I don't care what my statements sound like. It's about the argument. I'm not making statements like "superintelligence is around the corner", in which case the burden of proof lies with those hyping those statements. The exchange with Brent is instructive: can a human level intelligence be separated from its arguable 3.5 billion year history? Wouldn't that have to be accounted for?
If the current state of development is any indicator, where they keep enlarging the mathematical linguistic context which informs the response, then that's a lot of data for just one AI, even if you argue that early stages of the planet are not necessary. And then superintelligence demands something like "can accomplish arbitrary tasks/problems much better than a human and/or all humans". The only phenomenon that has reached that level that we have evidence for is the development of civilization and science by billions of lifeforms reaching humans over, taking your figure, 500 million years. And to demonstrate that somebody is on the path towards modelling and/or surpassing that, you'd need to show how. I not sure adding verbal/mathematical memory suffices. Note I have never denied that AI could become incredibly competent at domain specific tasks. It's doing so. But superintelligence, if there even were consensus on what that is... is a much taller order. On Monday, September 30, 2024 at 2:34:34 PM UTC+2 John Clark wrote: > On Mon, Sep 30, 2024 at 7:54 AM PGC <multipl...@gmail.com> wrote: > > *> Despite marketing efforts hyping superintelligence around the corner, >> advanced reasoning abilities etc. I don't see much more than folks beating >> disingenuous benchmarks by modifying training sets, memory, and all manner >> of parameters, specific to domain of benchmark being tested.* > > > *It sounds like whistling past the graveyard to me ...... but whatever > helps you get through the day. * > > John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis> > hgt > > > > >>> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/a9a0f3b0-bbbc-480c-a971-997ed5d3c921n%40googlegroups.com.
