Elon Musk May Have Been Right, His Tesla Model Y Guess Could Come True

Tesla CEO Elon Musk often gets to prove to people that he was right all along, 
and another such opportunity may come soon enough.  

Tesla CEO Elon Musk said some time ago that the Model Y would outsell all of 
Tesla's other cars, and by a wide margin. This came as a surprise since it's 
much more expensive than the popular Model 3. The CEO went on to predict that 
the Model Y would eventually become the best-selling car in the world. Many 
people thought he was crazy, but there's a much better chance of it actually 
happening than you might think.

When the Tesla Model Y first debuted, it was a bit of a disappointment to many 
people. The entire unveiling ceremony revolved around the history of Tesla, and 
the electric crossover was barely present. When it was finally shown, it wasn't 
shown in great detail, and there was no look at the third row. All you could 
really tell was that it wasn't much more than an inflated Model 3.

That said, the Model Y has been selling exceedingly well across the globe. In 
fact, it already made some top sales lists in 2022, and Tesla's sales stand to 
be much stronger in 2023. While many people love to pick on Elon Musk for his 
wild ideas and terrible timelines, he often proves them wrong. Sure, there are 
some promises Musk has made that have come true very late or still not come to 
fruition, but many of his dreams people doubted years ago are already a reality.

If all continues to move forward as it has thus far this year, Musk could have 
another "I told you so" moment.  




According to Electrek, Musk said in 2016 that the Model Y would create demand 
for 500,000 to 1,000,000 units per year and eventually become the world's 
best-selling passenger car of any kind. Keep in mind, it didn't even come to 
market until 2020. In 2022, Tesla noted that the Model Y would soon keep pace 
with the top-selling Toyota Corolla, which sees some ~1.2 million units sold 
per year.

Tesla could inform us during its upcoming earnings meeting that the Model Y is 
already on track to become the best-selling car in the world as early as this 
year. It topped all rivals in China, the world's biggest automotive market, for 
Q1 2023. Meanwhile, in the world's second-largest car market, the US, early 
data points to the Model Y being the best-selling passenger car for the quarter.




The Model Y is also breaking sales records in many European markets, and Tesla 
has ramped up its production at Giga Berlin to 5,000 copies per week. Tesla is 
also ramping up production at Giga Texas while constantly making tweaks and 
upgrades in Fremont and Shanghai.




Tesla aims to produce some 1.8 million EVs globally in 2023, though Musk has 
said the company could possibly achieve 2 million. If everything falls into 
place as planned, the Model Y has a very good chance of being the best-selling 
car in the world. 

What do you think? Leave us your words of wisdom in the comment section below.


On Saturday, April 22, 2023, 4:56 AM, EV List Lackey via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org> 
wrote:

Chinese EV dominance hastens end of petrol engine era

Issued on: 22/04/2023 - 09:14

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230422-chinese-ev-dominance-hastens-
end-of-petrol-engine-era

or https://v.gd/YYqNoM

"This year's Shanghai Auto Show signalled the end of the petrol engine era 
in China, as domestic electric vehicle brands drive change across the sector 
and leave foreign companies in the dust, analysts and industry insiders 
said.

"Government support for EVs and growing interest from a vast consumer base 
has assured Chinese companies' dominance of their home market, the world's 
largest -- and they are now beginning to set their sights overseas.

***

"According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, electric 
vehicles made up a quarter of car sales in the country in 2022, a year-on-
year increase of 94 percent.

***

"China has dedicated huge resources to the industry. 

"They skipped developing petrol engines because they can't compete with the 
rest of the world," said Richards.  "So they thought: '(With EVs) we can get 
a head start in front of everyone else'."

***

"The supporting infrastructure was built too -- the government says there 
are now more than 5.8 million charging piles in China.  Guangdong province 
alone has around three times as many public chargers as the whole of the 
United States, according to Bloomberg data.

***

Some are smashing the cash barrier that put EVs beyond the means of the 
average consumer.  In Shanghai, China's Geely exhibited its boxy Panda Mini -
- including a bright yellow one with the phrase "what the duck" emblazoned 
on its side.  The cheaper versions cost around $5,800.

"In the future, homegrown technology could drive prices down even further. 
Battery giant CATL has developed a cell that uses sodium instead of lithium 
ions, the former both more abundant and cheaper than the latter.  Just 
before the show opened CATL announced those batteries would be incorporated 
into domestic brand Chery's cars. 

***

"And Chinese EV companies have already begun to make inroads abroad.  The 
biggest of them, BYD, set up shop in Norway then expanded onwards, and 
others are following."

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20230422-chinese-ev-dominance-hastens-
end-of-petrol-engine-era

or https://v.gd/YYqNoM

David Roden, EVDL moderator & general lackey

To reach me, don't reply to this message; I won't get it.  Use my 
offlist address here : http://evdl.org/help/index.html#supt

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    will the right answers come out?"  I am not able rightly to 
    apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke 
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