definition: proportionate = equal % change

IF we agree on this ... and maybe we don't ... then, since the % change is 
always UN =, then all changes are DISproportionate

but, given margins of error and the like ... and, just the practical 
interpretation of the data ... i would say that we could have a pragmatic 
agreement that if the changes were within P %, then we might "call" the 
changes =

the fact is, if the data are accurate, for both whites and blacks, the 
after ratings jumped dramatically .. compared to the before ratings ... now 
we are just quibbling over whether those dramatic jumps should be called = 
or not

thus, the issue in the video and the information that was presented is ... 
are the changes SO large as to make even tolerant  people say that they are 
different

in the case of george w and, the white and black change from pre to post 
... i am MORE than willing to concede that they look about the same

for the elder bush ... in term of gulf war pre and post ... the changes 
between approval ratings between whites and blacks i would be less willing 
to argue that way

but, unless we have STANDARD ERRORS OF DIFFERENCES IN PROPORTIONS FOR 
CORRELATED SAMPLES .. to make the comparisons with, i think it is just an 
exercise in "whatever you think" about the data

i still don't think the person in the video made any egregious 
misstatements of how the data looked, and in addition ... if you view the 
data watching the video, which is very clear .... you could make up your 
own mind anyway

perhaps you could elaborate on why you think he should have been saying 
DISproportionate all the time ... at what threshold "change" value would 
have to be evidenced in the data for you to think he should have been 
speaking in opposite terms?



At 09:59 PM 1/10/02 +0000, EugeneGall wrote:
>His definition of proportionate would mean that if a group's approval of Bush
>went from 1% to 31%, that too would be proportionate.  The relative odds would
>be one way of expressing the changes in proportions, but the absolute
>difference (60% to 90% is roughly propotionate to an increase from 33% to 68%)
>seems quite wrong.
>
>
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_________________________________________________________
dennis roberts, educational psychology, penn state university
208 cedar, AC 8148632401, mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/drober~1.htm



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