It's called the Bradley effect and there was not by any means consistent results in the primary. And no, not "everyone" is expecting it to happen again. It seems that people are pretty comfortable at this point telling polsters that they are voting for McCain, not Obama. Not all the polls are going to be correct of course, they don't even agree with themselves. But I do not think you'll see anything close to a 5% across the board overpoll for Obama.
Judah On Wed, Oct 8, 2008 at 12:03 PM, Robert Munn <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > On Wed, Oct 8, 2008 at 11:52 AM, Judah wrote: > >> Are you referring to the Bradley effect? The idea that people will say >> publicly that they will vote for the black guy but then not actually >> do it? I've seen it mentioned but I think its a pretty untested >> theory. Just not enough black candidates of note to really tell. >> > > Or the Wilder effect, or the Harold Ford effect, yes. It happened in the > primaries, and everyone expects it to happen again in the general election. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Adobe® ColdFusion® 8 software 8 is the most important and dramatic release to date Get the Free Trial http://ad.doubleclick.net/clk;207172674;29440083;f Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:273096 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
