On 6/21/2019 12:04 AM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:


    To disconfirm MWI you'd have to observe statistics far from the
    expected value,


To make my point more strongly, that is the wrong way round. Observation of statistics far from the expected value is what would be required to confirm MWI. The fact that we don't observe such results is the strongest possible case against MWI!

How can that be when MWI predicts that observing statistics far from the expected value is improbable.

    which is why Tegmark proposed his machine gun suicide experiment.


Which confirms nothing except that Tegmark believes in MWI. Quantum suicide cannot convince anyone other than one's self that MWI is true.

Exactly why it's not convincing as a thought experiment.

Everyday experience does not confirm this, since we do not meet people several hundred years old -- every one dies at their appointed time. The quantum suicide experiment has been run billions of times, always with null results.

Yes, I have thought this is good evidence against MWI; although these ancient people would be so rare there might not be even one on most branches of the world, so I'm not sure it's a decisive argument.  And why should old persons be the test.  Why not any extremely unlikely event.  In your viewpoint the occurence of an unlikely event is evidence for MWI, while the failure of unusual events to occur is evidence against MWI.  Yet it's a commonplace that unlikely events occur all the time.

Brent


Bruce
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