On Tue, Dec 1, 2009 at 1:21 PM, Evan Daniel <evanbd at gmail.com> wrote:
> On Tue, Dec 1, 2009 at 1:10 PM, Ian Clarke <ian at locut.us> wrote:
>> Any chance of a graph?
>> Ian.
>
> There's a graph that's a couple days old on my flog. ?I posted updated
> graphs last night on IRC. ?I'm away from my own computer right now, so
> I don't have the links handy. ?I'll reply with them later tonight, or
> perhaps someone has their IRC log handy.
>
> Evan

My flog:
freenet:USK at 
gjw6StjZOZ4OAG-pqOxIp5Nk11udQZOrozD4jld42Ac,BYyqgAtc9p0JGbJ~18XU6mtO9ChnBZdf~ttCn48FV7s,AQACAAE/flog/14/

Network size graph:
freenet:CHK at 
jj4IUQ8g6Wq399iu3Wv8tWHzq4YhJarRQqGqhifMifY,D5t4hZY8y3jFHyvd080Y3w-KqO9q-XBTBZMedC2LKJ0,AAIC--8/network_size_20091201.png

Network size graph with regression model:
freenet:CHK at 
6iY844s26aoOi~U-hp4o60jAC1C1m4GK6PZsjWdrAK0,R6ySmNvLz2~p-iTc~PVMpQ2KEqoDCc07xQ4wgat6drE,AAIC--8/network_size_modeled_20091201.png

Instantaneous size data for graphs above:
freenet:CHK at 
CEbirb~kmYrgXAX-veZFvADZXJxXFl0MdNfzJxLIjGY,RRnCLWsiN8jSPZsGKc-g3hE48qcw~ad4HJtxPnerXO8,AAIC--8/network_size_20091201.txt

The model I fit has two parts: an average size, and a daily variation.
 The average size is a single-pole filtered step function (that is,
flat up to a specific time, then exponentially decaying to a new
(larger) value after that).  This is the pink curve on the second
graph.  The daily variation is a sum of sine waves (periods 24, 12, 8,
and 6 hours), which is used as a multiplier on the average size to
produce the predicted network size (yellow curve).  R^2 is 0.992.
I'll give more details, spreadsheet, etc in a flog post tonight or
tomorrow.

Evan Daniel

>
>>
>> On Tue, Dec 1, 2009 at 11:45 AM, Evan Daniel <evanbd at gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> On Sat, Nov 28, 2009 at 12:42 PM, Ian Clarke <ian at locut.us> wrote:
>>> > On Sat, Nov 28, 2009 at 8:59 AM, Ximin Luo <xl269 at cam.ac.uk> wrote:
>>> >>
>>> >> I wasn't suggesting taking legal action against the Guardian. Sorry if
>>> >> that's
>>> >> what "libel" implies - I'm not "in" with legal terminology. I was just
>>> >> pointing
>>> >> out that it's a very very very misleading caption; practically a lie.
>>> >
>>> > It certainly focuses on the negative to the exclusion of the positive,
>>> > but
>>> > regardless - I don't think it hurts us. ?I think most people are smart
>>> > enough to know that if Freenet is safe enough for criminals then it must
>>> > do
>>> > what it claims to do!
>>> > Sure enough, our traffic has increased dramatically since that article,
>>> > primarily coming from people searching for "freenet" in search engines,
>>> > so
>>> > they are obviously reading the article and deciding to try it. ?Even
>>> > today,
>>> > several days later, our traffic is quite a bit higher than normal.
>>> > Ian.
>>>
>>> The article appears to account for a near doubling in size of the
>>> Freenet network, both in terms of nodes online at any one time and
>>> total nodes seen, according to my tests.
>>>
>>> The network size growth has slowed dramatically since the article came
>>> out, but it's still growing, and shows no signs of peaking.
>>>
>>> Evan Daniel
>>> _______________________________________________
>>> Devl mailing list
>>> Devl at freenetproject.org
>>> http://emu.freenetproject.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/devl
>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> Ian Clarke
>> CEO, Uprizer Labs
>> Email: ian at uprizer.com
>> Ph: +1 512 422 3588
>>
>

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