On 6/24/2019 2:29 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 11:18, Bruno Marchal <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :


    On 24 Jun 2019, at 05:55, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
    <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:



    On 6/23/2019 5:40 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

    On 21 Jun 2019, at 21:49, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
    <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:



    On 6/21/2019 5:35 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

    On 21 Jun 2019, at 09:04, Bruce Kellett
    <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything
    List <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:


        To disconfirm MWI you'd have to observe statistics far
        from the expected value,


    To make my point more strongly, that is the wrong way round.
    Observation of statistics far from the expected value is what
    would be required to confirm MWI.

    I don’t see this at all.



    The fact that we don't observe such results is the strongest
    possible case against MWI!

    ?

    The probability to see a deviation is the same in both
    Everett, and Copenhagen. The deviation expected is the same,
    so if there is a deviation, it can hardly be used to claim one
    theory is more correct than the other.

    But as Bruce points out Tegmark's machine gun experiment is
    effectively being carried out by each of us.

    That is quantum immortality. On this list I have defend this,
    but Tegmark rejected it, and claimed that the survival to
    quantum suicide does not entail quantum immortality. He might
    have changed his mind since, perhaps.



    So if each of us lives on a million years in some branch of the
    MW, then each of us will experience 99.9% of our life as a very
    old person among people younger than 100yrs.

    Unless there are intimidate realities in between Earth and Heaven.

    It would still imply that each person would experience only a
    small part of their existence surrounded by other persons whose
    age differed by less that 120yr from their own.  And so each of
    us should be surprised that we find ourself in exactly that kind
    of world.


    Using some anthropoid argument, but like fine tuning, I tend to
    agree with Vic that is is not really convincing, and should be
    handled mathematically. Only progress in the mathematical theology
    will show if this threat Mechanism or not.

    Bruno


The thing is we should first be born before being 1000000 years... so it seems not surprising finding yourself "young", that you are with other "young" people.

That's seems to implicitly assume that everybody starts at the same time, so they are young together and then old together (in the branches they survive).  I see no justification for conditioning on being young, since the point of the argument is that given quantum immortality the time you are young is of measure zero.

Brent


If our age was randomly selected, then I agree it should be a surprise finding yourself young... but as you cannot be old *before* having being young *you have to* find youself young first in the flow of your life.

Quentin





    Brent

    That is the whole subject of mathematical theology. Computer
    science justifies jumps and intermediate realities. It is not an
    obvious subjects, but the nuances given by incompleteness
    provides some light. Some personal experience, like with some
    plants, can help, but can also mislead. Nothing is obvious, and
    everything requires a lot of work.

    Bruno





    Brent

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