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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A682-2002Dec2.html

 Taking the Iraq Policy for a Circular Spin

 By Dana Milbank
  "We're going around in circles," White House press secretary Ari Fleischer said as 
Air Force One carried President Bush home from his recent trip to Europe.

 The spokesman was not talking about air-traffic delays. Rather, he was trying to 
explain how the president's current hope that Saddam Hussein will peaceably disarm is 
consistent with his earlier view that the Iraqi leader should be ousted. And Fleischer 
faced strong headwinds.

 With Britain's Tony Blair on April 6, Bush declared: "I explained to the prime 
minister that the policy of my government is the removal of Saddam." Moments later, 
Bush added, "Maybe I should be a little less direct and be a little more nuanced, and 
say we support regime change."

 Recently, though, Bush has sounded more dovish. "I hope we don't have to go to war 
with Iraq," he told Czech TV on Nov. 18. "I hope that Saddam Hussein does what he said 
he would do, and that is disarm." In  speeches yesterday, Bush and Vice President 
Cheney again emphasized disarming Hussein and made no mention of regime change.

 The delicate phrasing is the result of a geopolitical Catch-22 the Bush 
administration faces as it confronts the Iraqi president.

 Bush and his aides are pretty much convinced that Iraq will never disarm with Hussein 
in power. But to oust him, the administration would like to have international 
support. And Bush can only get such support if he makes his goal the disarmament of 
Iraq, not the ouster of its leader.

 The administration therefore must embrace a new goal -- Iraq's peaceful disarmament 
-- that it regards as nearly impossible to achieve, so it can build support for its 
original goal of replacing Hussein. As Elizabeth Drew reported in the New York Review 
of Books, the administration acknowledged that the true goal of regime change had to 
be "played down" to satisfy the United Nations.

 That has led to the aerial maneuvers employed by Fleischer on Air Force One 10 days 
ago. Reporters, led by Time magazine's John Dickerson, prompted this in-flight 
exchange when they tried to clarify whether Bush's goal was disarmament or regime 
change:

   Q: I just have one quick question on Iraq. Since it's clear that President Putin 
wants the United States to stick to the U.N. resolution, but since the United States 
position is that, in order to disarm Saddam Hussein, he must be removed from office, 
did Putin discuss with the President the U.S. position that, in order to disarm him, 
we must remove him from office?

   FLEISCHER: The President's position is that Saddam Hussein needs to live up to the 
resolution and disarm. If he does not, he will be disarmed. So that's the President's 
position, to be clear about what the President is saying.

   Q: The President has never said that we want to remove Saddam Hussein from office?

   FLEISCHER: The President has said that he hopes that Saddam Hussein and Iraq will 
comply with the resolution. If they don't, we will disarm them.

   Q: In the press conference with Tony Blair, the President didn't say, "We want to 
remove Saddam Hussein from office"?

   FLEISCHER: The President's position is either he will disarm or we will remove him 
so Iraq is disarmed.

   Q: Did he or did he not say that he wants to remove Saddam Hussein, in that press 
conference with Tony Blair? I mean, is that his position or not?

   FLEISCHER: Look, this is an age-old issue and we've gone through this a month ago 
about can Saddam Hussein disarm.

   Q: No, but do we want to remove him from office or not?

   FLEISCHER: If he doesn't disarm, yes.

   Q: If he does disarm?

   FLEISCHER: If Iraq disarms and you have all the other products of the U.N. 
resolution obeyed and what President Bush called for in New York obeyed, then the 
regime will have effectively changed.

   Q: So then he could stay in office?

   FLEISCHER: I think we're very skeptical of Saddam Hussein has any intention of 
doing it that way. . . .

    Q: So the President has changed his mind on whether he wants to remove him from 
office?

   FLEISCHER: We're going around in circles on this. You know what the President's 
position is. . . .

   Q: No, I don't.

   Q: The President has often said that regime change is the policy of this 
administration, as it was the previous administration.

   FLEISCHER: That's correct.

   Q: The President has defined that in a press conference with Tony Blair as removing 
Saddam Hussein from office. You are now saying that's not the case?

   FLEISCHER: This is not very complicated. The objective is to disarm Saddam Hussein 
and have Saddam Hussein live up to everything that he committed to, that the President 
called on him to do in his Sept. 12 speech.

   Q: Why can't you be as clear as the President was when he said in his press 
conference with Tony Blair that he wants to remove Saddam Hussein from office?

   FLEISCHER: If Saddam Hussein doesn't disarm, he will be removed from office. And 
the President is very skeptical that Saddam Hussein will disarm. But the burden is on 
Saddam Hussein.

 Glad that's cleared up.

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