The flaw with Coulter's argument, I realized as walking to the poll, is that there wouldn't be any filthy grandson of a German immigrant on the ballot for all those three generation born in americans to vote into office. In fact, I expect that there would be a fairly tiny population of people with all four grandparents born in the US.
-- rec -- On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 10:56 AM, Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com> wrote: > In contrast to this one. > > > > http://www.thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/ > 304867-coulter-trump-would-win-if-only-people-whose-grandparents-born > > > > *From:* Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] *On Behalf Of *Robert J. > Cordingley > *Sent:* Tuesday, November 08, 2016 8:34 AM > > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind > Clinton | FiveThirtyEight > > > > as is this: > > http://election.scholastic.com/vote/ > > Robert C > > > > On 11/5/16 12:20 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote: > > Somewhat more optimistic, from my point of view: > > https://electionbettingodds.com/ > > Frank > > Frank Wimberly > Phone (505) 670-9918 > > > > On Nov 5, 2016 11:42 AM, "Owen Densmore" <o...@backspaces.net> wrote: > > Interesting 538 info-graphic, which also makes the 65%-35% "chance to win" > much less secure: > > > > -- Owen > > > > The winding path to 270 electoral votes > > > > A candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to clinch the White House. > Here's where the race stands, with the states ordered by the projected > margin between the candidates — Clinton’s strongest states are at the top, > Trump’s at the bottom — and sized by the number of electoral votes they > will award. > > > > [image: Inline image 1] > > > > On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 10:55 AM, Nick Thompson <nickthomp...@earthlink.net> > wrote: > > That is really good, Frank. > > > > Thanks, > > > > Nick > > > > Nicholas S. Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology > > Clark University > > http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/ > > > > *From:* Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] *On Behalf Of *Frank > Wimberly > *Sent:* Saturday, November 05, 2016 10:06 AM > > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind > Clinton | FiveThirtyEight > > > > Lesser of two evils? > > Posted on Facebook by Ricky Martin > > Trump admitting sexual assault. Clinton emails. Trump charity fraud. > Clinton emails. Trump calls for nuclear proliferation. Clinton emails. > Trump calls for national stop and frisk. Clinton emails. Trump violates > trade embargo with Cuba. Clinton emails. Trump sued over Trump U fraud. > Clinton emails. Trump bribes DA. Clinton emails. Trump doesn't pay taxes > for 20 years. Clinton emails. Trump employs campaign manager involved in > illegal corruption with Russia. Clinton emails. Trump calls for ban of an > entire religion from entering US. Clinton emails. Trump lied about support > for Iraq War over and over in debate. Clinton emails. Trump in court for > rape of a minor. Clinton emails. Trump unaware of Russia's Crimea > occupation. Clinton emails. Trump unaware of situation in Syria. Clinton > emails. Trump penalized for racist housing discrimination. Clinton emails. > Trump files for bankruptcy 6 times. Clinton emails. Trump goes 0-3 in > debates by showing scant knowledge of world politics. Clinton emails. Trump > slams people for being POWs. Clinton emails. Trump calls Mexicans rapists. > Clinton emails. Trump questions judge's integrity because of parent's > heritage. Clinton emails. Trump deletes emails involved in casino scandal. > Clinton emails. Trump commits insurance fraud after Florida hurricane. > Clinton emails. Trump has dozens of assault victims and witnesses come > forward with allegations of abuse. Clinton emails. Trump attacks former Ms > America for being overweight. Clinton emails. Trump tweets about sex tapes > at 3am. Clinton emails. Trump calls for US citizens to be sent to Gitmo. > Clinton emails. Trump calls for more extreme forms of torture to be used. > Clinton emails. Trump asks why cant we use our nukes if we have them. > Clinton emails. Trump calls for offensive bombing attack on sovereign > nations because someone gave the middle finger. Clinton emails. Trump calls > to kill women and children of suspected terrorists. Clinton emails. Trump > says women should be punished for having abortions. Clinton emails. Trump > makes fun of disabled people. Clinton emails. Trump calls for end of > freedom of the press. Clinton emails. Trump calls global warming a Chinese > hoax. Clinton emails. Trump praises Putin and Kim Jong Un's strong > leadership. Clinton emails. Trump openly admits to not paying his employees > during debate. Clinton emails. Trump calls Obama an illegitimate > non-citizen hundreds of times over 7 years. Clinton emails. Trump uses > campaign donations to enrich his own businesses. Clinton emails. Trump says > laziness is an inherent trait in black people. Clinton emails. > > Frank Wimberly > Phone (505) 670-9918 > > > > On Nov 4, 2016 5:31 PM, "Nick Thompson" <nickthomp...@earthlink.net> > wrote: > > Oh. Ok; I thought you meant Liberals and I could not make that work. > Thanks for the clarification. > > > > n > > > > Nicholas S. Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology > > Clark University > > http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/ > > > > *From:* Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] *On Behalf Of *Roger > Critchlow > *Sent:* Friday, November 04, 2016 2:21 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind > Clinton | FiveThirtyEight > > > > Nick -- > > > > Just joking that Libertarians (ie libbies) should refuse to take campaign > funding from the government and refuse to participate in government run > elections, or they're clearly acting as LINO's (Libertarians In Name > Only). Sorry, it was an old joke the first time. > > > > -- rec -- > > > > On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 4:12 PM, Nick Thompson <nickthomp...@earthlink.net> > wrote: > > Hi Roger, > > > > Perhaps my humor and imagination have been totally destroyed by this > election (which somebody aptly described as a political dumpster fire), but > … I didn’t understand your comment, AND I want to. > > > > Nick > > > > Nicholas S. Thompson > > Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology > > Clark University > > http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/ > > > > *From:* Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] *On Behalf Of *Roger > Critchlow > *Sent:* Friday, November 04, 2016 1:04 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind > Clinton | FiveThirtyEight > > > > Aren't the libbies constitutionally required to disdain funding from the > government? Seems like they should disdain elections, too, hold out for > victory by acclamation? > > > > -- rec -- > > > > > > On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 2:28 PM, ┣glen┫ <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote: > > On 11/04/2016 09:53 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote: > > http://www.slate.com/features/pkremp_forecast/report.html > > Very nice presentation. Thanks, Marcus! > > On 11/04/2016 10:46 AM, Steven A Smith wrote: > > I was going to "scoff" at this number and analysis until I checked MY > favorite source and saw what people who were putting their money where > their mouths are were saying: > > > > https://tippie.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/ > > That's only 1 market. Predictwise (which I may have heard about on this > list?) aggregates some markets: > http://predictwise.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/PredictWise_November4_ > ChartPres.png > > But, were I to play the market(s), I'd bet on both Clinton and Trump, of > course, in various amounts. So, it's not clear whether these markets are > predictive of the winner so much as they're predictive of strategies for > benefiting from the winner, who[m]ever it may be. > > > Is that chasm recently formed, the FBI's "October Surprise"? There > sure is a lot of volatility! > > My hypothesis is that Clinton's drop in the polls is a result of the > late-comers digging into the subject. Anyone who has been paying attention > to Trump and Clinton for more than a month or two, will have already formed > their opinion. More emails (or more sex harassment allegations) won't > affect that. But those who only started really paying attention last month > may just now be starting to dig in and think about the extent of Clinton's > and Trump's foibles and qualities. The falsifying question would be: What > % of pollees answered prematurely back before October? ... didn't answer > "undecided", but were likely to change their minds once they started > digging? > > I'm also fond of PollyVote: https://pollyvote.com/en/ ... though I also > forget where I learned about that one. [sigh] > > > Gary and Jill only need 5% of the vote to get their party's funding and > automatic ballot inclusion next round. > > It would be great to see the Green party get the funding. I wouldn't > celebrate the Libertarians getting it, though. > > -- > ␦glen? > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove > > > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove > > > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove > > > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove > > > > > ============================================================ > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove > > > > -- > > Cirrillian > > Web Design & Development > > Santa Fe, NM > > http://cirrillian.com > > 281-989-6272 (cell) > > Member Design Corps of Santa Fe > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove >
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