If we move to DMARC2 version string this would be solved easily, we could add 
the requirement to the tree-walk algo, we fallback to DMARC1 records if the 
tree-walk does not find a DMARC2 one. So, the long-tail can continue running in 
their current environment and upgrade on their own pace to the next DKIM only 
DMARC.

/ Tobias

Von: Seth Blank <s...@valimail.com>
Datum: Donnerstag, 8. Juni 2023 um 16:35
An: Barry Leiba <barryle...@computer.org>
Cc: Seth Blank <s...@sethblank.com>, Tobias Herkula <tobias.herk...@1und1.de>, 
"dmarc@ietf.org" <dmarc@ietf.org>
Betreff: Re: [dmarc-ietf] DMARC2 & SPF Dependency Removal

I’ll bring data. I think there’s a practical problem here and a class of 
services that are not email-first which will break completely (ie get 
immediately rejected) were such a change to be made.

This feels like a significant interoperability problem we’d be introducing.

I’m loathe to add flags when we’ve been so good at simplifying DMARC through 
the bis process and removing flags, but what about a way to say “I only send 
with DKIM, and do not evaluate SPF on my behalf”?

That wouldn’t create an interop problem, and gives a path to upgrade without 
creating breaking change out of the gate?

Seth

On Thu, Jun 8, 2023 at 16:05 Barry Leiba 
<barryle...@computer.org<mailto:barryle...@computer.org>> wrote:
Oh, and as to your last paragraph, I think it’s the wrong question.  What we 
need to understand is that SPF is ineffective, and DKIM is what’s necessary to 
make DMARC work effectively.  When we started, DKIM was not as broadly deployed 
and we didn’t understand how bad SPF would be.  We have different information 
now, and we need to say that of you want to reliably authenticate you have to 
use DKIM… that’s it.

Barry

On Thu, Jun 8, 2023 at 3:54 PM Seth Blank 
<s...@sethblank.com<mailto:s...@sethblank.com>> wrote:
Participating, while running around so apologies for terseness:

Sophisticated senders do DKIM. The long tail, we're lucky if they do SPF. Some 
authentication is better than none.

The problem isn't people evaluating SPF vs DKIM and choosing the easier option. 
It's people who have a business, who bolt on email, and then struggle to 
authenticate through any means. Again, we're lucky when we get SPF from them, 
and I'll still take that over no auth all day every day.

Don't disagree at all with the myriad problems with SPF, and that the goal 
should be to eliminate it. I just don't believe we're anywhere close to that 
being a reality yet.

The data that led to DMARC showed that SPF and DKIM were both necessary to 
determine legitimacy broadly. What would we need to understand now to see if 
only DKIM is necessary?

On Thu, Jun 8, 2023 at 3:44 PM Barry Leiba 
<barryle...@computer.org<mailto:barryle...@computer.org>> wrote:
See, I don't look at it as "harmed".  Rather, I think they're using "we use 
SPF" as a *reason* not to use DKIM, and I think that *causes* harm.

SPF is, as I see it, worse than useless, as it adds no value to domain that use 
DKIM -- any time DKIM fails SPF will also fail -- and actually impedes the 
adoption of DKIM.  Reliance on SPF causes DMARC failures that result in 
deliverability problems for legitimate mail.  I wholeheartedly support removal 
of SPF as an authentication mechanism that DMARC accepts.

Barry, as participant

On Thu, Jun 8, 2023 at 3:30 PM Seth Blank 
<seth=40valimail....@dmarc.ietf.org<mailto:40valimail....@dmarc.ietf.org>> 
wrote:
Participating, I have data that I believe points to a long tail of businesses 
who predominantly only authenticate on behalf of others using SPF, and would be 
harmed by such a change. It will take me a little while to confirm and share.

I also know a predominant ccTLD with millions of registrations, that has SPF on 
roughly 80% of them, but DMARC on barely 5%. I don't have data on DKIM for 
those, but I assume it's closer to the DMARC penetration than the SPF one. I'll 
see if I can get this data to share more publically, and also get the DKIM 
answer.

Of course the goal is aligned dkim with a stated policy, but I don't think the 
data supports us being anywhere close to that realistically.

As Chair, this is a valuable conversation to have with real data on problems 
and opportunities at scale, and am excited to see Tobias share and see what 
others have to say.

Seth

On Thu, Jun 8, 2023 at 3:21 PM Murray S. Kucherawy 
<superu...@gmail.com<mailto:superu...@gmail.com>> wrote:
On Thu, Jun 8, 2023 at 6:00 AM Tobias Herkula 
<tobias.herkula=401und1...@dmarc.ietf.org<mailto:401und1...@dmarc.ietf.org>> 
wrote:
My team recently concluded an extensive study on the current use and 
performance of DMARC. We analyzed a staggering 3.2 billion emails, and the 
insights drawn are quite enlightening. Of these, 2.2 billion emails 
(approximately 69%) passed the DMARC check successfully. It's quite an 
achievement, reflective of our collective hard work in fostering a safer, more 
secure email environment.

However, upon further analysis, it's evident that a mere 1.6% (or thirty-six 
million) of these DMARC-passed emails relied exclusively on the Sender Policy 
Framework (SPF) for validation. This is a remarkably low volume compared to the 
overall DMARC-passed traffic, raising questions about SPF's relevancy and the 
load it imposes on the DNS systems.

Given the current use case scenarios and the desire to optimize our resources, 
I propose that we explore the possibility of removing the SPF dependency from 
DMARC. This step could result in a significant reduction in DNS load, increased 
efficiency, and an accurate alignment with our predominant use cases.
[...]

Does anyone have consonant (or dissonant) data?

-MSK, participating
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