Victoria Hughes wrote: > (hot shot firefighters, high-stakes poker players, etc)
That reminds me of some work done here at Sandia concerning human decision-making under stressful conditions. Chris Forsyte (no longer here) created a model based on a real incident in the PG 1.0 of a special operations team being discovered by a civilian from a nearby village before they had accomplished their mission behind enemy lines. His behavioral decision-making model (as opposed to rational decision-making models) showed that lots of trivial and, apparently, irrelevant factors make the difference between shoot and no-shoot (i.e. kill the civilian and continue the mission or leave the civilian and abort the mission). Factors such as sleep-deprivation, fatigue, hunger, and others seem to make people decide upon radically different actions during crises. -- Ray Parks rcpa...@sandia.gov Consilient Heuristician Voice: 505-844-4024 ATA Department Mobile: 505-238-9359 http://www.sandia.gov/scada Fax: 505-844-9641 http://www.sandia.gov/idart Pager:505-951-6084 ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
