Hi Eric,

Thanks for responding. I didn't follow all that you said, but I like what young 
Peirce (who might have said)  "Truth as the scientist understands it" --and 
therefore seems to allow for a different kind of truth. And I could have chosen 
a better example --say the dispute between Bush and Gore about who really won 
the crucial state of Florida. There the truth didn't seem to affect the 
decision, but if the  court had been divided 4-4 with 1 independent, it might 
have. The courts do have ways of deciding cases based on truth as the scientist 
understands it --that is clearly the only way the judicial system can function 
--but I gather that Old Peirce would say there is no other truth. Am I under a 
delusion that there may be actual truths about the past that are simply lost?

--John
________________________________________
From: Friam [friam-boun...@redfish.com] on behalf of Eric Charles 
[eric.phillip.char...@gmail.com]
Sent: Tuesday, February 23, 2016 3:44 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group; M. D. Bybee; John Shook
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] History and subjectivity and intimacy

Trying to bring things to this thread... John said:
The crucial questions then, are do you see any talk about "what really happened 
in the past" as some sort of delusion? Would you go one step further and say 
the concept that there is a truth about what happened in the past is 
delusional, for example "We have no way of knowing for certain whether 
Charlemagne ate eggs on a particulr day during his life(Say January 1, 800 ad) 
but there is a truth about the matter (either he did or did not) even though it 
is a truth we can never fully determine?

I think Peirce would try to dissolve this controversy . He would say, I think, 
that the question "Did Charlemagne eat eggs on January 1st, 800 ad?" can only 
sensibly be understood as the question "Conceive of everything that would be 
true of the world now, had the event in question occurred. Do all 
investigations thereby implied pan out?"

John likely finds that to be an ugly, crude abuse of his idea. In protest he 
might assert: "That isn't it at all! I am interested in whether Charlemagne ate 
eggs then, and not about anything now. It makes no difference now!"

At that point, Peirce would, in a rare instance of generosity, look towards his 
friend James with gentle nod. James would get quite excited and proclaim 
triumphantly that "A difference which makes no difference is no difference at 
all."

Then quickly, before James could go further and say something upsetting, Peirce 
would jump back in and ask, "If Charlemagne did it has all the same 
consequences as Charlemagne didn't do it, then what on earth do YOU think you 
are getting on about?"

And.... most likely.... a Wittgensteinian silence would ensue.

Now, on the other hand, if you COULD give a list of things that would be 
distinct about the world, had that event happened, then the conversation might 
proceed differently. But that is typically not possible. Note, that doesn't 
make all claims about the past flawed. For example, there are geologists who 
investigate what rocks will look like at different depths in different 
locations, based on different hypotheses about how the earth was millennia ago, 
and how tectonic plates have moved in the meantime. That is good science in 
Peirce's view. However, that moves us away from claims about individual events 
(see prior email regarding The Baseball), and towards testing hypotheses that 
resemble standard scientific hypotheses.

That is not to say that nothing is at stake in the investigation about 
Charlemagne's eating habits, it is simply to say that "truth" does not come 
into it.

Old Peirce would, I think simply declare that. I like younger Peirce better. 
Younger Peirce often explicitly presents himself as explaining the world view 
of the scientist. Thus, were this about just the parts of Peirce I like best, I 
would modify the prior: "Truth" as the scientist understands it does not come 
into it.

Were I to say that, James would smile, and pat me on the back heroically. 
Meanwhile, Peirce would get to work writing an entire book about how I am an 
intellectual incompetent, and might well rename his entire system simply to 
avoid association with anything I had said.

Best,
Eric








-----------
Eric P. Charles, Ph.D.
Lab Manager
Center for Teaching, Research, and Learning
American University, Hurst Hall Room 203A
4400 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20016
phone: (202) 885-3867   fax: (202) 885-1190
email: echar...@american.edu<mailto:echar...@american.edu>

On Tue, Feb 23, 2016 at 3:01 PM, Eric Charles 
<eric.phillip.char...@gmail.com<mailto:eric.phillip.char...@gmail.com>> wrote:
John,
First, the sad part, it is unclear how any of this relates to gaining consensus 
about individual events. I think it should, but others shouldn't. Let me lay 
out the problem:

We wonder whether a given baseball is the one thrown for a particular strike 
during a particular game. What unique properties would such a ball have? There 
are two types of answers we might seek.

One is a unique configuration of differences, i.e., the ball had a mixture of 
resin and spit used by a particular pitcher to doctor their pitch, and was the 
only one of its kind to have been made at the factory with a one-off improper 
spelling of the company name. In such a case we may apply the scientific 
process to determine if the ball in question has those properties, and 
(potentially) determine the extent to which those properties are actually 
unique. That is, we could test through empirical method, all consequences of 
the claim that the ball in question is The Ball.

The other type of answer we might seek is via "providence"; i.e., there is 
nothing unique about the ball itself, but there is other evidence it might be 
of historic importance. We might have a picture of the ump tossing a ball to a 
particular kid, record of that kid giving it over to an auction house several 
years later, that auction house selling it to Rich Guy A, who owned a storage 
unit, in which Rich Guy B found a ball (after A's death) along with the 
paperwork referenced and associated photos. Here we could test, through the 
empirical method, all sorts of claims about the providence itself (was it 
printed on the right type of paper, does the signature look authentic, etc.) 
but there is nothing to test about the ball pre se.

In either case it is unclear that investigating history would resemble making a 
scientific claim, because scientific claims are about generalities, not 
individual events. To claim that vinegar will dissolve calcium build ups is a 
very different type of thing than to claim that this ball is The Ball. The 
science above is not direct at the veracity of the historical claims, but 
rather it is directed at some things that would be true about the objects in 
front of us, were those historic claims true.

Even worse, I think Peirce would assert that unless there is something about 
the ball itself that is in question, the question of whether it is The Ball is 
nonsensical.

Whew! I hope some of that was relevant.

Best,
Eric



-----------
Eric P. Charles, Ph.D.
Lab Manager
Center for Teaching, Research, and Learning
American University, Hurst Hall Room 203A
4400 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20016
phone: (202) 885-3867<tel:%28202%29%20885-3867>   fax: (202) 
885-1190<tel:%28202%29%20885-1190>
email: echar...@american.edu<mailto:echar...@american.edu>

On Tue, Feb 23, 2016 at 2:51 AM, John Kennison 
<jkenni...@clarku.edu<mailto:jkenni...@clarku.edu>> wrote:
I don't know it I am following all this correctly, but I would like to apply it 
to the question of doing History scientifically. At the start all we have are 
relics from the past  --maybe we are uncertain which objects and/or documents 
really go back to a historical period under examination--but we have some way 
of testing for various relations between these relics. Se then look for a 
theory of the past which best accounts for the relics that we have. We may be 
able to measure how well different theories do this accounting. And the set opf 
measutres we arrive at is then history.

But would some historian be dualists if they say there is a real truth about 
what happened in the past, it's just that we this real truth may not be 
recoverable.



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