A scale of 1 to 5 has been considered too coarse, but again 'where to stop?'
1 to 1000 gives, perhaps, a better impression of the RA of a comet strike to
non-technical managers and politicians, but in these days of big numbers,
there is a case for 1 to 1 million. 
 
From: McCallum, Andy [mailto:andy.mccal...@mottmac.com] 
Sent: Thursday, April 14, 2016 10:02 AM
To: EMC-PSTC@LISTSERV.IEEE.ORG
Subject: Re: [PSES] SV: [PSES] EU's new approach directive transitions
 
Rich
 
If you have not done a risk assessment previously it can be daunting - where
do you draw the line with "what if".
In the UK rail industry an example could be "What happens if the train is
hit by a comet". Answer everyone dies. So what mitigation can you do - run
trains in tunnels deep in rock so the train is protected. That's not
practical so the ALARP principal is introduced (As low as reasonably
practical). Also risk is about the likelihood of an event - so a comet
strike chances of happening are so low that it can be ignored.
Your RA could be enormous if  you tried to include every risk that was
possible (rumour is someone did consider a comet strike but I have not seen
it!).
So product knowledge and common sense need to be applied. Consider the risks
for your product assign them a risk rating ( say 1 - 5 where 1 is no risk
and 5 is risk of death) and then assign a likelihood (1 is incredibly
unlikely and 5 is a daily occurrence). Multiply 1 by the other and you have
a risk score somewhere between 1 and 25. So a comet strike is likely to a
consequence of death (score 5) but is incredibly unlikely (Score 1) total
risk score 5. Any reasonable mitigation? No that's the best you will get
move on the next risk.
 
Hope that helps
 
Andy
 
 
 
 
 
From: Gary Swale [mailto:gary.sw...@ditchwitch.com] 
Sent: 14 April 2016 00:48
To: EMC-PSTC@LISTSERV.IEEE.ORG <mailto:EMC-PSTC@LISTSERV.IEEE.ORG> 
Subject: Re: [PSES] SV: [PSES] EU's new approach directive transitions
 
>>I don't have experience in RA, so I guess I can't do it.<<
 
No, not experience in RA, experience and knowledge about the product. The RA
is all about presenting "what if" scenarios to product experts and the
experts then work to lower the risk through design, safeguards, and
information.
  _____  

From: Richard Nute [ri...@ieee.org]
Sent: Wednesday, April 13, 2016 6:19 PM
To: Gary Swale; EMC-PSTC@LISTSERV.IEEE.ORG
<mailto:EMC-PSTC@LISTSERV.IEEE.ORG> 
Subject: RE: [PSES] SV: [PSES] EU's new approach directive transitions
 
 
". Risk Assessment is a qualitative (estimate based on experience) venture."
 
I don't have experience in RA, so I guess I can't do it.  I guess I have to
hire someone who has RA experience.
 
This is very much like the certification house manager who told me that
product safety is an art that takes many years (and products) of experience
to master.  As a product manufacturer (compared to a certification house),
my experience is limited and I would not likely master the art.
 
 
Rich
 
 
 
 
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