On 10.03.19 02:40, andy pugh wrote:
> On Sat, 9 Mar 2019 at 17:55, Gene Heskett <ghesk...@shentel.net> wrote:
> 
> > Electricity could with the right push, be solar.

It is increasingly so in Australia, Gene. The nascent multi-billion push
to build pumped hydro storage, a decade earlier than thought likely, is
because the network becomes unstable if we hit 50% renewable without it.
And that scenario is coming down the highway at speed, with every man
and his dog whacking panels on the roof and feeding into the grid
despite derisory feed-in tariffs. (Who needs fair payment for the
energy, we'll just drive the coal burners bankrupt, knocking out the
oldest most uneconomic power stations, one at the time.)

> I would rather it was fusion.

But with solar we have fusion power with a useful safety moat around the
reactor, and no greedy rip-off merchants gouging consumers, Andy. OK,
our planet's rotation interrupts supply to most locations daily, but
that's merely a motivator for better storage solutions. That many
durable battery technologies are only 80% efficient is no big deal when
the energy has zero generation cost, the PV panels are now dirt cheap,
and most Aussie homes have ample roof area. With just 7 kW of panels,
and 10 kWh of batteries, the build I've started will be 100% solar
powered, except after several overcast days in the depths of winter,
when the generator will be fired up as it now is every night. Bang in
another 10 kWh of batteries, and the generator will rust from disuse.
The wallspace used for that is minimal, and the tech is pleasingly
decorative.

The UK is perhaps small enough that distribution from a central
generating monster is reasonably efficient, but Australia has the
population of one major world city spread over 7.7 million square
kilometers. Distribution from one trillion dollar behemoth is
problematic, and PV plus wind are immeasurably cheaper and available
now. They also create regionally distributed jobs in installation,
maintenance, and eventually recycling of benign materials. (From sand
unto sand?)

> it looks like we can get by at the current level with renewables. One
> day a couple of years ago the UK was > 50% renewable. (low load sunny
> and windy day) We have some failry big offshore wind farms:
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Array

Taking energy out of winds seems a good idea as wave energy is
increasing by 0.4% annually. Europe does well there. Denmark is
occasionally > 100% renewable, exporting the excess. Here in Australia
we have to build our own storage to gap fill with excess. That will take
time, but the will and determination to achieve it before we hand over
to the next generation is growing.

> But "current level" won't solve anything. With 10x the current output
> we could solve problems. With 100x we could stop mining and reprocess
> our land-fill sites into raw elements for re-use.

Just one unused corner of Australia could power the world from PV, given
storage and transmission lines, according to reports, so the country can
have 100x the power now if desired. We could be making the concrete
replacing Biorock by dunking metal mesh in the sea and "plating" slabs
of magnesium hydroxide etc. onto it. With accretion rates averaging 0.4
to 1.5 kg per kWh, it's easy to produce tons per hr of reinforced
"concrete" slabs per site without emitting any CO2. With compressive
strength ranging from 26 to 37 MPa, it is stronger than concrete. Solar
farms on the coast would remove the need for massively expensive power
transmission.

> I don't know why nobody is pushing for war-level funding for Fusion.

The world is bankrupt, particularly USA and Japan, having funded the
last decade's growth by borrowing the next decade's bread and butter
money. Either our children have to pay it back, or banks have to write
off the trillions which were not real when they were loaned out. Cheap
distributed PV, available now, and democratised serves the community far
far better than a trillion dollar theoretical potentiality which will
just enrich a corporation and corrupt politicians to protect its
monopoly, after taxpayers have gone without for generations to pay
trillions for kilometer-wide glow-in-the-dark whirlygigs under
Switzerland. (What is the cost of the next one, now on the drawing
board?) Socialising the risk and losses while privatising the
profits is the name of the fusion game too.

If there's any doubt about the corrupting effect of corporate
monopolies, look at how coal and cement collude to worsen global warming
for their short term profit:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-10/coal-ash-has-become-one-of-australias-biggest-waste-problems/10886866

> It can work, the sun proves that.

It's just a bit difficult to build another one of those. (You can't get
the wood, you know. ;-)

Erik


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