I suppose they could require players walk through a x-ray machine to find 
neural implants.

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of Prof David West
Sent: Monday, November 8, 2021 8:43 AM
To: friam@redfish.com
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] lurking

You would be surprised at what casinos can ban. Maybe even more surprised at 
the, not necessarily AI, software tools they use to analyze video feeds and 
pounce on any kind of statistically improbabilities. Most casinos in Vegas have 
tools, like mandatory side bets with very low odds, that erase the near equal 
odds of blackjack.

The only 'safe' gambling is poker where the house has no direct interest in the 
outcome.

As DES stated, winning is a matter of patience and losing antes only, until you 
get good hand and then skill of playing that hand for maximum return — playing 
less worse than the others at the table.

I am living in Vegas now and playing small tournaments fairly regularly.

davew


On Sun, Nov 7, 2021, at 7:23 PM, Steve Smith wrote:


On 11/7/21 12:02 PM, David Eric Smith wrote:
There must be some kind of “Back to the future” movie that can be made out of 
this.  Doyne Farmer in Vegas all over again, but with current-era AI in place 
of toe-operated computers.

Yah!  Surely Casinos can't begin to restrict computers(phones)/earbuds, etc.  
on the gaming floor.

Strange coincidence that my sister went to Kindergarten with Vance Packard 
(Norm's brother) in Silver City long before they all became eagle scouts and 
then the Chaos Cabal.  We moved away the next year and I doubt I ever met any 
of them back then.   I came to LANL just before (I think) Doyne came... I seem 
to remember that Norm was there for a summer...  and soon came the (in)famous 
CA conference...   As I remember it the game of interest (aside from Life, what 
with Conway in attendance) was GO with a lot of speculation about the 
implications of local vs global "intelligence"...   I was intrigued by HashLife 
and it's implications for finding structure at many scales... I still hope for 
someone with more follow-through than I have to implement a more redundant but 
"thorough" space-time decomposition (an N-1xN-1 kernel over the 4 positions at 
each "zoom" level).

Regarding poker.. I played some low-stakes in college and saw there were two 
things to take in:   the main technical skill was to simply play less poorly 
than the other players at the table and that was entirely overshadowed by the 
social-engineering games of bluffing, etc.   The very simple game-theoretic 
aspect of not depleting your own stake before you catch a "lucky streak" going 
your way was also a good understanding.   I played with my "boss" and a number 
of peers at the time and realized that it was more about jockeying for position 
at work and drinking beer than it was about winning/losing.  I think the most I 
ever lost/won was on the order of $20-$40 which in those days was roughly 1-2 
shifts wages... a LOT if I joined them weekly... too rich for my blood!  I 
still feel that *technically* playing well really means just playing less 
badly.   Blackjack being even more obviously so?

Yikes.



On Nov 7, 2021, at 1:56 PM, Marcus Daniels 
<mar...@snoutfarm.com<mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>> wrote:

My inclination would be to invest in standoff biometrics (e.g. Eulerian Video 
Amplification) and then find the best poker playing code.   It ought to be 
possible to automate and perhaps get rich in the process.

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> On 
Behalf Of Eric Charles
Sent: Sunday, November 7, 2021 7:42 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
<friam@redfish.com<mailto:friam@redfish.com>>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] lurking

I DID read all the thread so far... but I'm curious how we got to one of the 
starting points: "as cringy as it may be for some dork to be proud of their 
Poker prowess"

I am somewhat satisfied with my Poker mediocrity, certainly not proud of it... 
but if I met someone who was ACTUALLY startlingly better than I am, and they 
were proud of that, I wouldn't find it cringy. (Ditto in my other hobbies, like 
Aikido.)

I guess if I met someone who had a slight edge in their drunk-buddy home games, 
and they were super proud of THAT, then i would find it cringy. (Ditto someone 
who's the best Aikido student in their small dojo, but who's obviously not more 
than that.)

When I see academic work on game theory, it's usually of lower quality than 
what the good poker players are doing these days. Mastering the game is crazy 
hard, and being able to sit down and implement a coherent and winning strategy 
for 40-80 hours a week is not easy. So... why would that be cringe?



On Wed, Nov 3, 2021 at 1:42 PM Marcus Daniels 
<mar...@snoutfarm.com<mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>> wrote:
Ok, part of the story is knowing what is really needed for reproducibility as a 
function of context.
With that, then there's the matter of how much control is afforded.   Is it 
programmable in predictable ways?

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> On 
Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
Sent: Wednesday, November 3, 2021 8:20 AM
To: friam@redfish.com<mailto:friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] lurking

Yeah, I agree. But context is Queen. When the virus is created in the lab, it's 
done with real stuff distilled from the soupy world. Given enough of a 
difference in context, the robot may not be able to re-constitute the life 
because the soupy world surrounding the robot doesn't have the real stuff 
required. Such drastic context changes could be a result of translation through 
space or time. E.g. trying to construct, on Mars, an organism read/serialized 
on earth. Or e.g. trying to construct an organism read millennia ago, millennia 
in the future. It's naive to talk about "science" as if any given read-out 
formula thereby expressed is *complete*. Science is abstraction to a large 
extent ... maybe not as abstracting as math, of course. And science must remain 
"open" precisely because any formula it expresses is suspect, perhaps 
incomplete.

My favorite example is the magic brewing stick: 
https://medievalmeadandbeer.wordpress.com/2019/05/04/scandinavian-yeast-logs-yeast-rings/
 It *was* scientific to lay out the magic stick as a critical element of the 
brewing process, only to discover later that the stick isn't the important part.

On 11/2/21 2:39 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Even if that were so, viruses have been pulled from history or tweaked and 
> created in the lab.   So we have a design specification, and the means to 
> make it.    One could imagine a robot fabricating the close-to-the-metal 
> machine too.   There is a story one can write down how it is done.   If there 
> is no story, it is not science we are talking about, it is something else.


--
"Better to be slapped with the truth than kissed with a lie."
☤>$ uǝlƃ


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