifi microscope for $50, and that works 
>> MUCH better.  In fact, I'd say its competitive with the $5k microscope we 
>> use to look at crystals. However, $50 is a lot in the third world. I've 
>> heard that drugs that cost more than $1/pill are essentially unobtainable in 
>> many countries.
>> 
>> I'm still thinking that using the camera as nothing more than a big 
>> photodiode is the right way to go. By positioning the sample right in front 
>> of the camera lens you will get maximum light-collection efficiency. In 
>> fact, one might be able to get excellent time resolution out of the 
>> rolling-shutter mode.  That is, unlike the CCD or PAD detectors we are used 
>> to these CMOS sensors read out one row of pixels while the others are still 
>> exposing.  This means that the whole image is acutally one big time series 
>> with individual pixels only a few nanoseconds apart.  It should be possible 
>> to differentiate the light from a long-lived fluorophore from background. 
>> However, I don't think anyone has tried that yet.
>> 
>> -James Holton
>> MAD Scientist
>> 
>> 
>> On 4/4/2020 5:48 PM, Jurgen Bosch wrote:
>>> Here’s another link I found that should make this project feasible:
>>> 
>>> https://physicsworld.com/a/smartphone-based-device-detects-norovirus/ 
>>> <https://physicsworld.com/a/smartphone-based-device-detects-norovirus/>
>>> 
>>> Jürgen 
>>> 
>>>> On Apr 2, 2020, at 3:52 PM, Patrick Shaw Stewart <patr...@douglas.co.uk 
>>>> <mailto:patr...@douglas.co.uk>> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> Jurgen, that was interesting.  (Strange how your hair came and went during 
>>>> the talk, leaving you bald sometimes - but of course that didn't matter !  
>>>> ;)
>>>> 
>>>> Did you know that coronavirus was first isolated at 33C and that this 
>>>> temperature may be required for isolation?  
>>>> https://www.bmj.com/content/3/5568/767 
>>>> <https://www.bmj.com/content/3/5568/767>  
>>>> https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S019665531730901X 
>>>> <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S019665531730901X>
>>>> 
>>>> We don't know why the virus stays in the throat in many people, but at 
>>>> other times it goes to the lungs.  ACE2 is predicted to be highly 
>>>> expressed in the mouth and nose as well as the lungs. 
>>>> https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-16992/v1 
>>>> <https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-16992/v1>
>>>> 
>>>> A recent Nature paper noted that "sequence-distinct virus populations were 
>>>> consistently detected in throat and lung samples from the same patient, 
>>>> proving independent replication" 
>>>> https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2196-x 
>>>> <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2196-x> 
>>>> 
>>>> It would be very interesting to know whether the lung samples were less 
>>>> temperature-sensitive than the throat                                 
>>>> ones, and whether this could explain the observed divergent tropism - 
>>>> (which you also noted). 
>>>> https://oldwivesandvirologists.blog/predicting-the-seasonality-of-covid/ 
>>>> <https://oldwivesandvirologists.blog/predicting-the-seasonality-of-covid/>
>>>> 
>>>> Thx and stay warm (see my blog)
>>>> 
>>>> Patrick
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> On Thu, Apr 2, 2020 at 4:57 PM Jurgen Bosch <jxb...@case.edu 
>>>> <mailto:jxb...@case.edu>> wrote:
>>>> I’m sharing a laymen’s talk I recently gave on some aspects of Corona. I’m 
>>>> not claiming to be an expert, but there is useful information in the 
>>>> presentation. I skipped the intro and zoomed directly to the start of my 
>>>> presentation.
>>>> 
>>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B00tJnbktVo&feature=youtu.be&t=204 
>>>> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B00tJnbktVo&feature=youtu.be&t=204>
>>>> 
>>>> I can make the slides available if anybody wants them.
>>>> 
>>>> Jürgen 
>>>> 
>>>>> On Apr 2, 2020, at 11:27 AM, James Holton <jmhol...@lbl.gov 
>>>>> <mailto:jmhol...@lbl.gov>> wrote:
>>>>> 
>>>>> Personally, if I were infected with SARS-CoV-1 instead of SARS-CoV-2 I'd 
>>>>> still like to know that. 
>>>>> 
>>>>> It is most certainly true that the primer design must be done right: 
>>>>> checking for self-annealing, low genomic variability, cross-reactivity to 
>>>>> potential contaminants etc.  Fortunately, we have tools for this that can 
>>>>> be used at home.
>>>>> 
>>>>> I agree the CRISPR-based tests are very exciting, as are many of the 
>>>>> other new tests being rolled out.  Assay times of 15 minutes, 5 minutes, 
>>>>> and now 2 minutes have been claimed.  The problem I see is they all rely 
>>>>> on specialized equipment, skilled technicians and expensive reagents.  
>>>>> Ramping up production to the billion-test scale may not be feasible.  
>>>>> Even if it were, all the PPE needed to extract those samples safely would 
>>>>> be prohibitive, as would be the sample-tracking logistics.  
>>>>> 
>>>>> For reasons such as this, I am curious to see if an at-home 
>>>>> do-it-yourself test is possible.  It may serve no purpose other than to 
>>>>> satisfy indiviual curiosity, but I think it would go a long way to 
>>>>> defusing the fear that comes from not knowing.  This would not just be 
>>>>> for sputum, but possibly doorknobs, packages, and, yes, mobile phones.
>>>>> 
>>>>> And for those wondering about those nasal swabs:  I've done a little 
>>>>> research on them and I think the reason for going full "Total Recall" and 
>>>>> sticking it way up inside your head is not because the virus is more 
>>>>> concentrated there (we don't even know what the concentration is), but 
>>>>> rather because potential contaminants are minimized.  Think about it: PCR 
>>>>> is a very sensitive technique, and you want to make sure the sample came 
>>>>> from the intended patient, not the other patient who walked through the 
>>>>> door just before you did after sneezing in their hand and touching the 
>>>>> doorknob.  If you touched that same doorknob and then <ahem> "scratched" 
>>>>> your nose, then a swab of your nostrils might pick up a virus or two.  
>>>>> That would be a false positive.  
>>>>> 
>>>>> I expect there are many aspects of current test that don't have to be the 
>>>>> way they are, but nonetheless are "required" because they were inherited 
>>>>> from previous tests.  I expect we all have learned the hard way that in 
>>>>> biological science when you are handed a protocol you follow that 
>>>>> protocol to the letter.  How many times have you had to teach a student 
>>>>> that?  It is not a bad policy, but eventually there comes a time for 
>>>>> "assay development".  This is when                                        
>>>>>      you start asking "why do we do it that way, again?" 
>>>>> 
>>>>>  For example, swabs with calcium alginate are not allowed becuase they 
>>>>> can "kill the virus".  If all we want is genomic RNA, then why do we 
>>>>> care?  Possibly because the traditional method of identifying most 
>>>>> pathogens is to culture them.  The CDC protocol also recommends against 
>>>>> cotton swabs with wood handles.  Why?  Perhaps because they contain DNA, 
>>>>> and for PCR you always worry about contamination.  Is there any chance 
>>>>> the probes will anneal to something in the cotton or pine genomes?  I 
>>>>> doubt it, but I also doubt that anyone has checked.
>>>>> 
>>>>> Thank you for the suggestions so far!  Very interesting and helpful!
>>>>> 
>>>>> -James Holton
>>>>> MAD Scientist
>>>>> 
>>>>> 
>>>>> On 3/31/2020 11:46 PM, Sahil Batra wrote:
>>>>>> Dear Prof. Holton,
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> An innovative idea; however all of the 30 kb genome may not be useful 
>>>>>> for specific detection - SARS-CoV1 and SARS-CoV2 share 80% identity.
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> A similar fluorescent detection approach for SARS Cov2 -- using the 
>>>>>> indiscriminate collateral activity of Cas12 nuclease -- has been 
>>>>>> reported here: 
>>>>>> https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.29.971127v1.full.pdf 
>>>>>> <https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.29.971127v1.full.pdf>
>>>>>> Although not tested on samples from patients.
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Regards,
>>>>>> Sahil Batra
>>>>>> PhD candidate, IIT Kanpur
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> On Wed, Apr 1, 2020 at 12:07 PM Jurgen Bosch <jxb...@case.edu 
>>>>>> <mailto:jxb...@case.edu>> wrote:
>>>>>> One problem I see is the sputum, there’s a reason why swabs are made to 
>>>>>> get sufficient viral material. 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Since stool samples test PCR positive that might be an easier approach 
>>>>>> to get sufficient viral material. As a side note, these are not 
>>>>>> infectious anymore, or at least one has not been able to infect tissue 
>>>>>> cultures from stool samples.
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> It’s worth a thought, I’ll need to read those papers you referenced. 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> I believe I read a suitable preprint for viral load, will search for it 
>>>>>> tomorrow.
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Jürgen 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> __________________________________________
>>>>>> Jürgen Bosch, Ph.D.
>>>>>> Division of Pediatric Pulmonology and Allergy/Immunology
>>>>>> Case Western Reserve University
>>>>>> 2109 Adelbert Rd <>, BRB 835
>>>>>> Cleveland, OH 44106 <>
>>>>>> Phone: 216.368.7565 <tel:216.368.7565>
>>>>>> Fax: 216.368.4223 <tel:216.368.4223>
>>>>>> CEO & Co-Founder at InterRayBio, LLC
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Johns Hopkins University
>>>>>> Bloomberg School of Public Health
>>>>>> Department of Biochemistry & Molecular Biology
>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> On Apr 1, 2020, at 00:50, James Holton <jmhol...@lbl.gov 
>>>>>>> <mailto:jmhol...@lbl.gov>> wrote:
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> In order to do global survelinace of this new virus I figure we're 
>>>>>>> going 
>>>>>>> to need billions of tests.  The biggest barriers I believe are 
>>>>>>> logistical.  Shipping back and forth to a central labs isn't going to 
>>>>>>> cut it, and neither are test kits that cost $800 each.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> I think I may have a plausible way forward to a low-cost and easily 
>>>>>>> mass-produced test for the SARS-CoV-2 virus using mostly items people 
>>>>>>> already have, such as smartphones. The most expensive reagent required 
>>>>>>> will be labeled oligos, but those scale very well.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> The key observation is that smartphones can detect as few as 1e6 
>>>>>>> particles/mL if they do long exposures (180s).  This was using 
>>>>>>> bioluminescence. Reported here:
>>>>>>> https://www.nature.com/articles/srep40203.pdf 
>>>>>>> <https://www.nature.com/articles/srep40203.pdf>
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> The other side of that coin is the expected titer of the virus in 
>>>>>>> sputum.  I don't know of any reports for SARS-CoV-2 itself, but for 
>>>>>>> four 
>>>>>>> other respiratory viruses, including one coronavirus, it ranges from 
>>>>>>> 1e6 
>>>>>>> to 1e8 particles/mL :
>>>>>>> https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4187748/ 
>>>>>>> <https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4187748/>
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> This is encouraging!  The challenge will be to detect viral genomes in 
>>>>>>> "the field" without sophisticated lab equipment like a PCR machine, 
>>>>>>> lasers, 3D printers, etc.  The concentration will be 1e-15 M, a 
>>>>>>> challenge, but then again we can detect single molecules using 
>>>>>>> fluorescence. The questions are:
>>>>>>> 1) can we get the background low enough so that the dark current of the 
>>>>>>> camera dominates
>>>>>>> 2) can we make the signal high enough to overcome the dark current.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> 1) will depend on the availability of mass-produced filter technology.  
>>>>>>> However, the best filter may simply be time.  Provided the fluorophore 
>>>>>>> lifetime is long enough and the camera synchronization tight enough one 
>>>>>>> could simply measure the "afterglow" after the                          
>>>>>>>                                  camera flash has turned 
>>>>>>> off.  An interesting candidate is europium. Most fluorophores decay in 
>>>>>>> nanoseconds, but lanthanides can be microseconds to milliseconds.  In 
>>>>>>> fact, "glow-in-the-dark" toys usually use europium-doped ZnS or SrAl04. 
>>>>>>> Those decay over minutes to hours.  What I'm not sure about is using 
>>>>>>> them for FRET. I would appreciate input on experience with this.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> 2) I believe signal could be enhanced by using very luminous tags (such 
>>>>>>> as quantum dots), and/or by using multiple tags per genome. This virus 
>>>>>>> has the largest RNA genome known to date at 30 kbases. That means there 
>>>>>>> is room for up to 2000 15-mer tags, each with its own label. The set-up 
>>>>>>> cost for doing ~2000 oligo synthesis reactions will be high, but it can 
>>>>>>> be done at scale.  You only need ~2 fmol of each oligo, 10 umol 
>>>>>>> synthesis is about $1k, so I estimate about $1 per test using 1000 
>>>>>>> different oligos. This price point will be important if we want to make 
>>>>>>> billions of tests to be used all over the world.  In some countries $1 
>>>>>>> is a lot.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> The detection strategy I am focusing on is FRET.  That is, oligos would 
>>>>>>> be made in pairs, recognizing abutting sections of the viral genome.  
>>>>>>> Like this:
>>>>>>> 5'  atttcgctgattttggggtc-ATTO465 ATTO550-cattatcagacattttagt  3'
>>>>>>> which would anneal to one of the current CDC                            
>>>>>>>                                test primer sites:
>>>>>>> 3' taaagcgactaaaaccccaggtaatagtctgtaaaatca 5'
>>>>>>> The result in this case would be maximum FRET efficiency only when both 
>>>>>>> oligos are bound.  From what I can tell, the ATTO465 dye is one that is 
>>>>>>> most sensitive to the blue peak in the iPhone "flash" LED spectrum, and 
>>>>>>> ATTO550 should give maximum contrast between the green and red channels 
>>>>>>> of the iPhone camera. That way you would discriminate presence/absence 
>>>>>>> by color.  Red=virus, Green=clear. That is just an example. Other tags 
>>>>>>> might work better.  Maybe quantum dots.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> Additional aparatus would be required, of course, and at least a few 
>>>>>>> reagents to crack open the capsids (DTT and guanidine).  These could be 
>>>>>>> shipped dry in foil packs.  The end user would                          
>>>>>>>                                  simply tear it open and 
>>>>>>> spit into it.  If the intersted party is performing the test on 
>>>>>>> themselves, then there is no biohazard.  Heating to 70C (cup of 
>>>>>>> coffee?) 
>>>>>>> should kill the virus, and these reagents will make it even more dead.  
>>>>>>> I'm not sure how much purification would be required.  The assay volume 
>>>>>>> in the Nature paper above was 1 mL.  I expect signal would be improved 
>>>>>>> by concentrating the RNA as close to the camera as possible.  It may 
>>>>>>> even be possible to absorb the nucleic acid directly onto the cover 
>>>>>>> glass of the smartphone camera.  RNA sticks to glass at pH < 7.5, and 
>>>>>>> not much else does.  Quiagen EZ1 nucleic acid purificaiton columns are 
>>>>>>> nothing but silica glass beads after all.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> There are still details to work out, but I am intruiged by the fact 
>>>>>>> that 
>>>>>>> this seems physically possible and the potential of being very cheap, 
>>>>>>> rugged, portable and scaled up rapidly.  It would be nice to be able to 
>>>>>>> leverage a device that is in already in the hand of half the people on 
>>>>>>> the planet.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> Comments? Insights?
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> -James Holton
>>>>>>> MAD Scientist
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> ########################################################################
>>>>>>> 
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>>>> 
>>>> -- 
>>>>  patr...@douglas.co.uk <mailto:patr...@douglas.co.uk>    Douglas 
>>>> Instruments Ltd.
>>>>  Douglas House, East Garston, Hungerford, Berkshire, RG17 7HD, UK
>>>>  Directors: Patrick Shaw Stewart, Peter Baldock, Stefan Kolek
>>>> 
>>>>  http://www.douglas.co.uk <http://www.douglas.co.uk/>
>>>>  Tel: 44 (0) 148-864-9090    US toll-free 1-877-225-2034
>>>>  Regd. England 2177994, VAT Reg. GB 480 7371 36
>>> 
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>> -- 
>> Evgenii Osipov
>> Laboratory for Biocrystallography, 
>> Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, 
>> KU Leuven O&N2
>> 
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